Toggle sidebar

OT: 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season - Predictions Anyone?

DJ Spanky

DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
50,786
62,784
113
We're already into the current hurricane season and have no thread on it. So figured I'd get one started.

Last year we had a prediction thread started by Real and an ongoing thread by #'s.

OT: THE RETURN! Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season Prediction Contest!

OT: Melissa Making Landfall in Jamaica as the Most Powerful Hurricane Ever; 2025 Above Normal Atlantic Tropical Activity Forecasts from CSU/NOAA

Last year underperformed based on the experts predictions: 17/9/4 (Named Storms/Hurricanes/Major Hurricanes) - we ended up with 13/5/4 for the season with a lot of fish storms.

This year they've really dialed it back, CSU has 11/5/2 while the NOAA, which has wussied out from predictions, provided this range: 8-14/3-6/1-3.

CSU: Forecast for 2026 Hurricane Activity

NOAA: NOAA predicts below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season

CSU 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast.jpg

2026-Atlantic-Hurricane-Outlook-PIE-CHART-ENGLISH.png

2026-Atlantic-Hurricane-Names-ENGLISH_0.png

So, what's everyone's predictions for this year?
 
A

Anon1754923206

Senior
Aug 11, 2025
865
671
93
As a meteorologist this always seems like a pointless, media eye candy exercise. all that makes sense is “higher than” “lower than” or
"close to the average” season designation. An actual number is silly. Based on a rapidly changing ENSO pattern, I’ll go with lower than…in the Atlantic.
 
  • Like
Reactions: -RUFAN4LIFE-
Knight Shift

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
91,137
89,304
113
Sorry if this does not fit, but this is wild, and right around the corner from Rutgers-happened Monday on Hamilton Avenue.

 
A

AreYouNUTS

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
125,466
60,104
113
I think it sucks that storms get named before the season ever begins and those names get wasted on things that never turn tropical let alone hurricane force.
 
DJ Spanky

DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
50,786
62,784
113
So Tropical Storm Bertha has formed in the Gulf of America, appears it will be a short term storm as it heads west along the Gulf Coast. This is the 2nd storm of the season so far.

 
A

Anon1754923206

Senior
Aug 11, 2025
865
671
93
friend in Galveston said they had a few showers from ol Bertha. I had a 10 min shower…it just made things more humid 🥵
 
DJ Spanky

DJ Spanky

Heisman
Jul 25, 2001
50,786
62,784
113
We're halfway through August, and so far we've had 3 named storms none of which reached hurricane status. The 3rd one was a fish storm that barely stayed around for a cup of coffee. On Aug. 6th the NOAA reduced their estimate for the season; earlier in July Colorado State University reduced their estimate from 11/5/2 to 9/4/1.
 
A

Anon1754923206

Senior
Aug 11, 2025
865
671
93
The enso correlation to PAC and ATL tropical systems is real.

So far;

West PAC: 26 depressions or stronger
Central/eastern PAC: 11 depressions or stronget

the whole of the Atlantic: 2 and the first one was dubious.
 
Postman_1

Postman_1

Heisman
Mar 12, 2017
8,531
13,600
113
This storm is not a hurricane but I am seeing lots of flooding in shore towns in NJ.

Supposedly this is Lobster House in Cape May NJ. I did see someone comment it was fake but saw another post of flooding near C-View in Cape May. I lost power earlier but only for about 5 minutes

 
  • Like
Reactions: newell138
R

RUGuitarMan1

All-Conference
Apr 5, 2021
2,643
4,183
73
A pretty typical nor’easter that you usually see develop a little later in the fall, usually late Oct and Nov.
 
Knight Shift

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
91,137
89,304
113
Postman_1 said:
This storm is not a hurricane but I am seeing lots of flooding in shore towns in NJ.

Supposedly this is Lobster House in Cape May NJ. I did see someone comment it was fake but saw another post of flooding near C-View in Cape May. I lost power earlier but only for about 5 minutes

Click to expand...

Yeah, this was bad. This is Holgate



Keyport:


Sea Bright-my old crew!!


Bradley Beach:


Ship Bottom:


 
  • Wow
Reactions: newell138 and Postman_1
R

RUGuitarMan1

All-Conference
Apr 5, 2021
2,643
4,183
73
Knight Shift said:
Yeah, this was bad. This is Holgate



Keyport:


Sea Bright-my old crew!!


Bradley Beach:


Ship Bottom:


Click to expand...

This was very bad at the coast. My earlier comments were based on my observation more inland in northeast NJ. The slow movement of this system compounded the flooding with multiple high tides and a strong northeast wind for several days. We have friends and have stayed in Holgate and Bradley Beach and it looks like the beach is almost gone .
 
  • Like
Reactions: newell138 and Knight Shift
Knight Shift

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
91,137
89,304
113
RUGuitarMan1 said:
This was very bad at the coast. My earlier comments were based on my observation more inland in northeast NJ. The slow movement of this system compounded the flooding with multiple high tides and a strong northeast wind for several days. We have friends and have stayed in Holgate and Bradley Beach and it looks like the beach is almost gone .
Click to expand...
It looks like some of Bergen County got hit hard. Parts of NJ in western parts did not have it so bad
 
D

dconifer0

All-Conference
Oct 4, 2004
4,432
3,419
113
Knight Shift said:
You have a place in AC or Brigantine?
How was it there?
Click to expand...
Atlantic City. My street is on high ground (even for Sandy) and I didn't have any issues. But not far away it was the worst I've seen here. Water from the bay came all the way up to Ventnor Avenue (two blocks) in several nearby places. Further uptown the beach was pretty much destroyed...
 
Last edited:
  • Sad
Reactions: Knight Shift
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
32,599
20,620
113
dconifer0 said:
Atlantic City. My street is on high ground (even for Sandy) and I didn't have any issues. But not far away it was the worst I've seen there. Water from the bay came all the way up to Ventnor Avenue (two blocks) in several nearby places. Further uptown the beach was pretty much destroyed...
Click to expand...
The bay side is the most dangerous part of barrier islands.
 
  • Like
Reactions: newell138 and dconifer0
RUBigFrank

RUBigFrank

All-Conference
Jun 9, 2003
2,875
1,791
113
Ranking the storms
1. Sandy
2. and 3. Two Fall 92 nor'easters (movie - the Perfect Storm)
4. Sept 2026 nor'easter
 
newell138

newell138

Heisman
Aug 1, 2001
38,341
50,570
112
RUGuitarMan1 said:
This was very bad at the coast. My earlier comments were based on my observation more inland in northeast NJ. The slow movement of this system compounded the flooding with multiple high tides and a strong northeast wind for several days. We have friends and have stayed in Holgate and Bradley Beach and it looks like the beach is almost gone .
Click to expand...
Yea it’s usually 1 tide cycle and done. This started Thursday night and stayed around till Sunday morning. Multiple high tides, wind, full moon,
EddieWilsonLives said:
Holgate/LBI, pretty wild

Click to expand...
Is that real?? The people look fake
 
  • Like
Reactions: T2Kplus20
You must log in or register to reply here.
The Knight Report

Latest

  1. 01 The Knight Report Rutgers Football PFF Grades + Snap Counts versus Indiana
  2. 02 The Knight Report Join The Knight Report TODAY and get it for 60% off!
  3. 03 The Knight Report Football Hope or fool's gold? Curt Cignetti explains how Rutgers can replicate national champs
  4. 04 On3 Football Hot seat intel: Where things stand at South Carolina, TCU & more
  5. 05 The Knight Report Rutgers Football Postgame Show: Indiana Hoosiers Edition - TKR Pod
Top Bottom