Your way too early season prediction?

rigi19040

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The scheduling argument is a joke....we may be one of the weaker teams in the conference. PSU lost it's best 2 DL, decent part of its secondary, part of the OL, 2 top RB's. PSU is breaking in a new scheme, new QB, and I'm not sure the talent that was brought over = more wins.....not sure how some are so sure of this team winning 9 next year. 7 wouldn't exactly be a shock.

Did we not lose anyone the year before? Did that stop fans from expecting a natty?

Teams lose two DL , part of the OL and part of the secondary EVERY year. The new QB has been with the coach for 4 years.
 
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Midnighter

Heisman
Jan 22, 2021
11,878
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Yeah, I'd be pretty disappointed with 8 wins or less considering the schedule. If we brought in Rocco to be an 8 win QB, id just question why we paid him what we likely did and why, considering his experience, he wouldn't have opted for somewhere else. Our talent didn't really perform last year, wasn't bought in, and suffered a coaching change and we still won 7 games. If campbell is a better coach, we should expect 9 wins. I see 9-3 as perfectly acceptable and achievable.

Athlon sports has the B1G like this:

Tier 1

Ohio State
Oregon

Tier 2

Michigan
USC
Penn State
Washington

That is about right. We dodge both Tier 1 teams. People predicting 7 wins are still sore about their golden boy being fired. Move on.
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
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The scheduling argument is a joke....we may be one of the weaker teams in the conference. PSU lost it's best 2 DL, decent part of its secondary, part of the OL, 2 top RB's. PSU is breaking in a new scheme, new QB, and I'm not sure the talent that was brought over = more wins.....not sure how some are so sure of this team winning 9 next year. 7 wouldn't exactly be a shock.
Players coming off injuries have to be factored in as well. Like, our starting OT, starting safety, two starting LB and our starting TE won't see snaps in Spring practice. The starting QB will be limited with his injuries and may get snaps at the end of Spring ball. There's injuries all over the team. So much so MC said he doesn't even know what the BW game will look like. It could get ugly, even with the soft schedule.
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
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Athlon sports has the B1G like this:

Tier 1

Ohio State
Oregon

Tier 2

Michigan
USC
Penn State
Washington

That is about right. We dodge both Tier 1 teams. People predicting 7 wins are still sore about their golden boy being fired. Move on.
I think the team was going to struggle this season even if the golden boy wasn't fired. He went all in with retaining those players last year that are now out of eligibility while struggling with recruiting the past couple of years. Unless he was going to hit the portal hard and not strike out on the players (see 2025 WR room), this was probably going to be a 9-3 season anyway.
 

rigi19040

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Players coming off injuries have to be factored in as well. Like, our starting OT, starting safety, two starting LB and our starting TE won't see snaps in Spring practice. The starting QB will be limited with his injuries and may get snaps at the end of Spring ball. There's injuries all over the team. So much so MC said he doesn't even know what the BW game will look like. It could get ugly, even with the soft schedule.

Ironic that nobody factored that in last year and still expected a natty.
 

DaytonRickster

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
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10-2 says the optimist in me. 9-3 the floor with this schedule. Fine either way. Or if worse.
I would be disappointed with 8-4. There is too much talent that remained @ PSU and transferred in for this team to lose 4 games. I have confidence that this staff can mesh the players into an excellent team. Not expecting an undefeated season. I think the floor is 9-3 and ceiling 10-2.
 

rigi19040

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Aug 1, 2024
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I think the team was going to struggle this season even if the golden boy wasn't fired. He went all in with retaining those players last year that are now out of eligibility while struggling with recruiting the past couple of years. Unless he was going to hit the portal hard and not strike out on the players (see 2025 WR room), this was probably going to be a 9-3 season anyway.


So you think Campbell's team will struggle?

Should you let your 4th and 5th year players walk? Is that your plan?

Golden boy is gone yet your predictions are for less wins??? What happened to the cignetti model? I guess culture only gets you so far.
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
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So you think Campbell's team will struggle?

Should you let your 4th and 5th year players walk? Is that your plan?
I hope not but 2 of our starting linebackers are coming off serious knee injuries and Franklin ignored that room the past couple of cycles recruiting so it's very thin. That's just one example at one position. I'm not sure of the guys transferring in because they've never played B1G football.

He paid big money to retain those 4th and 5th year starters. Did we really need to pay top dollar to 2 RB when the money for one of them could've been used to sure up the LB room with better recruits?

You have to back fill the roster, not just spend all of your money on starters to keep them from leaving. Again, he went all in on the 2025 team and it came back and bit him.
 

rigi19040

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Aug 1, 2024
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I hope not but 2 of our starting linebackers are coming off serious knee injuries and Franklin ignored that room the past couple of cycles recruiting so it's very thin. That's just one example at one position. I'm not sure of the guys transferring in because they've never played B1G football.

He paid big money to retain those 4th and 5th year starters. Did we really need to pay top dollar to 2 RB when the money for one of them could've been used to sure up the LB room with better recruits?

You have to back fill the roster, not just spend all of your money on starters to keep them from leaving. Again, he went all in on the 2025 team and it came back and bit him.

If it was so bad then why did the fans expect a natty?

Now that the team is doing things the right way shouldn't you predict more wins?

The ISU golden boy brought three starting LBs with him from ISU. Remember the cignetti model? No excuse for the LB position.

Did we need to pay two RBs? Actually yes. Two is not even enough. In 1994 the team had 5 RBs drafted. In 2012 the 5th string RB was the starter by week 4 after the first four were ALL hurt. Did you expect to go the season with ONE RB? Show us your post from before the season where you wanted to let one RB walk. Who on the current team should we have let walk?
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
24,677
113
If it was so bad then why did the fans expect a natty?

Now that the ream.is doing things the right way shouldn't you predict more wins?
Where did say it was so bad? They were a couple of plays away from the National championship game in 24 so they went all in on retaining the starting roster for 25. If they won the Natty last season it would've been brilliant. But they didn't, and in retaining the roster for 25 they paid guys big money not to go to the NFL or transfer while ignoring positions that were paper thin with talent like LB and WR in recruiting. So 2026 was going to be a "rebuilding year" with or without a new coach.

Where did I say the new coaches are doing things right? Half of the team are transfers that never played B1G football so I'll keep my expectations low and hope to be surprised if they are surpassed.
 

PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
24,677
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Who on the current team should we have let walk?
From the 2025 team that they retained? The guys that reportedly didn't stay in shape during the off season/guys that were cancers in the locker room would have been a good start.
 

PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
24,677
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If it was so bad then why did the fans expect a natty?

Now that the team is doing things the right way shouldn't you predict more wins?

The ISU golden boy brought three starting LBs with him from ISU. Remember the cignetti model? No excuse for the LB position.

Did we need to pay two RBs? Actually yes. Two is not even enough. In 1994 the team had 5 RBs drafted. In 2012 the 5th string RB was the starter by week 4 after the first four were ALL hurt. Did you expect to go the season with ONE RB? Show us your post from before the season where you wanted to let one RB walk. Who on the current team should we have let walk?
There were 5 other scholarship RB behind Nick and Kaytron last season. Five. And all of them were also being paid to ride the bench.
 

rigi19040

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There were 5 other scholarship RB behind Nick and Kaytron last season. Five. And all of them were also being paid to ride the bench.

You said TOP DOLLAR and BIG money. Pretty much every team has about 5. It is the total compensation that is an issue.

Didnt you also say they were a couple plays away from playing in a national championship and going all in would have been brilliant if it worked. Make up your mind. You are a chronic complainer. You act like a know it all after the fact.

Who should the team cut loose before next year? Dont tell us the mistakes after the season when EVERYONE already knows the obvious.
 

Midnighter

Heisman
Jan 22, 2021
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I hope not but 2 of our starting linebackers are coming off serious knee injuries and Franklin ignored that room the past couple of cycles recruiting so it's very thin. That's just one example at one position. I'm not sure of the guys transferring in because they've never played B1G football.

He paid big money to retain those 4th and 5th year starters. Did we really need to pay top dollar to 2 RB when the money for one of them could've been used to sure up the LB room with better recruits?

You have to back fill the roster, not just spend all of your money on starters to keep them from leaving. Again, he went all in on the 2025 team and it came back and bit him.

Obviously (natch) not the same scenario, but a bunch of first time B1G players did pretty well at Indiana. Campbell has been out kicking his coverage for years at Iowa State; he’s a good coach. We’ll see.
 

PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
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You said TOP DOLLAR and BIG money. Pretty much every team has about 5. It is the total compensation that is an issue.

Didnt you also say they were a couple plays away from playing in a national championship and going all in would have been brilliant if it worked. Make up your mind. You are a chronic complainer. You act like a know it all after the fact.

Who should the team cut loose before next year? Dont tell us the mistakes after the season when EVERYONE already knows the obvious.
I'll let you edit this three times before I reply. You are arguing with yourself.
 

rigi19040

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I'll let you edit this three times before I reply. You are arguing with yourself.

Ironic. You pointed out the team was a couple plays from playing for a national championship. You said it was brilliant to go all in on the players if it worked. It did not work and now you act like they should have blown it up.
 

PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
13,032
24,677
113
Obviously (natch) not the same scenario, but a bunch of first time B1G players did pretty well at Indiana. Campbell has been out kicking his coverage for years at Iowa State; he’s a good coach. We’ll see.
Obviously. We'll see if he can stay on schedule and produce explosive plays and become Elite. 😏
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
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Ironic. You pointed out the team was a couple plays from playing for a national championship. You said it was brilliant to go all in on the players if it worked. It did not work and now you act like they should have blown it up.
Correct. I'll be back over at the Lion's Den if you want to continue this discussion there. My mistake stopping by here. I won't make it a habit. Carry on.
 

WVilleLion23

All-Conference
Oct 27, 2022
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I think a few of you are very likely setting yourselves up with too high of expectations. But to each your own.
 

bdgan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
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I think the team was going to struggle this season even if the golden boy wasn't fired. He went all in with retaining those players last year that are now out of eligibility while struggling with recruiting the past couple of years. Unless he was going to hit the portal hard and not strike out on the players (see 2025 WR room), this was probably going to be a 9-3 season anyway.
I agree that we were looking at 9-3 anyway. The difference is that we were rebuilding, had some decent returning talent, had a decent 2026 class and a few top players lined up for 2027. Instead we have a bunch of Iowa State players who might be good or better than many we lost but not as many in numbers or in years of remaining eligibility.

It seems to me we wound up with 9-3 followed by an empty cupboard instead of 8-4 with top 15 cupboard.
 

bdgan

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He paid big money to retain those 4th and 5th year starters. Did we really need to pay top dollar to 2 RB when the money for one of them could've been used to sure up the LB room with better recruits?
I'm not the biggest James Franklin fan but I think he was trying to keep existing players/team happy. Players make friends and they won't be happy if you cut one of their teammates loose in exchange for a new guy they don't know. They also won't be happy if they've paid their dues and you bring in a new player by offering more money. I think that's what happened to Campbell. He expected to be the guy this fall only to learn that IA State transfers would be getting as much or more money.

It's a tough balancing act.
 

rigi19040

Senior
Aug 1, 2024
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I agree that we were looking at 9-3 anyway. The difference is that we were rebuilding, had some decent returning talent, had a decent 2026 class and a few top players lined up for 2027. Instead we have a bunch of Iowa State players who might be good or better than many we lost but not as many in numbers or in years of remaining eligibility.

It seems to me we wound up with 9-3 followed by an empty cupboard instead of 8-4 with top 15 cupboard.

Transfer portal should offset that loss. We lose high school kids and replace them with proven college players. If the players are proven we should be able to get by with less players until the recruiting kicks in.

Also no point in hiding players on the depth chart and protecting redshirts. We would just be saving it for the next school. If a kid can contribute then play him.
 
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bdgan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
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Transfer portal should offset that loss. We lose high school kids and replace them with proven college players. If the players are proven we should be able to get by with less players until the recruiting kicks in.

Also no point in hiding players on the depth chart and protecting redshirts. We would just be saving it for the next school. If a kid can contribute then play him.
I strongly disagree with the notion that we don't need high school recruits because we can just buy a team out of the portal. If that was the case why did USC, OSU, Oregon, etc bother to sign 25-30 4*/5* recruits in 2026?

PSU's last few classes were ranked around 4th in the BiG. That's not good enough if you want to play for a NC but it was good enough to keep us in the top 20 with an outside shot at making the playoffs. Now we have a big hole to climb out of. IMO PSU has to go at least 9-3 with one signature win. We're going to lose a lot of those IA St players and if we look like losers in 2026 it's going to take a while to bounce back.
 

rigi19040

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I strongly disagree with the notion that we don't need high school recruits because we can just buy a team out of the portal. If that was the case why did USC, OSU, Oregon, etc bother to sign 25-30 4*/5* recruits in 2026?

PSU's last few classes were ranked around 4th in the BiG. That's not good enough if you want to play for a NC but it was good enough to keep us in the top 20 with an outside shot at making the playoffs. Now we have a big hole to climb out of. IMO PSU has to go at least 9-3 with one signature win. We're going to lose a lot of those IA St players and if we look like losers in 2026 it's going to take a while to bounce back.


No chit. I didnt say we dont need them. We already lost them. Do you want to shutdown the program or deal with it?

Dealing with it involves getting a few more transfers until recruiting kicks back in. Pretty much what I posted.


Campbell will never outrecruit OSU or Oregon. At best he will do is 3rd and that wont be consistent.
 

KingLando

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The scheduling argument is a joke....we may be one of the weaker teams in the conference. PSU lost it's best 2 DL, decent part of its secondary, part of the OL, 2 top RB's. PSU is breaking in a new scheme, new QB, and I'm not sure the talent that was brought over = more wins.....not sure how some are so sure of this team winning 9 next year. 7 wouldn't exactly be a shock.
Ummm--the QB and RB (plus many others) know the scheme very well
 
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Shep

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Nov 8, 2010
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I believe that if you have a good offensive line and good QB play you can win every game you play. We will have a very good offensive line in 2026 and the best college QB we have had in the last 20 years...and yes, I am saying he is better than our recent string of solid QB's. . We will beat either Michigan or USC, will beat Washington, and trip up against Wisconsin or Northwestern. We will play much more physical. 10-2.
 

PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
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Actually he isn’t. You are contradicting yourself.
How about Strider being injured to start the season and Lopez barely being able to hit 90mph yesterday??? 13 straight days with a game to begin the season and now this after Schwelly has surgery right before the season.
 

Nitt1300

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Nov 2, 2008
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Did we not lose anyone the year before? Did that stop fans from expecting a natty?

Teams lose two DL , part of the OL and part of the secondary EVERY year. The new QB has been with the coach for 4 years.
playing in a weak conference
 

DaytonRickster

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Where did say it was so bad? They were a couple of plays away from the National championship game in 24 so they went all in on retaining the starting roster for 25. If they won the Natty last season it would've been brilliant. But they didn't, and in retaining the roster for 25 they paid guys big money not to go to the NFL or transfer while ignoring positions that were paper thin with talent like LB and WR in recruiting. So 2026 was going to be a "rebuilding year" with or without a new coach.

Where did I say the new coaches are doing things right? Half of the team are transfers that never played B1G football so I'll keep my expectations low and hope to be surprised if they are surpassed.
How many of Cignetti's JMU guys ever played B1G football? They came from a league that wasn't on par with the Big XII. They stepped up big time.
 

Ludd

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The scheduling argument is a joke....we may be one of the weaker teams in the conference. PSU lost it's best 2 DL, decent part of its secondary, part of the OL, 2 top RB's. PSU is breaking in a new scheme, new QB, and I'm not sure the talent that was brought over = more wins.....not sure how some are so sure of this team winning 9 next year. 7 wouldn't exactly be a shock.
It’s tough to say how good we will be, but it’s also tough to say how good/bad the teams on our schedule will be…that’s why I don’t understand the argument that we should win X number of games based on the schedule.
 
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Ludd

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Athlon sports has the B1G like this:

Tier 1

Ohio State
Oregon

Tier 2

Michigan
USC
Penn State
Washington

That is about right. We dodge both Tier 1 teams. People predicting 7 wins are still sore about their golden boy being fired. Move on.
Indiana?????
 
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