Iowa vs PSU 2027 Predictions

Nashville_Hawk

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2015
761
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This is a tough one, but I will give it my best shot!

125 DeLuca vs Lilledahl, (Lilledahl mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 4
133 Crookham vs Ono/Blaze (Blaze mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 8
141 Bailey vs Ono/Blaze (Ono dec) Iowa 0 PSU 11
149 Block vs Van Ness (Van Ness fall) Iowa 0 PSU 17
157 Williams/Voinovich/Estrada vs Kasak (Kasak mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 21
165 Schubert vs Mesenbrick/Duke (Duke Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 27
174 Arnold vs Henckel/Mesenbrick (Mesenbrick Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 33
184 Ferrari vs Welsh (Welsh dec) Iowa 0 PSU 36
197 Ludington vs Barr (Barr Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 42
285 Kueter vs Mirasola/Mirasola (Mirasola dec) Iowa 0 PSU 45
Want to put some wrestling club money on the BS you just threw out there? How about O/U 38?
 

mvattivo

All-Conference
Jun 23, 2005
412
2,026
93
For the sake of transparency, how many of those were even top 20 guys, let alone top 10? The ONLY one I see is Tyler Knox…

He sarcastically said that he is an "offensive dynamo". I was just pointing out that he had a 72% bonus rate, which shows that he does have offense. If you feel good about moving the goalposts, have at it.

Note: All but the very top all-time guys bonus rates go down while comparing it to opponents inside the top 20/10 vs. outside the top 20/10. He was a true freshman. Do you want to compare his bonus rate to the Iowa starters, since it's apparently easy to bonus everyone outside of the Top 20?
 
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JoeBagobagels

All-Conference
Jun 24, 2025
823
1,005
92
He sarcastically said that he is an "offensive dynamo". I was just pointing out that he had a 72% bonus rate, which shows that he does have offense. If you feel good about moving the goalposts, have at it.

Note: All but the very top all-time guys bonus rates go down while comparing it to opponents inside the top 20/10 vs. outside the top 20/10. He was a true freshman. Do you want to compare his bonus rate to the Iowa starters, since it's apparently easy to bonus everyone outside of the Top 20?
Don't you understand you aren't a decent offensive wrestler unless you could do something like this in the NCAA final?

 

huntinghawk

Senior
Feb 22, 2026
214
520
63
This is a tough one, but I will give it my best shot!

125 DeLuca vs Lilledahl, (Lilledahl mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 4
133 Crookham vs Ono/Blaze (Blaze mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 8
141 Bailey vs Ono/Blaze (Ono dec) Iowa 0 PSU 11
149 Block vs Van Ness (Van Ness fall) Iowa 0 PSU 17
157 Williams/Voinovich/Estrada vs Kasak (Kasak mdec) Iowa 0 PSU 21
165 Schubert vs Mesenbrick/Duke (Duke Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 27
174 Arnold vs Henckel/Mesenbrick (Mesenbrick Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 33
184 Ferrari vs Welsh (Welsh dec) Iowa 0 PSU 36
197 Ludington vs Barr (Barr Fall) Iowa 0 PSU 42
285 Kueter vs Mirasola/Mirasola (Mirasola dec) Iowa 0 PSU 45
∆∆∆∆∆
Moran
 
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ChicagoHawk2020

All-Conference
Nov 6, 2017
995
3,022
92
He sarcastically said that he is an "offensive dynamo". I was just pointing out that he had a 72% bonus rate, which shows that he does have offense. If you feel good about moving the goalposts, have at it.

Note: All but the very top all-time guys bonus rates go down while comparing it to opponents inside the top 20/10 vs. outside the top 20/10. He was a true freshman. Do you want to compare his bonus rate to the Iowa starters, since it's apparently easy to bonus everyone outside of the Top 20?
Against anyone with a pulse besides Knox, he was in 1 takedown matches.
 

Gopher4Life

Junior
Jun 30, 2025
129
290
63
125 lightning Dec Deluca 3-0
-don’t think you can pick Deluca with no big college wins yet.
133 blaze Dec crookham 6-0
-blaze is a stud along with the fact crookham is always hurt.
141 ono dec bailey 9-0
-im biased big bailey hater he never has impressed me. Ono should control action on feet where he doesn’t have to choose down.
149 SVN maj block 13-0
-wouldn’t even be surprised if it was a tech.
157 kasak maj whoever 17-0
-Williams, VV3 and Estrada can’t compete.
165 Duke Dec Schubert 20-0
-Duke is different animal. Schubert struggles to score.
174 mm maj Arnold 24-0
-chance it’s a tech, mm has teched much better wrestlers. Stick with maj due to Arnold’s stall.
184 welsh dec Ferrari 27-0
-tossup ill stick with guy who wants to be there and tries to score. Ferrari may be first wrestler to never get taken down and not have any titles.
197 barr tech Harvey 32-0
-Harvey isn’t top level yet. Barr 100% (or close to) bonus.
285 Ben Dec mirasola 32-3

some tossups but I can’t pick a injured crookham or Ferrari
 
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luthius dagan

Senior
Jun 30, 2025
182
659
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125 lightning Dec Deluca 3-0
-don’t think you can pick Deluca with no big college wins yet.
133 blaze Dec crookham 6-0
-blaze is a stud along with the fact crookham is always hurt.
141 ono dec bailey 9-0
-im biased big bailey hater he never has impressed me. Ono should control action on feet where he doesn’t have to choose down.
149 SVN maj block 13-0
-wouldn’t even be surprised if it was a tech.
157 kasak maj whoever 17-0
-Williams, VV3 and Estrada can’t compete.
165 Duke Dec Schubert 20-0
-Duke is different animal. Schubert struggles to score.
174 mm maj Arnold 24-0
-chance it’s a tech, mm has teched much better wrestlers. Stick with maj due to Arnold’s stall.
184 welsh dec Ferrari 27-0
-tossup ill stick with guy who wants to be there and tries to score. Ferrari may be first wrestler to never get taken down and not have any titles.
197 barr tech Harvey 32-0
-Harvey isn’t top level yet. Barr 100% (or close to) bonus.
285 Ben Dec mirasola 32-3

some tossups but I can’t pick a injured crookham or Ferrari
Very likely! Just curious at 149, Block almost best SVN twice last year. At NCAA he loss 5-4 after giving up 4 stalling points, and Block scored the only TD of the match. In the PSU-Iowa dual, block was up and working on his second takedown when he get too offensive and got put to his back for 7. Both matches were very well wrestled, just rookie mistakes. Just curious the comment “wouldn’t be surprised if a tech” is that based on evidence or just…?
 

JoeBagobagels

All-Conference
Jun 24, 2025
823
1,005
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Very likely! Just curious at 149, Block almost best SVN twice last year. At NCAA he loss 5-4 after giving up 4 stalling points, and Block scored the only TD of the match. In the PSU-Iowa dual, block was up and working on his second takedown when he get too offensive and got put to his back for 7. Both matches were very well wrestled, just rookie mistakes. Just curious the comment “wouldn’t be surprised if a tech” is that based on evidence or just…?
He didn't almost beat SVN, if you forfeit via stalling you didn't even wrestle.
 

MSU158

All-Conference
Nov 20, 2014
1,362
3,636
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He sarcastically said that he is an "offensive dynamo". I was just pointing out that he had a 72% bonus rate, which shows that he does have offense. If you feel good about moving the goalposts, have at it.

Note: All but the very top all-time guys bonus rates go down while comparing it to opponents inside the top 20/10 vs. outside the top 20/10. He was a true freshman. Do you want to compare his bonus rate to the Iowa starters, since it's apparently easy to bonus everyone outside of the Top 20?
Wouldn’t it be completely relevant when the poster predicted a major decision win over a guy that not only IS top 20, but is almost certainly top 5????? In fact, Crookham has been majored only once in his career by Vito and he actually beat Vito multiple times…
 

sdvike

All-Conference
Feb 23, 2016
1,074
2,354
113
Wouldn’t it be completely relevant when the poster predicted a major decision win over a guy that not only IS top 20, but is almost certainly top 5????? In fact, Crookham has been majored only once in his career by Vito and he actually beat Vito multiple times…
If Crookham is healthy, definitely title contender and wins in happy valley.
 

mvattivo

All-Conference
Jun 23, 2005
412
2,026
93
Wouldn’t it be completely relevant when the poster predicted a major decision win over a guy that not only IS top 20, but is almost certainly top 5????? In fact, Crookham has been majored only once in his career by Vito and he actually beat Vito multiple times…

Oh, I would not predict a Blaze major over Crookham. I was just responding to him alluding to Blaze being a wrestler with little to no offense. If Crookham is healthy, I'd expect a 1-2 point match.
 

Gopher4Life

Junior
Jun 30, 2025
129
290
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Very likely! Just curious at 149, Block almost best SVN twice last year. At NCAA he loss 5-4 after giving up 4 stalling points, and Block scored the only TD of the match. In the PSU-Iowa dual, block was up and working on his second takedown when he get too offensive and got put to his back for 7. Both matches were very well wrestled, just rookie mistakes. Just curious the comment “wouldn’t be surprised if a tech” is that based on evidence or just…?
Hunch, the stalling left ugly taste block did not want to be there. And probably should have been DQd
Think the dual is better representive of gap between 2.
believe it should be in happy valley so factor in a few stalls calls again.
 
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Cali_Nittany1

All-Conference
Dec 11, 2019
787
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Wouldn’t it be completely relevant when the poster predicted a major decision win over a guy that not only IS top 20, but is almost certainly top 5????? In fact, Crookham has been majored only once in his career by Vito and he actually beat Vito multiple times…

I agree Blaze isn't likely to bonus Crookham because he has top tier defense.

Zain had a 40% bonus rate as a true freshman. Blaze certainly has the capability to bonus top 20 wrestlers but we'll see if he starts to wrestle more offensively against top competition like Zain after his freshman season.
 
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Jan 16, 2017
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Very likely! Just curious at 149, Block almost best SVN twice last year. At NCAA he loss 5-4 after giving up 4 stalling points, and Block scored the only TD of the match. In the PSU-Iowa dual, block was up and working on his second takedown when he get too offensive and got put to his back for 7. Both matches were very well wrestled, just rookie mistakes. Just curious the comment “wouldn’t be surprised if a tech” is that based on evidence or just…?
wasn't that at the Big TenTourney not NCAA's
 

Nashville_Hawk

All-Conference
Dec 31, 2015
761
2,018
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It is not quite right. Block was at 31%, Arnold 25%, Ferrari 21%, Bailey 20%, and Keuter 0%
Yep, that sounds right, and sadly that sounds like the Iowa style as of late…handfight for 6:30-7 mins and then win or lose a tight one in the 3rd or OT. I sure miss those guys that went out to destroy their opponents…
 

District 4

All-Conference
Feb 16, 2018
1,219
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I thought MM was a Senior last year and therefore the 5 in 5 does not help him since his eligibility ran out already. Am I missing something?

Very likely! Just curious at 149, Block almost best SVN twice last year. At NCAA he loss 5-4 after giving up 4 stalling points, and Block scored the only TD of the match. In the PSU-Iowa dual, block was up and working on his second takedown when he get too offensive and got put to his back for 7. Both matches were very well wrestled, just rookie mistakes. Just curious the comment “wouldn’t be surprised if a tech” is that based on evidence or just…?
Van ness gave up the first take down in almost every match he wrestled last year it seemed. If bloch can put up points before the third he has a shot but if not van ness will being it in the third.
 

mvattivo

All-Conference
Jun 23, 2005
412
2,026
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Yep, that sounds right, and sadly that sounds like the Iowa style as of late…handfight for 6:30-7 mins and then win or lose a tight one in the 3rd or OT. I sure miss those guys that went out to destroy their opponents…

It is the biggest reason for the gap that PSU currently has. It has been happening for years.

125: Lilledahl = 54%, Peterson = 13%
133: Blaze = 71%, Ayala = 39%
141: Davis = 43%, Bailey 20%
149: Van Ness = 74%, Block 31%
157: Duke = 70%, Williams 20%/Voinovich 22%
165: Mesenbrink = 96%, Caliendo = 63%
174: Haines = 78%, Kennedy = 39%
184: Welsh = 54%, Ferrari = 21%
197: Barr = 96%, Arnold = 25%
285: Mirasola = 39%, Kueter = 0%
 

huntinghawk

Senior
Feb 22, 2026
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It is the biggest reason for the gap that PSU currently has. It has been happening for years.

125: Lilledahl = 54%, Peterson = 13%
133: Blaze = 71%, Ayala = 39%
141: Davis = 43%, Bailey 20%
149: Van Ness = 74%, Block 31%
157: Duke = 70%, Williams 20%/Voinovich 22%
165: Mesenbrink = 96%, Caliendo = 63%
174: Haines = 78%, Kennedy = 39%
184: Welsh = 54%, Ferrari = 21%
197: Barr = 96%, Arnold = 25%
285: Mirasola = 39%, Kueter = 0%
Bonus percentage helps, but schedules and recruits matter more. Penn State bonus rate would go down if they wrestled Ohio state twice, Oklahoma state twice, and Iowa State last year.. Penn State would have had a better record than us, and a better bonus rate, so the trolls can calm down. Penn State had a much more talented team, which is why they're bonus rates were better.
 
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mvattivo

All-Conference
Jun 23, 2005
412
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Bonus percentage helps, but schedules and recruits matter more. Penn State bonus rate would go down if they wrestled Ohio state twice, Oklahoma state twice, and Iowa State last year.. Penn State would have had a better record than us, and a better bonus rate, so the trolls can calm down. Penn State had a much more talented team, which is why they're bonus rates were better.

It certainly helps to have talent, no doubt about it. However, if you want to say it has nothing to do with coaching style, I think you are putting on blinders. Kennedy, Ferrari and Keuter (to name a few) were pretty highly ranked recruits. They are great wrestlers, but, they all wrestle a completely different style than most of the PSU wrestlers do. Beau Bartlett was as big of an outlier for the recent PSU wrestlers as Caliendo is for recent Iowa wrestlers.
 
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huntinghawk

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Feb 22, 2026
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It certainly helps to have talent, no doubt about it. However, if you want to say it has nothing to do with coaching style, I think you are putting on blinders. Kennedy, Ferrari and Keuter (to name a few) were pretty highly ranked recruits. They are great wrestlers, but, they all wrestle a completely different style than most of the PSU wrestlers do. Beau Bartlett was as big of an outlier for the recent PSU wrestlers as Caliendo is for recent Iowa wrestlers.
Penn State has had several studs wrestle boring styles. It's recruiting.
 

MSU158

All-Conference
Nov 20, 2014
1,362
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Several? If I go back year to year comparing bonus percentage, I'm guessing most years look very similar to last year. Penn State wrestles one style, and Iowa wrestles a different style. Truth hurts.
It IS talent first and foremost. Anyone arguing against that has their head in the sand. Yes coaching is a factor, but whatever PSU is doing for conditioning the last few years may actually be the biggest factor. How often do you see a PSU wrestler more tired in the 3rd than an opponent?

Metcalf used to be an anomaly. Now, over half the PSU lineup can go that hard all match. THAT along with talent is HUGE, especially at NCAA’s…where Iowa actually did REALLY well scoring bonus this past season…
 

mvattivo

All-Conference
Jun 23, 2005
412
2,026
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It IS talent first and foremost. Anyone arguing against that has their head in the sand. Yes coaching is a factor, but whatever PSU is doing for conditioning the last few years may actually be the biggest factor. How often do you see a PSU wrestler more tired in the 3rd than an opponent?

Metcalf used to be an anomaly. Now, over half the PSU lineup can go that hard all match. THAT along with talent is HUGE, especially at NCAA’s…where Iowa actually did REALLY well scoring bonus this past season…

I agree with you on the conditioning factor. I'm not arguing that there is a talent gap, but, there is also a different style being coached. If you can't see that, YOU have your head in the sand. Honestly, I'm not a "Brands sucks" guy. I actually really like them, and generally agree that I don't know if there is anyone better currently out there, who is available and wants to coach. I will say that recruiting well and having your guys well conditioned is absolutely part of being a great coach. Unfortunately, money is also a factor in this new college sports world. (It's always been a factor, it's just a bigger factor now)