CBS Sports B1G Predictions

katatonic2

Sophomore
Dec 1, 2025
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This Crawford guy seems to know even less about the Cats than he does the conference...

Northwestern​

Projected record: 4-8, 1-8
Wins: South Dakota, Colorado, Ball State, Rutgers
Losses: at Indiana, Penn State, at Michigan State, at Oregon, Iowa, at Minnesota, at Ohio State, Illinois


The offseason addition of Chip Kelly as their new offensive coordinator was an intriguing get for the Wildcats, but he's not going to have talent overflow like he's had at many of his coaching stops since winning big at Oregon. Northwestern still faces a significant talent gap against much of the Big Ten and lacks the depth necessary to reach for a high-end finish. Even if the offense improves, questions linger about the defense against the conference's more physical teams.




Barring significant injuries, Cats should win against Illinois and MSU with Minny being a toss up and potentially an upset against Iowa or PSU.

Aside from the top teams/offenses, the D is good enough to keep the Cats in games against the rest of the conference.
 

jne381

Freshman
Sep 2, 2013
534
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23
I feel like the CBS analysis is lazy, and is basically what they believe about Northwestern, and not what Northwestern has been over the last few years. Unless I am missing something, it has been the NU defense that has kept them competitive the last few years when the offense has been less than great in long stretches.
 

hdhntr1

All-Conference
Sep 5, 2006
38,052
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This Crawford guy seems to know even less about the Cats than he does the conference...

Northwestern​

Projected record: 4-8, 1-8
Wins: South Dakota, Colorado, Ball State, Rutgers
Losses: at Indiana, Penn State, at Michigan State, at Oregon, Iowa, at Minnesota, at Ohio State, Illinois


The offseason addition of Chip Kelly as their new offensive coordinator was an intriguing get for the Wildcats, but he's not going to have talent overflow like he's had at many of his coaching stops since winning big at Oregon. Northwestern still faces a significant talent gap against much of the Big Ten and lacks the depth necessary to reach for a high-end finish. Even if the offense improves, questions linger about the defense against the conference's more physical teams.




Barring significant injuries, Cats should win against Illinois and MSU with Minny being a toss up and potentially an upset against Iowa or PSU.

Aside from the top teams/offenses, the D is good enough to keep the Cats in games against the rest of the conference.
Until we see something different on the field it is hard to condemn his position. If you look at the Rivals projections, his view lines up pretty close. Of course we hope for more but don't get too distracted with those purple glasses
 
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Hungry Jack

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The guy writes that Illinois is due to regress (agree as they lost several good players to the League), then pegs them for the same conference record (5-4) as last year.

Iowa has averaged 9 wins per season since 2015 (prorating the COVID season when they were 6-2), but they lose Gronowski.
 
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hdhntr1

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The guy writes that Illinois is due to regress (agree as they lost several good players to the League), then pegs them for the same conference record (5-4) as last year.

Iowa has averaged 9 wins per season since 2015 (prorating the COVID season when they were 6-2), but they lose Gronowski.
Everyone has to replace players including QBs. Iowa has done it pretty successfully over the years because they don't rely on the QB as much as many teams, They play at a pretty consistent level IL may have lost a lot but they brought in a lot as well. Heck we are replacing a QB (we hope it is an upgrade)

At his point his projections make some sense, Hopefully some of them will be proven in accurate once the season starts
 

Jaguar 88

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Oct 1, 2021
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I have only read one preseason magazine thus far and they placed us ending the season at 14th place. We definitely won't win the conference, but I would hope we would make a bowl. I was hoping the Chip Kelly hire would have given us a bit of a boost in terms of landing 4 star recruits. Let's hope these 3 stars really pan out!!!!
 
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prez77

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Dec 27, 2024
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I have only read one preseason magazine thus far and they placed us ending the season at 14th place. We definitely won't win the conference, but I would hope we would make a bowl. I was hoping the Chip Kelly hire would have given us a bit of a boost in terms of landing 4 star recruits. Let's hope these 3 stars really pan out!!!!
As Casey Stengel once said, “Joe is a terrific 22 year old rookie and next year he has a great chance to be 23."
 

phatcat_rivals223240

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Everyone has to replace players including QBs. Iowa has done it pretty successfully over the years because they don't rely on the QB as much as many teams, They play at a pretty consistent level IL may have lost a lot but they brought in a lot as well. Heck we are replacing a QB (we hope it is an upgrade)

At his point his projections make some sense, Hopefully some of them will be proven in accurate once the season starts
In a way, I cannot blame prognosticators. We have a long history of bad seasons following good seasons. With few exceptions, (96 and 2018 come to mind. Maybe 2009 too) we generally disappoint following a successful year. Not that 2025 was great, but I can understand the skepticism. See 1997 2001 06, 11, 13, 19, 21, 24.
 
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hdhntr1

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As Casey Stengel once said, “Joe is a terrific 22 year old rookie and next year he has a great chance to be 23."
Are you sure that was not Yogi? Sounds like one of his statements
 

Catmandoo78

Sophomore
Nov 12, 2025
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I have only read one preseason magazine thus far and they placed us ending the season at 14th place. We definitely won't win the conference, but I would hope we would make a bowl. I was hoping the Chip Kelly hire would have given us a bit of a boost in terms of landing 4 star recruits. Let's hope these 3 stars really pan out!!!!
With the portal and NIL, there’s no excuse for P4 schools to miss a bowl. The G5 just can’t compete anymore at scale.
 

phatcat_rivals223240

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Which all but 6 big ten teams managed to do last year. Of the 6 who didn’t, 1 was a new coach, 2 fired their coach, and 2 of them will absolutely be firing their coaches this season.
Yeah I am not saying NU shouldn't win 6+, but if you look at betting odds (o/u and individual games), we are not expected to win 6. Not an excuse, just an observation
 

Jaguar 88

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Yeah I am not saying NU shouldn't win 6+, but if you look at betting odds (o/u and individual games), we are not expected to win 6. Not an excuse, just an observation
The magazine I read was Athlon's and the write up was rather bland and for me a bit depressing. Like I said in my previous post, I was hoping for us to get one ot two 4 star recruits from the Kelly hire. I think the Braun era is going to be a short one to be honest. NU needs to somehow get the hottest OC out there to want to make a name for himself and turn NU around.
 

eastbaycat99

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Mar 7, 2009
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The magazine I read was Athlon's and the write up was rather bland and for me a bit depressing. Like I said in my previous post, I was hoping for us to get one ot two 4 star recruits from the Kelly hire. I think the Braun era is going to be a short one to be honest. NU needs to somehow get the hottest OC out there to want to make a name for himself and turn NU around.
Not to bring sun to your rainy days, but both Chiles and Dehnicke were rated 4 stars in the portal by 247, so your wish is fulfilled and you can cheer up.
 
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katatonic2

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Dec 1, 2025
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Most prognosticators/analysts only have a superficial knowledge of the conference as a whole, and that especially holds true specifIcally regarding the Cats.

Defense should remain steady and the O should be improved, in large part by a better scheme/playcalling (putting players in a better position to succeed).

Minny is a push.

Almost beat the Pumpkinheads last year and they lost more key starters, so give the edge to the Cats.

Can't see what the rationale is for the Cats to lose to Sparty (of course, anything can happen, but right now, would be more wary of South Dakota).

Wouldn't be surprised if the Cats upset one of PSU or Iowa.

At minimum, anything less than 6 wins would be disappointing as long as relatively healthy.

The magazine I read was Athlon's and the write up was rather bland and for me a bit depressing. Like I said in my previous post, I was hoping for us to get one ot two 4 star recruits from the Kelly hire. I think the Braun era is going to be a short one to be honest. NU needs to somehow get the hottest OC out there to want to make a name for himself and turn NU around.

Not so upset by the lack of 4* recruits (reportedly, low 4* really recruits are going for $350k) unless they can contribute from the start; $ is better spent on the portal (look at IU's recruiting class) and/or retention.
 
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hdhntr1

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Sep 5, 2006
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The magazine I read was Athlon's and the write up was rather bland and for me a bit depressing. Like I said in my previous post, I was hoping for us to get one ot two 4 star recruits from the Kelly hire. I think the Braun era is going to be a short one to be honest. NU needs to somehow get the hottest OC out there to want to make a name for himself and turn NU around.
Well, potentially they have the replacement in the house as Kelly has substantial experience as a HC at a P4/2 level . Maybe that is why he was so willing to buy such an expensive house in the area (didn't we hear $5 mill+?). Hard to come out whole if you don't own it for at least 5 years or more and even though he has done well in the past, his current salary (say $1-1.5mill? He was getting $2 mill at dOSU but do you see us going that high? Top 10 OC this year have pay rates of $1.3-2 mill and he is not listed in that group) is hard pressed to be able support such an expensive piece of real estate. I mean interest (7%) and Real Estate taxes (2.5-3%) alone would be close to $500K. Even if he had used cash, he would have had to likely take it from investment funds where he could have been earning something close to that in interest.
 
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hdhntr1

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Sep 5, 2006
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Most prognosticators/analysts only have a superficial knowledge of the conference as a whole, and that especially holds true specifIcally regarding the Cats.

Defense should remain steady and the O should be improved, in large part by a better scheme/playcalling (putting players in a better position to succeed).

Minny is a push.

Almost beat the Pumpkinheads last year and they lost more key starters, so give the edge to the Cats.

Can't see what the rationale is for the Cats to lose to Sparty (of course, anything can happen, but right now, would be more wary of South Dakota).

Wouldn't be surprised if the Cats upset one of PSU or Iowa.

At minimum, anything less than 6 wins would be disappointing as long as relatively healthy.



Not so upset by the lack of 4* recruits (reportedly, low 4* really recruits are going for $350k) unless they can contribute from the start; $ is better spent on the portal (look at IU's recruiting class) and/or retention.
There is really not much for the prognosticators to really go on, And till we see something on the field it is really hard to give more credit than they have given, And we lost a fair amount on DL and hard to say we have replaced it, We have also lost a bit at LB. That said in general we have seen that the D finds a way.

Hard to give much of an edge to the cats vs pumpkin heads, Yes they lost more than us but they are bringing in a lot. I think it is 37 new guys. And they tend to be rated higher than what we are bringing in. But the game is here. In general with the third toughest schedule in the BIG, we need to over perform to get to 6 wins
 
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Catmandoo78

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Nov 12, 2025
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There is really not much for the prognosticators to really go on, And till we see something on the field it is really hard to give more credit than they have given, And we lost a fair amount on DL and hard to say we have replaced it, We have also lost a bit at LB. That said in general we have seen that the D finds a way.

Hard to give much of an edge to the cats vs pumpkin heads, Yes they lost more than us but they are bringing in a lot. I think it is 37 new guys. And they tend to be rated higher than what we are bringing in. But the game is here. In general with the third toughest schedule in the BIG, we need to over perform to get to 6 wins
Illinois lost the best QB they’ve had in 20 years. And the QB they brought in to replace him left MSU after he lost his starting job to… our current QB. And they’re putting in an entirely new defense that nobody at P4 runs because it’s as gimmicky as the triple option is on offense. Good luck Bert, but you’re crashing back to earth this year.
 

phatcat_rivals223240

All-Conference
Nov 5, 2001
18,975
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Most prognosticators/analysts only have a superficial knowledge of the conference as a whole, and that especially holds true specifIcally regarding the Cats.

Defense should remain steady and the O should be improved, in large part by a better scheme/playcalling (putting players in a better position to succeed).

Minny is a push.

Almost beat the Pumpkinheads last year and they lost more key starters, so give the edge to the Cats.

Can't see what the rationale is for the Cats to lose to Sparty (of course, anything can happen, but right now, would be more wary of South Dakota).

Wouldn't be surprised if the Cats upset one of PSU or Iowa.

At minimum, anything less than 6 wins would be disappointing as long as relatively healthy.



Not so upset by the lack of 4* recruits (reportedly, low 4* really recruits are going for $350k) unless they can contribute from the start; $ is better spent on the portal (look at IU's recruiting class) and/or retention.
Agree. If we get a solid top 60 class (likely) and some portal star power (problematic because wallets) we will have a good team going forward.

Two factors that could make this 2026 squad an 8+ win team. These factors are not unnoticed, but are more important than we think.

1. Neuheisel might make Chiles a top 8 B1G QB.

2. Carsello makes the whole line better and may make (1) achieveable.
 

eastbaycat99

Sophomore
Mar 7, 2009
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Agree. If we get a solid top 60 class (likely) and some portal star power (problematic because wallets) we will have a good team going forward.

Two factors that could make this 2026 squad an 8+ win team. These factors are not unnoticed, but are more important than we think.

1. Neuheisel might make Chiles a top 8 B1G QB.

2. Carsello makes the whole line better and may make (1) achieveable.
While the two factors you cite make sense, I think the thing that might well give the Cats an edge over the other middle of the pack conference teams is the way they will stack up in the red zone. Chiles is a big, fast QB and will often draw a spy on a compressed field. Komalafe and Himon both are quick and strong to their point of attack, and pair well with Chiles. Wilde is very good off the line, while Eligon and Dehnicke are both big and good targets if matched against a smaller player. With Carsello anchoring the middle of the O-Line, I think it will be hard for defenses to overload on any one or two of the options available, and there should almost always be at least one matchup that favors the Cats. While the offense does not have anyone who stretches the field between the 20’s, I do think their conversion percentage inside the 20 will be very good, and it will be the area NU is most improved.
 

BosCat

Junior
Nov 29, 2008
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I do think their conversion percentage inside the 20 will be very good, and it will be the area NU is most improved.

Who wants more TDs in the red zone? Doesn't everyone love 1st and goal from the 9 turning into 4th and goal from the 11 and kicking FGs?
 

CoralSpringsCat

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Dec 10, 2018
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While the two factors you cite make sense, I think the thing that might well give the Cats an edge over the other middle of the pack conference teams is the way they will stack up in the red zone. Chiles is a big, fast QB and will often draw a spy on a compressed field. Komalafe and Himon both are quick and strong to their point of attack, and pair well with Chiles. Wilde is very good off the line, while Eligon and Dehnicke are both big and good targets if matched against a smaller player. With Carsello anchoring the middle of the O-Line, I think it will be hard for defenses to overload on any one or two of the options available, and there should almost always be at least one matchup that favors the Cats. While the offense does not have anyone who stretches the field between the 20’s, I do think their conversion percentage inside the 20 will be very good, and it will be the area NU is most improved.

Don’t forget to factor in Honig. The kid is an absolute monster…he’ll essentially be a 7th OL.
 

Catmandoo78

Sophomore
Nov 12, 2025
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Agree. If we get a solid top 60 class (likely) and some portal star power (problematic because wallets) we will have a good team going forward.

Two factors that could make this 2026 squad an 8+ win team. These factors are not unnoticed, but are more important than we think.

1. Neuheisel might make Chiles a top 8 B1G QB.

2. Carsello makes the whole line better and may make (1) achieveable.
Would a top 60 class be considered solid? (Especially given our struggles in the portal). Seems like that would put us in bottom 15% or so of P4 teams?
 

phatcat_rivals223240

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This guy on Reddit does a compilation countdown for each team. NU clocks in at #54...but in his analysis, he personally seems pessimistic, saying we might lose 9-10 games. Sigh, getting tired if offseason:

Preseason Rankings Countdown. 54 days to the start of the 2026 Season. At #54 – Northwestern

The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( )


A day that at least one redditor has been dreading has finally arrived – we’ve reached Northwestern (high = 49, low = 101 – did Paul Myerberg get dumped by a Northwestern coed or something?). If you’re pre Gen-Z, you probably remember that Northwestern won at least a share of 3 Big Ten titles right around the turn of the century (including an outright title in 1995), though I think there’s been a bit of revisionist history about how much of the credit for that is owed to Pat Fitzgerald, who coached the team for 16 years. The truth is that some definitely does – but that was on the field as a linebacker for the first two of those titles, including the outright one. It was Gary Barnett and his replacement Randy Walker who coached those championship teams. Barnett was poached to Colorado, and Walker tragically died of a sudden heart attack less than 2 months before the 2006 season, leading Northwestern to promote Fitzgerald to head coach. What seems to be largely forgotten is that Walker had led the Wildcats to 3 consecutive seasons where they qualified for bowls before his death, so it’s not like Fitzgerald inherited a completely barren team. To his credit, he recovered from some first year jitters to lead the Wildcats to a sustained level of quality with 9 winning seasons and 10 bowl appearances from 2006 through the COVID year, reaching 2 B1G title games. But whether it was COVID or something else, the tide turned after 2020, and the Wildcats went 4-20 in his last two seasons. Following some salacious allegations of hazing and abuse, Northwestern fired their alumnus and brought on his newly hired DC David Braun to serve first as the interim head coach before giving him the full time gig. In his 3 seasons at the helm, Braun has 2 winning seasons (and 2 bowl wins) coupled with a 15th place finish. Last year’s 7-6 campaign included a win in Happy Valley that ended James Franklin’s tenure at Penn State, one of 3 wins by 3 points or less. Will the Wildcats build on that as they move into their new version of Ryan Field? And will new OC Chip Kelly be able to recapture the magic on his third return to college football?


**Roster Outlook**


For Kelly to succeed, the Wildcats clearly needed an upgrade at QB. Last season’s signal caller, Preston Stone, managed only 2,400 yards and had 13 turnovers (Sonny Dykes is *not* impressed). The Wildcats, who didn’t exactly set the world on fire from either a recruiting (13th in the B1G) or portal (11th in the conference) perspective, did manage to bring in former Michigan State QB Aidan Chiles, who may have been on his way out of East Lansing anyway after getting benched after starting the Spartans first 8 games of the season. Still, Northwestern ranks 44th in returning production, and prominent in that is RB Caleb Komolafe, who accumulated > 1,000 total yards and 12 TDs. All 3 of the Wildcats starting WRs (Griffin Wilde, Hayden Eligon and Drew Wagner) also return, and the only other skill player to be replaced is TE Hunter Welcing (portaled to Ohio State), which will be done by UConn transfer Alex Honig. In all, 9 P4 players transferred in, but a total of 9 total players portaled out, 6 of whom landed in P4 locations.


**Schedule and outlook**


9/5 SOUTH DAKOTA STATE


9/12 BYE


9/19 COLORADO


9/25 at Indiana


10/2 PENN STATE


10/10 BALL STATE


10/17 at Michigan State


10/24 RUTGERS


10/31 at Oregon


11/7 IOWA


11/14 at Ohio State


11/21 at Minnesota


11/28 ILLINOIS


Hmm… road trips to Indiana, Oregon AND Ohio State? That’s going to leave a mark! Unless you feel confident the Wildcats can pull off a major upset, they’d have to go better than 6-3 in their other games to qualify for a bowl. Opening the new stadium in prime time on a Friday night is sure to create a charged atmosphere, but I think beating Penn State will be a tall ask. Throw in that they’ll likely be home dogs to Iowa and the Land of Lincoln trophy season finale, and bowl eligibility looks like an aspirational stretch goal for 2026. Winning at Minnesota shouldn’t be assumed, and you have to figure that game at Michigan State against Fitzgerald (and the Aidan Chiles return game factor) will get funky as well. Even the FCS game against perennial powerhouse South Dakota State shouldn’t be viewed as a gimme. Could be a long season in Evanston.