Feels like a team that is going to play every game close. Win the turnover battle and win special teams and we’ll probably win. Lose either of those and the game is probably a toss up against good BIG teams and a loss against the top BIG teams. Definitely see this team with the ability to flirt (and possibly make) the playoff. But unfortunately I see the margin for error as pretty small and they could limp to 8-4 as well.
Rough win guesses imo (it’s still early and a ton could change).
OSU: 15%
@Washington: 50%
@Minn: 65%
Wisconsin: 70%
@NW: 70%
Purdue: 90%
@Illinois: 60%
Neb: 70%
edit: based on the above, assuming a loss to OSU, that’s a 6% chance to win out. If we lose to OSU and Wash both, then a 12% chance to win out and finish 10-2.
Pps: ChatGPT says based on the above, the most likely record is 9-3.