BWI Sports Betting Thread

[Chumboshifko1]

The books made a fortune on the Commander's game.

Suckers.

 

[Chumboshifko1]

lol you flunked math too I see

 

[MtNittany]

My analysis thru 29 pages of plays in this thread…

Plays posted before a game starts: ~50% (maybe a touch higher, give credit for some early Cignetti love)

Plays posted after games have finished: 99% (Eric Cole keeps it from 100%, but he’s going to break thru some day to give a big score, hopefully in a week I have him in fantasy)

Don't count on Eric. His caddy (Russ Cochran's son) once explained it to me. He spent so much time on the mini tours that he swore if he ever made it out there, there would be NO pin he wouldn't fire at. This shows up in his play on weekends where he makes too many 5's and 6's. Hitting it right to left doesn't help either.

 

[Grant Green]

Notable QB injuries to keep an eye on. Also notable that the back ups all did fairly well.

 

[Grant Green]

Misleading box scores. As usual, turnovers typically tell the story. Note Marshall's 6 turnovers! Otherwise, they were much better than CC.

You know who didn't have a misleading box score? Oregon State because they continue to be a wagon. They've always been one of my favorite bet-on teams because they are constantly underrated and play really well at home. Glad to see them back and I will continue to play on them this season.

 

[Grant Green]

No B10 updates.
2026: 2-1-1
Since 2024: 19-31-1

ACC
Wake travels to Stanford and covers by a lot
2026: 3-2
Since 2025: 10-9

B10 update
Iowa smokes UW to score 1 for the 2+ TZ travelers. Unfortunately, USC also covers for the travelers (they are now 2-17 ATS since 2012 when traveling 2+ TZ).

Seeing market correction this year
2026: 4-1-1
Since 2024: 21-31-1

ACC
Our boy James gives one back to the home side. I'm not going to count ND's win over Stanford since they are not officially in the conference.

2026: 3-3
Since 2025: 10-10

 

[Grant Green]

If you were thinking about betting the pat Fitzgerald revenge angle…..

 

[Grant Green]

 

[CDLionFL]

Scrolled through the NFL lines and saw Panthers/Eagles was -1/pick-em...20 mins later, the Hurts news comes out and it quickly jumped to Panthers 3 1/2.

 

[Grant Green]

Scrolled through the NFL lines and saw Panthers/Eagles was -1/pick-em...20 mins later, the Hurts news comes out and it quickly jumped to Panthers 3 1/2.

Yeah, I just posted in the Philly thread. A lot of people will be surprised that Hurts>MKee is only with 2.5 to 3 points. I am not. I would be very tempted to bet the Eagles at +4 or better.

 

[Grant Green]

Indiana's opponents have fumbled 9 times this season and recovered all 9. Regression coming?
More tickets written on OSU but the line has gone from -3.5 to -3 since yesterday. IU is 1-5 ATS this season.