As of yesterday morning Iran had launched 1311 missiles/drones etc at neighboring gulf countries including Jordan. This does not include Israel.
Over the next few weeks, keep your eyes on the Middle East
- Thread starter HunterPKP
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Intel like this is why I love this thread. Can't find this info anywhere else. Thanks to all who provide it.
it's a poker game where Iran has a 3-7 off suit going all in against two players with aces and kings and the flop comes out with aces and kings. It is just a dumb move...
With Israel's intelligence paired with the US...I'd go all in on the USA and Israel. And anyone that thinks there are no boots on the street in Iran by both militaries has their head in the sand. Special Forces and Special Ops are in places no one even know
Steve Witkoff's comments last night on Fox were very illuminating. He was Trump's negotiator at the talks with Iran's Foreign Minister. They walked in and said they had enough U235 for 11 bombs and were going to enrich more, and they refused to abandon enrichment.
I'd have walked out and called the boss and told him to bomb away if it were me.
This nonsense about not protecting Saudis is just that. They have bought almost as much of our BMD systems as the Israelis. They actually have more THAAD radars than the Israelis. They just suck at using them properly, despite the training. You're not supposed to fire 4-5 SAMs at every incoming missile, but they keep on doing it. The Ford CSG has Aegis ships tasked to help Israel, theres no carrier group in the Red Sea or Gulf to assist KSA, the geometry prevents the Lincoln from doing so and no Aegis ships are running through the Gulf to be big fat targets either. Nothing but rhetorical and political nonsense.
I'd have walked out and called the boss and told him to bomb away if it were me.
This nonsense about not protecting Saudis is just that. They have bought almost as much of our BMD systems as the Israelis. They actually have more THAAD radars than the Israelis. They just suck at using them properly, despite the training. You're not supposed to fire 4-5 SAMs at every incoming missile, but they keep on doing it. The Ford CSG has Aegis ships tasked to help Israel, theres no carrier group in the Red Sea or Gulf to assist KSA, the geometry prevents the Lincoln from doing so and no Aegis ships are running through the Gulf to be big fat targets either. Nothing but rhetorical and political nonsense.
Well, ok. But our intel still showed they were years away from a bomb. But i get it.
Pezeshkian is dead. And, the Iranian Assembly of Experts (yea that’s the actual name - guessing it sounds better in Persian) is the body that has the authority to elect a supreme leader. They were meeting this morning in Qom. Israel destroyed the building in an airstrike while they were assembled. Not clear how many of the 88 are dead or survived.
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A few follow-ups
1. Can US ordinance supplies outlast the IRGC capability to defend? Feels almost like siege warfare on much grander scale
2. Can China press an advantage? What would that look like?
Who’s intel was that? It wasn’t the US’s or the UK’s or Israel’s…
Intel didn't show anything. Intel estimated based on historical timelines of other countries work with nuclear weapons.
First you build and test a bomb, haven't seen yet. Manhattan Project was only waiting on the material, they had the bomb design ready. This step can be very quick once the material is ready.
Then you build an RV that can survive reentry, they can do that on short and medium range systems. They haven't shown for ICBM class yet.
Then you weaponize the nuke into a RV. Most countries would do that and have a flight test to accept the weapon into use.
Intel's timelines were based on all of that.
Starting to be reported by major news outlets. Bloomberg and NYP have stories. Strike occurred last night.
I've got the TV on in the background of my office and havent seen it...googled it and nothing came up. Definitely will be following this
I did find this?
IDF 'flattens' Iran Assembly of Experts meeting | The Jerusalem Post
Iranian news agencies reported that the building was "flattened" during the Israeli strikes.
www.jpost.com
I've got the TV on in the background of my office and havent seen it...googled it and nothing came up. Definitely will be following this
I did find this?
IDF 'flattens' Iran Assembly of Experts meeting | The Jerusalem Post
Iranian news agencies reported that the building was "flattened" during the Israeli strikes.
Tasnim news agency first reported. They are a semi-state linked news agency in Iran with IRGC ties. If they reported it, it’s probably accurate. Their other lead story says something about 650 US casualties and forcing a US CSG to retreat.
Israel bombs Iran’s top mullahs as they count votes for next supreme leader
The Israeli Air Force struck a top Iranian meeting on Tuesday where Tehran’s senior clerics had gathered to select a replacement for slain Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, according to multiple reports.
nypost.com
Iran’s leadership HQ destroyed in airstrikes as Trump says it’s ‘too late’ for talks | LBC
Local media has reported that the "Assembly of Experts building" in the city of Qom, south of Tehran, was attacked on Tuesday.
www.lbc.co.uk
Israel strikes Iran's Assembly in Qom to block selection of new supreme leader - Türkiye Today
Israel destroys the Assembly of Experts building in the Iranian holy city of Qom during a vote to select a new supreme leader
www.turkiyetoday.com
Israeli-US strikes hit building of assembly choosing new Iran supreme leader
Assembly of Experts building in Qom bombed by Israel and US, according to Iranian media
www.middleeasteye.net
Can't say if Kuwaiti have the same crypto as our guys. Likely not.
And a ground unit isn't necessarily what shot them down.
There was fog of war involved.
Yeah we were told this summer that we destroyed Iran's nuclear capabilities
We're going to run out of strike targets within the next week or two.
China is doing PLA purges, I'd be shocked if they did anything with Taiwan. Their plan is to press for something in 2027 if they're ready
Yes, the Israelis hit the meeting. Not sure how many died. Their reasoning was, per the article I saw, "we don't want to them to pick a new supreme leader." Israel's goal is to make Iran a functionally failed state a la Syria or Libya
Boots on the ground generally means a full military invasion, not spec op stuff
i understand what boots on the ground means. I graduated The Citadel and have a brother that is a 100% disabled special operations veteran.
So an anti Israel Egyptian who served the Obama administration that hated Israel doesn't like what's happening. Gotcha.
Agree. The same old cultists feel need to share their echo chamber feeds with us. Keep your feeds to yourself.
Taiwan is not their only objective.
Xi Jinping may decide to move quicker.
Not saying you are wrong, just other considerations.
Don't see them attacking Lebron.
No. The Russians are inept. If you think they are using a knife instead of a hammer you are sadly mistaken. They've thrown everything at the Uks. I watch them fire missiles into Ukraine about every day. The only thing keeping them from losing is the Uks are running out of men while the Russians are opening their prisions to keep the front lines full.
Very true, they lob SS-26s over daily, and it does them no good at all.
Russians always use a hammer, heavy handed is the only way the Russians know to do things.
You act like we haven't moved assets into Saudi, Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE to defend the region. We have.
You also act like all above countries don't hate Iran.
You also act like the Gulf State aren't aware of the US's 75 year relationship with Israel.
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Ashli Babbitt guy weighs in on cultists and echo chambers
How am I acting like that? Where did I give the impression we didn't move assets into the region to defend there? Yes, they hate Iran, which is why they're involved in a proxy war in Yemen.
Saudi officials are bitchin and moanin on arab language TV/news about how we're prioritizing assets to defend Israel instead of them
Where am I supporting Iran? Point to one instance where I am.
spoiler alert: he can't
Yeah Russia was having major demographic and economic issues before the war, this "3 week special military operation" or whatever they were calling it has completely wrecked them. The cream of the crop for the military got savaged, especially when their special forces tried that moronic raid into Kiev. Russia can still carry out their sabotage campaigns or whatever but their position as a whole is significantly weakened while Europe has been pushed to strengthen.
oh I see you only used a portion of my comment...you realize that majority of my classmates who are still friends today served or still serve. My brother was special ops...I understand what boots on the ground means. But way to C&P only a portion of my comment. Hope it made you feel good
Typical liberal move
Russia’s Ukraine war is a good example, along with our Iraq and Afghan experiences, of how air and sea superiority are necessary but not adequate to win a ground war and reconfigure another country’s political structure.
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So did Mark Carney. Wanting Iran to have a different regime is a popular stance. How to get there is the big question