Live updates: Big Ten wrestling preseeds release on BTN

WV lion

All-Conference
Oct 17, 2021
1,398
1,919
113
It sure would be nice to see the actual math from the algorithm. Most make sense based on the provided criteria but I can't see how they figured Minto ahead of Levi

Head to Head vs. the Field (25 points) Levi wins that, he's 5-0, Minto is 7-3. Does Minto get credit for the 3 guys that ducked Levi?
Common opponents Record (25 points) Levi won head to head. Minto's other losses were to Kharchla and Kennedy, both ducked Levi.
Conference Dual Record (20 points) Levi was 8-0, Minto 6-2
Quality Matches (10 points) Does not say Quality Wins, that's got to be an error right. Maybe Minto takes this one.
RPI (10 points) Minto wins, is it 10-0 or a split like 7-3?
Conference allocation (5 points) This one is even, both get 5.
My guess is guys not wrestling against Haines really hurt him. Hurts him in common opponents record, quality matches and rpi.
 
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PSUbluTX

All-Conference
Feb 7, 2018
335
1,414
93
Levi won the head to head, wrestled every match, was undefeated, Minto has 4 losses, 2 in Big10 duals and Levi threw him 20 feet through the air. How in the world does Minto mathematically earn more seeding points than Levi. They truly did use wrestlestat, didn't they?
Anyone else think Levi/Minto is their 1 intentional “mess up” so on Friday they can demonstrate their willingness to make a single correction?
 
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Bob_Anderson

Sophomore
Oct 6, 2021
95
176
33
Levi won the head to head, wrestled every match, was undefeated, Minto has 4 losses, 2 in Big10 duals and Levi threw him 20 feet through the air. How in the world does Minto mathematically earn more seeding points than Levi. They truly did use wrestlestat, didn't they?
When somebody mentioned wrestlestat, I thought it was a joke, a gag, anything but serious. Whoever thought it was a good idea to associate ANY official rankings, characterizations, or other things that actually matter with wrestlestat should step aside. If it turns out that the coaches were involved, then maybe the gym teacher stereotypes are not too far off.
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,316
13,126
113
And as usual with all the byes, there will be wringing of hands, panic, and gnashing of teeth when PSU falls behind early. When I coached high school this often happened to us and I would have parents all upset but they relaxed in the later rounds, LOL. For a few years, one was able to turndown a seed and just jump in the draw (only 8 were seeded in a 32 or 64 man bracket.) I had to do that a few times too. The old saying is "if you are good enough, your seed doesn't matter." ... I have faith in our guys!

Pearl clutching over 184/157 is silly.

we are the 1 and you get what you earn. Either in qtrs or the finals.

bigs while a wonderful tournament remains just regional qualifier to the big dance
Then why not give all our guys the 11 seed, so their paths include the 6, 3, 2, and 1?

Seeds matter. If nothing else, bad seeds degrade the product.
 

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,595
4,742
113
At 165, Caliendo is 2 and J. Blaze is 3. Blaze beat Caliendo H2H. Not really much difference being 2 or 3 since they are on the bottom half and theoretically should meet in the semifinals and are separated from 1.

Pure number systems aren’t the answer. Coaches will hopefully make some changes.
Not much difference but this one is as ridiculous as Minto. Blaze is undefeated, beat Caliendo and Caliendo has 2 in conference losses.
At 174, not only does Minto have 2 in conference losses but they were to seeds 2 and 3 while Levi is undefeated Kennedy has 2 in conference losses, but beat Minto head to head.
 

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,595
4,742
113
When somebody mentioned wrestlestat, I thought it was a joke, a gag, anything but serious. Whoever thought it was a good idea to associate ANY official rankings, characterizations, or other things that actually matter with wrestlestat should step aside. If it turns out that the coaches were involved, then maybe the gym teacher stereotypes are not too far off.
Yeah. I was thinking joke also. But it is rather obvious they used a joke to seed the tournament.
The only way Levi misses on the math determination is the 5-0 against the field. If a ranking system penalizes the guy who toed the line, while someone ducked him find a different gosh darned system.
 
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vhsalum

All-Conference
Nov 14, 2002
1,040
2,301
113
Cael just said the coaches voted for this system.

Why they didn't just let it be a human committee is unbelievably short-sighted. Have a matrix, have humans. Just like NCAAs.

Sheesh.
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
605
1,748
93
At 157 pounds, PJ Duke is the No. 2 seed. He will get the winner of No. 7 Brandon Cannon vs. No. 10 Victor Voinovich in the quarterfinal. Cannon being No. 7 is wild, but OSU can challenge it.
This is the downside of letting an algorithm do the seeding. Duke gets screwed because both Cannon and Voinovich are criminally underseeded at 7 and 10.
 

District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,083
2,537
113
PJ vs Cannon that early sucks but I'd say it sucks more for the Bucknut.. He is coming back from injury, apparently requiring minor surgery.. I'm sure he would have preferred a couple easier matches to get deeper into the tourney before running into another hammer.. PJ just needs to come out and wrestle his match.. Not gas.. and I think he gets thru that match with a win.. Look .. to win the B!G tourney you are going to have to win some tough matches.. early/late.. does it really matter?
Ryan mff cannon into the consis
 

Hlstone

Senior
Oct 11, 2021
320
831
93
Well, that was fun. Some interesting results from a numbers-based system. Learned that there can be challenges, which many thought beforehand but now is confirmed. I always wanted to be a fly on the wall at the coaches meeting, but never like this year.

Before I post this, just want to say I love Shane Sparks. Once upon a time the jury was still out for me but no longer, not for many a year in fact. I had the good fortune of spending time with him at Penn State years ago after a dual, and caught up with him for quality time at an airport (pictures can prove it!). He's been an amazing ambassador for the sport, is more knowledgeable than anyone I know regarding college wrestling and his cocaine Shane (affectionately) style has grown on me big time. Then today at the end of the BTN seeding show he went off on an amazing rant about the 2026 Big Ten Wrestling Championship. It should be used by BTN as an ad for the conference tournament!


I invited him to the Saturday tailgate between sessions. He is a hoot to hang out with.
 
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Fink26

Freshman
Jul 30, 2001
41
86
18
While I have no way of knowing, the only way I can get to the seeds that the computer spat out at 174 is to treat the first category, HTH vs. filed as being purely the number of wins, not winning percentage. If the former, Pinto wins at 7-3 while Levi is only 5-0 due to OSU, Indiana and Iowa not wrestling their starter against him. Thus, he is punished for being ducked, not ducking.

If that is the case, Levi would not be within 15 of Minto -- Minto HTH 25, QW 10, RPI 10, Coaches 2, AQ 5 -- Levi Big 10 Duals -- 20, Coaches 3, AQ 5. Minto lost to Levi, Facundo, Kennedy and Kharchla. Levi didn't wrestle any of them, so no differences in common opponent.

If the above is correct, the result is Minto 52, Levi 28.
 

GregPickel

Heisman
Staff member
Jul 25, 2021
44,312
95,847
113
Levi is definitely within 15 points of Minto
Blaze is definitely within 15 points of Caliendo
Not sure why they didn't just change those with the head to head that happened instead of putting out nonsense
That's what I don't understand. If you know it's wrong and going to be challenged, just change it and save the embarassment.
 

Fink26

Freshman
Jul 30, 2001
41
86
18
The biggest problems are that it did not include HTH, largest component in NCAA seedings; it appears that it weighted wins over the field higher than winning percentage -- I'd rather be 5-0 with 3 other wins against backups than 6-2; basically ignored coaches ranking by splitting it 3/2 for anyone with a rank thereby making it 10% of RPI.

Also, curious if they used NCAA RPI or WrestleStat RPI, which are close but differ.
 

Headlock

All-Conference
Dec 28, 2023
668
1,393
93
I don't profess to know the process the Big Ten uses to make the seeding happen and I do know that they are offering the caveat that a"challenge" element is available. What I also know, and I'm guessing they don't, is that they embarrass themselves by utilizing a process that misrepresents the best of intentions (i.e.: Haines; Rocco, P.J.) of wrestlers who met the call of duty and wrestled every opponent put in front of them. I get all the philosophical bent of you must beat all to win the ring, but the Big Ten should want to stand above a shoddy approach.
 
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Aardvark86

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
1,231
2,164
113
Head to head vs field -- 25 points

Common opponent record -- 25

Conference dual record -- 20

Quality matches, RPI - 10

Coaches rankings and Conference allocation --5
So thinking about this in the context of Levi...

1. H2H v field. Levi 4-0 with 3 TFs, inc. H2H dec; Minto 6-2 with 6 dec.
2. Common opponents. W/i Big, Levi 1TF and Minto 1 Dec, v. Enright (NU)
3. Conf. dual record. Levi 8-0; Minto 6-2
4. RPI. Levi .66148 (5); Minto .70296 (1)
5. Coaches rankings/allocation. ?

Translation:
1. dafuq?
2. Apparently, ducking not only has benefits in terms of defending one's seed, but also has offensive benefits in terms of denigrating another's.
 

Potterlion

Senior
Jan 25, 2011
183
712
93
Pj' Duke can beat a healthy Cannon let a lone a guy who hasn't wrestle in 5 weeks.

I've never been a high-end wrestler or a coach, but I really wonder about this. Cannon tweaked a knee and as a precaution had a very minor procedure done to ensure that no damage occurred. Since then, he hasn't wrestled a dual, but most would agree that he has been wrestling in the room (albeit after a few weeks' layoff). Now, for the record, I think PJ Duke will beat him if this seeding isn't challenged and changed, but I really don't know that PJ will be facing some lesser version of Cannon. I do know this, IF the seeds don't change and if Cannon wrestles PJ in the quarterfinals as a #7 seed, he's going to get roughed up. I think he COULD win the match, but he'll pay for it. Generally, I really don't think Ryan is likely or inclined to MFF him out if he's healthy (even though I AM aware that he MFF'd his son to avoid Nolf once), but in THIS CASE, I can see him doing it. Drop into the consolation bracket and take 3rd place, versus wrestling in the quarterfinals and either potentially losing (and still having to wrestle back for 3rd) or ending up really getting beaten up. I guess we'll see. It's not fair to Brandon Cannon or to PJ Duke though.
 

vhsalum

All-Conference
Nov 14, 2002
1,040
2,301
113
BTW, scapegoating Wrestlestat doesn't work here. Any computer spits out bad results from a bad equation. Garbage in, garbage out.

B10 is at fault here.

I just wonder why they let Wrestlestat do it in the first place.

No sympathy or empathy for the coaches. You voted for a computer system. That was just negligent. Hope the "allowed" challenges are actually a thing. JFC
 

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,595
4,742
113
So thinking about this in the context of Levi...

1. H2H v field. Levi 4-0 with 3 TFs, inc. H2H dec; Minto 6-2 with 6 dec.
2. Common opponents. W/i Big, Levi 1TF and Minto 1 Dec, v. Enright (NU)
3. Conf. dual record. Levi 8-0; Minto 6-2
4. RPI. Levi .66148 (5); Minto .70296 (1)
5. Coaches rankings/allocation. ?

Translation:
1. dafuq?
2. Apparently, ducking not only has benefits in terms of defending one's seed, but also has offensive benefits in terms of denigrating another's.
There won't be anybody in the Big10 sending their starter out to wrestle Penn State next year.
Seed the team 14, some where along the way the other kids will need to wrestle the Penn State kid