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FPI update after week 3

QuaoarsKing

QuaoarsKing

All-Conference
Mar 11, 2008
6,292
3,050
113
www.espn.com

2026 SEC College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2026 SEC conference College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance for the season.
www.espn.com www.espn.com

Now ranked #22 with 91.3% chance to get to 6-6 and 20% to make the CFP

Game-by-game probabilities:
67.3% Missouri
31.0% Alabama
29.2% @ LSU
49.3% Oklahoma (I think this is too low)
11.6% @ Texas
75.1% Vanderbilt
60.0% Auburn (also probably a little low)
98.2% Tennessee Tech
33.8% @ Ole Miss

#3 offense in the FBS and #32 defense
 
57stratdawg

57stratdawg

Heisman
Dec 1, 2004
148,711
24,583
113
I think we’re better than that. We’re #10 in overall efficiency BTW.

We can win at LSU. Missouri has no chance next weekend.

We are so good on offense.
 
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D

Dawgzilla2

All-Conference
Oct 9, 2022
2,720
3,082
113
After everything I saw yesterday, this team is capable of winning every game on the schedule. I don't think they will win in Austin or BR, but they could. KT will be running for his life in some of these games, but that's not necessarily a bad thing.
 
P

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
60,542
31,800
113
Dawgzilla2 said:
After everything I saw yesterday, this team is capable of winning every game on the schedule. I don't think they will win in Austin or BR, but they could. KT will be running for his life in some of these games, but that's not necessarily a bad thing.
Click to expand...
If we play like we did for 2-1/2 quarters yeah. But if we play like the 1st quarter & last 8 minutes, we may not win another game. Still a lot we need to improve on.
 
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M

msstatelp1

All-Conference
Aug 21, 2012
2,106
1,301
113
patdog said:
If we play like we did for 2-1/2 quarters yeah. But if we play like the 1st quarter & last 8 minutes, we may not win another game. Still a lot we need to improve on.
Click to expand...
I’m hoping the last 8 was a deliberate choice to keep possession as long as possible.
 
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D

DT4248

Senior
Apr 22, 2025
693
830
93
patdog said:
Going down 16 on the road is not a good thing.
Click to expand...
Going down by 16 on the road and coming away with a win is a good confidence building thing. Teams grow and evolve and this gave us a lot more teachable moments than last week's minnesota shellacking.

You learn a line from a win and a book from a loss usually. The optimistic coach should look at this as a win with an opportunity to see all the ways we need to improve live.
 
R

Rick Danko

Sophomore
Sep 27, 2023
143
177
43
Sam Leavitt (sp?) does not scare me one bit even on the road. We can definitely win that game. However, knowing our luck that will be when they decide to go to their backup QB and he will go Ham on us.
 
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Perd Hapley

Perd Hapley

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
6,576
7,921
113
QuaoarsKing said:
www.espn.com

2026 SEC College Football Power Index - ESPN

View the 2026 SEC conference College Football power index on ESPN. The FPI is the best predictor of a team's performance for the season.
www.espn.com www.espn.com

Now ranked #22 with 91.3% chance to get to 6-6 and 20% to make the CFP

Game-by-game probabilities:
67.3% Missouri
31.0% Alabama
29.2% @ LSU
49.3% Oklahoma (I think this is too low)
11.6% @ Texas
75.1% Vanderbilt
60.0% Auburn (also probably a little low)
98.2% Tennessee Tech
33.8% @ Ole Miss

#3 offense in the FBS and #32 defense
Click to expand...
Where does the “20% chance to make the CFP” come from? I don’t see that listed anywhere on the link.
 
skip dog

skip dog

All-Conference
Nov 15, 2005
1,431
1,191
93
only thing I know to say, is I think we are capable, but we will remain in the "iffy" column in many places until we put a FULL game together against a legit opponent, and excel for 4 qt's in all aspects of the game (consistency)........and now that i type that, yea, I guess that would make us #1 in the country.....but we have question marks I guess, and we have to prove that we can resolve our questions
 
H

Howiefeltersnstch

All-Conference
Dec 28, 2019
2,889
3,537
98
Struggling thru adversity builds character. Especially if you still get the dub. We will face much more adversity this year.
 
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