UNC Baseball Earns No. 5 National Seed In NCAA Tournament
- Thread starter SpencerHaskell
- Start date
This could be true…but we beat g tech 3 of 4 & win ACC…I think we pretty clearly switch places w them but to your point who knows
NCAA deserves to die. We need a new governing body for college athletics
They would have still had 7 more Q1 wins and been 2 games better than us in ACC play. They might have fallen to 3 overall. And that’s it IMO
I get all the metrics
What bothers me is an SEC team can lose 8of 10 series and get a bid
What bothers me is an SEC team can lose 8of 10 series and get a bid
That bubble team will be jacked sky high to beat us.
ESPN just said we had the toughest draw…
We absolutely have the toughest draw. When you have SEC fans feeling sorry for you and saying how screwed we got, it’s pretty telling.
That's one time we agree on something.
I’ll take Tenn. over playing Coastal.
I would 100% rather have Coastal. FSU’s regional is a joke.
Coastal has completely fallen off a cliff the past 3 weeks
We went 1-1-1 against ECU. I think ECU beats Tenn. VCU is the best 4 seed according to many.
Bottom line is we got a tough regional, But we are very much favored against any of them
So let's do data analysis.
Based on DSR, we got the fourth-highest 2, third-highest 3, and fourth-highest 4 of any host in the field.
If you limit it to top-8, we got the highest 2, the highest 3, and highest 4 of any top-8 seed in the field along with the potential highest-ranked Supers match-up.
Our path is quantitatively harder than any top-8 seed. By a lot.
This...
Here are the RPI rankings for the 16 #4 seeds:
82
88
89
90
102
118
119
140
144
155
177
199
201
227
238
239
And the #5 National Seed gets the highest ranked 4 seed? Someone make sense out of that.
They were told to save the NCAA money and make it drivable if possible. Only explanation. We very clearly should have switched 4 seeds with West Virginia (Binghamton).
RPI break down of each regional. h/t @tristan95827831 on twitter
average RPI of UNC regional is 39.25. Clear outlier among the top 8, third lowest of the entire field (Kansas 37.75, aTm 39). Just insane.
Seriously - go away.
Bad draw but it is what it is now. Spilt milk.
We can win this regional but it will not be easy. Any of the 3 teams can win it. The Tar Heels are going to need to play at the level of their seeding. Don't look past the Friday game as it will be a tough one.
I hope that the folks that get tickets don't sell them because the UT and ECU demand will be really high.
We can win this regional but it will not be easy. Any of the 3 teams can win it. The Tar Heels are going to need to play at the level of their seeding. Don't look past the Friday game as it will be a tough one.
I hope that the folks that get tickets don't sell them because the UT and ECU demand will be really high.
I could be mistaken but I believe UNC gets to pick which time slot they play being the Regional host.
Not if ESPN decides they want one of the games on linear TV (ESPN2/ESPNU). We picked the early game last year when they didn't pick the 2/3 game for tv. This year Tennessee/ECU is at noon on ESPNU. LSU was on TV in the early game in 2024 too.
Hearing that UNC-VCU will be the second game Friday at 5:00 on ESPN+
Looks tough on paper. But in this tournament anything can happen.
Remember last year? Upsets everywhere. The top 2 seeds didn't even make it out of their regional. Our side of the bracket was looking pretty favorable for the CWS, with Coastal, Louisville and Oregon State — and then we fell apart against Zona.
CWS had 3 unseeded teams and the #8, #13 and #15 teams.
Anything can happen. Just need to play well in the big moments.
Remember last year? Upsets everywhere. The top 2 seeds didn't even make it out of their regional. Our side of the bracket was looking pretty favorable for the CWS, with Coastal, Louisville and Oregon State — and then we fell apart against Zona.
CWS had 3 unseeded teams and the #8, #13 and #15 teams.
Anything can happen. Just need to play well in the big moments.
Anyone see Alabama’s regional?? Their 3 seed is the same RPI as our 4 seed (83). Their 4 seed is 177!! Oh, and their 2 is ok st. Who is a mediocre team from the big 12, not the sec.
Tenn has an ELO of 16 and DSR of 17… both much better indicators of how good a team is vs. RPI, imo.
And we’re above freaking auburn in every single major ranking.
What a freaking joke. Especially the 4 seed!
Tenn has an ELO of 16 and DSR of 17… both much better indicators of how good a team is vs. RPI, imo.
And we’re above freaking auburn in every single major ranking.
What a freaking joke. Especially the 4 seed!
Agree on the #4 seed but I think Oklahoma State wins that regional. They can hit
Should have finished 6th and they could be a national seed
If we win Sunday, we get WVU instead of Texas A&M. Strange we didn't seem to recognize how important that game was to our probability of winning the national championship. We can still do it, lets go boys!
ETA: and likely UCF instead of Tennessee...
You seem to be under the belief the conference tournament significantly impacted things. That doesn’t seem to be the case considering things like Mississippi State being selected for a host over Arkansas and NC State being in over Pitt.
I'm guessing, sure. But we were ranked #2 in the country for a month and then win the ACC tournament over a very strong Georgia Tech club...I don't see how we would have been anything lower than the #3 seed. In this bracket, there is a huge difference between #3 and #5 unfortunately in terms of probabilities to advance.