A look around the hosting picture

[615dawg]

SEC (8 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Texas (3), Auburn (4), Texas A&M (8)
Near Locks: Georgia (21)
Work to Do: Alabama (6), Ole Miss (7), Florida (12), Oklahoma (16), Mississippi State (18)

It feels funny to have two top 8 RPI teams in the "work to do" category but here we are. The SEC should get 8 of the 16 host teams, and five teams are going after four host spots, including State. Georgia is in the near lock category only because a collapse with that RPI could quickly move them out, but they are a national seed even with the low RPI if they win the SEC.

ACC (3-4 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Georgia Tech (2), North Carolina (5), Florida State (9)
Work to Do: Virginia (20), Boston College (27)

The ACC isn't quite as competitive as the SEC, but they have just as many host locks. A fourth team in the ACC could host, and while Virginia looks to be that team at the moment, Boston College is 31-13 (14-7) and just two games behind Georgia Tech for the ACC lead. They host the Jackets in the last weekend series, and with a manageable schedule before then, BC is worth watching because you know the NCAA would like to throw a regional in the Northeast.

Big Ten (1-2 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: UCLA (1)
Work to Do: Nebraska (13), Southern California (15), Oregon (26)

The B1G likely gets 2 this year with Nebraska and USC fighting for the second spot behind UCLA, who is currently 21-0 in the conference. Nebraska just swept USC and has the upper hand barring a collapse against a bad schedule down the stretch. Oregon's RPI may be too low but they are certainly capable of making a run.

Sun Belt (1 Predicted Host)

Work to Do: Southern Miss (10), Coastal Carolina (14)

Coastal has a 4 game lead on USM, despite USM having a better RPI and better wins. I don't think the SBC will get 2, so its a shame these two didn't have a weekend series)

With just 1-2 host spots remaining, here's a look at who is competing

Near Lock: Oregon State (11)
Missouri State (17)
Kansas (19)
Liberty (22)
UC Santa Barbara (25)

Oregon State is a near lock and if there is only 1 spot remaining, they have it. If the Big 10 or ACC can't get the extra host spot, a team like Kansas who will win the Big 12 comes into play. G5s Missouri State, Liberty and UCSB will be considered, but likely will be tough 2 seeds somewhere.

 

[Drebin]

SEC (8 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Texas (3), Auburn (4), Texas A&M (8)
Near Locks: Georgia (21)
Work to Do: Alabama (6), Ole Miss (7), Florida (12), Oklahoma (16), Mississippi State (18)

It feels funny to have two top 8 RPI teams in the "work to do" category but here we are. The SEC should get 8 of the 16 host teams, and five teams are going after four host spots, including State. Georgia is in the near lock category only because a collapse with that RPI could quickly move them out, but they are a national seed even with the low RPI if they win the SEC.

ACC (3-4 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Georgia Tech (2), North Carolina (5), Florida State (9)
Work to Do: Virginia (20), Boston College (27)

The ACC isn't quite as competitive as the SEC, but they have just as many host locks. A fourth team in the ACC could host, and while Virginia looks to be that team at the moment, Boston College is 31-13 (14-7) and just two games behind Georgia Tech for the ACC lead. They host the Jackets in the last weekend series, and with a manageable schedule before then, BC is worth watching because you know the NCAA would like to throw a regional in the Northeast.

Big Ten (1-2 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: UCLA (1)
Work to Do: Nebraska (13), Southern California (15), Oregon (26)

The B1G likely gets 2 this year with Nebraska and USC fighting for the second spot behind UCLA, who is currently 21-0 in the conference. Nebraska just swept USC and has the upper hand barring a collapse against a bad schedule down the stretch. Oregon's RPI may be too low but they are certainly capable of making a run.

Sun Belt (1 Predicted Host)

Work to Do: Southern Miss (10), Coastal Carolina (14)

Coastal has a 4 game lead on USM, despite USM having a better RPI and better wins. I don't think the SBC will get 2, so its a shame these two didn't have a weekend series)

With just 1-2 host spots remaining, here's a look at who is competing

Near Lock: Oregon State (11)
Missouri State (17)
Kansas (19)
Liberty (22)
UC Santa Barbara (25)

Oregon State is a near lock and if there is only 1 spot remaining, they have it. If the Big 10 or ACC can't get the extra host spot, a team like Kansas who will win the Big 12 comes into play. G5s Missouri State, Liberty and UCSB will be considered, but likely will be tough 2 seeds somewhere.

Our RPI is about to spike as the schedule ramps up. We just need to win series against Texas, A&M, and Auburn. And we have to figure out a way to sweep this weekend.

 

[bolddogge]

Our RPI is about to spike as the schedule ramps up. We just need to win series against Texas, A&M, and Auburn. And we have to figure out a way to sweep this weekend.

Sounds easy enough.*******

 

[Drebin]

Sounds easy enough.*******

If we get our collective heads out of our arses, it's definitely doable.

I understand how much work the word "if" is doing in that sentence, however.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

SEC knew what it was doing when it made the league schedule. A lot of the teams you listed play each other down the stretch.

 

[bolddogge]

If we get our collective heads out of our arses, it's definitely doable.

I understand how much work the word "if" is doing in that sentence, however.

Get swept at home vs UT, but need to win the series vs Aub... That's a big ask.
We gotta find our bats ASAP. Hopefully we do and get our mojo back this weekend.

 

[aTotal360]

 

[MStateDawg]

I wouldn't call Auburn a lock just yet. They have the same conference record as us (10-8) and their final 4 series are vs #14 Oklahoma, @ #7 Texas A&M, @ #15 Mississippi State and vs #5 Georgia.

If they lose 3 of those series and win the other 2-1, then they're 15-15 in the league. That won't host. Will they lose 3 of those series? Probably not, but it's certainly a possibility.

 

[patdog]

I wouldn't call Auburn a lock just yet. They have the same conference record as us (10-8) and their final 4 series are vs #14 Oklahoma, @ #7 Texas A&M, @ #15 Mississippi State and vs #5 Georgia.

If they lose 3 of those series and win the other 2-1, then they're 15-15 in the league. That won't host. Will they lose 3 of those series? Probably not, but it's certainly a possibility.

Not sold on Auburn either.

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Not sold on Auburn either.

Best ERA in the league, offense is a little weird though. Hit for average but not very good slugging percentage.

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

If we get our collective heads out of our arses, it's definitely doable.

I understand how much work the word "if" is doing in that sentence, however.

I am only cautiously optimistic. There is a chance that we just swept a BAD South Carolina team in Columbia this past weekend. We still did not really hit the ball a lot better last weekend or last night.

 

[MStateDawg]

Best ERA in the league, offense is a little weird though. Hit for average but not very good slugging percentage.

Their 10-8 league record includes a sweep over Missouri. Outside of that, they're below .500 in league play (although the same could be said about us w/USC). I just don't think the final month of the season is going to be kind to them.

 

[WrightGuy821]

I am only cautiously optimistic. There is a chance that we just swept a BAD South Carolina team in Columbia this past weekend. We still did not really hit the ball a lot better last weekend or last night.

We did just sweep a BAD South Carolina team in Columbia, but it's still a road sweep. Plus, we've been losing the games that get tough and come down to 1/2 calls or swings of the bat. This weekend we won both games when the going got tough. Cautiously Optimistic is probably the safest place to be right now

 

[MSUDC11-2.0]

Their 10-8 league record includes a sweep over Missouri. Outside of that, they're below .500 in league play (although the same could be said about us w/USC). I just don't think the final month of the season is going to be kind to them.

Jury is still out on a lot of teams, them included. But they’ve got a heck of a resume with no bad losses and some really good wins.

 

[DoggieDaddy13]

Our hitting and our catching (catcher) are the problems now. Big problems.

 

[DoggieDaddy13]

SEC (8 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Texas (3), Auburn (4), Texas A&M (8)
Near Locks: Georgia (21)
Work to Do: Alabama (6), Ole Miss (7), Florida (12), Oklahoma (16), Mississippi State (18)

It feels funny to have two top 8 RPI teams in the "work to do" category but here we are. The SEC should get 8 of the 16 host teams, and five teams are going after four host spots, including State. Georgia is in the near lock category only because a collapse with that RPI could quickly move them out, but they are a national seed even with the low RPI if they win the SEC.

ACC (3-4 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: Georgia Tech (2), North Carolina (5), Florida State (9)
Work to Do: Virginia (20), Boston College (27)

The ACC isn't quite as competitive as the SEC, but they have just as many host locks. A fourth team in the ACC could host, and while Virginia looks to be that team at the moment, Boston College is 31-13 (14-7) and just two games behind Georgia Tech for the ACC lead. They host the Jackets in the last weekend series, and with a manageable schedule before then, BC is worth watching because you know the NCAA would like to throw a regional in the Northeast.

Big Ten (1-2 Predicted Hosts)

Locks: UCLA (1)
Work to Do: Nebraska (13), Southern California (15), Oregon (26)

The B1G likely gets 2 this year with Nebraska and USC fighting for the second spot behind UCLA, who is currently 21-0 in the conference. Nebraska just swept USC and has the upper hand barring a collapse against a bad schedule down the stretch. Oregon's RPI may be too low but they are certainly capable of making a run.

Sun Belt (1 Predicted Host)

Work to Do: Southern Miss (10), Coastal Carolina (14)

Coastal has a 4 game lead on USM, despite USM having a better RPI and better wins. I don't think the SBC will get 2, so its a shame these two didn't have a weekend series)

With just 1-2 host spots remaining, here's a look at who is competing

Near Lock: Oregon State (11)
Missouri State (17)
Kansas (19)
Liberty (22)
UC Santa Barbara (25)

Oregon State is a near lock and if there is only 1 spot remaining, they have it. If the Big 10 or ACC can't get the extra host spot, a team like Kansas who will win the Big 12 comes into play. G5s Missouri State, Liberty and UCSB will be considered, but likely will be tough 2 seeds somewhere.

And thank you for putting this together for us.