Beautiful Weather This Weekend Into Monday

AFM22

Heisman
Oct 31, 2022
16,566
31,551
113
KASH DOESNT SEE COLOR
 
  • Like
  • Love
Reactions: Moral and McLovin32

McLovin32

Heisman
Feb 1, 2008
8,854
26,461
113
Watch Probability at 80%. Pardon my language but **** 3 inch hail.


Mesoscale Discussion 0725
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern NE into western/central
IA...and southern MN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 152055Z - 152300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential is increasing this
afternoon, and convective initiation is expected over the next
couple of hours. Large hail to 3 inches diameter, scattered damaging
wind gusts, and a tornado or two will be possible through evening.
Watch issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Boundary layer moisture continue to spread northward
this afternoon across the Mid-MO Valley, with dewpoints in the low
60s F now across southeast NE and southwest IA. Strong heating into
the mid 80s to low 90s amid steep midlevel lapse rates near 8.5 C/km
per 18z region RAOBs is contributing to weak to moderate
destabilization across the region. Deepening cumulus is noted ahead
of a surface front across northeast NE into northwest IA and
southern MN. Further south, midlevel cumulus atop a capping
inversion is also deepening. This suggests large-scale ascent is
increasing and beginning to overspread the area. Thunderstorm
initiation is expected within the next couple of hours.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Moral

AFM22

Heisman
Oct 31, 2022
16,566
31,551
113
Watch Probability at 80%. Pardon my language but **** 3 inch hail.


Mesoscale Discussion 0725
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern NE into western/central
IA...and southern MN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 152055Z - 152300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential is increasing this
afternoon, and convective initiation is expected over the next
couple of hours. Large hail to 3 inches diameter, scattered damaging
wind gusts, and a tornado or two will be possible through evening.
Watch issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Boundary layer moisture continue to spread northward
this afternoon across the Mid-MO Valley, with dewpoints in the low
60s F now across southeast NE and southwest IA. Strong heating into
the mid 80s to low 90s amid steep midlevel lapse rates near 8.5 C/km
per 18z region RAOBs is contributing to weak to moderate
destabilization across the region. Deepening cumulus is noted ahead
of a surface front across northeast NE into northwest IA and
southern MN. Further south, midlevel cumulus atop a capping
inversion is also deepening. This suggests large-scale ascent is
increasing and beginning to overspread the area. Thunderstorm
initiation is expected within the next couple of hours.
I have to read all weather reports in frankie's voice.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Moral

Moral

Heisman
Dec 16, 2022
9,227
33,968
113
Watch Probability at 80%. Pardon my language but **** 3 inch hail.


Mesoscale Discussion 0725
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern NE into western/central
IA...and southern MN

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 152055Z - 152300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential is increasing this
afternoon, and convective initiation is expected over the next
couple of hours. Large hail to 3 inches diameter, scattered damaging
wind gusts, and a tornado or two will be possible through evening.
Watch issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Boundary layer moisture continue to spread northward
this afternoon across the Mid-MO Valley, with dewpoints in the low
60s F now across southeast NE and southwest IA. Strong heating into
the mid 80s to low 90s amid steep midlevel lapse rates near 8.5 C/km
per 18z region RAOBs is contributing to weak to moderate
destabilization across the region. Deepening cumulus is noted ahead
of a surface front across northeast NE into northwest IA and
southern MN. Further south, midlevel cumulus atop a capping
inversion is also deepening. This suggests large-scale ascent is
increasing and beginning to overspread the area. Thunderstorm
initiation is expected within the next couple of hours.

Metal roofs might be the future the way things are going in the Midwest.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AFM22 and McLovin32

McLovin32

Heisman
Feb 1, 2008
8,854
26,461
113
Effin hell. We recently got our siding repaired and shingles replaced from the hail storm last month.


The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western into Central and Northern Iowa
Southern Minnesota
Eastern Nebraska
Far Southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 515
PM until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter likely

A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify early
this evening. Supercells capable of very large hail are expected
initially (diameters between 2.5 to 3.5 inches). A tornado or two
is possible later this evening. Upscale growth into one or two
bands or bowing segments is expected later this evening with severe
wind gusts becoming more prevalent. Peak gusts associated with the
thunderstorm bands will probably range 70-80 mph.
 

BlIIlken2

All-Conference
Dec 4, 2021
528
1,539
92
Hail is getting out of control. Living in the upper Midwest is going to be almost as unaffordable as Florida and hurricanes in the future. **** this hail ****. It’s getting worse.
 

Mcgibbs

Freshman
May 7, 2026
384
86
26
Effin hell. We recently got our siding repaired and shingles replaced from the hail storm last month.


The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western into Central and Northern Iowa
Southern Minnesota
Eastern Nebraska
Far Southeast South Dakota

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 515
PM until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter likely

A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify early
this evening. Supercells capable of very large hail are expected
initially (diameters between 2.5 to 3.5 inches). A tornado or two
is possible later this evening. Upscale growth into one or two
bands or bowing segments is expected later this evening with severe
wind gusts becoming more prevalent. Peak gusts associated with the
thunderstorm bands will probably range 70-80 mph.
Typical the sky is falling lib comment right here.
Some rain happened over night over the weekend. Clearly shows some of you put wayyy to much stock in people spreading fear.