Harmeet gets it.
After yestrrdays arguments, I think Election Day will end in Election Day as I proposed.
Words have meaning, the words are in the law. The electors must be chosen on Election Day. If the votes aren’t counted, you can’t select the electors. If you don’t like the law, change it but that’s what it, very clearly to me, says. (And to Alito and other bright legal minds)
Assistant AG Harmeet Dhillon NAILS IT: "We argued in our brief that because Congress has these laws that refer to an election DAY, election day should mean election DAY, meaning the last day by which ballots can be received by the state and processed."
Time will tell I suppose
So I listened to the oral argument again on my drive up from the Shenandoah this morning at oh-dark thirty.
First, I'm still not buying the Alito rhetorical flourish, in that none of the other "days" he analogizes to are days "defined by" the fact that "something" is supposed to happen on the day; they are mere commemorations of things that have previously happened. It begs the question regarding what is supposed to (or must) happen on election day.
Second, I continue to believe that, given Article I's baseline allocation of power to states to specify the time/place/manner of elections, it is too much weight for the mere statutory phrase "election day" to carry to suggest that Congress has effectively foreclosed state discretion as to when a ballot cast on or before election day must be received. Oddly, only Justice Jackson really articulated that construct in the oral argument, and then only at the end of the round robin questions of, IIRC, the SG.
Third, having had a better chance to focus on the oral argument, I will note that the tenor of it was much stronger in favor of the challengers' position than I'd perceived when I had it on as "background music" yesterday, and I do think they're going to prevail. There were a lot of questions that seemed to be focusing on whether the "election day" phrase affects or limits what can occur "before" the appointed day (eg, early or mail in voting), and some implicit concern perhaps about whether that's the next case. But if I were to try to describe the "best" argument for the challengers as fairly as possible, it is that the vote must be "perfected" (or, as Clement said - quoting an earlier case that ticked Kagan off - "consummated") on the election day, and that perfection requires not only that the voter make a choice, but that the vote be in the custody of the state. IMO, the theory is fair enough, but only takes you so far, because it begs the question of whether, in the absence of more federal statutory specificity from Congress, a state's time/place/manner powers would still enable it to specify what will be deemed to be acceptable custody (eg, in MS's case, placement in the hands of the mail or common carrier with a pre-election day postmark, and receipt within a few days afterwards). (BTW, on that front some thorny/uncomfortable questions from Thomas/Gorsuch about whether a state could deem it to be acceptable custody if it were given to say, a 'neighbor' or a political party representative/block captain to subsequently deliver to the state.)
Fourth, and again oddly, neither the argument nor the briefs (from the quick peek I took last night) seem to focus much at all of the "electors" language in 3 USC 1. To your point, I do think that poses some hard questions -- maybe even so hard that the justices ignored them as being wholly impractical. For example, implicit in the notion of elector selection is the idea that the votes must actually be counted by election day, and I don't think anybody was really taking that on. So to the point above, maybe the best answer is that "perfection/consummation" by the voters is what is required in terms of elector selection, or that the statutory phrase "appointment" of electors essentially describes the perfection/consummation process).
Fifth, I agree with your point below - at the end of the day, this should hardly be the end of the world. It's not like elections are surprise events, and people can and should easily plan accordingly to vote in a manner that creates confidence that their vote will be counted.
Finally, I'd be remiss if I didn't note that, as always, Clement (representing the Libertarian rather than the Republican Party) was just masterful. He is without a doubt the best advocate there is. As I was listening to his responses to questions ranging from federal statutory history back to the 1840s, to changes in specific states' electoral practices over the last 100 years, to how armed forces personnel voted from the civil war to the 20th century, to MS's law, and then his rhetorical ease and candor with the justices (including a quip about how he'd never suggest that voting fraud might occur in Chicago), it occurred to me that I wouldn't have the slightest idea how a person would possibly get that prepared for an argument, even of this magnitude. Just truly unbelievable.