EARLY 2026-27 lineup projections/discussions

Goggles Paisano

All-Conference
Feb 6, 2018
822
2,172
93
Ono is not going 141.
125 Luke
133 Ono
141 Marcus
149 SVN
157 Duke
165 Mitchell
174 James
184 Rocco
197 Barr
285 Cole

And DT ain't closing any gaps yet.
Looks like a recipe to potentially lose both Desmond and Henkel. I agree the lineup you list is better, but not sure it's the best strategy unless setting another record is the primary goal.
 

zzs006

All-American
Mar 27, 2017
990
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Looks like a recipe to potentially lose both Desmond and Henkel. I agree the lineup you list is better, but not sure it's the best strategy unless setting another record is the primary goal.
With the new rules guys are probably going to leave. With no redshirts the lineup juggle gets much more difficult. You have to put your best team out every year. The best team has to have PJ and Marcus on it even if it costs some guys in the long term
 

Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
968
2,251
93
With the new rules guys are probably going to leave. With no redshirts the lineup juggle gets much more difficult. You have to put your best team out every year. The best team has to have PJ and Marcus on it even if it costs some guys in the long term
This.
 

Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
968
2,251
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Looks like a recipe to potentially lose both Desmond and Henkel. I agree the lineup you list is better, but not sure it's the best strategy unless setting another record is the primary goal.
There aren't any redshirts available anymore. If a kid wants to wrestle and he wins in the room then I think he wrestles. Now, if Cael asks a kid to give up a year...but I am having a hard time seeing that happening. I don't think Cael is going to take a year away from a kid if that kid is the best wrestler at the weight. Guess who has the same problem? DT, to a slightly lesser extent, but one of the Raineys is losing a year next year, maybe both of them if Ramirez wins the wrestle off.
 

RockyChi

Junior
Feb 4, 2026
129
224
43
Yes, under 5 for 5 every team will obviously be putting out their best because it’s only fair to the best wrestlers in the room.

Even if the old system stayed the same the issue with Henckel was that even if Duke and James redshirted that going forward he was going to beat at least one of Duke, James, and Welsh the following year to keep his spot. And then long term probably going to have to beat at least one of James and Duke

maybe he can, maybe he can’t, but there was always a notion to work in Henckel but even if that made sense in short term there was denying the competition long term
 

Wrestleknownothing

All-Conference
Oct 30, 2021
1,835
4,873
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Under the new plan, his eligibility would have started 9 months ago when his HS senior year was just getting started?

Sounds like he might only get 4 years.

Just spitballing here, but did Jax see this coming and leave high school early to get his 5 years? (Birthdate 10/13/2006)
I do not think so. I think Bassett turned 19 (8/25) after the academic year began (8/20) so his five year clock starts with the 26-27 season.
 

Acacia

Senior
Oct 30, 2021
224
488
63
I don't think 5 for 5 vs 4 plus a redshirt is much different in reality. Only really elite wrestlers (yes PSU has a ton) are ready to be champions day 1. Unfortunately injuries happen. 5 for 5 definitely gives more flexibility to manage. Managing workloads without burning redshirts is better. Penn State wrestlers are targeting world and Olympic goals not just NCAA championships. With revenue share and NIL money is certainly better and college costs are minimized. Its EXPECTATIONS that need to be managed.
 

vhsalum

All-Conference
Nov 14, 2002
1,257
2,892
113
With the new rules guys are probably going to leave. With no redshirts the lineup juggle gets much more difficult. You have to put your best team out every year. The best team has to have PJ and Marcus on it even if it costs some guys in the long term
I honestly don't think so. At least not for you guys, and not in the mass quantities you're thinking.

Cael does a great job of recruiting guys that want to be World Champions. Regardless of when/if you make the starting lineup. Look no further than Sealey. Can't believe he's still there.
 
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Headlock

All-Conference
Dec 28, 2023
691
1,462
93
This change is a bigger one for wrestling than for other NCAA sports and I certainly wish it would have provided a phase-in or a longer ramp for full compliance. Student-athletes who made decisions based upon red shirt, grey shirt, olympic prep, etc. not to mention injuries might have made different destination decisions. I certainly agree that the "career" wrestler scenario, especially in the NIL era, had timed out. As is too often the case, legislative solutions create the "new" problem with the fix.
 

GregPickel

Heisman
Staff member
Jul 25, 2021
45,550
99,207
113
This change is a bigger one for wrestling than for other NCAA sports and I certainly wish it would have provided a phase-in or a longer ramp for full compliance. Student-athletes who made decisions based upon red shirt, grey shirt, olympic prep, etc. not to mention injuries might have made different destination decisions. I certainly agree that the "career" wrestler scenario, especially in the NIL era, had timed out. As is too often the case, legislative solutions create the "new" problem with the fix.
Unfortunately, football and basketball drive the train, and everyone else just has to figure it out, but none of your points are incorrect.
 

District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,187
2,664
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Won't stop what is happening.

Plus, when it does eventually head to court, not much of a legal leg to stand on. NCAA has the right to determine eligibility. Where they got in trouble was their convoluted shirting/medshirting non rules and contradictory rules.
And age limits
 
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District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,187
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So this year we could potentially have two full teams competing at two separate tournaments and not lose elegibility right?
 
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TwoJoints

Senior
Feb 2, 2025
116
438
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I honestly don't think so. At least not for you guys, and not in the mass quantities you're thinking.

Cael does a great job of recruiting guys that want to be World Champions. Regardless of when/if you make the starting lineup. Look no further than Sealey. Can't believe he's still there.
I think this is correct. I half jokingly told a friend that I believed that the NLWC was the really draw to State College and not necessarily the college team. When I thought about it further, perhaps its not far from the truth.
 

zzs006

All-American
Mar 27, 2017
990
5,559
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I honestly don't think so. At least not for you guys, and not in the mass quantities you're thinking.

Cael does a great job of recruiting guys that want to be World Champions. Regardless of when/if you make the starting lineup. Look no further than Sealey. Can't believe he's still there.
I think you are right in regards to PSU not losing many guys but I think it’s inevitable that a couple do leave. I know most are super high on Desmond but I see him as a fringe AA guy who probably won’t be making world teams. I have a very hard time seeing him make the lineup with these new rules. I could see someone like him moving on. I hope not but I guess we will see
 

vhsalum

All-Conference
Nov 14, 2002
1,257
2,892
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I think this is correct. I half jokingly told a friend that I believed that the NLWC was the really draw to State College and not necessarily the college team. When I thought about it further, perhaps its not far from the truth.
Not far from the truth.

Plus you guys have plenty of scholarships, guys are getting paid, and it's a great environment to be in.
 

McScoreley

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2021
399
2,027
93
It was on the old rivals but I'll never forget this post. Some Iowa fan said they met Beau Bartlett's dad at NCAAs or Big Tens and this was when he was struggling up a weight at 149. He said something to the tune of how Cael went out of his way to learn Beau's long-term goals after wrestling and introduced Beau to several people in his network who are high up in those fields. He proceeded to say something to the tune of even if Beau never starts for PSU again, he's not leaving (side note, really sad how that relationship ended but we don't need to dive in anymore)

It sounds crazy but you guys do see the coaches' and RTC salaries in wrestling. We just saw Jon Reader and Bobby Telford, both who I imagine cleared 6 figures leave wrestling to take regular white collar jobs, probably because it's a better means of supporting their family. There aren't many opportunities to really make a very good living in this career, even if it is your passion. You see NCAA champs such as Ryan Deakin and Shane Griffith make sure they are getting an elite degree before leaving the sport for finance (Deakin in Corporate Finance and Griffith in Investment Banking currently) As many here know, networking and connections can be just as valuable as an elite degree or even more so in white collar jobs. I imagine Cael can make a lot happen with a simple phone call.

So going back to it all, maybe these kids really are sold on a long-term view? That NCAA glory is temporary and insignificant in the grand scheme of things. Maybe they're really entrenched in the team/PSU community as a whole and it as more invaluable than starting over elsewhere in the name of being a NCAA starter.
 

Nitlion1986

All-American
Apr 13, 2024
1,726
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It was on the old rivals but I'll never forget this post. Some Iowa fan said they met Beau Bartlett's dad at NCAAs or Big Tens and this was when he was struggling up a weight at 149. He said something to the tune of how Cael went out of his way to learn Beau's long-term goals after wrestling and introduced Beau to several people in his network who are high up in those fields. He proceeded to say something to the tune of even if Beau never starts for PSU again, he's not leaving (side note, really sad how that relationship ended but we don't need to dive in anymore)

It sounds crazy but you guys do see the coaches' and RTC salaries in wrestling. We just saw Jon Reader and Bobby Telford, both who I imagine cleared 6 figures leave wrestling to take regular white collar jobs, probably because it's a better means of supporting their family. There aren't many opportunities to really make a very good living in this career, even if it is your passion. You see NCAA champs such as Ryan Deakin and Shane Griffith make sure they are getting an elite degree before leaving the sport for finance (Deakin in Corporate Finance and Griffith in Investment Banking currently) As many here know, networking and connections can be just as valuable as an elite degree or even more so in white collar jobs. I imagine Cael can make a lot happen with a simple phone call.

So going back to it all, maybe these kids really are sold on a long-term view? That NCAA glory is temporary and insignificant in the grand scheme of things. Maybe they're really entrenched in the team/PSU community as a whole and it as more invaluable than starting over elsewhere in the name of being a NCAA starter.
Damn good post!
 
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OldMatCoach

Senior
Jan 27, 2026
137
607
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I wonder how they will deal with the religious exemption of say a Morman mission? I would think taking two years of eligibility away or even the age restriction would trigger a lawsuit and with a conservative Supreme Court, I think the wrestler would win.
 

Misalorales

All-Conference
Jun 3, 2025
1,319
4,019
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I wonder how they will deal with the religious exemption of say a Morman mission? I would think taking two years of eligibility away or even the age restriction would trigger a lawsuit and with a conservative Supreme Court, I think the wrestler would win.
That's been accounted for already from all I've read.
 

Dogwelder

All-Conference
Aug 1, 2013
863
2,927
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I wonder how they will deal with the religious exemption of say a Morman mission? I would think taking two years of eligibility away or even the age restriction would trigger a lawsuit and with a conservative Supreme Court, I think the wrestler would win.
Are you saying it’s time to start a new religion? 🤔
 
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WexfordWarrior

All-Conference
Jun 3, 2025
414
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I'm in.
 

Goggles Paisano

All-Conference
Feb 6, 2018
822
2,172
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Personally I think the better solution would have been 5 years to wrestle 4 inclusive of redshirt, injury, oly shirts....

Simple and straight forward, the thought of 5 years of competition being the new normal seems too much and ultimately will wreak havoc many of all but the most talented inbound freshmen. Do we really want to see 5 years of a number of hammers on all teams?

I was on record saying Carter should just move on after 4 despite the anomaly. I am glad he got his 5th but it was just an asterisk in the stats. Ultimately we may now see less depth on the best teams like OSU and PSU, and then when an injury hits it will exact more pain.

Football is self correcting with the best leaving after 2-3 years for the draft. We will not see many if any elite AA 5th year guys unless they clearly are not NFL caliber. Other sports, self correcting, not so much.
 

TwoJoints

Senior
Feb 2, 2025
116
438
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Personally I think the better solution would have been 5 years to wrestle 4 inclusive of redshirt, injury, oly shirts....

Simple and straight forward, the thought of 5 years of competition being the new normal seems too much and ultimately will wreak havoc many of all but the most talented inbound freshmen. Do we really want to see 5 years of a number of hammers on all teams?

I was on record saying Carter should just move on after 4 despite the anomaly. I am glad he got his 5th but it was just an asterisk in the stats. Ultimately we may now see less depth on the best teams like OSU and PSU, and then when an injury hits it will exact more pain.

Football is self correcting with the best leaving after 2-3 years for the draft. We will not see many if any elite AA 5th year guys unless they clearly are not NFL caliber. Other sports, self correcting, not so much.
It’s been more than a few years since I was a student at college but does it now take more than 4 years to complete an undergraduate degree? I would think - but do not know - that student/athletes are usually on campus year round. It would seem to me that taking a class or two during the summer while continuing training for an upcoming season would accelerate the athlete’s path to a degree, alleviating the need to remain in school beyond 4 years. I loved my time on campus in State College but there is a time to move on.
 
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El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,527
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It’s been more than a few years since I was a student at college but does it now take more than 4 years to complete an undergraduate degree? I would think - but do not know - that student/athletes are usually on campus year round. It would seem to me that taking a class or two during the summer while continuing training for an upcoming season would accelerate the athlete’s path to a degree, alleviating the need to remain in school beyond 4 years. I loved my time on campus in State College but there is a time to move on.
If you had an opportunity to attend grad school for free, and getting a NIL on top of that, would you take it?

Shane Griffith got master's degrees at both Stanford and Michigan that way (albeit before NIL).
 

HOA242n!

Senior
Aug 18, 2025
259
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It’s been more than a few years since I was a student at college but does it now take more than 4 years to complete an undergraduate degree? I would think - but do not know - that student/athletes are usually on campus year round. It would seem to me that taking a class or two during the summer while continuing training for an upcoming season would accelerate the athlete’s path to a degree, alleviating the need to remain in school beyond 4 years. I loved my time on campus in State College but there is a time to move on.
The average time to complete a "4-year degree" nationally for the general student body is about 5yrs. With the breadth of options today to get college credit while in high school, remotely, etc., anybody with a modicum of drive should complete it in less than 4yrs, but we can guess how focused most athletes are on academics.
 
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TwoJoints

Senior
Feb 2, 2025
116
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If you had an opportunity to attend grad school for free, and getting a NIL on top of that, would you take it?

Shane Griffith got master's degrees at both Stanford and Michigan that way (albeit before NIL).
Certainly I would, but I’m probably not typical (I went directly from college after 4 years to law school). A graduate degree isn’t necessarily right for or needed by many college athletes, even if the degree costs them nothing. Shane’s can be pointed to as an example of where 5 in 5 might be great (especially if your school lets you retain eligibility for all 5 years) but I don’t think he’s typical of the pool of D1 athletes.
 

zzs006

All-American
Mar 27, 2017
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Is there any chance Jayden James can make 157 next year? I know he wasn’t cutting weight this hs season. It would be tough but if Kasak can’t go maybe James is the answer for 1 season. He’s young and growing so I doubt it but for 1 season it might make sense and then mesenbrink is gone and 165 will open up
 
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McScoreley

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2021
399
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Is there any chance Jayden James can make 157 next year? I know he wasn’t cutting weight this hs season. It would be tough but if Kasak can’t go maybe James is the answer for 1 season. He’s young and growing so I doubt it but for 1 season it might make sense and then mesenbrink is gone and 165 will open up
I'm told he wants to wrestle and would target 157 this year.

This is very similar to a PJ case, if you want a 157 year out of him, wrestle him now. He is going to get big. He's super young for his grade and if you want a comparison, his older brother is 5'10'' 212 on Notre Dame's website.
 
Oct 31, 2021
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Is there any chance Jayden James can make 157 next year? I know he wasn’t cutting weight this hs season. It would be tough but if Kasak can’t go maybe James is the answer for 1 season. He’s young and growing so I doubt it but for 1 season it might make sense and then mesenbrink is gone and 165 will open up
James is registered for 74kg at the WTT. If 157 was being considered he'd probably be 70kg.

Still, it could happen. I'm not ready to write of Kasak yet. Maybe it was just a broken nose.
 

Fatwoodchuck

Senior
Oct 19, 2023
479
736
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Granted 174 is Henckle's ideal weight but everyone seen Levi vs Henckle, room familiarity blah blah. Who do Yunz think would win Levi or Rocco?

More of an "ask yourself" question but id love to hear your answer.

I ain't counting Henckle out.
 
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BaccaFarmer

Senior
Aug 20, 2018
211
583
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I was on record saying Carter should just move on after 4 despite the anomaly. I am glad he got his 5th but it was just an asterisk in the stats.
Carter’s 5th generated less celebration than I anticipated. Now 2 years on … we don’t hear about his 5th much. I think as time goes by, fans and commentators will look back, reflect, and the legend will grow; especially if someone else goes for a 5th. In time he will sit on Mt. Rushmore.