We have to win out.
We lose a head to head tiebreaker with Alabama, so it's not as simple as Alabama just losing a game. If Alabama were to drop two games, we actually control our destiny.
We win all three-way tiebreakers involving us, Alabama, Texas A&M and Auburn, provided LSU finishes sixth or seventh. If LSU finishes fifth, the A&M-Auburn loser must finish fourth.
We lose a head to head tiebreaker with Alabama, so it's not as simple as Alabama just losing a game. If Alabama were to drop two games, we actually control our destiny.
We win all three-way tiebreakers involving us, Alabama, Texas A&M and Auburn, provided LSU finishes sixth or seventh. If LSU finishes fifth, the A&M-Auburn loser must finish fourth.