I’m holding forever. Either going to zero, going to 100, or getting bought.
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
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I’m holding forever. Either going to zero, going to 100, or getting bought.
Probably since I just put some fresh money to work today. Bought ARM and ETN …and more Amazon.
I keep wanting to buy software but haven't had the guts yet. NOW, TOST, and probably PLTR.
I guess we all should have buy after the restructuring! But plenty of room to run if the business turns around. Remember.....but high and sell higher.
There will be huge winners in software but really hard to tell which ones. Doesn’t make sense that companies will rip out and replace with in-house. Then again, software pricing will never be the same and most will have slower growth at least in short term.
Kicking myself for not pulling trigger on Akamai it’s up 30% today. They play a huge role in content delivery and cloud infrastructure.
AI infrastructure and energy should keep running until the day capex slows down. Talking to friends that work in big Fortune 100 companies = AI is just getting started!
I had a friend tell me about this in December of 23 when it was around $16/share. I didn't buy, didn't buy, didn't buy, and finally bought at $60. The stock promptly fell to $40 and sat there for a couple months, i figured i missed it, and sold it all for a loss.
It instantly shot back up to 80+.... brutal
This has been a crypto chat stock for a while. I do my very best to stay away from them. For every one like this there are 10 that crater and don’t come back
They need to change the name to ‘RocketLab Finitecrypto AI’ and only then does it go to the moon!
No suggestions as it’s not my realm but congrats. Living between San Diego and Camp Pendelton, I have a lot of neighbors with similar profiles and it’s fascinating to see the different directions they go in.
Outside of being on "too big" of a rip that chart looks great. First contended with $100 in Jan, digested for 4 months, and is now breaking through. I'd say that's a nice set up for the next couple weeks.
I've watched semiconductor maker INDI since they came public post covid.
After a big revenue run up into 2023, reaching as high as $70 mil per quarter, those rev's have come back down into the $50's. Not surprisingly the stock price has come down with it. Once a $10 stock not long after coming public(probably via spac) it went as low as $2.50. But it does seem to have found a floor, and currently trading in the $4's.
Revenue as of now is expected to begin ramping back up. The average rev expectations of 7 analysts have rev in the high $70's by the 4th qtr. And average qtrly rev's in the $90's next year(only 6 anaylsts). "Volume shipments have commenced for vision processors to major OEMs like NIO, with vision revenue expected to scale significantly throughout 2026." says google AI.
Still not profitable, but hoping to turn green in 2027(and potentially non-gaap positive next qtr). Fairly cheap on price to sales at 4.5x, as well as price to book at 2.5x.
More Google AI: "Execution Risk: Large design wins require substantial operational scaling; any delays in the radar or vision ramps could cause the company to miss its ambitious growth targets"
So the pins are lined up for INDI. They just need to knock them down.
I may buy some here just to get a foot in the door, but above $5 may be sign a that the stock has attained lift off.
After a big revenue run up into 2023, reaching as high as $70 mil per quarter, those rev's have come back down into the $50's. Not surprisingly the stock price has come down with it. Once a $10 stock not long after coming public(probably via spac) it went as low as $2.50. But it does seem to have found a floor, and currently trading in the $4's.
Revenue as of now is expected to begin ramping back up. The average rev expectations of 7 analysts have rev in the high $70's by the 4th qtr. And average qtrly rev's in the $90's next year(only 6 anaylsts). "Volume shipments have commenced for vision processors to major OEMs like NIO, with vision revenue expected to scale significantly throughout 2026." says google AI.
Still not profitable, but hoping to turn green in 2027(and potentially non-gaap positive next qtr). Fairly cheap on price to sales at 4.5x, as well as price to book at 2.5x.
More Google AI: "Execution Risk: Large design wins require substantial operational scaling; any delays in the radar or vision ramps could cause the company to miss its ambitious growth targets"
So the pins are lined up for INDI. They just need to knock them down.
I may buy some here just to get a foot in the door, but above $5 may be sign a that the stock has attained lift off.
On the stodgy side of things.
OSK just missed on EPS and the stock was down 10%(big move for a stodgy stock I know, but it had been trending nicely upward prior). But they reiterated their full year EPS of $11.
Historical P/E is 15-16 (again thanks to google AI). 15 x 11='s a $165 stock. Currently at $140, with that level looking like solid support. Next year's EPS expected(5 analysts) to be $14. 15 x 14 ='s $210. 50% upside.
Why do analysts expect OSK to see their EPS jump from $11 to $14?
Risks?
"The primary downside risks to Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) reaching its $14.25 EPS target in 2027 center on operational execution, cyclical market demand, and external cost pressures."
As always, exectution. Which given they just missed this past qtr, future misses may be more likely.
OSK just missed on EPS and the stock was down 10%(big move for a stodgy stock I know, but it had been trending nicely upward prior). But they reiterated their full year EPS of $11.
Historical P/E is 15-16 (again thanks to google AI). 15 x 11='s a $165 stock. Currently at $140, with that level looking like solid support. Next year's EPS expected(5 analysts) to be $14. 15 x 14 ='s $210. 50% upside.
Why do analysts expect OSK to see their EPS jump from $11 to $14?
- USPS Contract Ramp (NGDV): The Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) program is the primary catalyst. Production is expected to reach the high end of its run rate by 2027 as the Spartanburg, SC facility fully scales.
- Fire Truck Backlog Fulfillment: Oshkosh holds a massive $6.6 billion Vocational backlog, including years of unfulfilled fire truck orders. Production throughput is increasing by roughly 10% year-over-year, with modernization efforts at these lines expected to yield peak efficiencies by 2027.
- Margin Expansion: Analysts project operating margins to reach roughly 10.5% by 2027 (up from current lower levels). This is supported by improved price/cost dynamics as older, lower-priced orders in the backlog are finally delivered and replaced by higher-margin contracts.
Risks?
"The primary downside risks to Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) reaching its $14.25 EPS target in 2027 center on operational execution, cyclical market demand, and external cost pressures."
As always, exectution. Which given they just missed this past qtr, future misses may be more likely.
This very much reminds me of the lead up to the Bitcoin etf approval. Bitcoin climbed from $27k to $45k on approval then retreated to the high 30’s as they finalized the details. I think the 20% move lately is at least partly caused by this. I don’t expect a crazy move upwards, rather a consistent slow and steady grind up and to the right.
I remember INDI. It was on my watchlist for a while, but never bought it. If it's not pumping now, I assume the business still hasn't turned the corner?
Forgot to mention. Bought TOST Jan 2028 leaps at Friday's close. Just a lottery ticket in case JB is right about them!
I added today.Forgot to mention. Bought TOST Jan 2028 leaps at Friday's close. Just a lottery ticket in case JB is right about them!
stock down again though.
Also back in with SLV. $75 is a key level of support (so $74 stop0. Silver showing good strength.
Micron is a machine right now with no signs of slowing down it seems. Not sure if there is a hotter stock. Sadly I never got in it.
I am going to have a ton of money coming to me this Friday as I am going to let my covered calls on ALAB and CRWV get called. I might save the money for future trades. The market has already gotten too far extended.Time for IONQ calls? The market definitely feels a little meme'y.
I know QBTS is running nicely. My very small position has grown into a modest position
I dont want to look at xndu as i likely sold at the bottom. Edit: nope not bad. Still near the bottom.
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