A little perspective on class rankings and transfer rankings

Jul 30, 2024
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How does me saying it wasn’t an above average year mean I’m not consistent?
I didn’t say you aren’t consistent. I’m saying I can’t see how anyone who attempts to be consistent is going to come away with the conclusion that the 2025 team wasn’t above average. Particularly if you are looking at all of our teams. But I’m not the police, you do you.
 

TotheMoon88

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Apr 12, 2024
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I didn’t say you aren’t consistent. I’m saying I can’t see how anyone who attempts to be consistent is going to come away with the conclusion that the 2025 team wasn’t above average. Particularly if you are looking at all of our teams. But I’m not the police, you do you.
And I don’t see how anyone can come to the conclusion that 2025 was an above average season. What exactly made it above average? Again 7th place finish, 12 losses, blown out in the quarterfinals of the sec tournament, and blown out in the sweet 16. What about that makes it above average?
 
Jul 30, 2024
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And I don’t see how anyone can come to the conclusion that 2025 was an above average season. What exactly made it above average? Again 7th place finish, 12 losses, blown out in the quarterfinals of the sec tournament, and blown out in the sweet 16. What about that makes it above average?
I’m not typing all that again, man. I not only explained it in detail but also showed how it stacks up to every year in the 21st century lol. I’m good man. Do you.
 

TotheMoon88

Senior
Apr 12, 2024
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I’m not typing all that again, man. I not only explained it in detail but also showed how it stacks up to every year in the 21st century lol. I’m good man. Do you.
It does not stack up though, you don’t explain anything. What about it makes it an above average season? It was mediocre I don’t know why that’s hard for you to accept
 

preacherfan

All-Conference
Oct 11, 2003
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These new data guys that keep hoping on this board are seriously amateurish. They are hell bent on "proving" that this garbage the current administration is feeding us is actually next-level strategy. There are so many variables and environmental factors left out of this "analysis".

If OP's "work" were presented at any serious fund / firm / LP, they wouldn't get called back after their internship.

There's no point trying to get them to understand anything either, they are stuck in their circle-jerk.
A lot of bold statements without any substance. Can you give a better critique than this or are you the intern who thinks we need to fire the janitor in order to improve efficiency? BTW, I threw that one in there because that is EXACTLY what I did. It made things much better and that is no joke.
 

TotheMoon88

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Apr 12, 2024
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A lot of bold statements without any substance. Can you give a better critique than this or are you the intern who thinks we need to fire the janitor in order to improve efficiency? BTW, I threw that one in there because that is EXACTLY what I did. It made things much better and that is no joke.
You fired a janitor?
 
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preacherfan

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You fired a janitor?
I was working as a transitional Executive Manager and hired to clean up an organization in crisis. The janitor (or maintenance supervisor) was a toxic influence. He spent hours in the administrative assistant's office bashing everyone and anyone. He was also spying on meetings and spreading gossip. He rarely did any real work and when he was asked by the Communications Director to fix a light in the hallway outside her office he sent her a nasty email. I have a ton more but you get the point.
 
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Jul 30, 2024
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It does not stack up though, you don’t explain anything. What about it makes it an above average season? It was mediocre I don’t know why that’s hard for you to accept
I don’t think you understand that my opinion belongs to me. I was kind enough to explain my opinion and rather than you understanding it and agreeing to disagree, you chose to reject it because I didn’t use the same criteria as you. I couldn’t have explained it any more clearly.
 

TotheMoon88

Senior
Apr 12, 2024
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I don’t think you understand that my opinion belongs to me. I was kind enough to explain my opinion and rather than you understanding it and agreeing to disagree, you chose to reject it because I didn’t use the same criteria as you. I couldn’t have explained it any more clearly.
I just don’t think it’s actually consistent,for example you have 2014 as bad but somehow last year was above average? They’re roughly the same to me, how are you making that difference?
 
Jul 30, 2024
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I just don’t think it’s actually consistent,for example you have 2014 as bad but somehow last year was above average? They’re roughly the same to me, how are you making that difference?
2014 regular season was bad. The postseason was great. Very simple…the full body of work for the 2014 season amounted to an 8 seed. The full body of work for the 2025 season amounted to an 3 seed. The AVERAGE Kentucky season statistically since seeding began is between a four seed and a five seed. The reason I choose tournament seeding as the objective standard to parse with is because it encompasses all factors about a team’s regular season AKA it disallows cherry picking.

https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/...t-the-data-actually-shows-since-1985.8757607/
 

TotheMoon88

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Apr 12, 2024
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2014 regular season was bad. The postseason was great. Very simple…the full body of work for the 2014 season amounted to an 8 seed. The full body of work for the 2025 season amounted to an 3 seed. The AVERAGE Kentucky season statistically since seeding began is between a four seed and a five seed. The reason I choose tournament seeding as the objective standard to parse with is because it encompasses all factors about a team’s regular season AKA it disallows cherry picking.

https://www.on3.com/boards/threads/...t-the-data-actually-shows-since-1985.8757607/
So then how was 2026 not just bad, 7 seed vs 8 seed?
 

TotheMoon88

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Apr 12, 2024
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Yes, I’d say as you move down to worse seeds each time — of course the rating gets progressively worse. 2023 was a 6 seed, which is better than 2026 which was a 7 seed, which was better than 2014, 2006, 2007 which were 8 seeds.
Everything considered, I believe if 2014 is bad then 2026 should be considered bad. Not a whole lot of difference between a 7 and 8 seed and we both saw both those seasons play out. Let me ask you this because this is where I believe I’m having a disconnect with you, do you believe what you’re calling an above average season is what the actual standard should be, if that is popes ceiling should he just be the coach as long as he wants?
 

JohnRambo82

Senior
Mar 25, 2026
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Yes, I’d say as you move down to worse seeds each time — of course the rating gets progressively worse. 2023 was a 6 seed, which is better than 2026 which was a 7 seed, which was better than 2014, 2006, 2007 which were 8 seeds.
Uk has historically been one of the top teams in the SEC. I’m looking at what you’ve presented and I’m not sure why you’re not factoring in how far we’ve fallen in conference during Popes time here. The conference has improved, but it’s fair to say that our program has dropped off in our own conference. That’s what he’s saying to you and that’s relevant. I’m not sure why you keep dismissing that. You’re putting a lot of faith in the committee’s seeding and it’s never perfect either. In my opinion the goal should be to stay on top of the conference like we have historically even if other schools have improved. Finishing 7th and 9th isn’t acceptable and isn’t above average no matter how you wanna manipulate it.
 

JohnRambo82

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Mar 25, 2026
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@I’m The Village Idiot Would an Alabama football fan feel like they had an above average season if the sec had a historical great year as a conference but they finished in 7th or 9th place? No I don’t think so.
 
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Jul 30, 2024
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Everything considered, I believe if 2014 is bad then 2026 should be considered bad. Not a whole lot of difference between a 7 and 8 seed and we both saw both those seasons play out. Let me ask you this because this is where I believe I’m having a disconnect with you, do you believe what you’re calling an above average season is what the actual standard should be, if that is popes ceiling should he just be the coach as long as he wants?
I think people often have two different meanings for “standards”.

Ex. This season isn’t up to Kentucky standards.

^ What people mean here is there is a reasonable baseline expectation for a typical season. This is something that I believe can specifically be quantified. We can build reasonable and measurable methods to determine what this kind of standard really should be. This is the kind of standard I have addressed in my case study.

Ex. The standard is national championships. We only hang banners for titles.

^ While this assumption is actually false — (we do hang banners for final fours) the point is that there is a type of standard that all top programs aim for and that’s to be the best of the best. This is a different type of “standard” altogether and it’s really just another word for saying highest goal and preferred reality.

If you’d quantify the 2026 regular season as bad, I have no problem with that. Whatever makes your own methodology work for you. I have my own process so that I’m not grading every season as just “great”, “mid” or “bad”. There are many, many levels and differences year to year through CBB history.

As far as the Pope stuff, I have no idea where this even comes from. Did I say anything in any of my posts anywhere ever about him coaching as long as he wants? No. Can you find about a million posts from me saying he needs an elite eight for me to believe he is “the guy”? Yes. That’s a separate discussion than how to grade individual seasons.

Let me explain once again. I believe year 1 was better than average. Year 2 was far below expectations. None of that would lead to a lifetime contract so I’m confused by your question.
 

TotheMoon88

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Apr 12, 2024
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I think people often have two different meanings for “standards”.

Ex. This season isn’t up to Kentucky standards.

^ What people mean here is there is a reasonable baseline expectation for a typical season. This is something that I believe can specifically be quantified. We can build reasonable and measurable methods to determine what this kind of standard really should be. This is the kind of standard I have addressed in my case study.

Ex. The standard is national championships. We only hang banners for titles.

^ While this assumption is actually false — (we do hang banners for final fours) the point is that there is a type of standard that all top programs aim for and that’s to be the best of the best. This is a different type of “standard” altogether and it’s really just another word for saying highest goal and preferred reality.

If you’d quantify the 2026 regular season as bad, I have no problem with that. Whatever makes your own methodology work for you. I have my own process so that I’m not grading every season as just “great”, “mid” or “bad”. There are many, many levels and differences year to year through CBB history.

As far as the Pope stuff, I have no idea where this even comes from. Did I say anything in any of my posts anywhere ever about him coaching as long as he wants? No. Can you find about a million posts from me saying he needs an elite eight for me to believe he is “the guy”? Yes. That’s a separate discussion than how to grade individual seasons.

Let me explain once again. I believe year 1 was better than average. Year 2 was far below expectations. None of that would lead to a lifetime contract so I’m confused by your question.
I ask that because in my mind an above average season would be considered good to me, so it makes me think you’re okay with the performance. Has nothing to do with anything you’ve said specifically about pope
 
Jul 30, 2024
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Uk has historically been one of the top teams in the SEC. I’m looking at what you’ve presented and I’m not sure why you’re not factoring in how far we’ve fallen in conference during Popes time here. The conference has improved, but it’s fair to say that our program has dropped off in our own conference. That’s what he’s saying to you and that’s relevant. I’m not sure why you keep dismissing that. You’re putting a lot of faith in the committee’s seeding and it’s never perfect either. In my opinion the goal should be to stay on top of the conference like we have historically even if other schools have improved. Finishing 7th and 9th isn’t acceptable and isn’t above average no matter how you wanna manipulate it.
I don’t care about conference stuff when I’m comparing the quality of two teams. Really, if you’re trying to compare UK teams across history, you’ll find factoring that in becomes a serious problem IMO. In the 40s, the Southern conference or SEC was essentially a bunch of YMCA teams, in the mid 1990s it was top heavy but weak from the middle to the bottom, in the late 2000s-mid 2010s it was very weak, and in the 2020s it became historically great. If you want to factor in conference stuff you can, but I won’t be doing it. Committee gets stuff wrong? Sure. But those NCAA tournament committees have a lot less bias as a whole than fans are when considering their own team. I like to remove my own emotion as much as possible when I’m parsing things. It doesn’t make me “right” but it does allow me to be consistent, something that is rare around these parts.
 
Jul 30, 2024
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@I’m The Village Idiot Would an Alabama football fan feel like they had an above average season if the sec had a historical great year as a conference but they finished in 7th or 9th place? No I don’t think so.
Apples-Oranges.

Major category error, my friend.

If you want to provide me your own methodology for how to parse teams, I’ll look at it and use it to grade every team since 2000 and see if it is consistent and rational.
 
Jul 30, 2024
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I ask that because in my mind an above average season would be considered good to me, so it makes me think you’re okay with the performance. Has nothing to do with anything you’ve said specifically about pope
Average is just that. Literally average. I’m a fan just like anyone else and I want to win. So, no I’m not asking for a lifetime contract for a coach that has only average seasons.
 

JohnRambo82

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Mar 25, 2026
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Apples-Oranges.

Major category error, my friend.

If you want to provide me your own methodology for how to parse teams, I’ll look at it and use it to grade every team since 2000 and see if it is consistent and rational.
You do exactly what you’re accused of my friend. Go to the Kansas board and ask them if they think they’ve had an above average season if they finish 7th place in the Big 12.
Go to the UNC board or Duke board and ask the same if they finish 7th in the ACC. There isn’t a blue blood programs fan that will logically agree with that.

I’m not going back to the 40’s in the sec either. The goal for UK should be to try to stay at the top of the conference. If fans think like you do, we are completely lowering standards. Pope did fine his first year because he didn’t have time to build a team like everyone else. But he has to start taking care of business in conference. It is what it is
 
Jul 30, 2024
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You do exactly what you’re accused of my friend. Go to the Kansas board and ask them if they think they’ve had an above average season if they finish 7th place in the Big 12.
Go to the UNC board or Duke board and ask the same if they finish 7th in the ACC. There isn’t a blue blood programs fan that will logically agree with that.

I’m not going back to the 40’s in the sec either. The goal for UK should be to try to stay at the top of the conference. If fans think like you do, we are completely lowering standards. Pope did fine his first year because he didn’t have time to build a team like everyone else. But he has to start taking care of business in conference. It is what is is
No. I’m not making a category error. I’ve clearly defined my methodology. You’re appealing to another fanbase or your own view of my methodology.

Well, what’s your methodology? Provide it here and we will see if every season can be reliably parsed.
 

JohnRambo82

Senior
Mar 25, 2026
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No. I’m not making a category error. I’ve clearly defined my methodology. You’re appealing to another fanbase or your own view of my methodology.

Well, what’s your methodology? Provide it here and we will see if every season can be reliably parsed.
You seem like a nice guy, so I don’t want it to sound like I’m arguing with you or being in anyway disrespectful. I don’t see a point in explaining any further. I just don’t see us agreeing whatsoever on this and that’s ok. It’s not a big deal.
 
Jul 30, 2024
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You seem like a nice guy, so I don’t want it to sound like I’m arguing with you or being in anyway disrespectful. I don’t see a point in explaining any further. I just don’t see us agreeing whatsoever on this and that’s ok. It’s not a big deal.
So you attempt to poke holes in my method, when I explained it very clearly and the reason why I do it that way? Then, when asked for your methodology you exit? Fair enough I guess.

And yes, I am of the belief that as long as people are consistent and I understand their reasoning, I don’t feel the need to press further. None of us are “experts” — we are just fans putting our emotions to words and trying to think things through. God bless.
 
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JohnRambo82

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So you attempt to poke holes in my method, when I explained it very clearly and the reason why I do it that way? Then, when asked for your methodology you exit? Fair enough I guess.

And yes, I am of the belief that as long as people are consistent and I understand their reasoning, I don’t feel the need to press further. None of us are “experts” — we are just fans putting our emotions to words and trying to think things through. God bless.
I told you what I disagreed with and why. My reasoning is easy to understand. Pope has to do better in year 3 in several aspects of coaching if he’s going to make it here. Basically, getting back to where we want to be and being back at the top of our conference goes hand in hand. Kentucky has higher standards for basketball than most programs and it’s because of our history of success. I believe that’s something to be proud of. Popes not backing down from those standards and I’ll be rooting for him to turn this around. I really hope he can do it.
 
Jul 30, 2024
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I told you what I disagreed with and why. My reasoning is easy to understand. Pope has to do better in year 3 in several aspects of coaching if he’s going to make it here. Basically, getting back to where we want to be and being back at the top of our conference goes hand in hand. Kentucky has higher standards for basketball than most programs and it’s because of our history of success. I believe that’s something to be proud of. Popes not backing down from those standards and I’ll be rooting for him to turn this around. I really hope he can do it.
That’s not a methodology, my friend.

Me: Here’s my methodology. I use this because seedline will incorporate every facet of the regular season performance into one metric.

You: I don’t like your methodology because I feel conference rank REALLLLLLY matters (even though your conference performance is already weighted into the tournament seed since quality of conference opponents and performance in those games is already factored.)

Me: Okay then. What’s your methodology?

You: I explained myself clearly.

^ No. You told me what you don’t like about my methodology. I want to see how you parse teams so I can test yours out. I’m not trying to be difficult with you at all, actually. I’m trying to see how YOU parse data. Otherwise, it’s just your feelings on each team and that’s prone to serious cognitive bias.
 

JohnRambo82

Senior
Mar 25, 2026
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That’s not a methodology, my friend.

Me: Here’s my methodology. I use this because seedline will incorporate every facet of the regular season performance into one metric.

You: I don’t like your methodology because I feel conference rank REALLLLLLY matters (even though your conference performance is already weighted into the tournament seed since quality of conference opponents and performance in those games is already factored.)

Me: Okay then. What’s your methodology?

You: I explained myself clearly.

^ No. You told me what you don’t like about my methodology. I want to see how you parse teams so I can test yours out. I’m not trying to be difficult with you at all, actually. I’m trying to see how YOU parse data. Otherwise, it’s just your feelings on each team and that’s prone to serious cognitive bias.
You seem to be trying your best to twist my words around so I’m not even sure if it’s worth trying to discuss this with you anymore at this point. You’re mad and are just wanting to argue. How is their bias in what I’m saying when the coach himself has said he has to do better? “My feelings” has nothing to do with Pope placing 7th and 9th in the SEC or anything else the man has done as our coach that people criticize him for. I don’t get why you’re not seeing what I’m saying? Like I told you, ask a Kansas fan if 7th place in the Big 12 is an above average season or any other blue blood program.

So, what happens if we are better in the SEC? Do I really have to list all the positives? Why you’re implying it doesn’t matter is pretty odd to me. Use all of the big vocabulary words you want but it looks like common sense isn’t a strong suit of yours IF you want to challenge that. You’re completely over analyzing this situation including when you’re making a damn post telling us how you felt each season went. that’s spending a little to much time on a common sense matter. Popes gotta improve, like he has said himself and let’s hope he does. It doesn’t take Elon musk to figure that out.
 
Jul 30, 2024
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You seem to be trying your best to twist my words around so I’m not even sure if it’s worth trying to discuss this with you anymore at this point. You’re mad and are just wanting to argue. How is their bias in what I’m saying when the coach himself has said he has to do better? “My feelings” has nothing to do with Pope placing 7th and 9th in the SEC or anything else the man has done as our coach that people criticize him for. I don’t get why you’re not seeing what I’m saying? Like I told you, ask a Kansas fan if 7th place in the Big 12 is an above average season or any other blue blood program.

So, what happens if we are better in the SEC? Do I really have to list all the positives? Why you’re implying it doesn’t matter is pretty odd to me. Use all of the big vocabulary words you want but it looks like common sense isn’t a strong suit of yours IF you want to challenge that. You’re completely over analyzing this situation including when you’re making a damn post telling us how you felt each season went. that’s spending a little to much time on a common sense matter. Popes gotta improve, like he has said himself and let’s hope he does. It doesn’t take Elon musk to figure that out.
I’m actually not mad at all. And I 100% understand your surface level low hanging fruit of an argument. I gave you a full methodology and your response is a critique about conference rank. Mind you almost the entire conference was separated by one game, which makes the rank almost meaningless in the grand scheme of a full season to me. But I digress. You’ve yet again failed to provide a replacement model. I like your posting style and I would be happy to engage with you on future topics. As for this one, you’ve utterly failed to demonstrate anything beyond a petty critique of my model.

If you want to debate a methodology, it isn’t enough to say “I don’t like X or Y about your model.” You need to provide a replacement model that it better. You’ve refused to do it time and time again.

Me: Here’s my system. You can plug any team into it (not just Kentucky) and objectively grade them.

You: No system provided. Probably graded every team on a whim or eye test. AKA big giant mess of cognitive bias and zero desire to engage in good faith.

^ Send me a system or I’m not talking to you about this topic anymore. I placed all my cards on the table in a transparent way. Good faith dialogue demands the same from you. Even if we disagree, that’s how good people do things.