It seems that the consensus is that Oklahoma State is the new rival…

PSU Yinzer

Redshirt
Jan 7, 2018
22
31
13
While I think psu will retain the gap for another year or two, it could well close faster than some may think. Why? Because potential elite recruits now have a non-crazy coach alternative to the likes of brands, Ryan, manning, etc.

Curious as well to see if vatech can actually generate traction next year. (That’s an in season opponent I’d like to see).
Agree. And NIL money bag chasing is a factor too…. if OKST donors want to support chasing high-tier rentals, there’s arguably a solid opportunity for a consistent rental approach for OKST to fill line-up holes compared to PSU (already have Hamiti / Hendrickson proof).

Off-season roster changes will certainly occur. Who expected Welsh for Ryder this time last year? Cael will continue to play chess very well, but there’s definitely more competition coming.
 

HikeNatParks

Senior
May 12, 2023
172
816
93
I’m in the camp that likes the rise of OkSU. Don’t even care if there was animosity when DT left. I’d expect it. Cowboys are a formidable team now and in the future. Their young stars are exciting to watch (Merrill excluded) and easy to root against, especially when cocky and undeserving of their natty (Rob-a-Duke). Maybe our NCAA winning margins shrink, but I’ll bet the team titles continue. The NDI may not grow our sport. But an anticipated shootout at season’s end between top gunslingers who only meet at NCAA’s absolutely will. The mentor/student dynamic between Cael and DT just adds fuel. In wrestling jargon, with this new rivalry, our anticipation and excitement for future seasons has only jumped levels.
Wait, with NCAA’s over, you tellin’ me I gotta start cutting grass???? ;)
 

Aardvark86

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
1,225
2,138
113
Agree. And NIL money bag chasing is a factor too…. if OKST donors want to support chasing high-tier rentals, there’s arguably a solid opportunity for a consistent rental approach for OKST to fill line-up holes compared to PSU (already have Hamiti / Hendrickson proof).

Off-season roster changes will certainly occur. Who expected Welsh for Ryder this time last year? Cael will continue to play chess very well, but there’s definitely more competition coming.
I tend to think they’ll move out of the rental market (or use it like psu) once recruiting throughput normalizes
 

Lil Nicky Scarfo

All-Conference
Jul 1, 2025
1,347
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I tend to think they’ll move out of the rental market (or use it like psu) once recruiting throughput normalizes
Exactly. David has seen the pluses and minuses of that market both at PSU (while at NLWC) and at OSU (see Figueroa as an example of the downsides). He’ll definitely prefer getting his “type” of guys in as early as possible to mold them.
 

Honcho

Senior
Jan 20, 2016
202
644
93
Look out folks... the cowboys are coming!

jake gyllenhaal GIF
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
599
1,723
93
I’m in the camp that likes the rise of OkSU. Don’t even care if there was animosity when DT left. I’d expect it. Cowboys are a formidable team now and in the future. Their young stars are exciting to watch (Merrill excluded) and easy to root against, especially when cocky and undeserving of their natty (Rob-a-Duke). Maybe our NCAA winning margins shrink, but I’ll bet the team titles continue. The NDI may not grow our sport. But an anticipated shootout at season’s end between top gunslingers who only meet at NCAA’s absolutely will. The mentor/student dynamic between Cael and DT just adds fuel. In wrestling jargon, with this new rivalry, our anticipation and excitement for future seasons has only jumped levels.
Wait, with NCAA’s over, you tellin’ me I gotta start cutting grass???? ;)
I love it, and I'm here for it. While it's been cool having Saturday night being little more than a coronation in the team race the last several years, I'd love to have it come down to the last match again sometime, too.
 

J.E.B

All-Conference
Jul 8, 2001
2,217
3,226
113
Looking forward to some one to pony up…. Iowa was dethroned then Ohio State took a run at them. Iowa tried recently. Now it appears to be Okie State and Nebraska that want a piece of the mountain. Ain’t happening. Maybe a year here or there but not consistently. Too much talent out there for one or both along with O$U and Iowa to load up but so far those attempts are not sustainable. DT gets it but can he execute a 2.0 version?
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
599
1,723
93
Looking forward to some one to pony up…. Iowa was dethroned then Ohio State took a run at them. Iowa tried recently. Now it appears to be Okie State and Nebraska that want a piece of the mountain. Ain’t happening. Maybe a year here or there but not consistently. Too much talent out there for one or both along with O$U and Iowa to load up but so far those attempts are not sustainable. DT gets it but can he execute a 2.0 version?
It's only been two years, but DT's experiment with PSU SW has been right on plan so far. Year 1: get a bunch of elite recruits and bolster the current roster with grad transfers -> two jump from AAs to champs. Year 2: First recruiting class has 3 true freshman champs. We'll see where it goes and there is definitely still a gap to close, but I see no evidence whatsoever that there is any hiccup in the plan there and they should continue to close the gap year over year.

It's not just about recruiting, it's about what you can get from the recruits once they get there. tOSU has matched Cael in recruiting over much of Cael's tenure, but Cael has gotten as many championships from his 1-person 2022 recruiting class (Levi) as TanTom got from the historic #1 overall recruiting class, including all three of the top 3 ranked recruits (Bouzakis, Mendez, Feldman). DT has Ok St more on the Cael path than the TanTom path so far.
 

Psalm 1 guy

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2019
1,158
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I love it, and I'm here for it. While it's been cool having Saturday night being little more than a coronation in the team race the last several years, I'd love to have it come down to the last match again sometime, too.
That's what we do! : )
 

HOA242n!

Senior
Aug 18, 2025
228
561
93
Ono can’t make 125. He got incredibly sick trying to get down with an allowance for the tournament in Japan recently. He is built like a fire hydrant. Super thick in the *** and legs. 133 is ideal but I think he would be just fine at 141
Maybe a little hyperbole. He was 130 for the match against Spencer Lee. I can just imagine him trying to get off bottom against Vega; it would be ugly.
 

zzs006

All-Conference
Mar 27, 2017
791
4,502
93
Maybe a little hyperbole. He was 130 for the match against Spencer Lee. I can just imagine him trying to get off bottom against Vega; it would be ugly.
I don’t really agree. Being short can be an advantage on bottom. It depends on the wrestler, not the body type. Plenty of tall guys suck on bottom. The most encouraging thing for me was hearing Marcus and Connor say that Ono is already one of the best from bottom when they interviewed him
 

HOA242n!

Senior
Aug 18, 2025
228
561
93
I don’t really agree. Being short can be an advantage on bottom. It depends on the wrestler, not the body type. Plenty of tall guys suck on bottom. The most encouraging thing for me was hearing Marcus and Connor say that Ono is already one of the best from bottom when they interviewed him
As a longer guy with some grappling experience, I always felt like my length was a massive advantage, especially neutralizing an opponent from the top. It's not particularly difficult to neutralize strength with length and leverage. My perspective is certainly slanted because of my own experience; you may be right, I just have a hard time seeing "sawed off" guys like Ono or Desmond having their best chance of success in weight classes where they have significant length disadvantages.
 

Sandy2176

Freshman
Nov 1, 2025
96
91
18
Agree. And NIL money bag chasing is a factor too…. if OKST donors want to support chasing high-tier rentals, there’s arguably a solid opportunity for a consistent rental approach for OKST to fill line-up holes compared to PSU (already have Hamiti / Hendrickson proof).

Off-season roster changes will certainly occur. Who expected Welsh for Ryder this time last year? Cael will continue to play chess very well, but there’s definitely more competition coming.
How do you find out how much each school spends on NIL for wrestling
 

a_mshaffer

Senior
Dec 8, 2014
335
489
63
Maybe a little hyperbole. He was 130 for the match against Spencer Lee. I can just imagine him trying to get off bottom against Vega; it would be ugly.
he was sick but do we know exactly what caused it? Assoicated to losing weight but...
 

mydome88

Sophomore
Sep 13, 2005
64
171
33
And they had a pretty close to perfect tournment.
This. Don't want to ruin a good narrative though. Let's play the what if game. What is more likely:

Duke getting the correct call and finishing 1st and Robideau taking 3rd
Feldman coming in or staying healthy and taking out Doucet in the consi bracket
Allred not having his leg unfortunately snapped and continues to take out Ryder again in the consi bracket

I may have my math slightly wrong but that would have PSU winning by 80+

or...

Luke losing to Spratley and Spratley moving to 1st and Luke taking his 5th place finish
SVN losing to Swiderski and moving to 8th place and Swiderski taking his runner up
Barr losing to Merrill and for a swap of 1st and 2nd

That would really suck right? But by my math I think we still edge out the Cowboys would lose about 16, 20 and 10 points respectively 46 total making it much too close for comfort but still getting the team hardware with their hypothetical 5 champs to our 2 in this scenario. They need more guys putting up points like Jax but from what I've seen I'm not sure their current roster has that capability/mentality.

So, IMO it's way closer to OkST losing by 80+ than PSU still winning the team title but feeling pretty defeated. As I said in another thread, they are coming...but the hill is much greater than the narrative.
 
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Dren007

Junior
Feb 19, 2012
202
394
63
I get they are coming thought process. I keep thinking there is so much more to this than mat wrestling. There are going to be issues to deal with. PSU has had the staff to handle those situations. It remains to be seen if the OSU staff will be successful in that area. My belief with where PSU is geographically located gives them a slight advantage. Also if they continue to have the international success that alone will keep many recruits looking at PSU.
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
599
1,723
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This. Don't want to ruin a good narrative though. Let's play the what if game. What is more likely:

Duke getting the correct call and finishing 1st and Robideau taking 3rd
Feldman coming in or staying healthy and taking out Merrill in the consi bracket
Allred not having his leg unfortunately snapped and continues to take out Ryder again in the consi bracket

I may have my math slightly wrong but that would have PSU winning by 80+

or...

Luke losing to Spratley and Spratley moving to 1st and Luke taking his 5th place finish
SVN losing to Swiderski and moving to 8th place and Swiderski taking his runner up
Barr losing to Merrill and for a swap of 1st and 2nd

That would really suck right? But by my math I think we still edge out the Cowboys would lose about 16, 20 and 10 points respectively 46 total making it much too close for comfort but still getting the team hardware with their hypothetical 5 champs to our 2 in this scenario. They need more guys putting up points like Jax but from what I've seen I'm not sure their current roster has that capability/mentality.

So, IMO it's way closer to OkST losing by 80+ than PSU still winning the team title but feeling pretty defeated. As I said in another thread, they are coming...but the hill is much greater than the narrative.
They were 75 points behind last year, so they cut 25 off the deficit (with PSU in the ballpark of the same score). If I were setting the over under for next year, I'd set the line at PSU +25 with Ok St shaving another 25 off the margin. But a 25 point margin is at least starting to sweat it a little, much moreso than 50 or 75.
 

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
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They were 75 points behind last year, so they cut 25 off the deficit (with PSU in the ballpark of the same score). If I were setting the over under for next year, I'd set the line at PSU +25 with Ok St shaving another 25 off the margin. But a 25 point margin is at least starting to sweat it a little, much moreso than 50 or 75.
Just my thought. Next year Okie State breaks OSU's record for highest 2nd place score and gets to 140. The margin will be still 45 to 50. Next year's team will lose Van Ness and Mitch. Mitch's replacement will be somebody like PJ Duke, and not sure who steps in at 149 but it will be somebody really good. Penn State in 2028 will have decidedly more returning points than OkieSt but oh my they are coming. When Okie State puts up 40 bonus with 6 in the finals, that will be the year they are coming. Eventually, but it will be more of a PSU taking a step backwards to the 140 to 150 range. It isn't going to be OkieSt stepping into the 170 to 180 range.
 
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mydome88

Sophomore
Sep 13, 2005
64
171
33
They were 75 points behind last year, so they cut 25 off the deficit (with PSU in the ballpark of the same score). If I were setting the over under for next year, I'd set the line at PSU +25 with Ok St shaving another 25 off the margin. But a 25 point margin is at least starting to sweat it a little, much moreso than 50 or 75.
You taking my money on PSU -25 to OkST next year? I'd love to get that action. They don't score enough bonus points. We almost beat them by that in bonus points this year. Which wrestler on their team is going to start to rack up bonus points in the tournament, Lockett, Ryder, Facundo, Merrill? PJ finished third and put up more team points than Robideau. They aren't going to have any better finishers than they did this year either, if so where is that coming from? They were lucky to get extra bonus points and AAs because of MFFL.

Maybe 25 points on placement points AND 25 points on bonus points. That seems about more accurate. Go look at the results they had, by my count they had 15 matches with 0 takedowns and 12 matches with 1 takedown. I'll give you they'd have a way better chance of stealing a dual from us with their current style (Jax excluded) than they do of staying within 25 points in the tournament.
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,310
13,105
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This. Don't want to ruin a good narrative though. Let's play the what if game. What is more likely:

Duke getting the correct call and finishing 1st and Robideau taking 3rd
Feldman coming in or staying healthy and taking out Merrill in the consi bracket
Allred not having his leg unfortunately snapped and continues to take out Ryder again in the consi bracket

I may have my math slightly wrong but that would have PSU winning by 80+

or...

Luke losing to Spratley and Spratley moving to 1st and Luke taking his 5th place finish
SVN losing to Swiderski and moving to 8th place and Swiderski taking his runner up
Barr losing to Merrill and for a swap of 1st and 2nd

That would really suck right? But by my math I think we still edge out the Cowboys would lose about 16, 20 and 10 points respectively 46 total making it much too close for comfort but still getting the team hardware with their hypothetical 5 champs to our 2 in this scenario. They need more guys putting up points like Jax but from what I've seen I'm not sure their current roster has that capability/mentality.

So, IMO it's way closer to OkST losing by 80+ than PSU still winning the team title but feeling pretty defeated. As I said in another thread, they are coming...but the hill is much greater than the narrative.
Feldman beating Merrill would be the least likely to happen.
 

zzs006

All-Conference
Mar 27, 2017
791
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With this debate raging on I wanted to do a side by side comparison of next years team along with what’s coming in the pipeline. OkSt has 2 incredible classes in a row but their 2027 class is small. 2028 is the class that will really decide if they will push PSU in the near future. It’s a really good class but one I expect PSU to sign the number 1 class

PSU next year

125-Lilledahl
133-Blaze, Ono, Desmond
141-Blaze, Ono, Davis
149-SVN, Pierce, Perry, Herring
157-Duke, Kasak, Sealey
165-Mesenbrink
174-Henckel, James
184-Rocco, Asher
197-Barr, Mirasola
Heavy-Mirasola, Brown

2027 Recruits

125-Sidun
133-Burnett
149-Mangano
149/157-Shepherd

OkSt next year

125-Spratley, Sakamoto, Zinkin
133-Jax, Ramirez, Hughes, McComas, Raney
141-Vega, Jamison
149-Swiderski, Jamison, Raney
157-Robideau, Routledge
165-Lockett, Guerrero
174-Facundo
184-Ryder, White
197-Merrill, Johnson
Heavy-Ross

2027 Recruits

125-Villasenor
197-Hodgins

2028- PSU targets
Sammy Sanchez- #1 Flo big board
Cam Howard- #2 Flo big board
Jaydin O’Farrill- #7 Flo big board
Cameron Hazelett- #9 Flo big board
Mario Hutcherson- #10 Flo big board
Kendall Hoare- #11 Flo big board

I think 3 of these kids are definite PSU leans (Howard, O’Farrill, and Hutcherson) with supposed interest from the others. If PSU gets 4 of these kids it’s hard to see OkSt truly pushing them for a title in the near future. Looking at the existing lineups and what each team has coming I just don’t see it neck and neck like many are saying. I think OkSt will be in its own tier at 2nd but still a sizable amount of points behind PSU. They are paper thin in the upper weights and still need to develop a bunch of the depth that PSU has. If Lockett can grow into a 174, Robideau into 165, and Raney into 157 it would help a ton. Otherwise there is going to be some truly elite guys sitting in those lower weights. For PSU they need Mangano to be a 149, Herring to jump another level, or one of Blaze or Desmond to grow into that weight. 149 is really the only weight with question marks in the near future.
 

mydome88

Sophomore
Sep 13, 2005
64
171
33
Feldman beating Merrill would be the least likely to happen.
Haha true, since they are different weight classes. Should have been Feldman beating Doucet in my hypothetical. Then Doucet got another walk over when Ferrari moved him along the brackets to wrestle for third instead of 5th. He would have had Kueter in the 5th place bracket. In any of the cases, it took quite a bit of good fortune for him and bad for others to allow him to AA let alone grab 4th.
 

Fred8811

Sophomore
Aug 27, 2006
276
191
43
I don't know how he does it, but Jax is a must watch.
It is starting to get really interesting.
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
599
1,723
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You taking my money on PSU -25 to OkST next year? I'd love to get that action. They don't score enough bonus points. We almost beat them by that in bonus points this year. Which wrestler on their team is going to start to rack up bonus points in the tournament, Lockett, Ryder, Facundo, Merrill? PJ finished third and put up more team points than Robideau. They aren't going to have any better finishers than they did this year either, if so where is that coming from? They were lucky to get extra bonus points and AAs because of MFFL.

Maybe 25 points on placement points AND 25 points on bonus points. That seems about more accurate. Go look at the results they had, by my count they had 15 matches with 0 takedowns and 12 matches with 1 takedown. I'll give you they'd have a way better chance of stealing a dual from us with their current style (Jax excluded) than they do of staying within 25 points in the tournament.
I'm not actually a bookmaker, so I'm not taking anyone's money, just where I would set the line.

I expect they will get more bonus points across the board (Jax, Vega, Robideau, Lockett, Ryder, etc.) plus additional placement points from Lockett, Ryder, Ross, and whichever Raney is in the lineup. Shaving 25 off the margin is not a monumental task given that they were so far behind in bonus points this year.
 
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Lil Nicky Scarfo

All-Conference
Jul 1, 2025
1,347
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I'm not actually a bookmaker, so I'm not taking anyone's money, just where I would set the line.

I expect they will get more bonus points across the board (Jax, Vega, Robideau, Lockett, Ryder, etc.) plus additional placement points from Ryder, Ross, and whichever Raney is in the lineup. Shaving 25 off the margin is not a monumental task given that they were so far behind in bonus points this year.
Ryder is not a bonus guy and that’s asking a lot post surgery. He’ll be scrapping it out in the Round of 12 or maybe not even starting next year.
 
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BriantheLion

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Nov 27, 2023
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This. Don't want to ruin a good narrative though. Let's play the what if game. What is more likely:

Duke getting the correct call and finishing 1st and Robideau taking 3rd
Feldman coming in or staying healthy and taking out Merrill in the consi bracket
Allred not having his leg unfortunately snapped and continues to take out Ryder again in the consi bracket

I may have my math slightly wrong but that would have PSU winning by 80+

or...

Luke losing to Spratley and Spratley moving to 1st and Luke taking his 5th place finish
SVN losing to Swiderski and moving to 8th place and Swiderski taking his runner up
Barr losing to Merrill and for a swap of 1st and 2nd

That would really suck right? But by my math I think we still edge out the Cowboys would lose about 16, 20 and 10 points respectively 46 total making it much too close for comfort but still getting the team hardware with their hypothetical 5 champs to our 2 in this scenario. They need more guys putting up points like Jax but from what I've seen I'm not sure their current roster has that capability/mentality.

So, IMO it's way closer to OkST losing by 80+ than PSU still winning the team title but feeling pretty defeated. As I said in another thread, they are coming...but the hill is much greater than the narrative.
I agree with Duke and Alred points… but isn’t Feldman tOSU 285 and Merrill OkSt 197 who was never in consolation?
 
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BriantheLion

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During Ono interview with Blaze and Pierce they said that Ono was 1 of the best in the room oo the bottom but needs top work.The interview is on State media On the Matt
Much better to hear that than the other way around… he needs one escape or reversal per match… and if he isn’t good on top(since he can’t use a gut wrench), he can catch and release for TFs.

… but I’m sure he is working on his top game… he hears how we go nuts for a pin, and wants in on that action!
 
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Psalm 1 guy

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2019
1,158
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There are definitely team points to be had next year that we didn't get this year. Cole and Braeden combined for 4.5 team points. The combination of those two weights should see substantial point gains at next year's NCAA tournament. How we fare at 174 is obviously the biggest question. Who wrestles at 133/141 is also a big factor. As a side note, with just a few small changes this tournament, Penn State would have been at nearly 200 points (SVN and PJ champs, Marcus making the Finals and 141/285 improvements).
 
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jstross

Senior
Oct 28, 2005
245
536
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I just can't see Jax holding 33 and Vega holding so I see them 141 and 149.
With this debate raging on I wanted to do a side by side comparison of next years team along with what’s coming in the pipeline. OkSt has 2 incredible classes in a row but their 2027 class is small. 2028 is the class that will really decide if they will push PSU in the near future. It’s a really good class but one I expect PSU to sign the number 1 class

PSU next year

125-Lilledahl
133-Blaze, Ono, Desmond
141-Blaze, Ono, Davis
149-SVN, Pierce, Perry, Herring
157-Duke, Kasak, Sealey
165-Mesenbrink
174-Henckel, James
184-Rocco, Asher
197-Barr, Mirasola
Heavy-Mirasola, Brown

2027 Recruits

125-Sidun
133-Burnett
149-Mangano
149/157-Shepherd

OkSt next year

125-Spratley, Sakamoto, Zinkin
133-Jax, Ramirez, Hughes, McComas, Raney
141-Vega, Jamison
149-Swiderski, Jamison, Raney
157-Robideau, Routledge
165-Lockett, Guerrero
174-Facundo
184-Ryder, White
197-Merrill, Johnson
Heavy-Ross

2027 Recruits

125-Villasenor
197-Hodgins

2028- PSU targets
Sammy Sanchez- #1 Flo big board
Cam Howard- #2 Flo big board
Jaydin O’Farrill- #7 Flo big board
Cameron Hazelett- #9 Flo big board
Mario Hutcherson- #10 Flo big board
Kendall Hoare- #11 Flo big board

I think 3 of these kids are definite PSU leans (Howard, O’Farrill, and Hutcherson) with supposed interest from the others. If PSU gets 4 of these kids it’s hard to see OkSt truly pushing them for a title in the near future. Looking at the existing lineups and what each team has coming I just don’t see it neck and neck like many are saying. I think OkSt will be in its own tier at 2nd but still a sizable amount of points behind PSU. They are paper thin in the upper weights and still need to develop a bunch of the depth that PSU has. If Lockett can grow into a 174, Robideau into 165, and Raney into 157 it would help a ton. Otherwise there is going to be some truly elite guys sitting in those lower weights. For PSU they need Mangano to be a 149, Herring to jump another level, or one of Blaze or Desmond to grow into that weight. 149 is really the only weight with question marks in the near future.
I don't see Jax holding 33 or Vega holding 41 so I see them both moving up, but what do I know. They're going to have a few log jams just like we do. Going to be very interesting.
 
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RockyChi

Sophomore
Feb 4, 2026
108
199
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Haha true, since they are different weight classes. Should have been Feldman beating Doucet in my hypothetical. Then Doucet got another walk over when Ferrari moved him along the brackets to wrestle for third instead of 5th. He would have had Kueter in the 5th place bracket. In any of the cases, it took quite a bit of good fortune for him and bad for others to allow him to AA let alone grab 4th.
Merrill got lucky to have Elam coming in injured
 

BriantheLion

All-Conference
Nov 27, 2023
1,420
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I just can't see Jax holding 33 and Vega holding so I see them 141 and 149.

I don't see Jax holding 33 or Vega holding 41 so I see them both moving up, but what do I know. They're going to have a few log jams just like we do. Going to be very interesting.
…and will their guys wait a couple of years to crack the lineup like many of ours have?
 

Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
882
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The log jam nationally at 141 will possibly move to 141 next year: I can see Seidel and Jax both moving up to 141. I think Tan Tom will maybe move Davino up also. Sorry but I cannot see anyone left in there to challenge Ono, even if he needs work on top. Who is going to stay with him in neutral without at least 2 stall calls?