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Recent content by Alexander33

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    With the expanded playoffs is it time to use computer seeding?

    Bringing this thread back to the top for general reference.
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    IHSA playoff seeding process.....

    About a week ago a very similar thread was introduced and discussed. The thread was titled, "With the expanded playoffs, is it time to use computer seeding?" Although it was not a formal proposal by an IHSA member school, the 50th post in that thread provided a comprehensive alternative seeding...
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    IHSA playoff seeding process.....

    There are tradeoffs in life and different people value the tradeoffs differently. You and many others want to seed the teams based on their ability to play excellent football. Such an approach requires a significant strength of schedule component when evaluating each team's season. It seems...
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    Chicago Catholic League Exponential Smoothing Power Ratings

    I didn't think I was defending it tooth and nail. Several people had asked how the formula works, so I merely presented that information. I respect your right to disagree with and therefore disregard the information I present. Having done the calculations for my own personal use, I thought I...
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    Chicago Catholic League Exponential Smoothing Power Ratings

    The thing that gets smoothed is a wide variation between a predicted game score and the final actual score of the game. This is done for two reasons. First, it limits the impact on the power rating of a team running up a score, and it significantly limits the harmful impact on a team's power...
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    Chicago Catholic League Exponential Smoothing Power Ratings

    These are the ratings after eight weeks of play. The number to the right of each team's win/loss record is how many points worse than Mt. Carmel each team is. 1. Mt. Carmel (6-2) 0.0 2. Brother Rice (6-2) 5.6 3. Loyola (8-0) 8.6 4. Nazareth (4-4) 21.2 5. IC Catholic (7-1) 21.4 6. Montini (6-2)...
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    With the expanded playoffs is it time to use computer seeding?

    Recognizing the truth of a matter, and then using that truth effectively is usually the difference between success and failure in life. Pretending that objective truth does not exist is a formula for failure. Pretending that all 9-0 teams are equal in football-playing ability is a formula for...
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    With the expanded playoffs is it time to use computer seeding?

    Teams are generally not hurt by the seeds they receive. When they are hurt, it is generally because of an inaccurate seed their opponent has been given. Players generally want to play. That means they would like to play as many playoff games as their team's ability legitimately allows, while...
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    What Team(s) Will Stay Undefeated the Longest this year?

    It will be a difficult task for any team to win a state championship undefeated, but the two teams with the best chance seem to be Byron and Wilmington. Wilmington still has a tough regular season test against Coal City. Loyola at least gets Mt. Carmel at home in the regular season. So, if they...
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    The Official Unbiased Top Ten week 8

    1. Loyola (7-0) 2. East St. Louis (6-1) 3. Lincoln-Way East (7-0) 4. Brother Rice (5-2) 5. Mt. Carmel (5-2) 6. Rochester (7-0) 7. Bolingbrook (6-1) 8. Oswego (6-1) 9. Byron (7-0) 10. IC Catholic (7-0) 11. Downers Grove North (6-1) 12. Morris (7-0) 13. Geneva (6-1) 14. Normal (7-0) 15. Prospect...
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    MC 49 PC 14 Final nm

    Here are some facts for the Mt. Carmel supporters to contemplate. The following information represents the results of the four games played between the top five teams in the state. To the right of each team is the won/lost record of the team in those games, and then the aggregate point...
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    Top 12 Public High School Football Teams

    Although Antioch is undefeated, I would take any of the 12 teams on my list to beat them if they played. The same thing is true about Wauconda.
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    Top 12 Public High School Football Teams

    The six teams on my list that I thought might be included on the lists of others did, in fact, appear on the list you displayed. It appears that list (top 25) is the result of combining the MaxPreps computer rankings and the Massey computer rankings.
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    Top 12 Public High School Football Teams

    I hear all of you. Let's expand it to one-loss teams right now. Feel free to include one-loss teams but let's keep the other two restrictions, namely public schools and 4A and higher. Provide any comments you like and feel free to share your own top-ten teams, or top 12 if you would like. It...
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    Top 12 Public High School Football Teams

    This is a very restricted top-12 list. First, it lists only teams that are public high schools. Second, the teams must be undefeated to be included on this list. Third, the teams must play at the 4A class level or higher in the playoffs to be on the list. The main purpose is to generate a little...
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