2026 B1G win total over/unders

[NU'06er]

10.5: Indiana, Oregon
9.5: Ohio State, Penn State
8.5: Michigan, USC
7.5: Illinois, Iowa, Washington
6.5: Nebraska, Wisconsin
5.5: Minnesota, Northwestern, UCLA
4.5: Maryland, Rutgers
3.5: Michigan State, Purdue

Sources:
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-fo...erunder-for-the-2026-27-season-163800923.html (omitted Rutgers, lol)

MSN

I know we're all used to pessimism nationally for our 'Cats, but calling it 50/50 that we can make a bowl game despite our tough 2026 schedule seems to not entirely discount Braun.

Anything else jump out for projections around the conference?

 

[CatManTrue]

10.5: Indiana, Oregon
9.5: Ohio State, Penn State
8.5: Michigan, USC
7.5: Illinois, Iowa, Washington
6.5: Nebraska, Wisconsin
5.5: Minnesota, Northwestern, UCLA
4.5: Maryland, Rutgers
3.5: Michigan State, Purdue

Sources:
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-fo...erunder-for-the-2026-27-season-163800923.html (omitted Rutgers, lol)

MSN

I know we're all used to pessimism nationally for our 'Cats, but calling it 50/50 that we can make a bowl game despite our tough 2026 schedule seems to not entirely discount Braun.

Anything else jump out for projections around the conference?

5.5 is fair. We lost some studs and the schedule is brutal. If Chip Kelly can get a new level out of Chiles then who knows.

Indiana seems high given all they lost - no guarantee Hoover gets them close to Mendoza’s near flawless play last season.

Rutgers seems low - they lost their QB but returned their top RB & WR and their schedule is softer.

 

[AdamOnFirst]

10.5: Indiana, Oregon
9.5: Ohio State, Penn State
8.5: Michigan, USC
7.5: Illinois, Iowa, Washington
6.5: Nebraska, Wisconsin
5.5: Minnesota, Northwestern, UCLA
4.5: Maryland, Rutgers
3.5: Michigan State, Purdue

Sources:
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-fo...erunder-for-the-2026-27-season-163800923.html (omitted Rutgers, lol)

MSN

I know we're all used to pessimism nationally for our 'Cats, but calling it 50/50 that we can make a bowl game despite our tough 2026 schedule seems to not entirely discount Braun.

Anything else jump out for projections around the conference?

TBH this is a positive O/U in terms of how good people think our team could be. Even moreso in comparison to how people usually think of us. We will have to play VERY VERY well 8-9 times this year to achieve 6+ wins with our schedule.

 

[Catmandoo78]

5.5 is fair. We lost some studs and the schedule is brutal. If Chip Kelly can get a new level out of Chiles then who knows.

Indiana seems high given all they lost - no guarantee Hoover gets them close to Mendoza’s near flawless play last season.

Rutgers seems low - they lost their QB but returned their top RB & WR and their schedule is softer.

Hoover is most likely a step back from Mendoza, because anyone not winning the Heisman is a downgrade there. But on the flip side, IU added talent and often times may have even upgraded all over the field.

 

[Hungry Jack]

We have 3 gauntlet games, and 9 very contestable ones. 6 wins would be pretty good.

 

[Purple Pile Driver]

TBH this is a positive O/U in terms of how good people think our team could be. Even moreso in comparison to how people usually think of us. We will have to play VERY VERY well 8-9 times this year to achieve 6+ wins with our schedule.

Huh? We would have to play VERY VERY well 6 times to get 6 wins, just has to be the right 6 games.

 

[AdamOnFirst]

Huh? We would have to play VERY VERY well 6 times to get 6 wins, just has to be the right 6 games.

I assume we can play well a couple of times and still lose tough fought games like Penn State, Iowa, etc. I'm giving our opponenets credit, even the contestable games have mostly strong opponents and just playing well may not be enough every week.

 

[CatManTrue]

Huh? We would have to play VERY VERY well 6 times to get 6 wins, just has to be the right 6 games.

I’m triple checking your math on this but your logic makes sense.

 

[CatManTrue]

I assume we can play well a couple of times and still lose tough fought games like Penn State, Iowa, etc. I'm giving our opponenets credit, even the contestable games have mostly strong opponents and just playing well may not be enough every week.

What if we play great six times and win six games, and then play like asscheeks six times and lose six games?

Like last season?

 

[NURoseBowl]

TBH this is a positive O/U in terms of how good people think our team could be. Even moreso in comparison to how people usually think of us. We will have to play VERY VERY well 8-9 times this year to achieve 6+ wins with our schedule.

Heartily agree here, Adam. If we pull six wins out of this schedule, it will have been a job well done.

 

[JustGary]

Heartily agree here, Adam. If we pull six wins out of this schedule, it will have been a job well done.

I agree. Our schedule is really tough with are road games extremely hard. Who would seriously want to play Indiana, Ohio State, and Oregon on the road in the same season? Hell, those games would be hard for every team in the country. They are giving the coaching staff and players an optimistic look based on Braun’s performance, our always stingy defense, and the new offensive coaching staff.

 

[JustGary]

10.5: Indiana, Oregon
9.5: Ohio State, Penn State
8.5: Michigan, USC
7.5: Illinois, Iowa, Washington
6.5: Nebraska, Wisconsin
5.5: Minnesota, Northwestern, UCLA
4.5: Maryland, Rutgers
3.5: Michigan State, Purdue

Sources:
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-fo...erunder-for-the-2026-27-season-163800923.html (omitted Rutgers, lol)

MSN

I know we're all used to pessimism nationally for our 'Cats, but calling it 50/50 that we can make a bowl game despite our tough 2026 schedule seems to not entirely discount Braun.

Anything else jump out for projections around the conference?

Does this include bowl games? Based on regular season, I would bet for Ohio State, Michigan, Iowa, Washington. I would vote against Penn State, Wisconsin, and possibly Nebraska. I would have a hard time deciding the rest but could see both arguments for and against them. I think the NU/Minnesota game could be a deciding factor for which team goes bowling. Luckily, we need 5 to make a bowl.

 

[NU'06er]

Does this include bowl games? Based on regular season, I would bet for Ohio State, Michigan, Iowa, Washington. I would vote against Penn State, Wisconsin, and possibly Nebraska. I would have a hard time deciding the rest but could see both arguments for and against them. I think the NU/Minnesota game could be a deciding factor for which team goes bowling. Luckily, we need 5 to make a bowl.

It's regular season only win totals. (Vegas treats bowl games as postseason/not counted in season win totals just like the NFL playoffs.)

 

[Eurocat]

Looks about right.