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- Thread starter Cruel Halo
- Start date
I think we have a favorable schedule down the stretch. Home wins against Maryland and Michigan would really be huge. Those quad one wins will be important.
Wins 2 out of 3 at home vs Michigan, Maryland, and Ohio St. take care of Minnesota and Iowa at home. Win 1 other game and that's 20.
Our quad one record is 4-6. Getting that at even would be nice. We’re 46 on strength. Win our remaining home games and we’ll really be looking good. Winning a conference tournament game though might be necessary.
You are not understanding the strength of the Big 10. If we go 5-3 we will be in without needing a win in the tournament. Our NET will be in the low 40's. We are currently 4-6 in quad 1's... that is equal to the amount of quad 1 wins as last year already.
Every team in the Big 10 is in the Top 100 NET... 10-10 in the conference is a guarantee to be in with the quad 1 wins we have
8-12 + 2 wins in the Big 10 tourney (Last 4 in)
8-12 + 3 wins (10 seed)
8-12 + 4 wins (9/10 seed)
9-11 + 0 wins in the Big 10 tourney (Last 4 in)
9-11 + 1 win (11 seed w/o play in)
9-11 + 2 wins (10 seed)
9-11 + 3 wins (9/10 seed)
9-11 + 4 wins (8/9 seed)
10-10 + 0 wins (11 seed w/o play in)
10-10 + 1 win (10 seed)
10-10 + 2 wins (9/10 seed)
10-10 + 3 wins (8/9 seed)
10-10 + 4 wins (6/7 seed)
11-9 + 0 wins (8/9 seed)
11-9 + 1 win (7/8 seed)
11-9 + 2 wins (6/7 seed)
11-9 + 3 wins (6 seed)
11-9 + 4 wins (5 seed)
12-8 + 0 wins (7/8 seed)
12-8 + 1 win (7 seed)
12-8 + 2 wins (6 seed)
12-8 + 3 wins (5/6 seed)
12-8 + 4 wins (4/5 seed)
13-7 + 0 wins (5/6 seed)
13-7 + 1 win (5 seed)
13-7 + 2 wins (4/5 seed)
13-7 + 3 wins (3/4 seed)
13-7 + 4 wins (2/3 seed)
Wow look how far we've come in just over the last couple weeks. a little over a week ago people were ready to lynch Fred, and officially declared this season over. 3 wins later and were back to talking NCAA tourney.
Back then I posted that if we could win 6 of our last 11 games we had a shot and very few of us, including me thought it possible. Some going as far as to say there was absolutely no shot at all.
Guess we just need to let things play out and see where we end up.
OSU
Maryland
@ NW
@ Penn ST
Michigan
Minnesota
@ OSU
Iowa
Just need to pick up 5 more wins. @ 15-8 we have to hold home court in 4/5 of these games and pick up a road win. Doable. BIG tourney win is gravy.
Back then I posted that if we could win 6 of our last 11 games we had a shot and very few of us, including me thought it possible. Some going as far as to say there was absolutely no shot at all.
Guess we just need to let things play out and see where we end up.
OSU
Maryland
@ NW
@ Penn ST
Michigan
Minnesota
@ OSU
Iowa
Just need to pick up 5 more wins. @ 15-8 we have to hold home court in 4/5 of these games and pick up a road win. Doable. BIG tourney win is gravy.
When we lost to USC at home, I'll admit I threw in the towel. Home loses to USC and Rutgers stung
No doubt. 6 game losing streak was tough. But the team that we saw early in the year seems to be back. Good defense. And getting to the basket. We can be a dangerous team when we are clicking.
That Sandford kid @ Iowa single handedly took the life out of this team, and that can't happen. The team can not let one win or one loss dictate play moving forward. You go out and give it everything you got every game, and play within the system. We are missing a consistent 3rd man, and I want that 3rd man to be Gary. Gary is not good enough offensively to be our number 2 scoring threat and that alone is hurting us. Berke and/or Worster need to be that person and they aren't. Essegian can hit 3's, but he is not built to do anything more than that, Berke and Worster are... but they have been weak links offensively
This site is by far my favorite site when it comes to Tournament odds
I think they go 19-12. Hope they can get 20 in regular season. Ohio State will be tough to beat even at home. If they get to 19 wins I'd think they would need/want to get at least 1 win in the conference tournament to feel good about it's chances.
I think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
They are actually underdogs to Ohio State @home by most metrics which confuses me. Hopefully the team sees that and gives them extra momentumI think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
I think the odds are that they max out at 19. But the odds of winning 3 in a row, 2 against ranked opponents, and 1 on the road, were slim to none, and they did it.
So.
Winning 5 more and finishing 20-11 isn’t all that ridiculous. We have 8 games left, 5 of them are at home.
Everywhere I look... shows we have 45%-51% chance of winning. I feel that changes come game time, but as of today Ohio State is favored
Right...But there's always that 6 game skid in the back of one's mind that keeps me from going all in on 5 of 8. Wouldn't be shocked either way.
Our margin of error is razor thin with this team. 50/50 on making the tournament and really basically every game going forward.
We need 4 wins, if we get two more quad 1's we may only need 3 wins. Six quad 1 wins is going to be really hard to keep out
Beating Maryland and Michigan at home would basically seal the deal IMO. Then win the two we're supposed to Minnesota and Iowa and we are in. If we win more, it is for higher seeding... 5-12 seeds are are similar resumes IMO
No, Ohio st is not favored, if you can’t find a betting line that says they are. I tried to look it up and I could not yet find a line on this game. ESPN winning percentages do not determine who is (or is going to be) favored. I don’t think Vegas has released a line on this game yet. When they do I suspect Nebraska will be a 4-7 point favorite.
I’m going to say Our guys will be favored by 2 or 3 points. But they’ll be favored.
That would be so cool to have UNO in the dance. They came close a few years ago. I live close to Baxter and usually go to games there. Haven’t had time this year.
New coach has them rolling in what, year 2? Imagine if Fidler had stayed what they would be. Got to like that coach, and Sutton and White have made a good 1-2 punch.
My take is a 3-4 favorite this Sunday vs. Ohio State. After we **** in our mess kit at home against Rutgers and USC the wise guys in the desert setting the line are not going to put the line laying too big a number. Plus we are not considered an offensive juggernaut to being laying a fair amount of points to a quality team.