Per Vegas, USA is still a narrow favorite over Belgium

Perd Hapley

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
6,259
7,455
113
3-way money line for regulation only:
USA +155
Belgium +165
Draw +250

Odds of advancing:

USA -115
Belgium +100

Spread: USA -0.5

Soccer betting sure is complicated.
 

patdog

Heisman
May 28, 2007
58,909
29,255
113
Does Draw pay if it goes to ET or only if it goes to PKs?
I would think it would have to go to penalties. If a match is won in extra time, there’s an official winner & loser. If a match goes to penalties, it’s a draw and the winner of the shootout advances.
 

Predestined

Senior
Dec 5, 2008
2,565
450
83
Correct it's a draw if tied at end of regulation and Vegas pays then, even though a winner (record purposes) is declared if a team is ahead at end of ET. Which makes no sense of course. Moral of the story: don't wager. Wisdom of the story: ask before you bet.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: POTUS

johnson86-1

All-American
Aug 22, 2012
14,848
5,327
113
According to what I read last night, the one game red card suspension is not appealable. We are only able to appeal if FIFA extends the suspension to multiple games, which surely they will not do. But it's FIFA, so you never know.
What I saw is that it is technically appealable, but that once VAR is involved, you're basically not going to win any appeal. No clue if the people saying that knew what they were talking about, but they had British accents and were on an official looking set, so maybe they do.
 

sigma_dawg

Sophomore
Sep 6, 2025
344
196
42
Belgium is not a very good team and we will not miss Balogun. Our best player on offense and biggest scoring threat is ready to go. We should be favored all things considered. If we lose it’s a MASSIVE choke job.
 

sigma_dawg

Sophomore
Sep 6, 2025
344
196
42
You’re not good at trolling or you’re just a moron. I haven’t decided yet.
It’s just one persons opinion. I think it’s funny how some here were falsely acting like Belgium is a team of Lamine Yamals that we have little chance against… Vegas says otherwise. Those people couldn’t have been more wrong.

We are down our second best forward. Big whoop. We still can and should win. Vegas agrees. Sorry if that’s disappointing to some.
 
  • Like
Reactions: MaroonState

She Mate Me

Heisman
Dec 7, 2008
14,268
13,108
113
Belgium is not a very good team and we will not miss Balogun. Our best player on offense and biggest scoring threat is ready to go. We should be favored all things considered. If we lose it’s a MASSIVE choke job.

Belgium is the 9th ranked team in the world. The USA is 15th.

And you remain a disaster at trolling. Back to ignoring you…
 

Darryl Steight

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
4,160
6,972
113
It’s just one persons opinion. I think it’s funny how some here were falsely acting like Belgium is a team of Lamine Yamals that we have little chance against… Vegas says otherwise. Those people couldn’t have been more wrong.

We are down our second best forward. Big whoop. We still can and should win. Vegas agrees. Sorry if that’s disappointing to some.

To start with, Balogun is clearly our most lethal offensive player, and a lot of experts would say he has become our best player. But even if you think Pulisic is "better" than him, he's been hurt. And downplaying the impact of losing our most prolific scorer is Ludacris.

Anyway, besides the team rankings which have Belgium consistently in the Top 10 in the world, they also have one of the best midfielders in the game. Not just right now... one of the best midfielders of all time, in Kevin DeBruyne. I agree we may be fairly evenly matched in athleticism overall, but it's still a European team that is really good. Do I think we can win? Absolutely. Do I think we should win? I don't know. You said if we lose this match it's a huge choke job. That part of your statement is ridiculous.
 

Darryl Steight

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
4,160
6,972
113
3-way money line for regulation only:
USA +155
Belgium +165
Draw +250

Odds of advancing:

USA -115
Belgium +100

Spread: USA -0.5

Soccer betting sure is complicated.
I've been wanting to see Haji Wright get some meaningful time, but not like this. I would feel so much better betting on us if we had Balo up top.
 
  • Like
Reactions: She Mate Me

sigma_dawg

Sophomore
Sep 6, 2025
344
196
42
To start with, Balogun is clearly our most lethal offensive player, and a lot of experts would say he has become our best player. But even if you think Pulisic is "better" than him, he's been hurt. And downplaying the impact of losing our most prolific scorer is Ludacris.

Anyway, besides the team rankings which have Belgium consistently in the Top 10 in the world, they also have one of the best midfielders in the game. Not just right now... one of the best midfielders of all time, in Kevin DeBruyne. I agree we may be fairly evenly matched in athleticism overall, but it's still a European team that is really good. Do I think we can win? Absolutely. Do I think we should win? I don't know. You said if we lose this match it's a huge choke job. That part of your statement is ridiculous.
Well that all depends on how you define “choke job”… if Vegas shows that we are favored… MANY would consider losing a game we are favored to win, (once in a few decades World Cup game AT HOME) a choke job. It all depends on who you ask. Belgium is very old and not very well respected in Europe. We CAN and SHOULD win. I expect us to. We’ll see.
 

ckDOG

All-American
Dec 11, 2007
10,183
6,204
113
According to what I read last night, the one game red card suspension is not appealable. We are only able to appeal if FIFA extends the suspension to multiple games, which surely they will not do. But it's FIFA, so you never know.
Bored Will And Grace GIF by Cameo
 

She Mate Me

Heisman
Dec 7, 2008
14,268
13,108
113
Maybe you personally should go educate Vegas and tell them all that they are wrong.

Vegas has the US as a very slight favorite, likely because of home field and all the American bettors backing the home team.

Your assertion that Belgium is not good and a US loss is a choke job remains dumber than dumb.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Darryl Steight

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
11,225
7,766
113
What I saw is that it is technically appealable, but that once VAR is involved, you're basically not going to win any appeal. No clue if the people saying that knew what they were talking about, but they had British accents and were on an official looking set, so maybe they do.
What I’ve seen says it is not appealable.
 

L4Dawg

All-American
Oct 27, 2016
11,225
7,766
113
Don't ask Vegas. Ask the resident know it all (L4dawg or whatever his name is).
Don‘t ask me. I think that one is a toss up. I’d say Belgium has the better talent, but a lot of what’s better is past their prime. A young team like ours might be able to exploit that.
 

johnson86-1

All-American
Aug 22, 2012
14,848
5,327
113
What I’ve seen says it is not appealable.
I am guessing the people I saw were talking out their ***. Not sure if they were confusing rules applicable to different FIFA events or maybe even other leagues, but they were damn confident about it.