Live updates: Big Ten wrestling preseeds release on BTN

PSUFANinVA

All-American
Oct 11, 2022
2,803
8,543
113
Having now seen the deliverables, I suspect many coaches believe this is not what they signed up for.
 

o_BruceK-PSU83

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2021
1,341
2,241
113
Yep I read elsewhere that Haines was within 11 of Minto. 829 to 818. Nobody else said that 🤡. Cael said he hadn't seen them yet and I knew 🤷
Thought the point system was on a 100 point scale??

Or am I missing obvious sarcasm here (wouldn't be the first time)?
 
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BaccaFarmer

Senior
Aug 20, 2018
199
507
93
It sure would be nice to see the actual math from the algorithm. Most make sense based on the provided criteria but I can't see how they figured Minto ahead of Levi

Head to Head vs. the Field (25 points) Levi wins that, he's 5-0, Minto is 7-3. Does Minto get credit for the 3 guys that ducked Levi?
Common opponents Record (25 points) Levi won head to head. Minto's other losses were to Kharchla and Kennedy, both ducked Levi.
Conference Dual Record (20 points) Levi was 8-0, Minto 6-2
Quality Matches (10 points) Does not say Quality Wins, that's got to be an error right. Maybe Minto takes this one.
RPI (10 points) Minto wins, is it 10-0 or a split like 7-3?
Conference allocation (5 points) This one is even, both get 5.
And therein lies the glitch. The algorithm fails to account for Ducks.
 

Psalm 1 guy

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2019
1,159
4,438
113
Or so they say
I was thinking of this late last night while lying in bed trying to fall asleep. Unless the agreement the coaches came up with this season regarding this new seeding process is formally binding, the coaches very well may agree to disregard this 15 point rule in those cases where the algorithm spit out a seed the majority of the coaches disagree with. I would love to be a fly on the wall for that meeting on Friday! I can already picture some coaches screaming, "amateur hour", and lots of comments about "growing the sport" : )
 
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HikeNatParks

Senior
May 12, 2023
172
816
93
I was thinking of this late last night while lying in bed trying to fall asleep. Unless the agreement the coaches came up with this season regarding this new seeding process is formally binding, the coaches very well may agree to disregard this 15 point rule in those cases where the algorithm spit out a seed the majority of the coaches disagree with. I would love to be a fly on the wall for that meeting on Friday! I can already picture some coaches screaming, "amateur hour", and lots of comments about "growing the sport" : )
Uh, you clearly need better pre-sleep thoughts. ;)
 

Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
883
2,083
93
I'm not trying to kiss Willie's *** about this because I certainly don't agree with him on every little thing, but Willie should absolutely be given the top job of overseeing the seeding for all the NCAA conferences and the Nationals, because the fact is that he's the very best in the country at doing it. I guarantee had he been involved NONE OF THIS BS HAPPENS
 

Tom McAndrew

BWI Staff
Staff member
Oct 27, 2021
77,539
64,009
113


0:00 - Willie’s Back with a Broken Ankle
06:30 - Big Ten Preseeds Reaction
26:30 - The Captain Joins to talk Data Science in Seeds
41:55 - Will We Get The Points?
48:15 - 125lbs - 157lbs & What Will Change?
01:03:42 - 165lbs - 285lbs
01:13:00 - Big 12 Seeds
01:19:30 - Only SoCon Champion Allocates
01:23:00 - Jeremy Hunter Named Illinois Head Coach
01:28:30 - Some High School Talk!
01:35:00 - Aftershow
 

zack92

Redshirt
Jul 19, 2015
18
28
13
Ferrari seems to have a lot of luck drawing officials who will not call stalling even if their life depended on it. He will be a tough out for anyone, even if he had bad bad knees.
 
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PSUFANinVA

All-American
Oct 11, 2022
2,803
8,543
113
I haven’t seen much about 285.

2 beat 1, but 1 beat both 3 and 4
3 beat 2 (twice), but 2 beat both 1 and 4
4 beat 3. 3 beat 2 and lost to 1, and 4 lost to both 1 and 2

so how many times have you seen seeds where

4 beat 3, 3 beat 2, and 2 beat 1
I believe I saw that the last time I read Chicka Chicka Boom Boom.
 
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Eastern HWT

Freshman
Jan 3, 2015
26
66
13
I believe I saw that the last time I read Chicka Chicka Boom Boom.
I Didn’t even realize that I was singing “4 beat 3 and 3 beat 2 and 2 beat 1” in the Chicka Chicka Boom Boom rhyme scheme… now I’m singing A told B and B told C I’ll meet you at the top of the coconut tree!!!
 
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Twisterky

Freshman
Feb 8, 2021
37
78
18
Creative brainstormed idea, but with unintended consequences imo. A (down the road) low seed (#14, 13, 12, 11, and so on) wrestling a back-up and getting a win would give them credit for beating the starter. A problem still exists when the low seeds move up the ladder when they didn't deserve to.

Agree, but the seeding "punishment" should not unduly penalize the top seeded guys in the bracket. That's the dumbest aspect of seeding Cannon at #7 and Ferrari at #8. Same logic applies for seeding Starocci at #9 in the 2024 NCAA tourney. As stated by another poster, put the "punished" guys at the #6 seed to at least reduce impact to the top seeds, algorithm be damned.
Or 11th
 

lionlover

All-American
Jul 8, 2001
3,407
6,732
113
I bet you are a trip in a strip club lmfao. Love it
I could tell you stories, you probably wouldn't believe. But...here's one that is relatively innocuous:

I took one of my good clients to a strip club. He was one of those rare clients who became a good friend.

Well, I got my client and I a front seat (Nothing but the best for my clients!). I made sure I brought a lot of paper currency and gave him half of it (So we both could be participatory).

So, up to this point, everything was going great...until...the stripper comes crawling towards me on her hands and knees with her mouth wide open.

My client was really into it as he was a "breast man" and his eyes were transfixed onto her large breasts bouncing in complete rhythm as she continued to crawl towards us.

When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
 

District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,083
2,537
113
I could tell you stories, you probably wouldn't believe. But...here's one that is relatively innocuous:

I took one of my good clients to a strip club. He was one of those rare clients who became a good friend.

Well, I got my client and I a front seat (Nothing but the best for my clients!). I made sure I brought a lot of paper currency and gave him half of it (So we both could be participatory).

So, up to this point, everything was going great...until...the stripper comes crawling towards me on her hands and knees with her mouth wide open.

My client was really into it as he was a "breast man" and his eyes were transfixed onto her large breasts bouncing in complete rhythm as she continued to crawl towards us.

When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
Thats classic
 
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mfb5053

Senior
Jan 15, 2017
280
563
93
I could tell you stories, you probably wouldn't believe. But...here's one that is relatively innocuous:

I took one of my good clients to a strip club. He was one of those rare clients who became a good friend.

Well, I got my client and I a front seat (Nothing but the best for my clients!). I made sure I brought a lot of paper currency and gave him half of it (So we both could be participatory).

So, up to this point, everything was going great...until...the stripper comes crawling towards me on her hands and knees with her mouth wide open.

My client was really into it as he was a "breast man" and his eyes were transfixed onto her large breasts bouncing in complete rhythm as she continued to crawl towards us.

When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
Yea, but how was the buffet?
 

watoos

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2021
632
1,227
93
Does it seem like Penn State took the brunt of this?
Several wrestlers are going to have fun quarterfinals: 125, 157, 184.
Any truth to the rumor that Cael is bringing someone from Cornell with him Friday?
 

Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
883
2,083
93
Ok.here are my predictions

125 Nic to the 2 and Dean to the 7

133 no changes. Byrd is not within 15

141 Olivieri up to the 9. He is within 15. Braeden to the 6. He majored Decracker who beat Clark and he is within 15. Will draw Vombour if he wins first round.

149 no changes

157 Cannon is not within 15 so he can't move up. No changes unless Iowa puts in Williams instead of Victor. If they enter Jordan then he slots in at the 8.

165 2 changes. Blaze up to the 2, he is within 15. Arajau beat Sparks so he moves up.

174 Levi up to the 1. He is within 15. Enright up ahead of pinto

184 No change. Which is wrong.

197 Gabe should probably move up a slot or two. But hey who knows.

285 Keuter? Probably not. Feldman jumps Ferrari.

Tell me if you agree or disagree?
 
Last edited:

watoos

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2021
632
1,227
93
Ok.here are my predictions

125 Nic to the 2 and Dean to the 7

133 no changes. Byrd is not within 15

141 Olivieri up to the 9. He is within 15. Braeden to the 6. He majored Decracker who beat Clark and he is within 15. Will draw Vombour

149 no changes

157 Cannon is not within 15 so he can't move up. No changes unless Iowa puts in Williams instead of Victor. If they enter Jordan then he slots in at the 8.

165 2 changes. Blaze up to the 2, he is within 15. Arajau beat Sparks so he moves up.

174 Levi up to the 1. He is within 15. Enright up ahead of pinto

184 No change. Which is wrong.

197 Gabe should probably move up a slot or two. But hey who knows.

285 Keuter? Probably not. Feldman jumps Ferrari.

Tell me if you agree or disagree?
Your changes make sense, so it probably won’t happen.
 

Kingslayer

Junior
Nov 3, 2016
179
368
63
Ok.here are my predictions

125 Nic to the 2 and Dean to the 7

133 no changes. Byrd is not within 15

141 Olivieri up to the 9. He is within 15. Braeden to the 6. He majored Decracker who beat Clark and he is within 15. Will draw Vombour if he wins first round.

149 no changes

157 Cannon is not within 15 so he can't move up. No changes unless Iowa puts in Williams instead of Victor. If they enter Jordan then he slots in at the 8.

165 2 changes. Blaze up to the 2, he is within 15. Arajau beat Sparks so he moves up.

174 Levi up to the 1. He is within 15. Enright up ahead of pinto

184 No change. Which is wrong.

197 Gabe should probably move up a slot or two. But hey who knows.

285 Keuter? Probably not. Feldman jumps Ferrari.

Tell me if you agree or disagree?
Are you under the influence of any drugs , I can’t believe I find myself agreeing with your post.
 

PSUFANinVA

All-American
Oct 11, 2022
2,803
8,543
113
I Didn’t even realize that I was singing “4 beat 3 and 3 beat 2 and 2 beat 1” in the Chicka Chicka Boom Boom rhyme scheme… now I’m singing A told B and B told C I’ll meet you at the top of the coconut tree!!!
#blessed or #cursed
 

PSUFANinVA

All-American
Oct 11, 2022
2,803
8,543
113
When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
 

ClarkstonMark

All-Conference
May 23, 2002
1,613
2,610
113
Ok.here are my predictions

125 Nic to the 2 and Dean to the 7

133 no changes. Byrd is not within 15

141 Olivieri up to the 9. He is within 15. Braeden to the 6. He majored Decracker who beat Clark and he is within 15. Will draw Vombour if he wins first round.

149 no changes

157 Cannon is not within 15 so he can't move up. No changes unless Iowa puts in Williams instead of Victor. If they enter Jordan then he slots in at the 8.

165 2 changes. Blaze up to the 2, he is within 15. Arajau beat Sparks so he moves up.

174 Levi up to the 1. He is within 15. Enright up ahead of pinto

184 No change. Which is wrong.

197 Gabe should probably move up a slot or two. But hey who knows.

285 Keuter? Probably not. Feldman jumps Ferrari.

Tell me if you agree or disagree?
JW can’t replace VV at this point, can he?
 

jstross

Senior
Oct 28, 2005
246
537
93
I could tell you stories, you probably wouldn't believe. But...here's one that is relatively innocuous:

I took one of my good clients to a strip club. He was one of those rare clients who became a good friend.

Well, I got my client and I a front seat (Nothing but the best for my clients!). I made sure I brought a lot of paper currency and gave him half of it (So we both could be participatory).

So, up to this point, everything was going great...until...the stripper comes crawling towards me on her hands and knees with her mouth wide open.

My client was really into it as he was a "breast man" and his eyes were transfixed onto her large breasts bouncing in complete rhythm as she continued to crawl towards us.

When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
I could believe them, LOL.
 
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paleryder

Junior
Apr 28, 2017
78
243
33
I could tell you stories, you probably wouldn't believe. But...here's one that is relatively innocuous:

I took one of my good clients to a strip club. He was one of those rare clients who became a good friend.

Well, I got my client and I a front seat (Nothing but the best for my clients!). I made sure I brought a lot of paper currency and gave him half of it (So we both could be participatory).

So, up to this point, everything was going great...until...the stripper comes crawling towards me on her hands and knees with her mouth wide open.

My client was really into it as he was a "breast man" and his eyes were transfixed onto her large breasts bouncing in complete rhythm as she continued to crawl towards us.

When she finally came close enough that I could feel her breath on my face, she slowly reaches down towards my crouch and quickly grabs the end of my tie and starts to shove it in her mouth inch by inch.

I was royally pissed because that was a NEW $100+ (Which was expensive 25 yrs ago) Countess Mara tie I had purchased a week ago.

My client quickly grabbed my right arm because he felt certain that I was ready to punch or slap my tie from her mouth.

Now, I would never do something like that, but he said that my face got so boiling hot red, he didn't want to risk me doing something I would regret. So, better safe than sorry, right?

The ironic part to this story is that I was always the one watching over my clients and friends, not the other way around.

Thanks for triggering some old memories, :love:
My mother always told me to stay away from places like that. She constantly warned me that I'd turn to stone if I ever went to a strip club. I guess mom was right; I started getting hard reading your story.
 
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86PSUPaul

All-Conference
Aug 17, 2017
402
1,226
93
Ok.here are my predictions

125 Nic to the 2 and Dean to the 7

133 no changes. Byrd is not within 15

141 Olivieri up to the 9. He is within 15. Braeden to the 6. He majored Decracker who beat Clark and he is within 15. Will draw Vombour if he wins first round.

149 no changes

157 Cannon is not within 15 so he can't move up. No changes unless Iowa puts in Williams instead of Victor. If they enter Jordan then he slots in at the 8.

165 2 changes. Blaze up to the 2, he is within 15. Arajau beat Sparks so he moves up.

174 Levi up to the 1. He is within 15. Enright up ahead of pinto

184 No change. Which is wrong.

197 Gabe should probably move up a slot or two. But hey who knows.

285 Keuter? Probably not. Feldman jumps Ferrari.

Tell me if you agree or disagree?
Are the numbers out somewhere?
 
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El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,316
13,126
113
JW can’t replace VV at this point, can he?
Brands could pull a Teske. Williams would get the 14 seed like Teske did.

It would be a terrible draw. He'd open with Webster, who majored him this year. If he won that, next would be Millard, who also majored him this year.

With Williams' tank, he might be better off forfeiting into consis for a better draw. Wait, he's not Ryan's son. Never mind.
 

Aardvark86

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
1,231
2,164
113


0:00 - Willie’s Back with a Broken Ankle
06:30 - Big Ten Preseeds Reaction
26:30 - The Captain Joins to talk Data Science in Seeds
41:55 - Will We Get The Points?
48:15 - 125lbs - 157lbs & What Will Change?
01:03:42 - 165lbs - 285lbs
01:13:00 - Big 12 Seeds
01:19:30 - Only SoCon Champion Allocates
01:23:00 - Jeremy Hunter Named Illinois Head Coach
01:28:30 - Some High School Talk!
01:35:00 - Aftershow

Not actually buying baschs argument roe data science. The problem is that the data set is waaaaay too small to have any statistical power behind it. Particularly in you have a criterion like rpi that can become go/no go without any volume weighting
 
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donboy6499

All-Conference
Jun 9, 2025
744
1,402
93
Not actually buying baschs argument roe data science. The problem is that the data set is waaaaay to small to have any statistical power behind it. Particularly in you have a criterion like too that can become go/no go without any volume weighting
You’re not wrong, but isn’t that an issue regardless of how you seed?

Whether it’s an algorithm that uses Willie as a consultant (in an attempt to clone Willie’s criteria), or Willie himself just eyeballs it, we run into a sample size issue.