The OP is correct that there are always these smokescreens in the last day or two.
I have no idea what Bolden is going to do, but it never fails that you'll have rumors about the player going to the other school 24-48 hours before he commits.
Probably has to do with the player's camp sending out mixed messages in some ways to create some obfuscation. But more than that I think a lot of the recruiting guys hedge their bets at the last minute. It's easy to be confident a month out, but as the weekend itself approaches I think you get some waffling.
And then that waffling hits the echo chamber, and you've got this, "Well, maybe..." sentiment around swirling around a player. Happens every time.