The 3-Point Takedown - Folkstyle's Sea Change

psu0408

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3 point takedown, 3 point reversal, 1 point for a force out if you have opponent’s leg and opponent doesn’t have your leg/ankle in scramble (rewards aggressive wrestler who can’t finish edge takedown). No review of force outs.
 

El_Jefe

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"No review of stepout" means if the ref screwed up and it should've been a takedown, too bad.

Is that what we want?
 

Corby2

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"No review of stepout" means if the ref screwed up and it should've been a takedown, too bad.

Is that what we want?
That would be a review for a takedown. We could see takedown reviews end in step out points instead. But challenging the step out wouldn't be allowed. I also say 1 point for a failed challenge. No more BS bricks to get a break
 

El_Jefe

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That would be a review for a takedown. We could see takedown reviews end in step out points instead. But challenging the step out wouldn't be allowed. I also say 1 point for a failed challenge. No more BS bricks to get a break
Lunger bricks are a pox on the sport.

You'd think NCAA Wrestling would've cringed hard enough to do something about it, when Rock Harrison gushed about Kevin Dresser using a lunger brick on an obviously doomed challenge in the nationally televised Iowa-Iowa State dual (IIRC it was the 174 Kennedy-Gaitan match). And you'd be an idiot for thinking so.
 

Corby2

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Lunger bricks are a pox on the sport.

You'd think NCAA Wrestling would've cringed hard enough to do something about it, when Rock Harrison gushed about Kevin Dresser using a lunger brick on an obviously doomed challenge in the nationally televised Iowa-Iowa State dual (IIRC it was the 174 Kennedy-Gaitan match). And you'd be an idiot for thinking so.
Rules were changed last summer and can't be changed again until next summer 2027. They meet on odd # years and make changes. I think its BS and they should meet yearly
 

El_Jefe

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Rules were changed last summer and can't be changed again until next summer 2027. They meet on odd # years and make changes. I think its BS and they should meet yearly
Yeah, I know ... and I have sub-zero expectations of it being addressed in 2027.

I'm not sure I agree with rule changes annually. Part of me agrees. Another part of me says that there's a high chance of annual changes intermingling with each other, so that we will rarely understand the effects of any one change. Would love to be wrong ... but my job says good luck with that.

IMO USA Wrestling should have some kind of agreement between the varying levels, so that intended rules changes can be tested at big offseason events like Super 32 regardless of age group. Big enough event to get good data, and offseason so it doesn't hurt anybody's records. Baseball is far smarter about this, testing rule changes in the minor leagues first. Wrestling, less smart.
 

jack66

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We have Cael to blame for all of this.

"It's just a game, go out and score points, and have FUN ... it's okay to lose."

If Cael didn't introduce this mindset to the sport, everything would still be copacetic. Coaches who believe that 'winning is the only thing' have had to adapt. Now it's 'win at any cost' even if it means not wrestling for 6.5 minutes.

Rather than trying to outwrestle us, they try to steal a WIN. To them, that's all that matters. If a ref does have the temerity to call stalling, they are sure to jump down his throat so that he knows better next time.

I do feel for the refs, they are in a tough spot, but right now they are nescient coconspirators in the plot. The rules are in place, the refs just have to call the obvious.
 
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The Pitchfork Rebel

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A couple of points;

Well, if that is the most damning part, then I am in good shape. I am not treating anything as independent (or dependent for that matter) because they are not variables. They are just empirical observations. Before the advent of the 3-point TD there were a certain number of 0 or 1 TD matches, and after there is a different, much larger, number. Simple.

Your instinct was correct, there are fewer pins and many more tech falls as shown in the first graph and broken down in detail in the first table.

Not damning for you. For the people that made the TD 3 points without considering there would be other effects.

I probably should have said DEVASTATING to lessen confusion about my meaning.

Pax. The analysis was compelling and coherent and I appreciate the effort it took to produce.
 

Wrestleknownothing

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Not damning for you. For the people that made the TD 3 points without considering there would be other effects.

I probably should have said DEVASTATING to lessen confusion about my meaning.

Pax. The analysis was compelling and coherent and I appreciate the effort it took to produce.
Season 3 Wall GIF by The Simpsons
 
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Wrestleknownothing

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Who has mastered the 3-Point Takedown?

Vince Robinson is 7-0 in the past two tournaments in 0 or 1 takedown matches. He has a pair of 4-2 wins, a pair of 4-1 wins, a 5-1 win, a 3-2 win and a 2-1 win. That is the most such wins by any wrestler in the three years of 3-point TD - and he only needed two of the years to do it. Honorable Mention to Patrick Kennedy (6-0).

Wrestlers with the most (8) 0 or 1 TD matches are Caleb Smith (6-2), Stephen Little (5-3) and Ben Kueter (4-4).

And who needs to consider a second takedown?

Most high volume, low scorers do well with the strategy though there are four wrestlers who may want to consider a second takedown. There are the wrestlers who have 7 such matches with a losing record (all are 3-4): Joey Blaze, Stevo Poulin, Evan Frost, and Mac Stout.

There are three wrestlers with a 1-4 record: Dayton Pitzer, Cam Steed, and Dean Peterson.

Nine wrestlers are 1-3.
Forty-three wrestlers are 0-2, 0-3, or 0-4.
 
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Wrestleknownothing

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In the "You Can't Stop Them, You Can Only Hope To Contain Them" category....

Sadly it is a marginally effective strategy to lock fingers, dance to the edge, work the knee, circle, and disengage.

PSU has an absurd 86.4% winning percentage (102-16) since 2024 in multi-score matches. But it drops to 71.7% (33-13) in 0 or 1 TD matches.
 
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jsn4388

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This article just irritates me. From the get-go, I (I, here, is not an exclusive club. I recognize there were others.) said, "This isn't going to help." Then, we had one year's worth of data, and I (the Naysayer Club) said, "This isn't helping," while the original supporters on here said, "Ohhhh, I think it's great. I think it's creating more action. It's so much more exciting if the guys who haven't been offensive for seven minutes can suddenly score THREE points, instead of TWO in the Two Minute Overtime Dance. Oh, how grand." Data be damned. Then, we had another year's worth of data, and now another. So, what do we have?

Those guys who somehow thought yelling "THREEEEEE" from the stands, or their living room couches, was so much better than yelling "TWOOOO," just sit here and pretend like we didn't even read what we read. We have a bunch of whistle-swallowers and Officials Against Accoutability. You know who you are, like the refs who couldn't see stalling if it jumped up and kicked them in the knee, and the refs that go over to the Self Validation Table, pretend to look at a replay, then come back to the mat, and say, "Nope, my call was great. Couldn't be better. Thanks for asking." Who is willing to admit they were wrong about the three-point takedown? That the product on the mat is not better now than it was three years ago? That something else has to change? Never mind. We'll let it be rhetorical.

I know, my answer is easier said than done, but we've got to get back to calling stalling the way it was called back in the day. Yes, I know, get off my lawn. But, the No-call Stall Patrol has got to be called out on this. The "Let 'Em Work" guys, the ones who even tell the wrestlers, "Hey, work, or I'm going to think about calling stalling for the next minute, and hope the period ends," without ever really thinking about calling stalling have got to go. With the exception of McGowan, you hang three or four stall calls on a guy, and they know that their next step backwards is going to make them walk off in stall-out DQ shame (maybe there should be a stall DQ dunce cap), surely, the majority of guys will at least attempt to stand their ground, or move forward. The Bureau of Sustained Inaction has got to end.

/rant over, until @Wrestleknownothing posts this data next year, at which time I'll have more vitriol for the Anti-activity Alliance

Apologies to referees who do call stalling aggressively.
I think the solution is to take the stalling call away from the referee's hand. Otherwise, all the stalling calls are subjective. I propose that if wrestler "A" takes three straight shots to wrestler "B" no shots, that's an automatic stall against wrestler B. It has to be a legitimate shot, not a half effort shot to count though. This way, wrestler "B" would have to keep up with wrestler "A." I thought about this for awhile and I really think this would work. Of course, this would work only in neutral position. Imagine wrestling against Mesenbrink with this proposal...
 
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a_mshaffer

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I think the solution is to take the stalling call away from the referee's hand. Otherwise, all the stalling calls are subjective. I propose that if wrestler "A" takes three straight shots to wrestler "B" no shots, that's an automatic stall against wrestler B. It has to be a legitimate shot, not a half effort shot to count though. I thought about this for awhile and I really think this would work. Of course, this would work only in neutral position.
not a bad idea but it becomes subjective when the ref has to define legitimate. Also, if I am wrestling MM with all his non-stop shooting, I am not necessarily stalling... just can't fit a shot in between his. Bottom line for me, ref has to understand what stalling is and call it. Pretty much knows when you're backing up, backing up and going to a knee, standing on the boundary line... The one thing I think they should do is evaluate stalling regardless of score or period. Hard to do since they do keep track of score but stalling in the first period is as egregious as in the 3rd with 10 seconds left.
 
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Nitlion1986

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I think the solution is to take the stalling call away from the referee's hand. Otherwise, all the stalling calls are subjective. I propose that if wrestler "A" takes three straight shots to wrestler "B" no shots, that's an automatic stall against wrestler B. It has to be a legitimate shot, not a half effort shot to count though. This way, wrestler "B" would have to keep up with wrestler "A." I thought about this for awhile and I really think this would work. Of course, this would work only in neutral position. Imagine wrestling against Mesenbrink with this proposal...
Determining what is a legitimate shot and what isn't, isn't subjective?
 

jsn4388

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not a bad idea but it becomes subjective when the ref has to define legitimate. Also, if I am wrestling MM with all his non-stop shooting, I am not necessarily stalling... just can't fit a shot in between his. Bottom line for me, ref has to understand what stalling is and call it. Pretty much knows when you're backing up, backing up and going to a knee, standing on the boundary line... The one thing I think they should do is evaluate stalling regardless of score or period. Hard to do since they do keep track of score but stalling in the first period is as egregious as in the 3rd with 10 seconds left.
"Pretty much knows when you're backing up, backing up and going to a knee, standing on the boundary line."

Doesn't matter if you're backing up, on the knee, or standing on the boundary line..., if you don't shoot and your opponent took 3 straight shots, stalling should be automatically called on you with my proposal. I will say that if neither wrestlers shoot due to your opponent on the knee or standing on the line or whatever, I propose stalling should be called against the both wrestlers, fair or not. This way, you'll get closer to when stalling call becomes a point scored.
 

Wrestleknownothing

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Problems with calling stalling are as old as wrestling itself. This was written in the 1928 wrestling guide - and it could have been written today:

"The Committee on Wrestling believes that "stalling', is the outstanding drawback of intercollegiate wrestling and urges all coaches and officials to use their influence to eliminate this all-too-common practise, and to encourage fast and aggressive wrestling. In many instances, referees are criticised for not enforcing penalties in wrestling contests and in many cases defend their position by stating that the coaches do not wish to have these penalties enforced, and, therefore, the committee requests that each of the competing coaches endeavor to secure from the .other coaches compliance with the full enforcement of the rules and so instruct the referee before the bout starts."

I just do not see human nature changing. We all respond to incentives. The refs are responding to the crap they catch from coaches and fans - and apparently have been doing that for 100 years.

The key then becomes to change the incentive structure. The 3-point TD had the unintended consequence of incentivizing MORE stalling. Like George Costanza, if all your instincts are wrong, then do the opposite. Cut the takedown back to at least 2, and maybe even 1.5 (which sounds silly - I know).