One Year Later, Trump's Tariffs Have Failed

nytigerfan

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One year later, Trump’s tariffs didn’t deliver what was promised—they created the opposite. There is no way any rational person could disagree.

They were sold as a way to punish foreign countries and rebuild American industry. In reality, the costs landed at home. U.S. consumers and businesses ended up paying the majority of the tariffs through higher prices and tighter margins. While they generated some revenue, that was generated as a tax on the American people. And of course, we never saw those tariff checks we were promised.

Instead of strong trade wins, the result has been uncertainty. Companies have struggled to plan, supply chains have been disrupted, and global partners now view the U.S. as less reliable in trade negotiations.

There were also bold promises of a wave of new trade deals (90 deals in 90 days - did they just forget about that?). That surge never materialized. Even where agreements were announced, many were limited in scope or early-stage frameworks rather than fully negotiated, comprehensive deals.

The promised manufacturing boom and investment surge largely didn’t show up. Manufacturing jobs are DOWN significantly since Trump took office. According to reports citing BLS data as of early 2026, manufacturing employment fell by roughly 83,000 to 108,000 jobs during 2025. What did show up: higher costs, weaker credibility, and more instability in the global economy.

If the goal was to strengthen the U.S. economy, the data a year later suggests the tariff policy fell well short of expectations.

Here is a good article from the Council on Foreign Relations (not a liberal group).

 

tigres88

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Aug 7, 2022
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One year later, Trump’s tariffs didn’t deliver what was promised—they created the opposite. There is no way any rational person could disagree.

They were sold as a way to punish foreign countries and rebuild American industry. In reality, the costs landed at home. U.S. consumers and businesses ended up paying the majority of the tariffs through higher prices and tighter margins. While they generated some revenue, that was generated as a tax on the American people. And of course, we never saw those tariff checks we were promised.

Instead of strong trade wins, the result has been uncertainty. Companies have struggled to plan, supply chains have been disrupted, and global partners now view the U.S. as less reliable in trade negotiations.

There were also bold promises of a wave of new trade deals (90 deals in 90 days - did they just forget about that?). That surge never materialized. Even where agreements were announced, many were limited in scope or early-stage frameworks rather than fully negotiated, comprehensive deals.

The promised manufacturing boom and investment surge largely didn’t show up. Manufacturing jobs are DOWN significantly since Trump took office. According to reports citing BLS data as of early 2026, manufacturing employment fell by roughly 83,000 to 108,000 jobs during 2025. What did show up: higher costs, weaker credibility, and more instability in the global economy.

If the goal was to strengthen the U.S. economy, the data a year later suggests the tariff policy fell well short of expectations.

Here is a good article from the Council on Foreign Relations (not a liberal group).

I mean, clearly you don't understand how Trump works. It's all about leverage- he's a business man! Tariffs don't make a ton of sense (it was a Kamala idea anyway) but when you leverage them to make the world hate you, ruin all the trade deals around the world, and put the economic/repercussions on the average American, it TOTALLY makes sense.

Same with the war in Iran- its all about leverage, and letting Israel leverage deez nuts on America's forehead. Trump loves a good tea baggin, so much so that he let's Stephen Miller have Tea Bag Tuesday's in the Oval just the two of em every week!
 

bdgan

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One year later, Trump’s tariffs didn’t deliver what was promised—they created the opposite. There is no way any rational person could disagree.
Rational people could definitely disagree. Raising $200b or so of additional revenue and more companies have made or are planning new manufacturing investments in the U.S. There are also downsides like higher prices for imported goods but it's not like it's all negative.
 
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dpic73

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Rational people could definitely disagree. Raising $200b or so of additional revenue and more companies have made or are planning new manufacturing investments in the U.S. There are also downsides like higher prices for imported goods but it's not like it's all negative.
Who paid that $200b?
 
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nytigerfan

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Rational people could definitely disagree. Raising $200b or so of additional revenue and more companies have made or are planning new manufacturing investments in the U.S. There are also downsides like higher prices for imported goods but it's not like it's all negative.

What companies are currently building or planning manufacturing in the US? Planning means they’re actually buying the real estate putting the plans in place not that they just told Trump they were gonna do that at some point. Can you name any of that were not already started prior to trump?
 

firegiver

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What companies are currently building or planning manufacturing in the US? Planning means they’re actually buying the real estate putting the plans in place not that they just told Trump they were gonna do that at some point. Can you name any of that were not already started prior to trump?
People may point to datacenters, but that's a false equivalency and everyone knows it. Maga has made building in America very difficult.
 
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baltimorened

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People may point to datacenters, but that's a false equivalency and everyone knows it. Maga has made building in America very difficult.
you had me until that last statement. Is there backup that Republican leadership has made building in America more difficult? I would have thought the exact opposite
 

Rastafarian

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People may point to datacenters, but that's a false equivalency and everyone knows it. Maga has made building in America very difficult.
Yup. Their reckless policies have raised interest rates due to more inflation, making it much more difficult to finance those investments. I just don’t understand anyone who doesn’t think this is the most spectacular failure of an admin that democracy has ever seen.
 
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bdgan

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What companies are currently building or planning manufacturing in the US? Planning means they’re actually buying the real estate putting the plans in place not that they just told Trump they were gonna do that at some point. Can you name any of that were not already started prior to trump?
BYD, Astra Zeneca, Mercedes, BMW, Volkswagen, TSMC, BYD.....

You really don't think cost matters to companies unless it comes from a democrat? Biden kept tariffs on steel and offered tax breaks to encourage chip manufacturing. In your mind that was good but when Trump does it it's bad. Tariffs can have both a good and a bad impact. In your mind it's only bad under Trump.
 
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nytigerfan

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you had me until that last statement. Is there backup that Republican leadership has made building in America more difficult? I would have thought the exact opposite

The tariff policy and the immigration policies are making companies think twice. Just look at the Kia projects in GA. Tru n p had to kiss their asses to get them to stay after that immigration raid by ICE.
 

nytigerfan

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BYD, Astra Zeneca, Mercedes, BMW, Volkswagen, TSMC, BYD.....

You really don't think cost matters to companies unless it comes from a democrat? Biden kept tariffs on steel and offered tax breaks to encourage chip manufacturing. In you mind that was good but when Trump does it it's bad. Tariffs can have both a good and a bad impact. In your mind it's only bad under Trump.

I don’t think you understood the assignment. I said to give me a list of projects that started since Trump’s second term. you know, since he’s been claiming that he secured $40 trillion of investment in the United States. On your list, only one is legit, AstraZeneca. They announced the project in 2025. Everything else on your list started in Biden‘s term.

tariffs are actually making it more difficult for these companies to build and manufacture here. and all those Middle Eastern countries that claim they were going to be investing trillions in the United States? they’re all rethinking that now. Trump‘s war has decimated their tourism for the foreseeable future.

I have no problem with strategic tariffs. What I have a problem with is slapping outrageous tariffs on a bunch of countries, including ones with no human population, with no ******* strategy at all.

Trump‘s tariffs, one year in, have been a failure. They were nothing more than a tax on the American people.
 

baltimorened

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Yup. Their reckless policies have raised interest rates due to more inflation, making it much more difficult to finance those investments. I just don’t understand anyone who doesn’t think this is the most spectacular failure of an admin that democracy has ever seen.
you obviously forgot the Carter years, or the Vietnam years
 
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bdgan

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I don’t think you understood the assignment. I said to give me a list of projects that started since Trump’s second term. you know, since he’s been claiming that he secured $40 trillion of investment in the United States. On your list, only one is legit, AstraZeneca. They announced the project in 2025. Everything else on your list started in Biden‘s term.

tariffs are actually making it more difficult for these companies to build and manufacture here. and all those Middle Eastern countries that claim they were going to be investing trillions in the United States? they’re all rethinking that now. Trump‘s war has decimated their tourism for the foreseeable future.

I have no problem with strategic tariffs. What I have a problem with is slapping outrageous tariffs on a bunch of countries, including ones with no human population, with no ******* strategy at all.

Trump‘s tariffs, one year in, have been a failure. They were nothing more than a tax on the American people.
I understand. It's your TDS that keeps you blind. You're looking for major new factories that have been built and are fully operational. It doesn't work that way. It takes a at least a year just to get the permits.

Trump is a bloviator. I think his $40 trillion is probably double the actual number but even $20 trillion would be great.

Money goes where it's treated best. Libs believe that when a democrat gives tax breaks but not when a republican does the same thing. Tariffs are no different. They're just taxes that make doing business in the USA less expensive compared foreign alternatives.
 
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nytigerfan

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I understand. It's your TDS that keeps you blind. You're looking for major new factories that have been built and are fully operational. It doesn't work that way. It takes a at least a year just to get the permits.

Trump is a bloviator. I think his $40 trillion is probably double the actual number but even that would be great.

Money goes where it's treated best. Libs believe that when a democrat gives tax breaks but not when a republican does the same thing. Tariffs are no different. They're just taxes that make doing business in the USA less expensive than foreign alternatives.

Ah yes, when your facts are blown up, you resort to calling TDS!

I didn't say that those projects had to be completed within a year. I said all but one that you listed began before Trump was even ******* president.

Trump's tariffs have been a failure. Fact. Your response was easily disproven.
 
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yoshi121374

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I understand. It's your TDS that keeps you blind. You're looking for major new factories that have been built and are fully operational. It doesn't work that way. It takes a at least a year just to get the permits.

Trump is a bloviator. I think his $40 trillion is probably double the actual number but even that would be great.

Money goes where it's treated best. Libs believe that when a democrat gives tax breaks but not when a republican does the same thing. Tariffs are no different. They're just taxes that make doing business in the USA less expensive than foreign alternatives.

So you agree that Trump has improsed a massive tax increase on US businesses and consumers?
 

baltimorened

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Ah yes, when your facts are blown up, you resort to calling TDS!

I didn't say that those projects had to be completed within a year. I said all but one that you listed began before Trump was even ******* president.

Trump's tariffs have been a failure. Fact. Your response was easily disproven.
to be a success or failure, we have to start with agreement on what were the goals? So from your perspective, what were the goals?

Now, given the fact that the supreme court overturned the tariff implementation, I'd submit we'll never know whether what trump was trying to do would or would not have been successful
 

nytigerfan

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to be a success or failure, we have to start with agreement on what were the goals? So from your perspective, what were the goals?

Now, given the fact that the supreme court overturned the tariff implementation, I'd submit we'll never know whether what trump was trying to do would or would not have been successful

Sure ned. But let's start with your Supreme Court comment. The very fact that these tariffs were overturned makes them a failure. When Clemson fired their offensive coordinator, it was because he failed. He didn't get to say, "Oh, the refs gave me bad calls" or "the other team's defense was tough." He failed.

Now let's look at all of Trump's stated objectives with the tariffs.

Force other countries to sign trade deals with the United States. 90 deals in 90 days. Fail.
Bring back manufacturing jobs to the United States. We, in fact, have lost manufacturing jobs. Fail.
Tariff checks for all taxpayers. Fail.
Other countries will pay for the tariffs. Fail.
We will pay down our deficit with the tariff money. Fail.
We will cripple and hurt China's trade with tariffs. China has actually increased its trade surplus. Fail.
 

baltimorened

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Sure ned. But let's start with your Supreme Court comment. The very fact that these tariffs were overturned makes them a failure. When Clemson fired their offensive coordinator, it was because he failed. He didn't get to say, "Oh, the refs gave me bad calls" or "the other team's defense was tough." He failed.

Now let's look at all of Trump's stated objectives with the tariffs.

Force other countries to sign trade deals with the United States. 90 deals in 90 days. Fail.
Bring back manufacturing jobs to the United States. We, in fact, have lost manufacturing jobs. Fail.
Tariff checks for all taxpayers. Fail.
Other countries will pay for the tariffs. Fail.
We will pay down our deficit with the tariff money. Fail.
We will cripple and hurt China's trade with tariffs. China has actually increased its trade surplus. Fail.
well you responded well to my post. Not sure I 100% agree, but we'll never know because the tariffs were killed by supreme court. Which means that using that law to implement them was inappropriate
 

nytigerfan

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well you responded well to my post. Not sure I 100% agree, but we'll never know because the tariffs were killed by supreme court. Which means that using that law to implement them was inappropriate

President Trump quickly reinstated blanket tariffs of 10% (and later threatened 15%) shortly after the Supreme Court struck them down in February 2026. He bypassed the ruling by invoking Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which covers temporary trade measures, rather than the previous emergency powers (IEEPA) found illegal by the court.
Politico +3
  • New Authority: The new, lower tariffs are officially based on Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, allowing for temporary (up to 150 days) measures to address trade deficits, rather than the previous emergency authorities.
  • Response to Ruling: Trump initially denounced the February 2026 SCOTUS decision to remove his initial 10% global tariffs.
  • Legal Challenges: The new, smaller tariffs (10%-15%) are already facing new legal challenges while causing ongoing economic uncertainty, report PIIE and SCOTUSblog.
    Politico +4
According to Brookings analysts, while the administration swiftly replaced the tariffs, the ruling reasserted Congressional power over long-term trade policy.
 

baltimorened

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President Trump quickly reinstated blanket tariffs of 10% (and later threatened 15%) shortly after the Supreme Court struck them down in February 2026. He bypassed the ruling by invoking Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which covers temporary trade measures, rather than the previous emergency powers (IEEPA) found illegal by the court.
Politico +3
  • New Authority: The new, lower tariffs are officially based on Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act, allowing for temporary (up to 150 days) measures to address trade deficits, rather than the previous emergency authorities.
  • Response to Ruling: Trump initially denounced the February 2026 SCOTUS decision to remove his initial 10% global tariffs.
  • Legal Challenges: The new, smaller tariffs (10%-15%) are already facing new legal challenges while causing ongoing economic uncertainty, report PIIE and SCOTUSblog.
    Politico +4
According to Brookings analysts, while the administration swiftly replaced the tariffs, the ruling reasserted Congressional power over long-term trade policy.
well in reality, isn't that where trade policy should be?
 
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bdgan

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Ah yes, when your facts are blown up, you resort to calling TDS!

I didn't say that those projects had to be completed within a year. I said all but one that you listed began before Trump was even ******* president.

Trump's tariffs have been a failure. Fact. Your response was easily disproven.
You believe what you want to believe which is apparently that companies don't make decisions based on cost.
 

yoshi121374

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You believe what you want to believe which is apparently that companies don't make decisions based on cost.

They do when they have time to plan, find alternative sources for items, etc.

Trump's bouncing all over the place with no discernable strategy or discipline is a huge challenge for companies.
 
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bdgan

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So you agree that Trump has improsed a massive tax increase on US businesses and consumers?
Yes there's an impact but it isn't massive. There is no question that some of the tariffs are passed on to consumers. That said the big affordability issues are groceries, healthcare, and housing. Tariffs have minimal impact on those things. Also tariffs don't apply to all products. A lot of things coming from Canada & Mexico are still tariff free due to USMCA.

But you go keep telling yourself that rents and healthcarep have gone up because of tariffs.
 

baltimorened

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You believe what you want to believe which is apparently that companies don't make decisions based on cost.
they somehow seem to forget that Trump won't be president in 3 1/2 years.. most large scale manufacturing facilities take about that long to get permits, build, fit out, and start production. If companies see financial benefit in moving their manufacturing here they will. if not they won't....they are not in business to lose money.

But, like most things trump promises, if half actually happen, that's still a positive for the country