Worst Energy Crisis In History

What Would Jesus Do?

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Nov 28, 2010
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What Would Jesus Do?

All-Conference
Nov 28, 2010
34,980
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AI summary:

This video features an urgent discussion regarding a global energy crisis stemming from the Iran war and the resulting blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The situation has triggered a severe depletion of global oil reserves, threatening to push the market into a state of 'operational stress' by early June 2026.

Key Takeaways:
  • Supply Shock: The blockade has halted approximately 20% of the world's oil supplies, causing an alarming drain on usable global stockpiles—which fell by 35% between the start of 2026 and late April (0:26 - 1:48).
  • Operational Stress: Analysts warn that if the blockade persists, refineries and pipelines may hit a threshold of 'operational stress' by June, leading to potential facility shutdowns that would be difficult and slow to reverse (4:24 - 5:07).
  • Economic Consequences: Former CIA executive William Usher notes that the market is heading toward a severe price shock. While some governments are considering tax holidays or export bans, these measures offer only limited relief (2:20 - 3:06; 6:43 - 7:44).
  • Vulnerability of Asia: Asian nations, which rely on the Strait of Hormuz for 85% of their petroleum, are already experiencing severe energy shortages and rationing (3:07 - 4:21).
  • Long-term Impacts: The crisis is expected to be prolonged, with some experts predicting that full flow through the strait may not return until 2027. Furthermore, the disruption extends beyond oil to fertilizer supplies, creating significant food security risks for up to 100 million people and threatening geopolitical stability (8:55 - 10:29).
 

What Would Jesus Do?

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Nov 28, 2010
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The Iran war needs to be over and the Strait open for normal business no later than June. Even then, things aren't looking good. But if later than that, things could turn disastrous.
 
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What Would Jesus Do?

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Nov 28, 2010
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Global recession credited to one, and only one, individual.

All so stupid.
You would think so, wouldn't you? But ask yourself this question: would a global recession (or maybe depression) be looming if Trump weren't President?

I don't think so. Do you?

No crazy tariffs.
No disastrous, criminal wars.
No retreat on green energy.
. . .
 

Palmerhawk

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Jul 3, 2025
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June 1 is only two weeks away.
Solutions to this pickle a feckless trump administration has put the world in are hard to envision right now.
Can china pressure Iran enough to yield on nuke enrichment or material?
Trump has minimal leverage with china or Iran.
We have burned most bridges to former allies

What a cluster
Thanks maga
 

Anon1750875978

Heisman
Dec 26, 2018
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You would think so, wouldn't you? But ask yourself this question: would a global recession (or maybe depression) be looming if Trump weren't President?

I don't think so. Do you?

No crazy tariffs.
No disastrous, criminal wars.
No retreat on green energy.
. . .
????
We're on the same side of the argument here.

This whole Iran thing is 100% ShitStain.

Gas/diesel increases drive up the shipping costs on damn near every consumer item.
 

What Would Jesus Do?

All-Conference
Nov 28, 2010
34,980
4,188
113
June 1 is only two weeks away.
Solutions to this pickle a feckless trump administration has put the world in are hard to envision right now.
Can china pressure Iran enough to yield on nuke enrichment or material?
Trump has minimal leverage with china or Iran.
We have burned most bridges to former allies

What a cluster
Thanks maga
Obama made a deal with Iran that worked so well that even when the US pulled out, Iran and the other partners in the agreement mostly stuck to it for at least another 7 years.

Now, Trump has started an unprovoked war, is ruining the global economy and worse . . . and the best he's likely to get from Iran is to renew something like the Obama deal.

Colossal failure!
 

What Would Jesus Do?

All-Conference
Nov 28, 2010
34,980
4,188
113
June 1 is only two weeks away.
Solutions to this pickle a feckless trump administration has put the world in are hard to envision right now.
Can china pressure Iran enough to yield on nuke enrichment or material?
Trump has minimal leverage with china or Iran.
We have burned most bridges to former allies

What a cluster
Thanks maga
The only reason China would pressure Iran to capitulate on its nuclear position is if that would assure the free flow of Iranian oil to China. How confident do you think Xi is that Trump would honor that arrangement for more than a few heartbeats?
 

What Would Jesus Do?

All-Conference
Nov 28, 2010
34,980
4,188
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And now Iran is threatening to close the Bab al-Mandab Strait by getting their Houthi allies on board. That closes the f’n Suez Canal.

They hold all the cards. Trump might have to give them nukes to get them to back down.
I've been thinking the only reason the Red Sea hasn't been shut down is that the Houthis lack sufficient firepower to make it stick. And, of course, Saudi Arabia would slam them using the $100 billion in US weapons we sold them.
 
Last edited:

Riveting

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Aug 24, 2020
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Obama made a deal with Iran that worked so well that even when the US pulled out, Iran and the other partners in the agreement mostly stuck to it for at least another 7 years.
Mostly stuck to it?? More lib naive wishful thinking.

"The IAEA said on June 12 that Iran had consistently failed to provide information about undeclared nuclear material and activities at multiple locations. The censure could pave the way for the UN Security Council to snap back sanctions lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal."

IAEA Declares Iran in Breach of Nuclear Nonproliferation Obligations
 

tarheelbybirth1

Heisman
Jul 4, 2025
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I've been thinking the only reason the Red Sea hasn't been shut down is that the Houthis lack sufficient firepower to make it stick. And, of course, Saudi Arabia would slam them using the $100 billion in US weapons we sold them.
They don't need a lot of firepower, but they have missile and drones that have allowed them to hit targets inside Saudi Arabia. They've killed Saudi military and civilians so I'm not sure that hitting a tanker or two would bring Holy Saudi Vengeance down on them. Just the threat of an attack means no insurance so no transit.