I believe you are wrong about this. This is the ncaa enacting a rule in which the class of 2026 only gets 4 years while everyone in school the 5 years prior and everyone after them gets 5 years.
This isn’t like cancelling one-time events in which a global pandemic caused the cancellations to save lives.
Agreed.
You only need to find one court in one state to rule in the athletes favor. There is already class-action lawsuit in Ohio on behalf of 2025-26 seniors who exhausted their eligibility, probably many more to follow.
The NCAA often lost previous lawsuits on the basis of their rules not being applied evenly and logically and the expense of the earning power through NIL of individual athletes. For example, players did not lose the amateurism status if they played some pro ball overseas, or were paid through endorsements. But if they accepted money from a tennis tournament then their amateurism and eligibility was eliminated. That was deemed arbitrary.
It is not hard to imagine a court deciding that grandfathering in 2024-25 athletes, but not 2025-26 athletes is also arbitrary, providing both classes meet the new 5in5 rules.
The NCAA rationalized that allowing the 2025-26 graduating class to jump right back on the 2026-27 rosters would cause chaos due to roster caps, and signed commitments for the incoming freshman class. The NCAA is of course not wrong here. But the problem is that the turmoil they foresee is protecting their institutions and not the graduated class.
I could easily see the NCAA losing this case given recent precedents.