Who would Have Thought…

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
This. Even if they’re not starters, they’re going to be valuable backups, practice players and off court mentors. We can’t keep turning over 75% of our roster. Continuity matters.

I’d still want Grant back at a reasonable price point. Don’t forget about Dorian Jones, would want to see what he can actually do before parting ways.

I don’t think there’s a reasonable price point possible for Grant from us based on the fact that he was supposed to be our feature player this year and was likely compensated accordingly. He’s not going to stick around here to take a pay cut. Some A-10 or Mountain West team will be willing to pay him starter dollars. And he should absolutely take it.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
then what was the point of your rah rah thread since almost all of them are going to be passed by portal players....are you celebrating role players?

That hypothetical is still a WAY better starting point than we’ve had in any of the NIL / portal era cycle’s so far in terms of returning production. I’ve mentioned being able to sell a vision for what your team will try to do on a one year horizon and I do think that’s a very important factor. Folks keep throwing out the excuse “it’s all about money” but that’s actually only true for the handful of teams that can afford to grossly overpay for everyone they bring in relative to other bidders (Washington).

The point is - even if we succeed in bringing in the players we need to “beat out” many of our returners for playing time, they logged minutes this year and so when portal prospects consider RU, they can at least look to what RU was trying to do this past year and visualize (through hopefully a good pitch from us) what their role would be in making it better. While it’s still far from a guarantee that Pike can turn this around, this type of “sell” seems much more in Pike’s lane than the task in front of him the past couple years. Even with Ace / Dylan the narrative he was pitching to prospects was riddled with uncertainty. What would their role be? How would they be used? Ace and Dylan had never played for us and it was clear they would be running the offense. Pike had never had kids like this to point to what he’s done in the past like some of the reload type programs can. This, in my opinion, will be his best chance. By far.
 
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NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
14,146
12,939
113
You are assuming that Powers, Mark and Nwuli don't get any better from their freshman years. I really think Mark is going to be a definite BIG1G starter, maybe as early as next year. He is the most improved player from the beginning of the year to the end that I could ever remember. His game reminds me of Jacob Young's, and he didn't dramatically improve till the second half of his junior year. His shot is so much better. I know Richie claims he is gone, but that was before his big turn around. I am thinking he could definitely change his mind with a nice contract offer.

Powers has also shown considerable improvement, and who knows what his ceiling is. As another poster already mentioned, John Battle's improvement from freshman year to sophomore is legendary. There were a lot of people just like you who would say John would never become a NBA player after his freshman year, and I think Powers is a guy to bet on

I wasn't born so I looked up John Battles stats.

Freshman: 12.9mpg, 2.4ppg
Sophomore: 14.3mpg (8th on team - zero starts) 5.9ppg (6th on team)

Not exactly legendary.
Is Powers going to be the 3rd guy off the bench? Ok sure - but pay him appropriately though.

However, people talking about him as a starter and citing Battle seem to be making a huge leap and appear to be misremebering.
did as a Junior.

Powers cant be an expected starter or key contributor next year.
 
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PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
I wasn't born so I looked up John Battles stats.

Freshman: 12.9mpg, 2.4ppg
Sophomore: 14.3mpg (8th on team - zero starts) 5.9ppg (6th on team)

Not exactly legendary.
Is Powers going to be the 3rd guy off the bench? Ok sure - but pay him appropriately though.

However, people talking about him as a starter and citing Battle seem to be making a huge leap and appear to be misremebering.
did as a Junior.

Powers cant be an expected starter or key contributor next year.

Agreed. He can’t be “paid” anything close to the going rate for a proven high major starter.

I think the disconnect though is our realistic expectations of who Rutgers is truly capable of signing. It makes sense mathematically to say - let’s pick up one 1.3M SG for the money it would cost to keep Powers, Zrno and roll the dice with another (taller) Tariq type. The problem is - there’s way more competition for the pool of candidates in the ball park of that 1.3M caliber bracket and RU isn’t exactly positioned as the most desirable landing spot. So, at guard in particular, it’s not as cut and dry as your making it because none of us really have any sense of what level guard we could expect to land in offering that single higher price tag.

The frontcourt is different - The big boys will be vying for the kids with more eye popping scoring stats than us. We need rebounding on both ends and D. There will be guys we can realistically attain (not for “cheap” but for market that might actually choose us) that can fill our biggest needs.
 

goru7

All-American
Dec 12, 2005
6,437
7,731
113
I wasn't born so I looked up John Battles stats.

Freshman: 12.9mpg, 2.4ppg
Sophomore: 14.3mpg (8th on team - zero starts) 5.9ppg (6th on team)

Not exactly legendary.
Is Powers going to be the 3rd guy off the bench? Ok sure - but pay him appropriately though.

However, people talking about him as a starter and citing Battle seem to be making a huge leap and appear to be misremebering.
did as a Junior.

Powers cant be an expected starter or key contributor next year.
You did not see Battle and not citing his junior or senior stats is stupid because he exploded. Back then you hardly played the first 2 years and developed. Today with AAU these guys are ready as freshman and definitely as sophomores. That is why Powers has the chance to make the jump next year . He is a tall guard that can shoot , can drive , can pass and will get better on defense. . I cannot disagree enough with your comment that he cannot be a starter or major contributor . I guess we will see but your take is shortsighted and trying to judge a freshman with a small sample size. He didn’t play the first 5-8 games this year.
 
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PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
100%. My recollection- everyone who offered an opinion was overwhelmingly negative about him. He proved a LOT of people VERY wrong

That’s why I find the current focus on our shot chart pretty comical. Tariq is far and away the most efficient scoring weapon we have and he’s able to score in a variety of ways in large part because of how lethal his midrange game is. He's basically automatic if you don’t defend him there. And even when contested he’s the best in the business at drawing contact. So what? He’s not more explosive than J Mike, Tez, etc. but yet his rate of getting stuffed at the rim or charging are a fraction of those guys - why? Because teams have to respect his ability to mix it up with that mid-range and he’s crafty with mixing it up.

This may not be the best long term plan on offense, but in this particular year it was the best we could do and it was one of Pike’s best offenses in 10 years. I get that doesn’t say much, but suggesting we should be pounding the paint when we don’t have anyone to put the ball through the net, or having our guards take contested 3s (as they are already shooting the open ones they are able to get it’s just that when you have no post presence at all you get less perimeter looks). We would get even less clean looks from 3 if Tariq wasn’t a force from midrange.
 

runner1954

Senior
Apr 30, 2015
1,225
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this team is devoid of starting big 10 and really only Francis/Buch starting next year meaning the portal needs to be huge for Pike. Since Pike now has $$$$$$ why wouldnt he upgrade overall the lesser talent that he bought with little money

your post is quite odd. The roster is going to get a significant upgrade with most of the returning players getting a cut in their playing time. The rosy picture you paint on a failed season going possibly 13-18/6-14 while acting as if RU lives in some vacuum with respect to other schools in the conference
Pike doesn’t know How to use the portal correctly. Evidence was last years stiffs he put around 2 nba players. He has $$ now but I have no doubt he’ll screw this up.
 

Ridge 22

Heisman
Jun 30, 2007
7,815
10,196
98
Bring Em all back and this is team is poised for a Natty run next year!!!!
 

NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
14,146
12,939
113
That’s why I find the current focus on our shot chart pretty comical. Tariq is far and away the most efficient scoring weapon we have and he’s able to score in a variety of ways in large part because of how lethal his midrange game is. He's basically automatic if you don’t defend him there. And even when contested he’s the best in the business at drawing contact. So what? He’s not more explosive than J Mike, Tez, etc. but yet his rate of getting stuffed at the rim or charging are a fraction of those guys - why? Because teams have to respect his ability to mix it up with that mid-range and he’s crafty with mixing it up.

This may not be the best long term plan on offense, but in this particular year it was the best we could do and it was one of Pike’s best offenses in 10 years. I get that doesn’t say much, but suggesting we should be pounding the paint when we don’t have anyone to put the ball through the net, or having our guards take contested 3s (as they are already shooting the open ones they are able to get it’s just that when you have no post presence at all you get less perimeter looks). We would get even less clean looks from 3 if Tariq wasn’t a force from midrange.

1. Francis isn't the only one taking mid range shots.
2. It's not just this year. You say yourself "this may not be the best long term plan". That's why the focus on it. It's been a focus every year. Because its the same every year. Every year the team takes more solid range shots than most other teams.
And again we have one of the worst offenses in the conference. We arent playong against Pike's offense of the last 10 years. We're playing against other teams.
Pike got lucky with Francis. Reportedly he didn't want him (like most of us to be honest).
Pike's offensive plan would have been this way regardless of Francis excelling.
He got bailed out by Francis - and still has a relatively terrible offense.
 
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NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
14,146
12,939
113
Pike's offense plan coming into the year appeared to be running the offense through Davis and Grant🧐
 
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Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,293
15,999
73
If we were a 1-bid conference then I’d agree every team would need to spend $14+ million to compete for that top spot.

But with say, 8 teams from the B1G qualifying for the big dance, you could have a scenario like:

$12-15M has you vying for the top 4 spots
$9-12 has you vying for spots 5-8
$7-9M has you scrapping to overachieve into the top 8

I doubt any team will spend less than that lowest range. But even if every team spent the same amount, it’s still gonna come down to a combination of coaching and team chemistry.

You can buy expensive players, but they have to be the right mix of players under the direction of a good coach.

I can totally see a team from the lower budget range overachieving to crack the top 8 based on better chemistry and coaching.
That was 2025-2026 nunbers ….think you need to add $3-$4 million to each catagory.

$20 plus top four big ten
$16-$19 5-8 in big ten
$13-$15 9-11 in big ten and on the bubble
 
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Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,293
15,999
73
You did not see Battle and not citing his junior or senior stats is stupid because he exploded. Back then you hardly played the first 2 years and developed. Today with AAU these guys are ready as freshman and definitely as sophomores. That is why Powers has the chance to make the jump next year . He is a tall guard that can shoot , can drive , can pass and will get better on defense. . I cannot disagree enough with your comment that he cannot be a starter or major contributor . I guess we will see but your take is shortsighted and trying to judge a freshman with a small sample size. He didn’t play the first 5-8 games this year.
For reference …battles last 6-8 games his soph year was like marks last 6-8 games. By the time we got to the ncaa…after Hinson , he was very much part of the 2-4th scorers with black and Tillman ….then Brunson and Ellerbee chipped in at 6-7 at the point guard
 

mugrat86

Heisman
Dec 11, 2014
8,154
10,692
82
For reference …battles last 6-8 games his soph year was like marks last 6-8 games. By the time we got to the ncaa…after Hinson , he was very much part of the 2-4th scorers with black and Tillman ….then Brunson and Ellerbee chipped in at 6-7 at the point guard
💯 very similar to Mark and Powers progression. Similarly to Tim Brown on the football side
 

BillyC80

Heisman
Oct 23, 2006
17,137
15,593
72
That was 2025-2026 nunbers ….think you need to add $3-$4 million to each catagory.

$20 plus top four big ten
$16-$19 5-8 in big ten
$13-$15 9-11 in big ten and on the bubble
Possibly, although those numbers seem too high, imo. For example, even if you add $3M to my lowest budget category you get $10M, not $13M.

Regardless, the main point I was making is that there are ranges, and not every team needs to be in the highest budget category to make the dance.

If a team can finish 8th or possibly as low as 9th in the Big Ten, they could still get into the NCAA tournament, even with a budget of only $8-10M.
 

Mholinko

All-Conference
Apr 25, 2023
1,555
2,353
77
The chest puffing that I’m loyal to the players here and want to bring them back so I’m a better fan than you rhetoric that comes up over and over is funny

just because some of us are more critical and realistic and dissatisfied with the idea of bringing back 5-6 guys from this roster it doesn’t mean we’re bad fans as I’ve said before

if you’re aspiring to finish bottom 5 again bring the whole roster back

there’s only a couple pieces on this roster than could compete meaningfully for the 8-10 teams actually vying for an ncaa bid
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
248,708
178,232
113
That was 2025-2026 nunbers ….think you need to add $3-$4 million to each catagory.

$20 plus top four big ten
$16-$19 5-8 in big ten
$13-$15 9-11 in big ten and on the bubble
I dont know...the amount of schools with $10 milion plus for THIS past season were about 25 schools unfortunately about 6-7 of them in big 10
 
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Shelby65

All-Conference
Apr 1, 2008
8,413
4,670
66
Actually John Battle was a bench player for 2 years, then exploded Junior and Senior years. Powers and Mark have shown more in their first years.
Because the players on the court with them now overall are much weaker than those on the roster when JB was a backup. JB would have been a starter on this team from Go.
 

Knight Shift

Heisman
May 19, 2011
88,909
86,908
113
Lino Mark is the only one who reacted. Tariq and EO were stone faced.

I think this means Lino Mark stays. . . . . . . . 😂 ;):cool:

 

Scarlet Shack

Heisman
Feb 3, 2004
26,293
15,999
73
I dont know...the amount of schools with $10 milion plus for THIS past season were about 25 schools unfortunately about 6-7 of them in big 10
Schools are seeing what happened this year of you weren’t one of those schools in 8 digits and raising more money for this season…we weren’t one of those 25 last year …and it sounds like we will be at $10 this year

There are 78 power 5 schools …I’m guessing that 50-60 are going to be in 8 digits

And almost all of the big ten and sec in “that club”

Now, this isn’t gojng to be an infinite upward cycle …we will eventually hit a ceiling , but 2026-2027 isn’t it

I’m thinking last years nunbers on what pkayers signed for in gojng to be a relative guide …nothing more and nothing less

And this year will be a new and different market …and higher bids for equivalent players
 
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PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
1. Francis isn't the only one taking mid range shots.
2. It's not just this year. You say yourself "this may not be the best long term plan". That's why the focus on it. It's been a focus every year. Because its the same every year. Every year the team takes more solid range shots than most other teams.
And again we have one of the worst offenses in the conference. We arent playong against Pike's offense of the last 10 years. We're playing against other teams.
Pike got lucky with Francis. Reportedly he didn't want him (like most of us to be honest).
Pike's offensive plan would have been this way regardless of Francis excelling.
He got bailed out by Francis - and still has a relatively terrible offense.

Except that the way it’s being brought up is as the explanation for why we lost a particular game. A side by side image of our shot chart next to some ranked team that beat us with all filled in circles at the rim and from 3. It’s not the case THIS SEASON that we would win more playing that way. We don’t have the horses to score inside at the rim at all.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
Schools are seeing what happened this year of you weren’t one of those schools in 8 digits and raising more money for this season…we weren’t one of those 25 last year …and it sounds like we will be at $10 this year

There are 78 power 5 schools …I’m guessing that 50-60 are going to be in 8 digits

And almost all of the big ten and sec in “that club”

Now, this isn’t gojng to be an infinite upward cycle …we will eventually hit a ceiling , but 2026-2027 isn’t it

I’m thinking last years nunbers on what pkayers signed for in gojng to be a relative guide …nothing more and nothing less

And this year will be a new and different market …and higher bids for equivalent players

I actually think your putting a bit too much stock into the money level. No doubt it’s important, but take a step back for a minute and think about the “what are we after” part in context of teams like RU. Let’s go with your 78 high major team estimate. After factoring in graduating senior starters, NBA draft entrants and retained players - how many desirable starting players from this pool are actually putting themselves in that portal market your essentially defining as “the end all”? I doubt it’s more than an average of one player per team and some of them from the weaker teams are fringe starters (like Grant and J Will last year) who wouldn’t even help. My point is - unless we’re prepared to grossly overpay for any one player’s service - we’re probably not landing anyone in this pool no matter what.

Don’t get me wrong - having more funds available puts you in a much better position to manage the retention process early to keep the guys you want to stay happy - but it doesn’t eliminate the back end management if those guys aren’t happy about the competition brought in later for PT. A lot of the same considerations from past recruiting cycles do still exist and some of these things are magnified when you start creating mass salary gaps between guys on your roster. It’s all fine and good for the Duke types, but for us - our prize recruits aren’t going to be at the level where we’ll be able to justify bidding millions for anyone except a center.
 
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wheezer

Heisman
Jun 3, 2001
169,868
25,550
113
Actually John Battle was a bench player for 2 years, then exploded Junior and Senior years. Powers and Mark have shown more in their first years.
I can't see why some fans don't recognize Marks potential
We have rarely had a guard lately who can get to the rim like he can

Throw out the,fact that he,could not hit a three for a good part of the,season, look at the,most recent work
Again, some here think he cannot shoot, yet he is getting better

He's a freshman.... He's lightning quick.....
 

NickRU714

Heisman
Aug 18, 2009
14,146
12,939
113
I can't see why some fans don't recognize Marks potential
We have rarely had a guard lately who can get to the rim like he can

Throw out the,fact that he,could not hit a three for a good part of the,season, look at the,most recent work
Again, some here think he cannot shoot, yet he is getting better

He's a freshman.... He's lightning quick.....

I won't speak for others but it isn't not seeing Mark potential.
It's about improving the team for next year with limited money.

Is Mark starting next year next to Francis?
If not:
1. Will he accept a backup role?
2. Rutgers will likely have to pay less money for backup/bench roles than other teams. Is willing to accept less than they could get elsewhere?

Rutgers doesnt have the money to overpay Just for "retention" or "potential" 2 years down the road.

The money needs to be prioritized towards the starters and players on the court first.

Note: same conversation about Powers, Davis, Buchannon, and even Zrno. I wouldnt be surprised they all leave because the role/money Rutgers can offer is less than others.
 

PSAL_Hoops

Heisman
Feb 18, 2008
13,504
12,822
78
I won't speak for others but it isn't not seeing Mark potential.
It's about improving the team for next year with limited money.

Is Mark starting next year next to Francis?
If not:
1. Will he accept a backup role?
2. Rutgers will likely have to pay less money for backup/bench roles than other teams. Is willing to accept less than they could get elsewhere?

Rutgers doesnt have the money to overpay Just for "retention" or "potential" 2 years down the road.

The money needs to be prioritized towards the starters and players on the court first.

Note: same conversation about Powers, Davis, Buchannon, and even Zrno. I wouldnt be surprised they all leave because the role/money Rutgers can offer is less than others.

Starting is irrelevant. We can win with Mark and Tariq playing an average of 15 mpg together. Some match ups it’s not ideal but others it’s not a problem at all so it evens out. If you slot TF in for 30 mpg, that would mean about 10 mpg for Mark in the game without TF for projected PT expectation of 25 - whether he starts or not.

Buchanan will not log less than 22 mpg. Even if we bring in 3 near certain starters at 3-5 (I think it’ll be more like 2 in that category and one with more uncertainty - hopefully all careful scouted to fill specific needs). But even at that - he’d project as a “back up” to fill 10 min at each the 3 and 4 along with a couple minutes at the 5. And he could also play the 2 - he’s not an awful shooter and can guard that position fine.

The other guys - I agree with you. I don’t see Powers or Zrno projecting as averaging 20 mpg on a better team unless they both shoot and defend much better. It might happen in offseason development but you wouldn’t price that in as a given. No way. Not when both TF and Buchanan are shooting the 3 ball better than them and score in more ways.
 

mugrat86

Heisman
Dec 11, 2014
8,154
10,692
82
The chest puffing that I’m loyal to the players here and want to bring them back so I’m a better fan than you rhetoric that comes up over and over is funny

just because some of us are more critical and realistic and dissatisfied with the idea of bringing back 5-6 guys from this roster it doesn’t mean we’re bad fans as I’ve said before

if you’re aspiring to finish bottom 5 again bring the whole roster back

there’s only a couple pieces on this roster than could compete meaningfully for the 8-10 teams actually vying for an ncaa bid
Yes that is sadly true, however Pike needs to build on the freshman that are starting to really improve notably Lino, Powers and Nwuli and look to them as the nucleus of this team going forward. They will likely be the next Geo, Caleb and RHJ. I can easily see the three of those guys as well as any additions we make in portal plus Francis as being a nucleus to enable to get us to the next level