Westfield most affected by Skyview's opening

Jun 8, 2001
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I've mentioned it before, but I love new school talk. I love talking colors, mascots, classifications, boundaries, which schools are affected. And I also like seeing downstream effects on a local, regional, and state basis. Maybe that's the analytical side of me.

I came across this article which talks about the impacts of Skyview's opening (Fall 2026 for 9th and 10th graders). Now, they won't play football this year and it seems like they won't be playing a lot or even all VHSL sports for 2026-2027. I don't know what they will try to implement for 2027-2028 (where many kids will still be able to opt to attend their old or currently zoned high school), but I will say that whichever boundaries are chosen, they will be locked in starting at the 2028-2029 year (Year 2 of the next 4 Year VHSL Cycle (so Skyview's eventual district-mates better plan ahead on one-year non-district game contracts for 2027-2028...so if you're in Fairfax, tell your AD buddies to keep this in mind when it comes to scheduling).

Anyways, this was the line that jumped out at me the most.

"The superintendent’s recommended scenario would assign 333 Chantilly students, 384 South Lakes students and 1,062 Westfield students to Skyview High School, bringing the new site up to 89% capacity."

And with this, Westfield will drop to 72% capacity at 2030 students.

Now, it's Northern Virginia, and anyone who has driven Fairfax County Parkway and 28 up to Dulles Airport to take a flight recently can easily see that they are constantly building. One row of townhomes after another. Same with subdivisions. And the road work is really annoying as well.

So eventually, Westfield won't have a problem backfilling and getting back closer to capacity within a decade.

But losing over a quarter of the student population just has to suck for morale and atmosphere purposes on top of athlete availability. Anyone who has attended high school at a time when another high school has opened and the new place seized a sizable chunk of a school's student population or the population of multiple schools (and the teachers who want to go to the shiny new toy) knows how that's not fun.

Anyways, just something I thought I'd share.

 
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falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
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IMO you are correct that this will hurt Westfield the most. Athletically, especially football, the reduction in student population will only exacerbate the big change in demographics that has happened over the past 12-15 or so years, which has led to a noticeable change in overall athletic performance. Every once in a while a specific sport excels for a year or several years (most recently, boy's basketball and boy's soccer), but the level of success has not been what it was for the first 15 years of the school's existence. Westfield will have to get used to this as I do not see it changing, even with the (limited) growth of the housing base. Loudon County's growth the past 10 years (still ongoing) provided dividends on the athletic fields and courts, which is exactly what happened with Fairfax County 20-30 years ago as the western and southern portions of the county grew, as well as about 10-20 years ago in parts of Prince William County. As the areas expanded and grew, and new schools opened, many saw athletic success that eventually evened out.
 

EPJr1947

All-Conference
Sep 27, 2002
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They have not built most of the athletic department yet so the first year the kids can opt to play for their previous school
and hopefully the Aviators will roll out their athletics in year two.
 

falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
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Westfield dropped 1000 kids and still have over 2000
What is the problem?
It is not just numbers. It is also demographics, and in some cases specific neighborhoods that seem to produce kids who are attracted to certain sports. This area (NOVA) is the extremely diverse, the most in the state, and that has an impact on many things in the school systems, not just sports.
 

EPJr1947

All-Conference
Sep 27, 2002
13,130
2,102
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It is not just numbers. It is also demographics, and in some cases specific neighborhoods that seem to produce kids who are attracted to certain sports. This area (NOVA) is the extremely diverse, the most in the state, and that has an impact on many things in the school systems, not just sports.
so losing too many football and basketball players (Gotcha) :oops:(y)
 

falcettik

Senior
Nov 3, 2004
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so losing too many football and basketball players (Gotcha) :oops:
Why the sarcasm? I simply made a point in response to your post that of the schools affected by Skyview's opening Westfield will be affected the most, and the main reason is not numbers. It is demographics, which is not something recent but has been happening for years. And I have no idea the demographics of the new zoned areas, just an observation that it is area wide. By the numbers logic, only the biggest schools would always be on top and we know that is not true. If you read carefully, you will also see that I stated that demographics affects "many things in the school systems, not just sports". Things like meal programs, course offerings, teachers and aides required, ESL, test scores, etc. - and sports. The issue is extremely complex and has no one single answer or reason.
 
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EPJr1947

All-Conference
Sep 27, 2002
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Why the sarcasm? I simply made a point in response to your post that of the schools affected by Skyview's opening Westfield will be affected the most, and the main reason is not numbers. It is demographics, which is not something recent but has been happening for years. And I have no idea the demographics of the new zoned areas, just an observation that it is area wide. By the numbers logic, only the biggest schools would always be on top and we know that is not true. If you read carefully, you will also see that I stated that demographics affects "many things in the school systems, not just sports". Things like meal programs, course offerings, teachers and aides required, ESL, test scores, etc. - and sports. The issue is extremely complex and has no one single answer or reason.
it is just that I live in central Virginia and a school with over 2000 students does not have problems, thats all. Try having 500-600 students.