Rating our transfers

CappyNU

Senior
Mar 2, 2004
5,314
596
113
Last year I posted about a CBB guy who makes his own transfer ratings every year for all teams and players - a monumental effort: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/2025-transfer-class.6353735/post-163897501. I'd say he was pretty on point about Reid, somewhat in the area for Page, and a total whiff on Green (though to be fair, no one expected he would forget how to shoot).

His rankings are out for this year, and here's what he has to say about our new 'Cats
1785789583451.png

He has our transfer class rated as a B-, 13th in the conference, 215th overall.
2026 Transfer Ratings
 

NJCat

All-Conference
Mar 7, 2016
21,641
1,792
113
Wow. Collins has his work cut out for him if he is going to try to make defense a calling card for this team.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Hungry Jack

CoralSpringsCat

All-American
Dec 10, 2018
4,917
5,729
113
Last year I posted about a CBB guy who makes his own transfer ratings every year for all teams and players - a monumental effort: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/2025-transfer-class.6353735/post-163897501. I'd say he was pretty on point about Reid, somewhat in the area for Page, and a total whiff on Green (though to be fair, no one expected he would forget how to shoot).

His rankings are out for this year, and here's what he has to say about our new 'Cats
View attachment 1382209

He has our transfer class rated as a B-, 13th in the conference, 215th overall.
2026 Transfer Ratings

He certainly did his homework, that’s for sure. Impressive work.
 

Purple Pile Driver

All-Conference
May 14, 2014
28,529
3,690
113
Last year I posted about a CBB guy who makes his own transfer ratings every year for all teams and players - a monumental effort: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/2025-transfer-class.6353735/post-163897501. I'd say he was pretty on point about Reid, somewhat in the area for Page, and a total whiff on Green (though to be fair, no one expected he would forget how to shoot).

His rankings are out for this year, and here's what he has to say about our new 'Cats
View attachment 1382209

He has our transfer class rated as a B-, 13th in the conference, 215th overall.
2026 Transfer Ratings
Interesting that they graded Singleton, Page and Reid as good or better than any incoming player.
 

CappyNU

Senior
Mar 2, 2004
5,314
596
113
Oh yeah, should've included what he said about our outgoing transfers:

NameNew SchoolOld SchoolGradePlayer ArchetypeConference CompProj. RoleNotes
Max GreenCharlestonNUB+Offensive WingReese MillerStarterVery good offensive player and very bad defensive player. 3-point% was way worse up a level, but was still tremendous on open C&S. He just jumped up too high in level. 99th% offensive on/off at HC. Capable playmaker and has great offensive feel. Can hit some extremely tough shots off the bounce. Just not a good athlete, but has good CAA wing size. I think he's found the right level. But him + Ellis at the same time will not be a good defensive lineup whatsoever.
Tre SingletonIowa StateNUA-Versatile ForwardJoshua JeffersonStarterOkay, I'm not saying that Tre Singleton is the next Joshua Jefferson... but if there WERE someone who would be the next Jefferson, it would definitely be Singleton. Was tremendous at the rim last year, actually ran some PNR possessions and the passing and feel is very promising. Was a net positive defender and rebounder and has the chance to be really good in both areas if he gains some strength. The shooting was awful but a very good FT clip gives me hope. There is a lot to like here, and though it does take some projection, Otzelberger certainly did not take someone with this profile by accident.
KJ WindhamJames MadisonNUAOn-Ball GuardLanden JosephStarterI hate to be dramatic, but JMU's entire season rests on Windham's shoulders. He is genuinely their only player with any DI experience at PG. He was really solid as a FR at NW, and everyone pegged him for a huge SO leap, and it just didn't work. He moved fully off-ball with Jayden Reid coming to town, and it really hurt his game. Extremely capable passer who rarely turns it over. Super talented shot creator in the PNR. Doesn't get to the rim at all but is solid there. Impactful defender with real PG size. Honestly, a whole ton to like here. Unless he just forgot to play basketball and the SO regression wasn't a role thing, he could be one of the very best players in the SB. But if it doesn't work for whatever reason, JMU is screwed.
Jayden ReidMemphisNUA-Pass-First GuardN/AStarterI hope Reid's 5-10 shoulders are ready for the BURDEN he's about to be given as a playmaker on this roster. There are like 7 score first players and he's the only passer. In a vacuum, that kind of totally works because he was absolutely incredible as a passer in the Big 10 last year. The issue is he was bad at everything else. Way too small to finish at the rim, and the 3pt fell off a cliff. Gets hunted defensively constantly and is a huge net negative there. Played two years in this league already - really fun as a passer as a FR and then was way worse as a SO when he had to take on more of a scoring role. If he's just out there to score 8 pts and dish out 10 assists, he's the perfect add. Can this team play any defense around him though? That's my big worry.
Blake SmithOral RobertsNUB-Off-Ball WingChase MartinKey ReserveFormer NW walk-on who randomly stumbled upon a real rotation role the last year of Boo Buie's career, played 21 mins across two NCAAT games. Took just 11 shots in 10 games. Pretty good athlete. Hilariously has 14 FGAs and 26 FTs in his career. I guess he has tourney experience?
Arrinten PageProvidenceNUB+Versatile BigOwen FreemanStarterWhat a conundrum Page is. Looks like an NBA player half the time, and looks completely lost at other times. Has found a way to fall out of favor in some respect at all three stops already. But so absurdly gifted that he rightfully gets another chance. Extremely good frame with 6-11 size, great length, and serious fluidity. 42% dunk rate and 70% rim efficiency is terrific. Blocks shots, disruptive defender. Stunningly good passer for his profile, really makes strong reads and uses his length to pass over the defense at the top of the key. On the court, his one real flaw is the defensive rebounding, which is pretty horrible. NW was 6% better on the d-glass when he sat, a 4th% mark nationally. Cincy had a very similar 5.6% mark two years ago. Even at USC, they were 2% better when he sat. He stinks on the d-glass, which is obviously an issue for a 5-man! And then there's just wondering where his head is at. If he can get locked in, if PC can make up for his d-glass deficiency, he could be an NBA draft pick. But history suggests that there will be some bumps in the road. Will he finally put it all together? It really seemed like he did in the non-con last year. For a brand-new team that also has a good backup in Aletan, it's a risk you have to take.
Jordan ClaytonUMassNUCOff-Ball GuardAjay SheldonStarterUMass really needed a scoring 2-guard to play next to heavy pass-first Carbuccia, and the Clayton add to fill that role is a bit puzzling to me. He did hit 41% of his threes last year, but was in an extremely low-usage role and was almost entirely an off-ball scorer. Zero ability as a rim attacker. 11 made rim FGs in 69 career games. Fine connective passer, but that's not what you needed from Clayton. Banks and Parker were both 25%+ shot usage last year, and Clayton has never been more than 17% in his career, and really struggled in his career until his role was nearly nothing last year. Very weird fit on this roster with no clear other scoring guards other than FRs.
Tyler KroppWashington St.NUA-Versatile BigDrew FielderStarterKropp was a monster in the FIBA U19s last summer, but just wasn't ready for P5 hoops. A bit too small to be a Big Ten 5-man, but not quite skilled enough to play the 4. Should be able to handle the 5 a bit better here. Really grew in B10 play. Was a big net positive, especially on the glass. Needs to improve his rim touch, but his 24/26 mark from the line suggests shooting upside. Totally worth the gamble here that he can be like the player he was for Argentina with more touches in a slightly less athletic league.
Blake BarkleyGrand CanyonETSUB-Scoring ForwardGarry ClarkKey ReserveVery good rim player and post presence. The biggest worry I have is that his shot diet was that of a traditional big, and he's 6-8, 220, definitely not a 5-man in the MW, and won't be playing next to another spacer much of the time. Hit his open threes but wasn't roaming around there. Did most of his damage next to Cam Morris, who was far more of a playmaker than he was. Was fine in a limited sample against his two T100 teams. Played a bottom-10 defensive schedule. Not a tremendous defender himself, and not a playmaker. I guess I just wonder if he's more productive than impactful, especially with the physicality bump. Remember, he never saw the floor at NW.
Luke HungerBoston CollegeG. WashingtonCRebounding BigMilos IlicKey ReserveHunger was a capable backup big in the A10 by the end of Jan, then GW star Castro went down, and Hunger went on a three-week tear where he was absolutely incredible. Then he didn't score 10+ in his last five games. I am 100%, positively certain that if Castro doesn't get hurt, Hunger doesn't get a P5 shot. Hunger is a capable scorer and not a 0 shooter, but he's not a great athlete. Fine passer but takes way too many gambles. Not a rim defender whatsoever. His best skill is his rebounding. Was largely unplayable at NW, and I don't expect a huge leap here given how concentrated his GW success was.
Rowan BrumbaughSMUTulaneB-On-Ball GuardJustin PippenStarterBrumbaugh is a good player with a high floor who is definitely capable of being a fine P5 PG. Does he have a big ceiling moving from the American to the ACC? I'm not so certain. His one P5 season as a FR was for a horrific GTown team. Of course he's gotten better since then, but he's not a fantastic athlete and is relatively FT-dependent. Can that hold in this scheme? He's definitely not Boopie as a shooter, he shot 19% on PNR threes last year. Good passer who never turns it over, but not a pass-first player. Defense isn't great, and he was kind of hidden in a zone the last two years. He's obviously the Boopie replacement. SMU can be a T75 team with Brumbaugh, but very unlikely a T25 one. The duo with Terrell is pretty interesting because Terrell is more of a pass-first guy, and Brumbaugh's shooting is better off-ball anyways.
 
Last edited:

NJCat

All-Conference
Mar 7, 2016
21,641
1,792
113
Man. Hard to see how roster construction got better this season. Pretty dismal outlook for NU MBB in '26-27.
 
  • Sad
Reactions: hdhntr1

EagerFan

Junior
Dec 24, 2010
3,301
266
83
Tre was a big loss imho, and I think Kropp will develop into a guy we wish had hung around on our bench. I like Reid, but I think we're ok losing the rest of the kids. They should mostly have much better seasons this year, generally playing at a lower level where they can shine. I suspect KJ is going to have a great year.
 

Purple Pile Driver

All-Conference
May 14, 2014
28,529
3,690
113
K
Tre was a big loss imho, and I think Kropp will develop into a guy we wish had hung around on our bench. I like Reid, but I think we're ok losing the rest of the kids. They should mostly have much better seasons this year, generally playing at a lower level where they can shine. I suspect KJ is going to have a great year.
Agree With this, but not sure what a KJ great year looks like at JMU? I would guess 15 points a game is minimum expectation. 18 a game with adequate defense raises the bar, that’s possible, but it’s not 18 in the B1G . Feels like a rehab year to transfer back up.
 

TheC

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
19,253
1,356
62
Yikes, we better hope this guy is wrong. We might have only two BIG level players on this team next year - West and Gelo.
 

MCC_Cat

Junior
May 29, 2001
1,559
283
83
I like the offensive capabilities of this roster.
We might be raining 3's this year and winning shootouts but I would expect good team culture and effort on a well coached defense. Boo went from a ghost on defense until his last couple years when he was a plus on that side of the ball, after Lowery arrived.

This is the kind of team that better have a real chip on their shoulder from the jump.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Yeswecat

EagerFan

Junior
Dec 24, 2010
3,301
266
83
That seems like the big challenge in today's college hoops where players are generally mercenaries for hire year to year. For Collin's culture plan to work, he has to convince the talent to stay, learn, and build. He failed to do that this year. He's run out of the 'old guard' so it looks more daunting than before.

The defense is going to take months to gel, imho, and if he can't get buy in beyond March, I don't see it working.
 
  • Like
Reactions: NJCat

Zazzy

Junior
Aug 21, 2009
342
218
43
Anyone know how Ghai is looking? Potential real rim protection there. And is Hodge full strength now?
 

phatcat_rivals223240

All-Conference
Nov 5, 2001
19,018
1,151
113
That seems like the big challenge in today's college hoops where players are generally mercenaries for hire year to year. For Collin's culture plan to work, he has to convince the talent to stay, learn, and build. He failed to do that this year. He's run out of the 'old guard' so it looks more daunting than before.

The defense is going to take months to gel, imho, and if he can't get buy in beyond March, I don't see it working.
Culture only works with similar money.
 

EagerFan

Junior
Dec 24, 2010
3,301
266
83
Everything is easier to accomplish with more money except for being poor. Culture that leads to winning can have success without comparable money, but when you have neither the winning nor the competitive funding, you're in trouble.
 

hdhntr1

All-Conference
Sep 5, 2006
38,183
1,382
113
Last year I posted about a CBB guy who makes his own transfer ratings every year for all teams and players - a monumental effort: https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/2025-transfer-class.6353735/post-163897501. I'd say he was pretty on point about Reid, somewhat in the area for Page, and a total whiff on Green (though to be fair, no one expected he would forget how to shoot).

His rankings are out for this year, and here's what he has t
Oh yeah, should've included what he said about our outgoing transfers:

NameNew SchoolOld SchoolGradePlayer ArchetypeConference CompProj. RoleNotes
Max GreenCharlestonNUB+Offensive WingReese MillerStarterVery good offensive player and very bad defensive player. 3-point% was way worse up a level, but was still tremendous on open C&S. He just jumped up too high in level. 99th% offensive on/off at HC. Capable playmaker and has great offensive feel. Can hit some extremely tough shots off the bounce. Just not a good athlete, but has good CAA wing size. I think he's found the right level. But him + Ellis at the same time will not be a good defensive lineup whatsoever.
Tre SingletonIowa StateNUA-Versatile ForwardJoshua JeffersonStarterOkay, I'm not saying that Tre Singleton is the next Joshua Jefferson... but if there WERE someone who would be the next Jefferson, it would definitely be Singleton. Was tremendous at the rim last year, actually ran some PNR possessions and the passing and feel is very promising. Was a net positive defender and rebounder and has the chance to be really good in both areas if he gains some strength. The shooting was awful but a very good FT clip gives me hope. There is a lot to like here, and though it does take some projection, Otzelberger certainly did not take someone with this profile by accident.
KJ WindhamJames MadisonNUAOn-Ball GuardLanden JosephStarterI hate to be dramatic, but JMU's entire season rests on Windham's shoulders. He is genuinely their only player with any DI experience at PG. He was really solid as a FR at NW, and everyone pegged him for a huge SO leap, and it just didn't work. He moved fully off-ball with Jayden Reid coming to town, and it really hurt his game. Extremely capable passer who rarely turns it over. Super talented shot creator in the PNR. Doesn't get to the rim at all but is solid there. Impactful defender with real PG size. Honestly, a whole ton to like here. Unless he just forgot to play basketball and the SO regression wasn't a role thing, he could be one of the very best players in the SB. But if it doesn't work for whatever reason, JMU is screwed.
Jayden ReidMemphisNUA-Pass-First GuardN/AStarterI hope Reid's 5-10 shoulders are ready for the BURDEN he's about to be given as a playmaker on this roster. There are like 7 score first players and he's the only passer. In a vacuum, that kind of totally works because he was absolutely incredible as a passer in the Big 10 last year. The issue is he was bad at everything else. Way too small to finish at the rim, and the 3pt fell off a cliff. Gets hunted defensively constantly and is a huge net negative there. Played two years in this league already - really fun as a passer as a FR and then was way worse as a SO when he had to take on more of a scoring role. If he's just out there to score 8 pts and dish out 10 assists, he's the perfect add. Can this team play any defense around him though? That's my big worry.
Blake SmithOral RobertsNUB-
So we have an A class transferring out and a B- class transferring in?
 

EagerFan

Junior
Dec 24, 2010
3,301
266
83
Given their results last year, I wouldn't say we lost an A class to the portal. I think we lost an A player, some experience, and some potential. We won't really know what we've gained until we watch them play against competition, and to a degree we won't really know until sometime towards the end of January.
 

wildcatty

Redshirt
Dec 10, 2025
37
29
18
Keep in mind, if I understand the grading, the grades are impacted by the teams they are going to. Most if not all the transfers, sans singleton, are dropping down a level in competition and I’d say coaching as well.
 
  • Like
Reactions: MCC_Cat and CappyNU

Zazzy

Junior
Aug 21, 2009
342
218
43
It will also depend on how they jell as a team, and whether Lowery can teach them to play better defense. I too am reserving judgement until I see them play. If Hodges can play and Ghai is ready and Gello takes the next step up, along with West, it could be interesting.
 

CoralSpringsCat

All-American
Dec 10, 2018
4,917
5,729
113
It will also depend on how they jell as a team, and whether Lowery can teach them to play better defense. I too am reserving judgement until I see them play. If Hodges can play and Ghai is ready and Gello takes the next step up, along with West, it could be interesting.

Sure looks like Hodge will be a full go this fall. I’m seeing him featured in many of the practice clips.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Cataria and MCC_Cat

Hungry Jack

All-American
Nov 17, 2008
38,941
6,016
67
Those assessments seem spot on. They certainly describe the conundrum (or enigma) that is Arrinten Page. Reid looks the part but really isn't because he's just too damn small.
 
Wildcat Report

Latest

  1. 01 Rivals Several schools appealing to 2028 DL PJ Tautu
  2. 02 Rivals Behind a third-generation Wildcat, Northwestern is building, retaining, and set to open its new stadium
  3. 03 Wildcat Report Northwestern's defensive line aims to create havoc despite lack of previous production
  4. 04 Rivals Four-star '28 WR Hayden Koo has a top 12 list and nine game day visits on the calendar
  5. 05 Wildcat Report Notebook: Chip Kelly assesses his offense at halfway point of fall camp