Willie's Crystal Ball - 2/26/26

Nitlion1986

All-Conference
Apr 13, 2024
1,650
4,935
113
Kinda like the year McCutcheon was our 197. Dude found a way to win matches he wasn’t supposed to—and it often started with a lot of heavy collar ties for 5+ minutes. If he gets a good draw Gabe could make the podium.
He is super tough, but at nationals it will be difficult to survive that many SV matches.
 

CowbellMan

Senior
Feb 1, 2024
280
705
93
Not sure why he is not wrestling 174. We have heard for the last 2 years he was beating everybody in the room, including Kennedy. That was information put out there by all of the self identified HR insiders and other people who just know stuff. Gabe is still there, so I assume he likes the room, the teammates and the staff, so God bless the decision to stay. I always think the kid would have been better served just about any place else.
You have to get a TD to win a wrestle off, usually.
 
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Efejle

All-Conference
Apr 30, 2023
913
2,131
93
Basch, earlier today exposed both Husker Willie AND Penn State Willie 😂
 

Fatwoodchuck

Senior
Oct 19, 2023
417
639
93
Who says I am short for 197?


I bet only half of this board have any idea on this one. I am getting old.


What does it say about me that I did not have to look this up:

Green Acres is the place to be
Farm living is the life for me
Land spreadin' out so far and wide
Keep Manhattan just give me that countryside

New York is where I'd rather stay
I get allergic smelling hay
I just adore a penthouse view
Darling, I love you but give me Park Avenue
Im only 43 and I knew this, not that you guys aren't old, just saying. 😋
 
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El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,417
13,623
113
Kinda like the year McCutcheon was our 197. Dude found a way to win matches he wasn’t supposed to—and it often started with a lot of heavy collar ties for 5+ minutes. If he gets a good draw Gabe could make the podium.
That's a pretty good analogy, though Tim Dudley (twice) and Zack Zavatsky were better than anybody Arnold has beaten.

Also Mouse never placed.
 

mcpat

All-American
Mar 12, 2021
1,808
7,289
113
Not sure why he is not wrestling 174. We have heard for the last 2 years he was beating everybody in the room, including Kennedy. That was information put out there by all of the self identified HR insiders and other people who just know stuff. Gabe is still there, so I assume he likes the room, the teammates and the staff, so God bless the decision to stay. I always think the kid would have been better served just about any place else.
It sounds like Gabe has had more than his fair share of mental demons, like many do, and the coaches and program have been very good for him in that regard.
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
621
1,785
93
By “make the podium” you mean like with legos or building blocks or something, right?
Let's not get carried away here. Gabe's not some kind of incompetent invalid. I'm sure he could build a fine looking podium if you give him the right supplies and tools.
 
Oct 31, 2021
97
330
53
Kinda like the year McCutcheon was our 197. Dude found a way to win matches he wasn’t supposed to—and it often started with a lot of heavy collar ties for 5+ minutes. If he gets a good draw Gabe could make the podium.
Gabe's got to earn his way into NCAAs first. He's looking at a goose egg on the new B1G seed algorithm and gonna be the 14 seed. That should get him Remy Cotton in round 1. He won't beat Cotton. First round of consos shouldn't be a problem then he'll get the loser of the 4/5 match, Geog or Branson. He won't win that one. He's got to advance through the mini bracket and finishing 9 or 10 in B1Gs is not going to get him a seed that leads to a good draw.
 

nerfstate

All-Conference
Oct 11, 2021
622
2,547
93
Gabe's got to earn his way into NCAAs first. He's looking at a goose egg on the new B1G seed algorithm and gonna be the 14 seed. That should get him Remy Cotton in round 1. He won't beat Cotton. First round of consos shouldn't be a problem then he'll get the loser of the 4/5 match, Geog or Branson. He won't win that one. He's got to advance through the mini bracket and finishing 9 or 10 in B1Gs is not going to get him a seed that leads to a good draw.
I didn’t say I was predicting it to happen. “If” and “could” are doing a lot of heavy lifting in my comment.
 
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dicemen99

All-Conference
Nov 15, 2005
3,409
4,495
113
Gabe's got to earn his way into NCAAs first. He's looking at a goose egg on the new B1G seed algorithm and gonna be the 14 seed. That should get him Remy Cotton in round 1. He won't beat Cotton. First round of consos shouldn't be a problem then he'll get the loser of the 4/5 match, Geog or Branson. He won't win that one. He's got to advance through the mini bracket and finishing 9 or 10 in B1Gs is not going to get him a seed that leads to a good draw.
I would think he's got a very legitimate shot at beating Cotton. I don't buy that all the guys will be too big for him. Just the very top guys and there aren't many of them at 197. Maybe 3 guys at 197 in total (all conferences) that he doesn't have a shot at and another 6-8 that will be tough matches for him, but will be low scoring and that will give him a shot. Big has 10 allocations at 197 and there is no shot in hell he doesn't qualify for NCAAs.

And I don't think he gets the 14 seed. The algorithm is a guide, but not the final answer. If he's on the other side of Barr, he could find his way to the Big final, not that I would predict it. If he does get the 14th, then, yes, your scenario is in play but I think he probably gets it done in 1 out of the 2 tough matchups and ends up top 3-6.
 

PSU Mike

All-American
Jul 28, 2001
4,177
7,318
113
I would think he's got a very legitimate shot at beating Cotton. I don't buy that all the guys will be too big for him. Just the very top guys and there aren't many of them at 197. Maybe 3 guys at 197 in total (all conferences) that he doesn't have a shot at and another 6-8 that will be tough matches for him, but will be low scoring and that will give him a shot. Big has 10 allocations at 197 and there is no shot in hell he doesn't qualify for NCAAs.

And I don't think he gets the 14 seed. The algorithm is a guide, but not the final answer. If he's on the other side of Barr, he could find his way to the Big final, not that I would predict it. If he does get the 14th, then, yes, your scenario is in play but I think he probably gets it done in 1 out of the 2 tough matchups and ends up top 3-6.
A bunch are destined to go to rideouts, which is somewhere he doesn’t want to be as a lighter 184 up there.
 
Oct 31, 2021
97
330
53
I would think he's got a very legitimate shot at beating Cotton. I don't buy that all the guys will be too big for him. Just the very top guys and there aren't many of them at 197. Maybe 3 guys at 197 in total (all conferences) that he doesn't have a shot at and another 6-8 that will be tough matches for him, but will be low scoring and that will give him a shot. Big has 10 allocations at 197 and there is no shot in hell he doesn't qualify for NCAAs.

And I don't think he gets the 14 seed. The algorithm is a guide, but not the final answer. If he's on the other side of Barr, he could find his way to the Big final, not that I would predict it. If he does get the 14th, then, yes, your scenario is in play but I think he probably gets it done in 1 out of the 2 tough matchups and ends up top 3-6.
@WillieTheBrain has been telling us that the algo can only be challenged when the difference is less than 15. Gabe shouldn't be within 15 of anybody if what we've been told is accurate. This size difference is gonna be a challenge for him.
 

El_Jefe

Heisman
Oct 11, 2021
3,417
13,623
113
@WillieTheBrain has been telling us that the algo can only be challenged when the difference is less than 15. Gabe shouldn't be within 15 of anybody if what we've been told is accurate. This size difference is gonna be a challenge for him.
Maybe Arnold could get the 13 seed ahead of NW's Smith, who's 0-8 B10. Generally, 0-0 isn't worse than 0-8. But we don't know how the B10 algorithm will score Conference Dual Record, because yet again no B10 transparency.

Agreed that he won't be in range of anybody else. The next 2 guys with bad conference records (Purdue's Vanadia, 1-4; Connell be Illin', 1-4) have both beaten guys in the latest Coaches Poll (Branson John and Gavin Nelson, respectively).

As far as his chances go:
- Cotton lost to 13 Zurawski (Rider) 14-7 and Ohio State backup Shumate 19-5.
- John lost to 25 Vanadia (Purdue) 18-5.

IMO Arnold has a decent shot at either, and probably a better shot at Cotton (plus that would keep him out of Barr's half).
 

Kiddagger311

Senior
Sep 17, 2025
705
437
63
I would think he's got a very legitimate shot at beating Cotton. I don't buy that all the guys will be too big for him. Just the very top guys and there aren't many of them at 197. Maybe 3 guys at 197 in total (all conferences) that he doesn't have a shot at and another 6-8 that will be tough matches for him, but will be low scoring and that will give him a shot. Big has 10 allocations at 197 and there is no shot in hell he doesn't qualify for NCAAs.

And I don't think he gets the 14 seed. The algorithm is a guide, but not the final answer. If he's on the other side of Barr, he could find his way to the Big final, not that I would predict it. If he does get the 14th, then, yes, your scenario is in play but I think he probably gets it done in 1 out of the 2 tough matchups and ends up top 3-6.
RU, fan here, Cotton is having a good season and I am hoping he doesn’t see G.Arnold 1st round….
 
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lionlover

All-American
Jul 8, 2001
3,418
6,749
113
I want to see Gabe wrestle a match at 285 before his college career is over.
dwarf GIF
 
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lionlover

All-American
Jul 8, 2001
3,418
6,749
113
What does it say about me that I did not have to look this up:

Green Acres is the place to be
Farm living is the life for me
Land spreadin' out so far and wide
Keep Manhattan just give me that countryside

New York is where I'd rather stay
I get allergic smelling hay
I just adore a penthouse view
Darling, I love you but give me Park Avenue
The only thing I remember about that show is that I always fantasized banging Mrs Douglas in their barn.

Is something wrong with me?
 

Random4598375

All-Conference
Jan 10, 2020
621
1,785
93
I would think he's got a very legitimate shot at beating Cotton. I don't buy that all the guys will be too big for him. Just the very top guys and there aren't many of them at 197. Maybe 3 guys at 197 in total (all conferences) that he doesn't have a shot at and another 6-8 that will be tough matches for him, but will be low scoring and that will give him a shot. Big has 10 allocations at 197 and there is no shot in hell he doesn't qualify for NCAAs.

And I don't think he gets the 14 seed. The algorithm is a guide, but not the final answer. If he's on the other side of Barr, he could find his way to the Big final, not that I would predict it. If he does get the 14th, then, yes, your scenario is in play but I think he probably gets it done in 1 out of the 2 tough matchups and ends up top 3-6.
Cotton is about as good of a 14-3 matchup as he could possibly hope for. Regardless, he’s still giving up 20 lbs from his natural weight, which just isn’t easy to overcome against anyone. I fully expect that one to be a 2-1 TB1 match as long as he doesn’t give up a stalling point along the way. which he has a chance to pull out by random chance. If “legitimate shot” means he’s a favorite, no way. If it means it wouldn’t be shocking to see it happen, then sure, but it’s going to be a really tough road for him.
 
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bwc

Senior
May 22, 2014
156
458
63
Altoona would work equally well for those living in Blair County.

The vast and very cosmopolitan Altoona? /s

I'd think Williamsburg or Puzzletown would work a little better. Of course, they'd have to have internet to read the joke, so you may be right.
 
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May 7, 2022
254
799
93
For getting 10 allocations, 197 appears rather weak for the BigTen.

Arnold should place top 10 and qualify for Nationals.
Arnold could AA at 197. He’s going to push and pull with heavy neck pressure. Ride hard. Get an E and try to get the W late or OT.

the height offset going to be interesting to watch
 
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