2019 Football Prediction Thread.

[Wizard.sixpack]

ULL- Win


USM- Win


KSU- Win


Kentucky- Win


Auburn- Loss


Tennessee- Win


LSU- Loss


Texas A/M- Loss


Arkansas- Win


Bama- Loss


Abilene Christian- Win


Ole Miss- Win

 

[Tigr2ndbase]

I saw the way they hugged at practice. Some guys were just side hugging while others were hard full frontal hugs. Until everyone hugs like Deadpool we’ll be 7-5

 

[$altyDawg]

5 is the villagers are beginning to light torches and get pitch forks.

This is the truth because if you stumble to one of the non-cons and can't make up for it by winning 3 lousy conference games, you might as well put some stars on your helmets and start calling yourself Vandy. 7 wins should be the floor for this team.

 

[maroonmadman]

The bowl streak continues. Looking forward to Memphis in Dec...

 

[maroonmania]

Hopeful here at 8-4. If JoMo can't piece together an offense with the pieces with had, after 2 years, I'll have big concerns.

W's - ULL, Southern Miss, Kansas State, Abilene Christian, Ole Miss
Toss - Kentucky, Tennessee, LSU, Arkansas
L's - Auburn, Texas A&M, Alabama

Split the difference in the tossups and you're at 8-4, 4-4.

If Arkansas is in the tossup category then we've got major problems and will be nowhere near an 8-4 team. They were the worst team in the SEC last year and so unless they make monumental progress they should be in the W list. Now LSU, on the other hand, is probably more in the L category than tossup.

 

[was21]

Speaking of Arkansas, JoMo may be the next Bert Bilema and I liked Bert as well

 

[Nama Carl]

If Arkansas is in the tossup category then we've got major problems and will be nowhere near an 8-4 team. They were the worst team in the SEC last year and so unless they make monumental progress they should be in the W list. Now LSU, on the other hand, is probably more in the L category than tossup.

Arkansas is on the road, LSU is at home. If you do not understand this, then please do not attempt to correct me again.

You homers picked us to easily beat Kentucky on the road last year too, and many were mad when we didn't beat LSU. Arkansas was even more horrible in 2017 and we nearly got ourselves beat up there. Not to mention LSU is still coached by Orgeron.

ETA: I just corrected my numbers to 7-5, but I'm hopeful for 8-4. We won big and lost small last year and had some bad breaks IMO, so I think that evens out next year and we get one more game than anticipated.

 

[Nama Carl]

Pruitt is good, but team and talent-wise Tennessee is still not there yet. I suspect, Aubie will be also be a mess again next year, so we could possibly squeak out a win there depending on their momentum, specifically their lack of it.

LSU and TAMU are more talented and will likely get better as the year progresses. Hopefully we'll play well enough against them and have a scheme designed to win the game... if so, maybe the ball bounces our way and we somehow get lucky.

God in heavan, I would love to beat Alabama again before Saban retires. But this will not be the year.

So 8-4, possibly 9-3.

I would bet good money Auburn won't be a "mess". They always rise in years like this.

 

[Nama Carl]

Recruiting rankings don't always mean great rosters. Butch recruited well by the numbers, but his teams sucked. Pruitt's first couple of classes haven't been bad, but haven't been as good as Butch's were.

Regardless of their "talent," Tennessee is the worst team in the SEC east. Well, maybe it will come down between them and Missouri next year. Vandy owns them. We should not lose to Tennessee, whether it's played in Starkville, Knoxville, or on the moon.

You are stepping way out on a limb there. No one knows if Pruitt is a good coach, but saying we should beat them in Knoxville is nutty. Same goes for Morris and Arkansas. You are setting yourself up for 2018 style disappointment. It is year 2 for both of them, and I guarantee you both are counting MSU as a must-win.

 

[mount lefroy]

This is nonsense - Tennessee's roster sucks. They didn't have a single player invite to the combine this year. MSU is a better program at this point. Think about how big the NFL draftee gap is going to be in a few weeks.

NFL Draftees last 5 years:
MSU - 14
UT - 10

NFL Draftees last 10 Years:
MSU - 26
UT - 24

Wins last 5 years:
MSU - 42
UT - 34

Wins last 10 years:
MSU - 78
UT - 62

I'm not guaranteeing a W because it's tough to win on the road in this conference, but I see no reason to be scared of their roster.

What, you mean that....recruiting rankings are....gulp....inaccurate?

 

[Nama Carl]

What, you mean that....recruiting rankings are....gulp....inaccurate?

Within reason. Don't go believing that Genespage myth 100%.

 

[deadheaddawg]

4-8.

We start 0-4 and fire Cohen and Howland and go on to win the final 8

 

[Crazy Cotton]

10-2 losses to A&M and Auburn.

 

[maroonmania]

Arkansas is on the road, LSU is at home. If you do not understand this, then please do not attempt to correct me again.

You homers picked us to easily beat Kentucky on the road last year too, and many were mad when we didn't beat LSU. Arkansas was even more horrible in 2017 and we nearly got ourselves beat up there. Not to mention LSU is still coached by Orgeron.

ETA: I just corrected my numbers to 7-5, but I'm hopeful for 8-4. We won big and lost small last year and had some bad breaks IMO, so I think that evens out next year and we get one more game than anticipated.

LSU was 10-3 in 2018, Arkansas was 2-10 in 2018 and winless in the SEC with 1 of those 2 wins against mighty E. Illinois. LSU talent >>>> Arkansas talent. To try and put LSU and Arkansas in the same category just because of the game location doesn't compute. Location of a game is a factor but nowhere near the factor to make up for the difference in the quality of those 2 teams. We haven't lost in the State of Arkansas since 2011. I absolutely stand by my statement that if Arkansas is a toss up game for us this year then we are probably looking at a losing season. And KY was 7-5 even the year before last year. Nowhere close to the same level of bad that Arkansas was in 2018. MSU fans early last year just thought we would beat KY because they thought we were a better team than we turned out to be. Nobody thought our offense was going to suck in 2018 every time we played a defense with a pulse.

 

[Drebin]

You are stepping way out on a limb there. No one knows if Pruitt is a good coach, but saying we should beat them in Knoxville is nutty. Same goes for Morris and Arkansas. You are setting yourself up for 2018 style disappointment. It is year 2 for both of them, and I guarantee you both are counting MSU as a must-win.

You are stepping out on a limb more than I am.

If you're saying "it's year 2" as a motivator for those teams, you're ignoring the obvious fact that it's year 2 for Moorhead too.

We should not lose to either Tennessee or Arkansas, period. Those are must-wins for Moorhead.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

10-2 losses to Bama LSU
Lots of crow soaked in Dales and sprinkled with ground mole crickets being smoked on BGEs

Kylin Hill gets SEC Offensive POTY behind our OL.

 

[Drebin]

Arkansas is on the road, LSU is at home. If you do not understand this, then please do not attempt to correct me again.

You homers picked us to easily beat Kentucky on the road last year too, and many were mad when we didn't beat LSU. Arkansas was even more horrible in 2017 and we nearly got ourselves beat up there. Not to mention LSU is still coached by Orgeron.

ETA: I just corrected my numbers to 7-5, but I'm hopeful for 8-4. We won big and lost small last year and had some bad breaks IMO, so I think that evens out next year and we get one more game than anticipated.

Most did predict us to beat Kentucky on the road, because we should have beaten Kentucky on the road. Even in hindsight, we should have won that game. I know you're response: Kentucky was a good team, they went to the citrus bowl, blah, blah, blah. If we had beaten them like we should have, and they don't get all the breaks in the Florida game, they're back in the Belk/Liberty Bowl like they usually are.

We were double digit road favorites in that game. it's still an unforgivable loss.

 

[Nama Carl]

You are stepping out on a limb more than I am.

If you're saying "it's year 2" as a motivator for those teams, you're ignoring the obvious fact that it's year 2 for Moorhead too.

We should not lose to either Tennessee or Arkansas, period. Those are must-wins for Moorhead.

I hope you are right but the overwhelming feeling is that we are heading down and they are building from rock bottom, so nowhere to go but up, and those teams are dangerous.

It is very hard for me to predict what JoMo will do. He didn't tank like a Steve Kragthorpe, but he didn't impress like a Jimbo Fisher either. None of this means much long term but I have a hard time truly believing in him after last year, but I am still open. I am as hopeful as anyone but I can't get past some of the blunders.

 

[Nama Carl]

Most did predict us to beat Kentucky on the road, because we should have beaten Kentucky on the road. Even in hindsight, we should have won that game. I know you're response: Kentucky was a good team, they went to the citrus bowl, blah, blah, blah. If we had beaten them like we should have, and they don't get all the breaks in the Florida game, they're back in the Belk/Liberty Bowl like they usually are.

We were double digit road favorites in that game. it's still an unforgivable loss.

I agree with all. Which is why I have doubts about JoMo and what he will do in 2019.

 

[Nama Carl]

LSU was 10-3 in 2018, Arkansas was 2-10 in 2018 and winless in the SEC with 1 of those 2 wins against mighty E. Illinois. LSU talent >>>> Arkansas talent. To try and put LSU and Arkansas in the same category just because of the game location doesn't compute. Location of a game is a factor but nowhere near the factor to make up for the difference in the quality of those 2 teams. We haven't lost in the State of Arkansas since 2011. I absolutely stand by my statement that if Arkansas is a toss up game for us this year then we are probably looking at a losing season. And KY was 7-5 even the year before last year. Nowhere close to the same level of bad that Arkansas was in 2018. MSU fans early last year just thought we would beat KY because they thought we were a better team than we turned out to be. Nobody thought our offense was going to suck in 2018 every time we played a defense with a pulse.

We blew out Arkansas at home in 2012. Arkansas 2013 was terrible and nearly beat us in Little Rock. Arkansas 2014 was kinda bad and nearly beat us in Starkville when we were #1. No way to tell what we will do and saying we will wax them is nutty.

LSU certainly has better resting talent, but we also have them at home and Orgeron is still their coach.

 

[Hypnodawg]

6-6

I'm very low on Joe. If he does better than that, I'll be surprised, happy, and on the Joe train. Worse than that, I expect I'll not be the only one with a pitchfork.

LL - USM - KSU- Win
Kentucky - Auburn - Tennessee - LSU - Texas A/M - Loss
Arkansas - Win
Bama - Loss
Abilene Christian - Win
Ole Miss - Win

 

[Chris Mannix]

You had me until your Tennessee prediction.

Repeat after me: Tennessee is much farther off that people think, and Pruitt is a good defensive coordinator, not a good head coach.

If we lose that game, I will become very, very vocal anti-Moorhead. It will be between UT and Arkansas to determine the weakest SEC team on our schedule.

We disagree about Pruitt, I am sure you have your reasons and I have mine. That being said, I completely agree that those teams are will be weak. My main reason for putting that as a loss was it being on the road, if that game is in Vegas I would say win. Let’s be honest if we lose to Arkansas that late in the season, that means our record will most likely be **** by that point, and that loss could mean villagers with pitch forks outside of Mooreheads house.

 

[Drebin]

I agree with all. Which is why I have doubts about JoMo and what he will do in 2019.

I have doubts about Moorhead too. We should have won that game last year and we should beat Arkansas, UT, and KY this year. If not, it’s time to move on. There are no excuses.

 

[Chris Mannix]

10-2 losses to Bama LSU
Lots of crow soaked in Dales and sprinkled with ground mole crickets being smoked on BGEs

Kylin Hill gets SEC Offensive POTY behind our OL.

Brother, first let me say awesome pic man the dude abides. Second, I do hope you are right and it works out this way. I will tell you this if it does I will do something most of these football gurus on the board would not do, admit I was completely wrong. I will be the first to eat the crow and ask for seconds. I will be happy to fire up my Egg and enjoy some delicious crow, I just do not seeing it working out that way. Great thing about that is this is America and we all get to have different thoughts and opinions.

 

[Drebin]

We disagree about Pruitt, I am sure you have your reasons and I have mine. That being said, I completely agree that those teams are will be weak. My main reason for putting that as a loss was it being on the road, if that game is in Vegas I would say win. Let’s be honest if we lose to Arkansas that late in the season, that means our record will most likely be **** by that point, and that loss could mean villagers with pitch forks outside of Mooreheads house.

You have the right to believe what you want about Pruitt. The fact is, we will be a road favorite in that game, and probably a sizable one. If we lose it, we don’t have to wait until the Arkansas game to break out the pitchforks.

No excuses. Be good or be gone should be our slogan for next year.

 

[Nama Carl]

We disagree about Pruitt, I am sure you have your reasons and I have mine. That being said, I completely agree that those teams are will be weak. My main reason for putting that as a loss was it being on the road, if that game is in Vegas I would say win. Let’s be honest if we lose to Arkansas that late in the season, that means our record will most likely be **** by that point, and that loss could mean villagers with pitch forks outside of Mooreheads house.

Crazy to think that maybe we made the wrong hire between JoMo and Hayseed. I never would have thought that in December 2017. I know the prevailing wisdom was that we need offense, but in hindsight, we don't just need ANY offense, we need offense suited for MSU. Mullen's was perfect. I would almost have like a strong DC type hire (Pruitt, Diaz, Collins, etc.) if they were willing to continue the same offense we had under Mullen. We would have went 10-2 last year and probably recruited better than JoMo too, albeit we would need a QB not named Shrader.

I'm holding out hope that this is not the case, until Thanksgiving.

 

[maroonmania]

6-6

I'm very low on Joe. If he does better than that, I'll be surprised, happy, and on the Joe train. Worse than that, I expect I'll not be the only one with a pitchfork.

LL - USM - KSU- Win
Kentucky - Auburn - Tennessee - LSU - Texas A/M - Loss
Arkansas - Win
Bama - Loss
Abilene Christian - Win
Ole Miss - Win

I'm pretty much in line with you except I think we will win at least one of the KY and @TN games. That would put us at 7-5 which is my prediction. If our offense is halfway decent we should win both but I'm not convinced it will be. KY lost a lot off of last year's team plus we have them in Starkville and I don't think TN is there yet under Pruitt. We don't really have to be all that good to be 8-4 with this schedule but we will probably still blow one game we should win so I will stay with 7-5.

 

[Chris Mannix]

You have the right to believe what you want about Pruitt. The fact is, we will be a road favorite in that game, and probably a sizable one. If we lose it, we don’t have to wait until the Arkansas game to break out the pitchforks.

No excuses. Be good or be gone should be our slogan for next year.

Again, I am not saying your wrong. I am saying neither of us know how Tennessee’s season will shake out next year. I just feel that Pruitt is a better coach than most people think. This comes from seeing him at coaching clinics and listening to his presentations on x and o labs. I do not know him personally, and I am not claiming to. I will say the same thing I have said to many people if I am wrong about Pruitt then I will be happy to add that to my crow pile.

 

[Drebin]

I am saying neither of us know how Tennessee’s season will shake out next year.

I feel pretty good about it.

If they end up with a decent season, a big reason will be because we crapped the bed on their field, much like us crapping the bed at Kentucky last year was a big reason for their good season.

 

[patdog]

The one problem I have is, I don't see any reason to assume we won't crap the bed on Tennessee's field just like we did at Kentucky last year. I don't see us being any better offensively, and we will take a significant step back defensively. I'm afraid we may be in for a long season this fall.

 

[StarkVegas Steve]

ULL-W
USM-W
KSU-W
UK-W
Auburn-L
UT-L
LSU-L
A&M-L
Arky-W
Bama-L
ACU-W
OM-W

7-5 and I think the absolute floor would be 6-6. If we could steal one of those games in the middle I think we could have a good season. Anything less than 6-6 and I think it will be evident we hired the wrong guy and a change will be needed sooner rather than later.

 

[coach66]

I think 7-5 probably makes the most sense. Our DL has got to step up and we

need improvement in both the running and passing game. If we get these things then we could win 8 but that's probably the
ceiling and if we don't get these things we probably looking at 6-6.

 

[Chris Mannix]

I feel pretty good about it.

If they end up with a decent season, a big reason will be because we crapped the bed on their field, much like us crapping the bed at Kentucky last year was a big reason for their good season.

I was thinking the other day that this years Tennessee might be last years Kentucky.

 

[IBleedMaroonDawg]

Brother, first let me say awesome pic man the dude abides. Second, I do hope you are right and it works out this way. I will tell you this if it does I will do something most of these football gurus on the board would not do, admit I was completely wrong. I will be the first to eat the crow and ask for seconds. I will be happy to fire up my Egg and enjoy some delicious crow, I just do not seeing it working out that way. Great thing about that is this is America and we all get to have different thoughts and opinions.

I could be completely wrong as well. I just think we will be good on defense and our offense of line will help us control the ball. That’s the way Alabama has won a lot of games. Good defense ball control offense.

 

[kired]

Just wait until preseason prognosticators in a few months. Normally the board has a pretty good feel for how the season will go. If you're seeing a lot of 8, 9, and 10 win predictions --- we're probably going to actually have a good team. If there's a lot of 5, 6, and 7 win predictions... get ready for another 2013 / 2016 type season.

At this point it appears to be the latter...

 

[Drebin]

The one problem I have is, I don't see any reason to assume we won't crap the bed on Tennessee's field just like we did at Kentucky last year. I don't see us being any better offensively, and we will take a significant step back defensively. I'm afraid we may be in for a long season this fall.

To be clear, I'm not saying we will beat Tennessee next year. I'm saying we SHOULD beat them because we SHOULD be better than them, and if we don't, it's time to come up with plan B for the football program.

I think, honestly, that it's going to be a rough season too, for reasons we already know, and for reasons we will be learning more about soon.

 

[fishwater99]

7-5 should be a given.

If Joe doesn't win 7 then he needs to go.

 

[Ranchdawg]

First, let me say I am not a basketball guy or baseball guy, so I tend not to post much about those sports out of respect for people who do know what they are talking about when it comes to those sports. Although I do love watching baseball games. I have been involved with football, either playing or coaching it, since I was 8. I have been going to state games since 86, with either my father or my best friends, all state graduates in their own rights. Second, let me say I am not a Moorehead fan. I think that is well known, I have my reasons for thinking he was the wrong hire, but that is not what this thread about. When I looked at schedule I tried to take away the fact that I do not like Joe and tried to think as a football guy. So here we go:

ULL- Win
Reason: Because it’s ULL.

USM- Win
Reason: They did not hire Art Briles, joke, seriously because its USM.

KSU- Win
Reason: It is at home, but I am thinking closer than it should be.

Kentucky- Win
Reason: Revenge!!!! Plus it is a home game.

Auburn- Loss
Reason: We do not historically play well on the Plains.

Tennessee- Loss
Reason: It is at Tennessee. Pruit is not as far off as people think and he is one hell of a coach.

LSU- Loss
Reason: They are getting better. Plus we have beaten them like 4 times in the last 30 years so math is not on our side.

Texas A/M- Loss
Reason: Jimbo is building the Death Star in college station with unlimited money. Plus we embarrassed them pretty good in Vegas last year so I am thinking turn about is fair play.

Arkansas- Win
Reason: Pigs are a garbage fire right now, it will be closer than it should be for two reasons. First, it is at Arkansas. Second, Morris is really not a bad coach that place is going to take a few years to turn around.

Bama- Loss
Reason: No need to explain.

Abilene Christian- Win
Reason: Those who know football know why.

Ole Miss- Win
Reason: The game is in Vegas.

This has us going 7 and 5, which I think is pretty close to where we will end up. I have seen a few people calling for 6 and 6. IMO that could happen one of two ways.

First, Kentucky plays like they did last year and beats us at home, good news is Josh Allen is gone.

Second, KSU or Arkansas is better than they seem and beat us. KSU is least likely because it is in Vegas. Arky is a garbage fire, but I have seen us have some weird **** go down in the state of Arkansas when it comes to football.

So, what does the pack think our record will be next year? Bring on the hate!!!!!

Switch Kentucky and Tennessee results and I agree with 7-5. Alabama will blitz through the SEC again and go on to win the NC. They are 13/5 to win the NC so it is a good bet. All that talent they bought will pay off in this season.

 

[NCDawg.sixpack]

7-5 should be a given.

If Joe doesn't win 7 then he needs to go.

Moorhead will justify it, saying that's about the average for MS State football.

 

[Trojanbulldog19]

ULL- Win. Closer than last year though
USM- Win. they were pretty bad offensively last year. Won't be much better
KSU- Win. Don't expect much from them with new coach after how bad they were last year

This is where things will start testing the dawgs

Kentucky- Loss. yes, no allen, but they are still a well coached team on Defense. we will have new QB. Same receivers. young offensive line. Defense that is not A+ stacked. maybe solid B+. JoMo will have to prove he can out coach a better defensively coached team.

Auburn- Loss on the plains. auburn always has a way of reloading after a bad to mediocre year. they kicked tail in their bowl. we looked no better in ours than we did the kentucky game.

Tennessee- Loss on the road and expect Pruitt to out coach Moorhead with scheming Moorhead out of what he wants to do. probably be an ugly low scoring affair.

LSU- Loss Again, much better defense. Will scheme us out of the game.

Texas A/M- Loss. Agree. Jimbo is about to build something really scary there. Plus that stadium is really intimidating with that large crowd and all the military stuff going on before and during.

Arkansas- Win. As bad as they were last year. I don't expect them to be as bad. I'm not sure if Morriss can rebuild in two years, but I expect them to be drastically improved. It's on the road. i think it's a much closer game, but we still win.

Bama- Loss. ain't beating theme. Saban and staff 5 stars. not happening

Abilene Christian-Win nice to get an easy game between bama and ole miss

Ole Miss- Win. they are going to try to run the ball more which might make this a little more interesting. I just don't think they have the right tools in place to run that offense. Very similar to the way we are installing a new offense still without all the correct pieces. I think their offense is a little more easy to install. Just got to find athletes who can run the ball. I still think our defense is going to be a little much for them to handle. It's still a push game though for me.


So i'm at 6-6 probably at our best. if we were still running run spread option with keytaon and hill, i would predict around 8-9 wins again which would be great on a qb transition year. I just think the better coached defensive teams will scheme us out. We don't have the receivers, offensive line, or qb to throw us out of it.

bad games against Ole Miss and at Arkansas could put us at 4-8. We would have to play really well at Tennessee and really well against Kentucky at home for me to put us anywhere near 8-4. I just don't see it after last year's product.