A New Criteria for Selection Sunday

CollegeSenior

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Apr 2, 2021
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“Wins Above Bubble, or WAB, is a new metric added to the NCAA’s team sheets ahead of last year’s tournament. It attempts to measure how much better or worse a specific team did against its own schedule than what would be expected of a generic bubble-caliber team. In other words: How many wins did you amass, and how many more or less is that than a bubble team would have?


That approach has multiple benefits. Most importantly, it provides one number to directly compare teams with drastically different strengths of schedule.


For a real-world example: Using the NET rankings to measure opponent quality, a bubble team would be expected to have won 14.11 games so far against Auburn’s wildly difficult schedule. Auburn currently has 15 wins, which puts the Tigers at +0.89 WAB. That same generic bubble team would be expected to accumulate 25.9 wins against Miami (Ohio)’s schedule. The Redhawks are 28-0, so they are at +2.10 WAB. That’s a one-to-one comparison to show that Miami has accomplished more than Auburn”




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bac2therac

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Jul 30, 2001
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ScarletDave

Heisman
Oct 7, 2010
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I love this metric. I made a similar one for football. It showed Penn State and Notre Dame as early season pretenders, and had Indiana at #1 by week 5 which took AP until week 17 to do.
 

RUJMM78

Heisman
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I think a team needs to have a winning reciord against league rivals to be considered for a NCAA bid.Last season the SEC received 14 bids which wss ridiculous.
 
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