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What do we have to do to host?

dawgstudent

dawgstudent

Heisman
Apr 15, 2003
39,557
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We are currently 30-10 (10-8).

Series remaining - LSU, @ Texas (#4), Auburn (#11), @ A&M (#7)

I think if we finish 8-4 or better - we have a good shot a national seed. 7-5 or 6-6 - decent shot at hosting a regional.

Governor's Cup is now a big game. 1 final OOC game vs Nicholls St.

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2026 Baseball Schedule - Mississippi State

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DoggieDaddy13

All-Conference
Dec 23, 2017
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We will have to sweep LSU and win 2 of the remaining series. And we cannot get swept. - Then we host a regional.

Teams would have to fall hard for us to make it into the top 8.

Would be great to host, but I'm thinking #2 - but somewhere we can still win it.
 
615dawg

615dawg

All-Conference
Jun 4, 2007
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I think we probably end up hosting at 6-6. Like you said, 8-4 or better will get us in position for a national seed, especially if we can win the Governor's Cup.

Best shot at 8-4 seems to be sweep LSU, take 2 from Auburn and then steal one of the Texas series on the road while not getting swept in the other.

Here's what I don't like. Virginia and Georgia are sure hosts that are behind us in the RPI.
 
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8

8dog

All-American
Feb 23, 2008
14,201
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Win the Gov Cup. But if we finish 16-14 that puts the world’s worst event into play- the SEC Tournament. 17-13 for a lock. And Xenomorphs bitching is proving correct. These OOC games are killing us.
 
GhostOfJackie

GhostOfJackie

Senior
Apr 20, 2009
3,781
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Here's how I see it playing out, assuming we handle weekday bidness.

Finish:
14-16 SEC (4-8 in remaining games) - Out of hosting picture, but a solid 2 seed
15-15 SEC (5-7 in remaining games) - maybe still a host, hosting bubble
16-14 SEC (6-6 in remaining games) - hosting
17-13 SEC (7-5 in remaining games) - solid host, national seed bubble with Gov Cup win
18-14 SEC (8-4 in remaining games) - national seed
19-13 SEC (9-3 in remaining games - national seed (not happening but would be fun)

It pretty much plays out how it always does with SEC wins. Usually, it goes like this with final conference records.
14 wins - gets you in a regional
16 wins - usually means a host
18 wins - national seed (1-8)
20-22 wins - usually wins the conference, top 3 national seed

All this is BEFORE Hoover is factored in, which can change things.
 
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MStateDawg

MStateDawg

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Aug 3, 2021
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Winning 7 of our last 12 SEC games (17-13 overall) will get us a Regional host (top 16 seed).

To get a top 8 seed, we'd need to win 9 of those 12 games (win all 4 series and sweep one of them). I don't think we have that in us.
 
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Willow Grove Dawg

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2016
7,461
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16-14 - hosting will depend how many teams are above us and tied with us in the Conference standings. Our OOC schedule/RPI will not stack up well against several teams that could be in a tie at 16-14 specifically Alabama, Auburn, Florida, & possibly Ole Miss.
17-13 - definite host, strong case for a national seed
18-12 should get a national seed.
We really need to avoid an OOC loss other than possibly Ole Miss & 4-0 against them would be a bonus if we are tied in the SEC.
 
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MSUDC11-2.0

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
9,161
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It’s hard to say for sure because we don’t operate in a vacuum. Example, we had a really good week, but so did a bunch of other teams on the host bubble, so I’m not sure we did much more than hold our ground on the host bubble with this weekend’s sweep.

That said, my gut instinct is 7 more SEC wins probably gets us a host spot for sure. And that could mean going 17-13 or going 16-14 plus the Governor’s Cup. You’re very much on the bubble or worse with anything less than that. And I think 18-12 is probably the record for a realistic chance at a Top 8 seed.

I also think it would be ignorant of recent history if we didn’t mention that a deep run in Hoover could matter as well. See Ole Miss and Vandy last year. Not sure OM is hosting without their run in Hoover, not sure Vandy is number one overall without them winning the SECT.
 
Leeshouldveflanked

Leeshouldveflanked

All-American
Nov 12, 2016
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In recent history, the most SEC teams to host are 8 teams. Right now we are on the outside looking in from an RPI standpoint. LSU (RPI 65) won’t help our RPI, but not sweeping them will hurt.
I think this could be a year in which only 7 SEC teams host, so 17-13 puts us as a host if we don’t lose a game to LSU.
The NCAA could care less about how many we can pack into The Dude.
 
M

MSUDC11-2.0

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
9,161
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615dawg said:
I think we probably end up hosting at 6-6. Like you said, 8-4 or better will get us in position for a national seed, especially if we can win the Governor's Cup.

Best shot at 8-4 seems to be sweep LSU, take 2 from Auburn and then steal one of the Texas series on the road while not getting swept in the other.

Here's what I don't like. Virginia and Georgia are sure hosts that are behind us in the RPI.
Click to expand...
I think that’s a wash though at the moment given that Missouri State and USC (who is 0-8 in Q1 games) are ahead of us in RPI but likely behind us in the host pecking order. Maybe USM as well, unsure on that one.

I think we are likely somewhere in the 17-20 range in the pecking order at the moment. The thing that would concern me a bit is that of the SEC teams, we are probably 8th or 9th in line at the moment, depending on where you think we stack up vs Oklahoma (also 10-8, one spot ahead of us in the RPI). I don’t think the SEC is getting 9 host spots this year, and they may not get 8. Would be nice if teams ahead of us fell off a bit, or if we leapfrogged a few of them with a strong finish.
 
D

Dawghouse

All-Conference
Sep 14, 2011
1,152
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MStateDawg said:
Winning 7 of our last 12 SEC games (17-13 overall) will get us a Regional host (top 16 seed).

To get a top 8 seed, we'd need to win 9 of those 12 games (win all 4 series and sweep one of them). I don't think we have that in us.
Click to expand...
Agreed. I think national seed died with the UT sweep. 16-14 might get us a host, especially if we take gov cup.
 
IBleedMaroonDawg

IBleedMaroonDawg

All-American
Nov 12, 2007
25,593
9,809
113
dawgstudent said:
We are currently 30-10 (10-8).

Series remaining - LSU, @ Texas (#4), Auburn (#11), @ A&M (#7)

I think if we finish 8-4 or better - we have a good shot a national seed. 7-5 or 6-6 - decent shot at hosting a regional.

Governor's Cup is now a big game. 1 final OOC game vs Nicholls St.

hailstate.com

2026 Baseball Schedule - Mississippi State

The official 2026 Baseball schedule for the Mississippi State Bulldogs
hailstate.com hailstate.com
Click to expand...
Keep winning.
 
C

Called3rdstrikedawg

All-Conference
May 7, 2016
1,536
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I don’t think we have but 3 Non-Cons left. I think we only had 55 games scheduled this year, unless there is a midweek game just not listed on the State site.
 
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Called3rdstrikedawg

All-Conference
May 7, 2016
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State, Auburn, and Oklahoma have the hardest remaining schedules, with Ok and Aub playing each other. Arkansas and Florida have the easiest. Ole Miss & Alabama have the next easiest, but play each other.
 
D

dawgphd

Sophomore
May 16, 2008
1,615
166
63
9-3 sec to host. Maybe 8-4 but there is precedent to 18 not hosting
4-8 to make tourney. 14 wins has never missed ( or only once) 13 has missed some
No worse than 2-1 mid weeks
 
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