These type of things are always hard, because so many variables exists for not only UK, but also for the teams they will play. Will Fox and Monk be better or worse backcourt combo than Ulis and Murray? And before people start jumping, it is possible that Fox and Monk will be better, maybe not likely, but possible. Will Bam be as dominant as it seems he is capable of? Will Willis continue to improve on defense and keep his shooting stroke from last year? Has Humphries improved enough to demand a lot of playing time? Will SKJ be what we thought Skal will be? Is Gabriel ready to contribute in a big time way? Will Briscoe's shot improve to where people have to actually guard him outside of 10 feet?
Honestly, if everybody reaches the heights that they are capable of, this team won't lose a game. If most of the returners improve slightly, and we mostly get what we project out of the freshmen, then 4-5 losses is likely. If we get no improvement out of the returners, and the freshmen struggle, it could be another 10-12 loss season.