Quick analysis (assuming win over Nichols)We are in great shape heading into the final 3 weekends (vs #3, #4, and #5 rpi teams) to grab a national seed. With a great showing we will threaten a top 3 overall seed.
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2026 College Baseball RPI (Rating Percentage Index) Updated in REAL-TIME for Every Team at the Completion of Every Game.www.warrennolan.com
Add USC & Nebraska to this list
I think we’ll be ok. My prediction 4-5 (which is pretty dang good vs 3 top 5 teams with 2 series on the road). We host but barely miss out on a top 8 seed. Tennessee series comes back to haunt us.
Compared to where we were two weeks ago we are in great shape. 45 games into the season our BA and ERA are still top 2 in the SEC overall and top 3 in conference only. Our hitting has improved in the last couple of weeks and we are now seeing more hits with RISP. Last night Milewski actually threw a runner out at second, and had 3 hits. Yes we have challenging schedule the rest of the way but that also gives us a great opportunity. We beat a top 20 team on a neutral site last night. Meanwhile, our opponent this weekend gave up 14 runs to the #165 RPI team at home and had to score 3 runs in the bottom of the ninth to win. Had they not gotten 10 freebies they would have lost. Everybody has their struggles.
I think he had him anyway, but visually, it was more like he threw out a one-car traffic accident...
You could have left that last sentence out… trust me we could tell from the rest of the post that you are pessimistic.
4-5 would be pretty good. I think I'd put the over/under at 3.5. We should be able to win 2 against Auburn and go 1-2 at UTex and at A&M. But it's definitely not easy or a given. But the way we've played everything close (for good and bad) I would not be shocked by 2 win or 6 wins.
No doubt… but as you suggested, it’s certainly a glass half empty view. Even with all the negative you mentioned, we are still on a nice little win streak. The bullpen is seemingly getting a little more reliable, ace is starting to hit the ball hard again. So there are definitely negatives but the fact that we keep finding ways to win is impressive and says something about the team. I get the competition is about to step way up but there are certainly positives to point to as well.
Yeah, I think our offensive stats in conference are a little misleading. We didn’t get to LSU pitching until they were completely out of gas which came early b/c they were down a starter. Before that we scored 5,2, and 3 runs on Sundays. We have gone through some really tough stretches and its very arguable we lose Sunday at SC and Friday against LSU if Reed Stallmans back doesn’t tighten up in warm ups.
Correct, you will not. I watch every game. It’s tough sometimes to watch. If we are who we think we are at the plate, we have a chance to show it the next two weekends.
Oh yeah…stats are there for analysis when you cannot see everything. So yes, Texas may be worse than they look. But let me give you an example. We scored 8 runs Friday against LSU. That looks great on paper. But what you don’t see is that they used an emergency starter b/c their Friday guy was out, and that 4 of the 8 runs we got to push it to extras were because LSU gifted them to us- misplayed fly ball is the only reason we scored 1 run, we scored 2 runs to tie it at 7 with no hits and a WP, and the only reason we scored the 8th is b/c LSU failed to touch second turning 2. And we have little wiggle room left b/c our offense royally failed us at Arkansas, 2 games against Georgia and against Tennessee. I don’t think many people who watch this team regularly think it’s some offensive juggernaut. Hopefully these last 3 games where we did hit some back end pitching will give us confidence going forward.
Oh I have no doubt we are close to winning several games. Our pitching has really been good all things considered. They have kept us in a lot of games. 6-5 TN, 5-5 to extras against Georgia, 3-1 against Georgia.…so many close overs.
Interesting. We are most definitely one of the top teams in the Sec. We lost barely too good to decent teams. Baseball is streaky at times, hopefully we are in the "up mode"!
