Live updates: Big Ten wrestling preseeds release on BTN

Shifty15

Senior
Nov 4, 2016
210
423
63
Anyone else think Levi/Minto is their 1 intentional “mess up” so on Friday they can demonstrate their willingness to make a single correction?
Or will it be like referees reviewing their own blunders and refusing to rectify them?
 

Fist2Back

Redshirt
Aug 1, 2016
17
24
3
I think with regard to 133 there is a valid argument either way. I do think past season's accomplishments should be a part, but only if the wrestlers are tied and both wrestled all their scheduled matches.

If an injury caused matches to be missed then that is out the window, this sport is tough and even unranked opponents matter.

At 174 there is just stupidity. We know it doesn't matter, but that's even more of a reason it's stupid.

165 also nonsense. It was a recent H2H also, it's not like it was back in Nov. Blaze probably not affected but still.
 
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Dren007

Junior
Feb 19, 2012
202
394
63
Interesting comment over on the Intermat forum that the results from the Paycom duals were included in the seeding numbers. I am not sure if the poster is correct or not. If so, I could see it as a subtle dig at Penn State for not participating.

I wouldn't think that would be fair. What about the teams that were not invited. But i guess I wouldn't be all that surprised.
 

Psu21310

Sophomore
Jul 11, 2025
22
110
28
Some people like buying Blue Chips and some people like IPOs. I'm a blue chip guy.
As far as the PIAA comparison, Prestige points should be only used for the last year of competition for the wrestler, not based on career placement. Same thing with Kasak, his 2025 would be used .
Speaking of Kasak, I think his younger brother had a bad moment over weekend at Junior High tournament.
I won't elaborate.
The brother had a bad moment but what may have been even worse was the lack of integrity showed by his Dad and Mcknight.
 

shotofespresso

Sophomore
Nov 7, 2021
55
145
33
That’s where the common sense comes in. Returning undefeated champs should have some consideration. He can only wrestle the person across the circle from him and he just keeps winning. Let Blaze knock the champ out of #1 when the time comes. #1 stays #1 until they aren’t via a loss.
So then should we then consider all the international and high school accolades as well.. This is the 2026 B1G tournament to determine who is the best 2026 B1G wrestlers… It’s not like Byrd was slighted horribly with the #2 seed. Based on their 2026 accomplishments Blaze should be #1 IMO…
 

Fink26

Freshman
Jul 30, 2001
41
86
18
I think every bracket is messed up. Defenders will say it is just math, but the math does not seem to add up. It does not help that unlike the NCAA seeding matrix, no explanation has been provided as to whether categories are all or nothing or can be split.

141 Does not seem crazy at first glance as the 1-3 seem right and no high ranked guy very low. However, if you dig deeper, it does not make sense either.

How is Bailey ahead of Ragusin, Clark and Davis. Bailey is 1-3 vs. the filed and 1-2 in Big Ten duals. He has 2 QWs and a very good RPI and a better Coaches Ranking then those three. However, Davis is 3-3 vs. the field, 4-3 in Big Ten duals and also has 2 QWs. Ragusin is 3-1 vs. the field, 6-2 in duals with 1 QW. Clark is 1-1 vs. the field, 4-0 in duals and 1 QW.

By my scorecard:

Davis beats Bailey 69.5-39.5 (there is 105 points because they both got AQs for conference). I believe Willie said it is a 3/2 split if both have a CR.
Ragusin beats Bailey 64.5-40
Clark and Bailey tie 52.5 each if Bailey gets 25 points for beating Seltzer.
Davis beats Clark 68-37
Ragusin beats Davis 74.5-30

I can't reverse engineer the numbers where Bailey has mor points than Ragusin.
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,313
13,114
113
Interesting comment over on the Intermat forum that the results from the Paycom duals were included in the seeding numbers. I am not sure if the poster is correct or not. If so, I could see it as a subtle dig at Penn State for not participating.

I'm skeptical of that claim.

OKST Duals would be included in the "H2H vs the field" criterion. But that's not the claim on the linked post.

I doubt they were included in the "Conference Duals" criterion. First, those aren't conference duals. Second, without those, all teams had 8 duals. Third, including those gives some wrestlers a mathematical out for skipping a regular dual.

Then again, B10 Transparency yada yada yada.
 
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Goggles Paisano

All-Conference
Feb 6, 2018
776
2,020
93
For the most part, it's much ado about nothing. They will fix most of this mess Friday but not all, and even some new screwage will be the result of the well intentioned meddling. Then next year the algorythm will get a tweak or two (unless they sh$t can the whole idea)..

I guarantee none of our opponents at the weights where we got hosed are very happy right now. If nothing changes, the biggest winner in all of this IMO is Max.

Levi will breeze no matter who he faces. If PJ and Blaze really are the best it shouldn't matter there either.

That said my money is on Rocco getting screwed even with an adjustment.
 

F7Mello

Junior
Aug 5, 2025
167
299
63

This is not that hard, as others have pointed out. The method confounds variables that are not independent of one another. The algorithm does not account for this interdependence because the designers (read AI) were too lazy to actually do the math and design a system that focuses on independent variables. They also failed to account for ducking higher ranked wrestlers. Furthermore, as pointed out, the highest ranked wrestlers appear to be penalized for not wrestling against themselves. If this sounds preposterous, it because the algorithm is preposterous. Any reasonable model is tested. For instance, the algorithm should have been tested earlier in the year, but they were too lazy to do so. It's standard practice to calibrate a model using past data. This is NOT that hard, they should have used the past tournaments entrants, run the seeding model and compared results to both the "human" seeds and actual results. This would have yielded a data driven model (which is how you use math to separate and weight co-dependent variables). But, I guess the BIG just doesn't have enough money to do that. Either that or the people running the BIG are just stupid and lazy....
 

CowbellMan

Senior
Feb 1, 2024
276
692
93
Previous year is embedded within coaches rank. Anything more than that punishes freshmen and guys who shirted or were injured last year.

And why do we try to help guys who missed time with injury early in the season? Especially in B10 seeding, where very few conference matches occur before January.
Because improper seeding can artificially drop a bomb in the backside of a bracket and unfairly punish someone fighting back thru.
 

Psalm 1 guy

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2019
1,159
4,436
113
For the most part, it's much ado about nothing. They will fix most of this mess Friday but not all, and even some new screwage will be the result of the well intentioned meddling. Then next year the algorythm will get a tweak or two (unless they sh$t can the whole idea)..

I guarantee none of our opponents at the weights where we got hosed are very happy right now. If nothing changes, the biggest winner in all of this IMO is Max.

Levi will breeze no matter who he faces. If PJ and Blaze really are the best it shouldn't matter there either.

That said my money is on Rocco getting screwed even with an adjustment.
If there is more than 15 points difference between the seeds most are having an issue with, then nothing will change on Friday.
 

Eastern HWT

Freshman
Jan 3, 2015
26
66
13
I haven’t seen much about 285.

2 beat 1, but 1 beat both 3 and 4
3 beat 2 (twice), but 2 beat both 1 and 4
4 beat 3. 3 beat 2 and lost to 1, and 4 lost to both 1 and 2

so how many times have you seen seeds where

4 beat 3, 3 beat 2, and 2 beat 1
 

Niklex316

Redshirt
Apr 6, 2022
25
46
13
Not sure if this was already talked about out in this thread already but on what planet does Illinois 125 Spencer Moore get the #2 seed over Bouzakis!??

Moore is 14-6, Bouzakis 1 loss in SV to the #1. Moore has a loss to Dean Peterson, who Bouzakis has beaten twice including via pin once, and has losses to Tyler Klinksy of Rider and Mack Mauger of Missouri. His best win is over Jacob Moran 5-2 in SV who Bouzakis majored 11-2.

So better record, 5 less losses and best overall loss, way better wins including majoring the guys best win… how on earth would any metric place him above Bouzakis!??

This and the Levi situation should IMMEDIATELY scrap this whack *** system. It literally is adding up the amount of matches someone wrestles (quantity) over quality. It’s basically saying if you wrestle 30 matches and lose 10 of them, that will put you ahead of someone who is 13-1.
 

The Pitchfork Rebel

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2021
575
1,345
93
Well, that was fun. Some interesting results from a numbers-based system. Learned that there can be challenges, which many thought beforehand but now is confirmed. I always wanted to be a fly on the wall at the coaches meeting, but never like this year.

Before I post this, just want to say I love Shane Sparks. Once upon a time the jury was still out for me but no longer, not for many a year in fact. I had the good fortune of spending time with him at Penn State years ago after a dual, and caught up with him for quality time at an airport (pictures can prove it!). He's been an amazing ambassador for the sport, is more knowledgeable than anyone I know regarding college wrestling and his cocaine Shane (affectionately) style has grown on me big time. Then today at the end of the BTN seeding show he went off on an amazing rant about the 2026 Big Ten Wrestling Championship. It should be used by BTN as an ad for the conference tournament!

I like his enthusiasm and knowledge, but for his own sake needs to reduce the caffeine intake.
 
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El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,313
13,114
113
Because improper seeding can artificially drop a bomb in the backside of a bracket and unfairly punish someone fighting back thru.
We're still talking about seeding the B10 Tournament, right?

These guys could miss the entire months of November and December, and since B10 duals start in January, the only difference would be for guys who don't get an RPI, which is unlikely to drop a top guy into a low enough seed to cause a consi bomb.

In any case, the controversial seeds at 133, 165, and 174 won't change consis at all.

Cannon and Ferrari will have the biggest consi impact, but they got plenty of early-season matches. They missed conference action -- punishing that was an intended feature of the seeding. IMO they should move to 6 and 11 respectively in order to minimize that impact. Cannon maybe could happen. Seriously doubt Ferrari would get dropped that far.
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,313
13,114
113
Not sure if this was already talked about out in this thread already but on what planet does Illinois 125 Spencer Moore get the #2 seed over Bouzakis!??

Moore is 14-6, Bouzakis 1 loss in SV to the #1. Moore has a loss to Dean Peterson, who Bouzakis has beaten twice including via pin once, and has losses to Tyler Klinksy of Rider and Mack Mauger of Missouri. His best win is over Jacob Moran 5-2 in SV who Bouzakis majored 11-2.

So better record, 5 less losses and best overall loss, way better wins including majoring the guys best win… how on earth would any metric place him above Bouzakis!??

This and the Levi situation should IMMEDIATELY scrap this whack *** system. It literally is adding up the amount of matches someone wrestles (quantity) over quality. It’s basically saying if you wrestle 30 matches and lose 10 of them, that will put you ahead of someone who is 13-1.
Agreed, Bouzakis at 3 is stupid on stilts. But we all know how it happened: he got punished for missing two B10 duals, and he didn't get enough matches for an RPI.

Let's not confuse the rest. Overall record, non-conference opponents, and bonus are not part of seeding -- and were not last year either. They fuel the sniff test, but nothing more.
 

CTStall

Senior
Oct 24, 2020
279
711
93
Just wondering how Friday coaches meeting works.?
I assume that each team probably gets a few challenges regarding wrestler placement of their own wrestlers. Do they start at a specific weight and if coaches have issues ,they present points of issue. After listening a neutral coach(es)adjust.??
Above is just a guess by me. I would think the decision should be done by a 3rd party (Willie😏) but I don't think that is the situation.
 
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