Teams Compared to Preseason Expectations
- Thread starter LaQuintaHawk
- Start date
Not sure where they come up with this stuff.
But the expectation expert is Vegas.
And at this point, Iowa is surpassing the expectation of 7.5 wins
But the expectation expert is Vegas.
And at this point, Iowa is surpassing the expectation of 7.5 wins
JMHO. I think we should be in the top tier of that graphic. Two decent road wins in spite of the home loss to theeee #5 Ohio State.
Switch Iowa and Nebraska. Cornhuskers choking to a ranked team is just as expected.
With the hawks having one of the youngest teams in D1 and losing so many starters I would think and place Iowa in the better than expected group.
At the start of the season most prognosticators probably had the hawks being 3-3 or 4-2 at this point. There were projected losses to Mich and OSU and probably Wash. But instead the hawks beat Mich, hung tough with OSU until 40 seconds left in the first half, and clobbered Wash.
It will be interesting to see if ucla can keep winning without their QB?
The Hawks were a team a lot of talking heads mentioned that had a chance to make the playoffs. They still are.
Meeting expectations.
Meeting expectations.
Nobody. They're even worse than that. Also missing are Michigan State and Rutgers. The bar was low and somehow they've managed to sink way, way below it.
Currently by analytics the hawks are underdogs to NW and Nebraska so the pure stats do not place the hawks very high,hence not beating expectations.
Sadly, these analytic- driven ratings seem to rule the way media forms their impression of teams.
Iowa will never flourish in pure stats.
Sadly, these analytic- driven ratings seem to rule the way media forms their impression of teams.
Iowa will never flourish in pure stats.
Iowa was picked as a dark horse CFP team. They are still a dark horse CFP team. The bar has been lowered on Nebraska and they always look better than expected the first 5 or 6 games of the season. Then reality hits.
Iowa was picked as A 7.5 win total team across the board. Iowa is overachieving and was undervalued to start the year.
SP+ ratings have issues with Iowa, it's as simple as that. Their offensive efficiency, coupled with recruiting rankings/returning production drag that number down. Analytics in football are nearly laughable based on the sample sizes.
I guess. Who had Iowa going 2-1 vs @Michigan, Ohio state, and @Washington? So we are a bit further along than expected.
Nobody did , Vegas had Iowa at 7.5 wins. Potentially hell of a year
Right, but Washington and Michigan being at the bottom of that graphic also factors into those outcomes.
College Football Playoff dark horses: Florida, Iowa among preseason long shot threats to crash the party
After one month of the season, these 10 teams have come from off the radar to challenge for a spot in the CFP
www.cbssports.com
Doesn’t contradict a thing I said, Iowa was 7.5 win total across the board before the year, and I don’t recall many predicting Iowa taking 2 of 3 for OSU,Michigan, UW.College Football Playoff dark horses: Florida, Iowa among preseason long shot threats to crash the party
After one month of the season, these 10 teams have come from off the radar to challenge for a spot in the CFP
to suggest Iowa was a widespread playoff pick before this season is laughable.
Yep. Not all 5-1 are created equal. Look at Iowa schedule vs theirs. They beat 3 non P4 teams all at home. Then other 2 Ws against 2 of the 3 worst big 10 teams (Mich st and arguably the worst team with Maryland). Played 5 of 6 of the games at home but let’s give them credit for another moral victory for playing IU close.
That wasn’t the commentary, a decent number of prognosticators claimed Iowa would be a dark horse. That is what you replied to by saying “no one.” Good lord dude just admit you’re wrong. Man you and eyes have the market cornered on that monopoly
Iowa helped put their a$$es at the bottom of that graphic too!
They did, but in conference play Michigan is 0-2 and Washington is 0-3 and both have losses against Minnesota as well as Iowa. Neither one looked good in the non-con either.
We are NOT “one of the youngest teams” …
Starting experience? Yes. Youngest? No.
Most of the starters have been in college many years now.
And…You’re seemingly giving us some level of ‘kudos’ for “hanging tough” for almost a half with Ohio State. That’s too funny.
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Do you ever have anything positive to say about Iowa? Are you really an Iowa fan? Why even bother watching if it makes you this miserable?
Yes and Yes.
And to your second comment: What?? Get the heck outta here with this crap.
You old geezer’s are really something.
Hate to tell you this sparky but you are the one that comes off as a miserable old *** geezer. Must suck to constantly be negative in life.
I answer to this call. And, I'll (grumble) add that I'm also an old wheezer.
Ditto re: Iowa's predictions.
regarding Nebraska, their first five games were obvious wins, and their sixth game, v. Indiana, was a probable loss.
In other words, anybody who follows college football could have predicted accurately a 5-1 record. So, I do not know how they get "better than expected" for Nebraska, nor do I know who gets paid to write these kind of things.
I don't know about the analytics.
But I can promise you Iowa will be favored against Nebraska. And there's a pretty good chance the Hawks are favored vs NW, too.
The pure stats have Iowa at 5-1
Part of Iowa's preseason expectation was the expectation that Michigan and Washington would be good
Michigan was also ranked 18th coming off a win over Oklahoma when Iowa beat them, Michigan is #2 defense nationally. Washington was favored by three over Iowa when they played.
That remains to be seen. They only have 5 wins at this point. Crazy things can happen.
So,
Nebraska has beaten 5 teams that they were heavy favorites over and lost to the team in which they were the underdog….and is exceeding expectations.
Iowa has beaten 5 teams, 2 in which they were heavily favored, 1 rivalry game, and 2 road games in which they were the underdogs, including the Big House and West Coast, and their only loss is to the odds-on favorite to win the natty….and is only meeting expectations.
Nebraska has beaten 5 teams that they were heavy favorites over and lost to the team in which they were the underdog….and is exceeding expectations.
Iowa has beaten 5 teams, 2 in which they were heavily favored, 1 rivalry game, and 2 road games in which they were the underdogs, including the Big House and West Coast, and their only loss is to the odds-on favorite to win the natty….and is only meeting expectations.
That's a very broad look.
I could make the statement: "The Hawks were expected to win some games. They have."
Meeting expectations.
In reality, they were NOT expected to have a 5-1 record at the mid-point of the season. 4-2 or 3-3 was the likely expectation. With a 4-2 record they would obviously have a chance to make the playoffs. Therefore, Iowa having a chance to make the playoffs should not be the only data point to determine whether they are meeting or exceeding expectations.
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