BACATOLGY 3/4 : NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS

fluoxetine

Heisman
Nov 11, 2012
23,529
16,898
0
MSU wins. They win ugly. They play hard. Not sure I’d pick them even first round.

Annoys me to no end that we gave away home game last year to MSG and then an away game last year.

And then again away game this year. So ridiculously unfair.

Would have loved MSU at home this year.

Rip away!
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BigEastPhil

Heisman
Nov 25, 2007
19,326
13,597
66
Must have missed this or forgot about it : Merrimack and Sacred Heart to MAAC next year

I think that ll give MAAC 13 members.

Merrimack in NEC championship game in NEC vs either Wagner or CCSU.

NEC plays all their tourney games at court of highest seed.

I remember when tourney was held in Trenton for 1-2 years many moons ago.

That had to be a financial disaster for the NEC.
 

fatsam98

Heisman
Mar 23, 2005
43,847
39,247
113
A little life from nova and Creighton went cold. 40-29 bluejays at the half
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Nova dug such a big hole and they were as close as 8 I think but its up to 12...running out of time with 6:41 going to need one last push
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Texas A&M huge win at Ole Miss 86-60. The 4 Q4 losses are a big issue but lets see how things stand tomorrow...there are very good things on this resume and the Nova result is huge for this bulky loss team
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Kansas State going to stun Iowa State damaging the Cyclones potential #2 seeding. The Wildcats do have very good things on their resume but might have one loss too many. Will at least be on the board for consideration
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Richmond absolutely hammered by George Mason. Spiders are still the AQ from the A10 as they are clinched the regular season title but their at large chances which were less than 25% coming into today are about half that now.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Oklahoma loses at Texas by double digits and Sooners are a lock yet and very well could be slipping to first four status. No bad losses is a big plus but only 2 wins vs teams in field and just 3-10 in Q1 even though 9-11 Q1/2. Likely draw Texas again in Big 12 tourney
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Nova closed it to 63-59...wow. Love seeing teams with the season on the line
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Mississippi State crawling back now down to South Carolina 75-73 with 40 seconds left. Bulldogs needs this game or they are very vulnerable
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
wow....Nova ties it on a bail out on a foul after taking a horrible 3 point shot and then Creighton guy hits shot with .2 to win.

Novas bubble just lost a lot of air. Again not impossible but only 1 15 loss school has ever been selected as an at large. Nova at 17-14 will get a bonus extra vs a gtown or de paul by tough to overcome that eventually 15...I think the committee has wrapped up the field before the Big East tourney finals
 

RAC93

All-American
Aug 11, 2023
3,507
5,778
113
Mississippi State falls 77-75 to South Carolina. At 19-12, officially in trouble....3-8 in Q1 and 7-11 in Q1/2 with a Q4 loss and 2-8 road mark
That is an underwhelming resume. Where do you have Miss State now?
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
That is an underwhelming resume. Where do you have Miss State now?
they actually havent lost yet..my tracker showed game over at 77-75...they are in overtime right now....SC up 87-85

if they do end up losing, they are in danger of falling into first four...we shall see. Oklahoma another power 6 that could fall into that group.
 

KK1827

Heisman
Nov 4, 2023
3,763
12,214
48
Havent followed college bball much this year but what do we have to do to make NIT?
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
USF down 10 at Tulsa late, they already won the AAC but this would be a crushing Quad 3 loss for their at large hopes
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
this time it is final. Mississippi State loses 93-89...fall to 19-12, 3-8 Q1, 7-11 Q1/2, 1 Q4 loss, 2-8 road mark
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
The reality is most years Oklahoma and Mississippi State would be endanger of falling from the field. Their risk might be falling into first four. The bubble is pretty weak right now. There are not many schools realistically competing for bids and do note 2 bids could open up if Dayton and USF end up being the AQs from their conferences
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Havent followed college bball much this year but what do we have to do to make NIT?
will likely have to go 18-16...win tomorrow, win first round game then upset Iowa/Nebby/Michigan State/Wisky whoever is 5
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Va Tech stays on the fringes with a win over Notre Dame...18-13 with wins over Iowa State, Boise State, Clemson, Virginia
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
top seed Vermont survived serious upset by from Albany winning 75-72 in the America East quarters
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
Colorado State struggling at Air Force in the 2nd half in what would be a damaging Quad 4 loss.
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
251,236
180,499
113
USF goes down 76-70...will be very tough to get at large with the overall metrics and 1 Q3 and 2 Q4
 
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