OT: Looks like the Luigi Mangione......

dorndawg

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I would need to know a few qualifier stats to even know whether our number is high, such as:

- how many of said prisoners are foreign citizens with a prior criminal history (i.e., maybe a certain % of that number shouldn't have even been on US soil to commit crimes in the first place). Deport them, you can't really allow them in, then blame the mean old US for having "too many prisoners".
- what % of those incarcerated are in because they're "insane" or whatever the PC term is these days? We need more mental institutions, which was on Goat's list. Put them where they belong and remove them from the numbers.
- what % of those incarcerated are for violent offenses? I would want to separate the non-violent out in a separate category, and I probably wouldn't jail as many for non-violent crimes anyway (other than repeat offenders). Claiming we put too many poor black kids in jail (which some people do) but also including the broad number of drug or traffic offenders in the "confirmation" of that claim doesn't make sense to me.
- speaking of, how many said prisoners are repeat offenders (maybe certain policies have allowed or led to more career criminals, who need to be eliminated if they just refuse to live in civilized society.)
- how many in that number are serving life sentences because of the heinous nature of their crimes, but their particular state has chosen to outlaw capital punishment? I'd eliminate them almost immediately. That's how Iran keeps their prisoner numbers low - although I assume we'd have a higher threshold of what calls for capital punishment than "she showed her eyes to someone on the street".

I could probably come up with more, but my main point is this: using such a broad stat ("too many prisoners!") against our country seems a little prejudiced. Our government, or the people running it, have created the jail overpopulation problem in many ways -- we've allowed or even invited many of these people who are in prison into the system ourselves -- and now we're complaining that there are too many of them in the system.
I'm not being a jerk, I really think your post shows we're at a place where people struggle to determine and agree what problems even exist. Which really precludes any meaningful conversation about a solution. I reckon as long as reasonable folks can keep talking, we'll figure it out.
 
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POTUS

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I mean, I think the anal rape is generally pretty terrifying.

I actually think we have this backwards. We should have more prisons that are punishing, but not cruel. Once a criminal gets to a point that we are ready to lock the door and throw away the key, whatever. I still would prefer that they not be at regular risk of rape, but I get that there are lots of places that need money. But we need more prisons where we can send people to be punished but not traumatized to the point that they are likely to carry baggage back into the free world when they get out.
Agree to disagree. With violent criminals rehabilitation isn't necessary. Just eliminate them and move on, as they did with their victims. Society deserves it. They've proven they can't live in society. There is no point in housing them. Some would argue the death penalty is even more humane than prison, but what's lost in the discussion of criminal rights is what justice demands. The victims deserve to have this violent criminal eliminated. It shows that their loved one was important and that their life had real value. It was so valuable the one who took it forfeits their right to draw breath.
 

johnson86-1

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How do you suggest measuring "tough on crime"? Using "prisoners per 100k pop" seems pretty reasonable to me. Hardly stupid. I would have expected better from you.

Average time of incarceration and post supervision release for different crimes. I'd also argue that likelihood of getting caught for a crime is very relevant, and time from arrest to sentencing, but I can see how that is arguably something more like "serious about crime" rather than "tough on crime", just like training or education programs in prison aimed at smooth reentry into society and reduced recidivism is not what I'd call "tough on crime" but could be evidence of being "serious about crime".

You think Americans are just hard-wired to be more violent? I'm not saying you're wrong, at least that would be a justification.
I think certain populations of Americans are more prone to violence. There is a book that I wish I could pull the name of that provides a lot of details about where the population in the US historically comes from. It was like down to the county level, and it made a pretty good argument that much of our politics and also to an extent I guess what you might call the quality of communities can be predicted based on where immigrants settling the area originally came from. Basically a more detailed look at the fact that to the extent you can get detailed stats, basically every demographic you can think of does better in the US than their equivalent in their ancestral home, but this was less focused on that and more just about how it predicted politics and community. One of the examples/claim was about how family feuds in appalachia were basically just a repeat of the feuds that their scottish ancestors had.
 
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Dawgzilla2

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Average time of incarceration and post supervision release for different crimes. I'd also argue that likelihood of getting caught for a crime is very relevant, and time from arrest to sentencing, but I can see how that is arguably something more like "serious about crime" rather than "tough on crime", just like training or education programs in prison aimed at smooth reentry into society and reduced recidivism is not what I'd call "tough on crime" but could be evidence of being "serious about crime".


I think certain populations of Americans are more prone to violence. There is a book that I wish I could pull the name of that provides a lot of details about where the population in the US historically comes from. It was like down to the county level, and it made a pretty good argument that much of our politics and also to an extent I guess what you might call the quality of communities can be predicted based on where immigrants settling the area originally came from. Basically a more detailed look at the fact that to the extent you can get detailed stats, basically every demographic you can think of does better in the US than their equivalent in their ancestral home, but this was less focused on that and more just about how it predicted politics and community. One of the examples/claim was about how family feuds in appalachia were basically just a repeat of the feuds that their scottish ancestors had.
Similar to what I posted above, what you call "serious about crime" is the only way we can effectively reduce our crime rate.

What you call "tough on crime" is not particularly effective, and is based on people searching for punishment or revenge to make themselves feel better rather than anything constructive.
 

Dawgzilla2

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Agree to disagree. With violent criminals rehabilitation isn't necessary. Just eliminate them and move on, as they did with their victims. Society deserves it. They've proven they can't live in society. There is no point in housing them. Some would argue the death penalty is even more humane than prison, but what's lost in the discussion of criminal rights is what justice demands. The victims deserve to have this violent criminal eliminated. It shows that their loved one was important and that their life had real value. It was so valuable the one who took it forfeits their right to draw breath.
And what would you do for those who were wrongfully convicted and put to death?
 
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OG Goat Holder

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As an aside, another portion of our incarcerated population is the mentally ill that traditionally (50 years ago) would have been housed in asylums/sanitariums.
True but they have to kill someone to get put there. They walk around having their episodes and continually do dumb shlt. In and out of courts, until they finally stab somebody, then we send them to jail.

They should have been locked up in a nuthouse waaaaaay before somebody had to lose their life. And it would be nice to have skid row in every major American city and have not have to dodge feces on the sidewalk.
 
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Drebin

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.... killer who shot that insurance executive in the back, killing him, is going to be allowed an insanity defense according to the NYC judge in that case. If successful, Mangione would be housed in a psychiatric hospital for treatment. Obviously, the conditions at the hospital are way way better than a prison plus a lot less time served. The other route for an insanity defense if successful, would be a result of "manslaughter", thus reducing his sentence significantly down from a murder charge. So, either way, he could come out smelling like a rose. And we wonder why crimes like this keep recurring.........criminals know they don't do hard time anymore, even for murder. So, it's worth the risk to commit them.
If he's proclaiming insanity, what does it say for all the idiots that show up picketing for him?
 

POTUS

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And what would you do for those who were wrongfully convicted and put to death?
That's a crime that deserves justice as well. But the small potential for wrongfully convicting someone is not a reason to let easily provable violent criminals spend our money and energy living in a prison for decades. Luigi Mangione isn't going to be discovered not to be the killer. He did it. He premeditated it. There's video of it. We won't find out later he's actually innocent. In a just world, he'd be executed already.
 
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johnson86-1

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Similar to what I posted above, what you call "serious about crime" is the only way we can effectively reduce our crime rate.

What you call "tough on crime" is not particularly effective, and is based on people searching for punishment or revenge to make themselves feel better rather than anything constructive.
I mean, it's pretty effective. There was this ridiculous notion back in the 80's and 90's that incarcerating criminals didn't reduce crime. You'd even see idiot newspaper articles where the headlines would be like "Crime drops despite rising incarceration rates" (which resulted in the term "Butterfield Effect" being coined)

I don't know how much faith to put in any social science research considering the lack of replicability of most studies, but we were taught that a higher likelihood of getting caught and swifter punishment were more effective deterrents than harsh sentencing. That seems plausible to me as being a criminal is usually almost synonymous to having an excessively high discount rate, so the likelihood of immediate consequences seems like it would be effective.

But while I would like to us to have more police (ideally actually beat walking policemen, although I know that's not realistic outsdie of pretty dense cities), and do better at separating people that need rehabilitation from people that are far gone enough to just need to be separated from society, at the end of they day, even if we're not doing that, I'm fine with basically locking people up and throwing away the key once they are engaging in premeditated violence or even just repeated property crime because their victims matter too.
 

dorndawg

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I mean, it's pretty effective. There was this ridiculous notion back in the 80's and 90's that incarcerating criminals didn't reduce crime. You'd even see idiot newspaper articles where the headlines would be like "Crime drops despite rising incarceration rates" (which resulted in the term "Butterfield Effect" being coined)
You may have heard people say this in the 80s and 90s. However, here's what actually happened:

1781724044484.png
 

She Mate Me

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To tell you how 17ed up this is, "insanity" isn't even a medical diagnosis, but a legal term. How is a psychiatrist/psychologist going to treat him for his legal condition? Man I can't stand our legal system.
In my mind, most people capable of premeditated homicide are suffering from some level of insanity.
 

RocketDawg

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.... killer who shot that insurance executive in the back, killing him, is going to be allowed an insanity defense according to the NYC judge in that case. If successful, Mangione would be housed in a psychiatric hospital for treatment. Obviously, the conditions at the hospital are way way better than a prison plus a lot less time served. The other route for an insanity defense if successful, would be a result of "manslaughter", thus reducing his sentence significantly down from a murder charge. So, either way, he could come out smelling like a rose. And we wonder why crimes like this keep recurring.........criminals know they don't do hard time anymore, even for murder. So, it's worth the risk to commit them.
Well, in a way, a person has to be a little off kilter (even insane) to kill someone in cold-blooded, pre-planned murder. But lots of other murderers have preceded him and they didn't get off for being crazy. He's just got a backing, mostly female, because he's physically attractive to them. And some, of course, actually believe what he did was justified because of the health care industry.
 

RocketDawg

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Jail should be like boot camp. you should get up at 6am. you should be required to be trained in something. you should do work in that training. There should be constant discipline within those walls. I just read an article about how there are so few trained construction workers that it makes the cost of building housing higher than it could be. Teach them trades.
We had to get up at 5 am in boot camp. (y)
 

TilloDwg

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leeinator

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Being allowed an insanity defense and being given an insanity judgment are two different things. I know jurors can be idiots but i don’t see how anyone can see it other than premeditated.
I think they are basing their defense that a NYC jury will see it as Luigi did. And they very well might. Hell, half the women up there and around this nation are in love with the guy. And.....he couldn't be tried in a more friendly/favorable environment. With such liberal DAs up there, he might get a chance to get off scott-free. If he was tried in Mississippi, he'd almost certainly get the death penalty.
 

TilloDwg

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I think they are basing their defense that a NYC jury will see it as Luigi did. And they very well might. Hell, half the women up there and around this nation are in love with the guy. And.....he couldn't be tried in a more friendly/favorable environment. With such liberal DAs up there, he might get a chance to get off scott-free. If he was tried in Mississippi, he'd almost certainly get the death penalty.
If it weren't such a high profile case, DA Alvin Bragg woulda let him out the same day.
 
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There's a cultural reason for this that's not allowed to be discussed.

Nope.

I read the article, and it seems to be a straight-forward explanation of basic criminal trial procedure happening here. You may not agree with the judge's ruling, but exclusion of evidence based on established case law and the 4th amendment is the way that the system should work. The judge allowed things that were subject to a proper search and excluded others that he determined were not. He's allowing the notebook with the "manifesto" and the guy's voluntary statements to the cops. Seems pretty down-the-middle to me.

Personally, I would have excluded all evidence from the bag since it was five days after the shooting as well as the product of an illegal search. And I was a prosecutor.

Seems like you're just choosing to see this through a political lens.
 
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I think they are basing their defense that a NYC jury will see it as Luigi did. And they very well might. Hell, half the women up there and around this nation are in love with the guy. And.....he couldn't be tried in a more friendly/favorable environment. With such liberal DAs up there, he might get a chance to get off scott-free. If he was tried in Mississippi, he'd almost certainly get the death penalty.
How much personal experience do you have with Manhattan DAs? Doesn't sound like much.
 

TilloDwg

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I read the article, and it seems to be a straight-forward explanation of basic criminal trial procedure happening here. You may not agree with the judge's ruling, but exclusion of evidence based on established case law and the 4th amendment is the way that the system should work. The judge allowed things that were subject to a proper search and excluded others that he determined were not. He's allowing the notebook with the "manifesto" and the guy's voluntary statements to the cops. Seems pretty down-the-middle to me.

Personally, I would have excluded all evidence from the bag since it was five days after the shooting as well as the product of an illegal search. And I was a prosecutor.

Seems like you're just choosing to see this through a political lens.
Which is your opinion, also....hopefully, they don't **** up justice.
 

theoriginalSALTYdog

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The thing I'm interested to watch in that case will be how they handle the federal case after the state case. I mean if his insanity defense works in the state case, will the federal prosecutors come after him harder in that case or will they back off and try to cut a deal?
Can't claim insanity on the federal charges from my understanding.......
 
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paindonthurt

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.... killer who shot that insurance executive in the back, killing him, is going to be allowed an insanity defense according to the NYC judge in that case. If successful, Mangione would be housed in a psychiatric hospital for treatment. Obviously, the conditions at the hospital are way way better than a prison plus a lot less time served. The other route for an insanity defense if successful, would be a result of "manslaughter", thus reducing his sentence significantly down from a murder charge. So, either way, he could come out smelling like a rose. And we wonder why crimes like this keep recurring.........criminals know they don't do hard time anymore, even for murder. So, it's worth the risk to commit them.
And there are quite a few people out there with legit platforms condoning what he did which is 17ing sick.
 

paindonthurt

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Which is your opinion, also....hopefully, they don't **** up justice.
I mean, it's my opinion as a 20+ year litigator who has dealt with all manner of judge and opposing counsel out there. I've argued and lost many motions in limine and I can think of a handful of times I believed the judge's political agenda played into the ruling. Was I pissed? Of course. But not paranoid.
 
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BTCMoonBoy

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Predestined

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.... killer who shot that insurance executive in the back, killing him, is going to be allowed an insanity defense according to the NYC judge in that case. If successful, Mangione would be housed in a psychiatric hospital for treatment. Obviously, the conditions at the hospital are way way better than a prison plus a lot less time served. The other route for an insanity defense if successful, would be a result of "manslaughter", thus reducing his sentence significantly down from a murder charge. So, either way, he could come out smelling like a rose. And we wonder why crimes like this keep recurring.........criminals know they don't do hard time anymore, even for murder. So, it's worth the risk to commit them.
I hear over 50 psych nurses submitted affidavits declaring him insane
 

TilloDwg

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I mean, it's my opinion as a 20+ year litigator who has dealt with all manner of judge and opposing counsel out there. I've argued and lost many motions in limine and I can think of a handful of times I believed the judge's political agenda played into the ruling. Was I pissed? Of course. But not paranoid.
So, I'm correct then.
 

Podgy

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It sucks to have to hear ideas you find distressing, I'm sorry you experienced that.

The good news for you is that beyond whatever words you may have to endure, here in the land of the free we have 5% of the world's population and 20% of the prisoners. You can rest assured any rhetoric is not in alignment with action:

View attachment 1330042

We have more violent people here. We actually don't imprison enough violent people, those who have repeatedly shown they're willing to terrorize and even kill innocent people. Most people don't avoid going to certain areas or living in certain neighborhoods because they're afraid of billionaires. We don't even have to imprison a large percentage of society. It's likely around 1% who commit most violent crimes. Why allow them to live around law-abiding citizens?
 

POTUS

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We have more violent people here. We actually don't imprison enough violent people, those who have repeatedly shown they're willing to terrorize and even kill innocent people. Most people don't avoid going to certain areas or living in certain neighborhoods because they're afraid of billionaires. We don't even have to imprison a large percentage of society. It's likely around 1% who commit most violent crimes. Why allow them to live around law-abiding citizens?
FIFY
 

Podgy

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Jail should be like boot camp. you should get up at 6am. you should be required to be trained in something. you should do work in that training. There should be constant discipline within those walls. I just read an article about how there are so few trained construction workers that it makes the cost of building housing higher than it could be. Teach them trades.
How much would that cost? Where would you find the drill sergeants? Do you really think murderers and rapists are just future HVAC guys who made a couple of bad choices?
 

Podgy

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How do you suggest measuring "tough on crime"? Using "prisoners per 100k pop" seems pretty reasonable to me. Hardly stupid. I would have expected better from you.

You think Americans are just hard-wired to be more violent? I'm not saying you're wrong, at least that would be a justification.
I think some might be. Otherwise what's the explanation? Why do Asian American women have such low crime rates and lower crime rates than any young American males?