OT: Minor (1-2") Snowfall Sunday (2/15) Evening thru Monday am. Still some uncertainty on amounts...

[RU848789]

Summary: Time for a thread for a potential snowfall for many, starting Sunday evening and going through about sunrise on Monday. There is the potential for a minor (1-2") to moderate (2-4") snowfall for most of the Philly-NJ-NYC area and this likelihood keeps increasing with each model suite. A whiff or mostly rain is looking unlikely (but still possible) and a significant snowfall (4-8") is unlikely, but now on the table. Even if we do get a few to several inches of snow, with marginal temps (close to or above 32F, especially along/SE of 95) accumulations on treated roads are unlikely (unlike the 1/25 storm where temps were in the teens).

Details: This is probably my last weather post before 6 pm tomorrow (I have an all-day disc golf tourney in the leftover snow in Ft. Washington PA), but figured I'd start the thread, since it seemed like many folks didn't love the 2 threads we had going for the last 2 events and I am capable of learning, lol. The chance of at least a minor (1-2") snowfall is now pretty high with several models (NAM, NAM3km, UK, Euro now showing a general 1-2/1-3" event while the AIGFS, ICON and Weathernext show a 2-4" type event for most N of 276/195 (or even Philly to Toms River and N) up to 78 or 80, so the chance of a moderate (2-4") snowfall is now decent. And even a significant (4-8") storm is no longer a pipe dream, with the GFS showing 6-12" area-wide (the higher amounts south of 276/195 actually) and the AIFS showing a 3-6" event area-wide Also the IBM GRAF model shows a foot of snow, but has also started a hissy fit catfight among some pro mets who think it's been irresponsible to share that output - I don't know anyone who is predicting a major snowstorm or even more than 2-4" without having much better model consensus. Only the Canadian models aren't showing any snow, with precip all south of Philly to AC as rain.

And Lee Goldberg weighed in, changing his forecast from 11:00 to 11:20 pm, probably because he saw the GFS which came out around 10:45 pm, lol. He's now calling for 1-2" for much of the area, as per the map below and noted that this may have to be increased further if ongoing trends continue. Note that most of the models showing snow have marginal temps (maybe 32-34F) for 95 towards the coast, so there may be some initial melting, but snow at night will accumulate more easily especially if there are at least moderate rates and in addition, with marginal temps there will be a rain/snow line likely somewhere south of 276/195 (maybe Philly to Toms River?), which means if the storm moves further north/closer to the coast rain could keep accumulations down into CNJ.

This is a very finicky, complex setup with so many moving parts, making uncertainty very high and meaning a much wider range of solutions are on the table inside of 48 hours from the event than normal, as this truly could be anything from a whiff to a minor event (1-2") to a moderate event (2-4") to even a significant snowstorm (4-8"). Even the curmudgeonly Tomer Burg (one of the best young mets out there) is saying everything is on the table (link below): "Until models get a better handle on this feature gradually over the next 1-2 days, I would be wary of outright dismissing a major (6”+) snowstorm potential, and especially wary of assuming no snow is a guarantee." Stay tuned.



https://www.weather.gov/phi

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62557-february-2026-obs-discussion/page/72/

 

[RU848789]

Summary: I'm back and it's looking like a 1-3" event for most of the Philly-NJ-NYC area Sunday night into Monday. Still some chance of 3-5" if we get better phasing (but no models are showing 4-8"+ snow anymore) and still some chance of 1" or less. Keep in mind temps will be marginal for most, so accumulations on treated surfaces are unexpected, but side streets, driveways and sidewalks will likely be slippery - also, all of this will likely be gone from any paved surfaces by sunset on Monday.

Details: So, after frolicking in the snow playing disc golf today, it's time for more weather guessing because right now the models are all over the place with a greater level of variance run-to-run for almost every model than I've almost ever seen, as this is an exquisitely sensitive setup with respect to fairly minor variations. Having said that, the 12Z models this afternoon had a few showing 4-8" (GFS, NAM, RRFS), while the 18Z models this evening don't have any showing more than 4", with most showing 1-2/2-4", which is less for most than at 12Z and is what I said seemed most likely last night. And remember, 48 hours ago, every model showed the precip being south of Cape May, so this is "bonus" snow (for those who like snow).

Bottom line is this might be where taking the NBM (National Blend of Models) might be the way to go - if I had to make a forecast map it would look a lot like the NBM with 1-3" for most of the Philly-NJ-NYC area, noting some spots that get the heaviest bands could get 4". However, I'd also note that the cutoff from accumulating snow to mostly rain might be further north than shown in that map (maybe more like Philly to Toms River) and there might not be more than 1" N of about Blairstown to Yonkers. Channel 7's map is a little less robust than the NBM with the 1-3" being mainly between 276/195 and just south of 78 and 1" or less outside of that band, while the NWS map (which has been underdone since yesterday, IMO), finally shows 1-2" for most - see their discussion below.

https://www.weather.gov/phi
https://www.americanwx.com/.../62597-presidents.../page/5/

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
227 PM EST Sat Feb 14 2026

Using a 1:1 blend of NBM:NBM10 for Snow Ratios, along with WPC
QPF, generally ended up with 1 to 2 inches of snow for most of
New Jersey north of I-195, the Lehigh Valley, and the Delaware
Valley, and less than an inch elsewhere. Should these totals
hold out, a Winter Weather Advisory may be needed for portions
of New Jersey Sunday night and Monday morning.

 

[bac2therac]

Mid to upper 40s were the highs for most today but some lucky spots in South Jersey touched 50!

 

[Knight Shift]

Summary: I'm back and it's looking like a 1-3" event for most of the Philly-NJ-NYC area Sunday night into Monday. Still some chance of 3-5" if we get better phasing (but no models are showing 4-8"+ snow anymore) and still some chance of 1" or less. Keep in mind temps will be marginal for most, so accumulations on treated surfaces are unexpected, but side streets, driveways and sidewalks will likely be slippery - also, all of this will likely be gone from any paved surfaces by sunset on Monday.

Details: So, after frolicking in the snow playing disc golf today, it's time for more weather guessing because right now the models are all over the place with a greater level of variance run-to-run for almost every model than I've almost ever seen, as this is an exquisitely sensitive setup with respect to fairly minor variations. Having said that, the 12Z models this afternoon had a few showing 4-8" (GFS, NAM, RRFS), while the 18Z models this evening don't have any showing more than 4", with most showing 1-2/2-4", which is less for most than at 12Z and is what I said seemed most likely last night. And remember, 48 hours ago, every model showed the precip being south of Cape May, so this is "bonus" snow (for those who like snow).

Bottom line is this might be where taking the NBM (National Blend of Models) might be the way to go - if I had to make a forecast map it would look a lot like the NBM with 1-3" for most of the Philly-NJ-NYC area, noting some spots that get the heaviest bands could get 4". However, I'd also note that the cutoff from accumulating snow to mostly rain might be further north than shown in that map (maybe more like Philly to Toms River) and there might not be more than 1" N of about Blairstown to Yonkers. Channel 7's map is a little less robust than the NBM with the 1-3" being mainly between 276/195 and just south of 78 and 1" or less outside of that band, while the NWS map (which has been underdone since yesterday, IMO), finally shows 1-2" for most - see their discussion below.

https://www.weather.gov/phi
https://www.americanwx.com/.../62597-presidents.../page/5/

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
227 PM EST Sat Feb 14 2026

Using a 1:1 blend of NBM:NBM10 for Snow Ratios, along with WPC
QPF, generally ended up with 1 to 2 inches of snow for most of
New Jersey north of I-195, the Lehigh Valley, and the Delaware
Valley, and less than an inch elsewhere. Should these totals
hold out, a Winter Weather Advisory may be needed for portions
of New Jersey Sunday night and Monday morning.

View attachment 1187757

View attachment 1187758

View attachment 1187760

That map better hold. Manasquan area escapes.

If accurate, loving the forecast Thursday-Saturday for my zip, about the same each day- mid -upper 40's and chance of rain. Bring it.

 

[RU848789]

Mid to upper 40s were the highs for most today but some lucky spots in South Jersey touched 50!

Was a gorgeous day and next week looks pretty nice, although not as warm as originally modeled, which is a theme this winter. Also, winter isn't over yet, with the long range ensembles still showing some snow chances from now through the end of February and the CPC just updating their outlook, now showing average temps from 2/20-2/28 and average to above average precip, which means snow is possible.

 

[RU848789]

That map better hold. Manasquan area escapes.

If accurate, loving the forecast Thursday-Saturday for my zip, about the same each day- mid -upper 40's and chance of rain. Bring it.

Only Channel 7 shows Manasquan almost escaping the snow, not that this is some major snowstorm anyway - most of it should be gone by Tuesday.

 

[Sweet Pea's Corner]

2 threads on a non event. I'm predicting a possibility of darkness around 6pm every day.

 

[e5fdny]

2 threads on a non event. I'm predicting a possibility of darkness around 6pm every day.

How about instead we thank the OP and your brother (or uncle ) for doing threads like this.

Hit or miss, it’s ALWAYS appreciated when they take the time to do this for the rest of us.

 

[DJ Spanky]

 

[RU848789]

Most of the models last night at 0Z cut back on snowfall and this morning's models are similar to last night's with most showing 1-2" (and some up to 3" in spots and some with <1" in some areas), so it seems like a 1-2" forecast, like the NWS is showing is a decent guess right now. No models are showing more than 3" anymore, so beyond 3" seems pretty unlikely and no models are showing a whiff anymore, so that seems pretty unlikely too. Still looking at marginal temps for most of the event (32-34F for most especially S of 78), but the snow occurring at night should still allow these accumulations (if this were a daylight event in mid-Feb, much of the snow would melt).

My one comment on the NWS forecast is that plenty of models are showing 1-2" down to Philly to Toms River vs. their map showing the 1" line around 276/195, plus most models aren't showing more than 1" N of about 10 miles N of 80, so I think they might be too robust on the north side and not robust enough on the south side (for 1-2"). Not really worth going through model summaries for a minor 1-2" event, IMO.

 

[CollegeSenior]

I’ll be heading out of state for a few days, leaving around 6:00AM tomorrow. Is this going to be fluffy snow that I can leave to melt in Monday’s 40 degree weather, or will I have to shovel before I go? I don’t my wife to have to shovel if it won’t melt. I live just north of 78 in Union County

 

[DHajekRC1984]

Most of the models last night at 0Z cut back on snowfall and this morning's models are similar to last night's with most showing 1-2" (and some up to 3" in spots and some with <1" in some areas), so it seems like a 1-2" forecast, like the NWS is showing is a decent guess right now. No models are showing more than 3" anymore, so beyond 3" seems pretty unlikely and no models are showing a whiff anymore, so that seems pretty unlikely too. Still looking at marginal temps for most of the event (32-34F for most especially S of 78), but the snow occurring at night should still allow these accumulations (if this were a daylight event in mid-Feb, much of the snow would melt).

My one comment on the NWS forecast is that plenty of models are showing 1-2" down to Philly to Toms River vs. their map showing the 1" line around 276/195, plus most models aren't showing more than 1" N of about 10 miles N of 80, so I think they might be too robust on the north side and not robust enough on the south side (for 1-2"). Not really worth going through model summaries for a minor 1-2" event, IMO.

View attachment 1188121

......and I mean that in a good way. I'm out of state now and I have people coming by occasionally to check on things and water plants, etc..so in a word..My security cams finally showed the snow in driveway gone....so in a word...YAY. (Hitting the 70's here ..SC Beach.... this week but still a uncharacteristic up and down between 52-64 every few days).

 

[T2Kplus20]

I’ll be heading out of state for a few days, leaving around 6:00AM tomorrow. Is this going to be fluffy snow that I can leave to melt in Monday’s 40 degree weather, or will I have to shovel before I go? I don’t my wife to have to shovel if it won’t melt. I live just north of 78 in Union County

It’s a non event. 40 on Monday and over 50 on Tuesday. Let nature take its course.

 

[RU848789]

I’ll be heading out of state for a few days, leaving around 6:00AM tomorrow. Is this going to be fluffy snow that I can leave to melt in Monday’s 40 degree weather, or will I have to shovel before I go? I don’t my wife to have to shovel if it won’t melt. I live just north of 78 in Union County

Leave it and it'll be gone from paved surfaces by sunset Monday or earlier. Not a fluffy snow though - will be pretty wet and sloppy especially on paved surfaces where the snow will likely melt some initially.

 

[RU848789]

2 threads on a non event. I'm predicting a possibility of darkness around 6pm every day.

You truly struggle with reading comprehension. Was talking about the threat in the pattern thread for days, but it was looking like little or no snow 3-5 days out, but then we saw a major shift in the models between 72 and 48 hours out, so this thread was started about 42 hours before the event, as requested by many, in general. Just look at the thread titles.

 

[RU848789]

......and I mean that in a good way. I'm out of state now and I have people coming by occasionally to check on things and water plants, etc..so in a word..My security cams finally showed the snow in driveway gone....so in a word...YAY. (Hitting the 70's here ..SC Beach.... this week but still a uncharacteristic up and down between 52-64 every few days).

Not seeing any more big arctic outbreaks for a few weeks at least and probably not any more this winter as we'll be in March after that where extreme cold becomes very unlikely climatologically. But there will be snow chances, as usual, through most of March, but those usually melt fast, so unlikely you'll have to worry about your property much. So enjoy SC.

We still have 5-7" of snow/sleet on our somewhat shady property, with the top 3" or so still being a frozen crusty layer. Melting very slowly even with warmer temps, because of the very low surface area to volume ratio of that top layer (melting only occurs at the surface and warmer air can't get past the surface easily like it can with regular snow; also, the individual sleet particles also have far lower SA/vol rations than snowflakes). I think we'll still have >1" on our lawn through the end of this week despite it being warmer.

 

[DHajekRC1984]

Not seeing any more big arctic outbreaks for a few weeks at least and probably not any more this winter as we'll be in March after that where extreme cold becomes very unlikely climatologically. But there will be snow chances, as usual, through most of March, but those usually melt fast, so unlikely you'll have to worry about your property much. So enjoy SC.

We still have 5-7" of snow/sleet on our somewhat shady property, with the top 3" or so still being a frozen crusty layer. Melting very slowly even with warmer temps, because of the very low surface area to volume ratio of that top layer (melting only occurs at the surface and warmer air can't get past the surface easily like it can with regular snow; also, the individual sleet particles also have far lower SA/vol rations than snowflakes). I think we'll still have >1" on our lawn through the end of this week despite it being warmer.

yeah what a sloppy frozen *** mess still...

 

[RU848789]

So far, the NAM, NAM3km, RRFSA, ICON, HRW-FV3, RGEM and HRRR are all a bit snowier than 6Z, solidifying the likely 1-2" (with 3" in some areas where the best banding sets up) from Philly-Toms River up to a bit N of 80, IMO (which is pretty close to the NWS forecast). Let's see if, we see the same for the GFS/Euro/UK/CMC and the AI models. RU hoops calls...

 

[RU848789]

yeah what a sloppy frozen *** mess still... View attachment 1188214

Perhaps after the 1/25 storm people will start believing my preaching about how frozen mass is a better way to measure storm impact than frozen depth, since that storm truly had the equivalent frozen mass of a 14-20" 10:1 snowfall with 1.4-2.0" of frozen liquid precipitation. And the sleet melts more slowly than the same mass of snow, which is a big part of why the cities have had so much trouble with snow removal/parking (yes the very cold temps played a big part too).

 

[DJ Spanky]

I've stocked up on bread, eggs and milk, anyone know what the current color of the french toast alert is? Paging @Knight Shift!

 

[RU848789]

So far, the NAM, NAM3km, RRFSA, ICON, HRW-FV3, RGEM and HRRR are all a bit snowier than 6Z, solidifying the likely 1-2" (with 3" in some areas where the best banding sets up) from Philly-Toms River up to a bit N of 80, IMO (which is pretty close to the NWS forecast). Let's see if, we see the same for the GFS/Euro/UK/CMC and the AI models. RU hoops calls...

The 12Z Euro, AIFS, GFS, CMC and UK generally showed 1-2" between 78 and 276/195 (including for at least the southern half of NYC), with some areas of up to 3". Tough call on where the northern and southern extent of the ~1" line will be, as models have that varying between 78 and a bit north of 80 on the northern end and similarly have the southern extent of the 1" line being between 276/195 and just south of a Philly-Toms River line.

I like the News12 map the best as it's close to what I'm thinking with 1-3" from about 80 down to a bit south of 276/195, although I'd have the southern extent of this area down to Philly to Toms River (and keep in mind the dark blue 1-3" area would extend a bit west into EPA and east through NYC/LI). Dan Zarrow has a map very similar to News12's with the only exception being having the northern extent of the 1-2"+ area being about halfway between 78 and 80. The NWS has two different maps out right now, which are confusing, so I'm not going to post both (they're closer to 1/2-2" for most, but there are contradictions between the two).

Keep in mind that bust potential on the low side outside of the area between 78 and 276/195 is fairly high, given marginal temps possibly leading to less accumulation if rates aren't high enough on the southern end of things south of 276/195 and given the greater possibility of not getting more than 0.1" of precip on the northern end of things N of 78 (where it'll be cold enough to accumulate snow right away, but you need the snow, lol). Also, accumulations on treated roads should be minimal and the snow should melt off of any paved surfaces by mid-afternoon tomorrow.

 

[Knight Shift]

The 12Z Euro, AIFS, GFS, CMC and UK generally showed 1-2" between 78 and 276/195 (including for at least the southern half of NYC), with some areas of up to 3". Tough call on where the northern and southern extent of the ~1" line will be, as models have that varying between 78 and a bit north of 80 on the northern end and similarly have the southern extent of the 1" line being between 276/195 and just south of a Philly-Toms River line.

I like the News12 map the best as it's close to what I'm thinking with 1-3" from about 80 down to a bit south of 276/195, although I'd have the southern extent of this area down to Philly to Toms River (and keep in mind the dark blue 1-3" area would extend a bit west into EPA and east through NYC/LI). Dan Zarrow has a map very similar to News12's with the only exception being having the northern extent of the 1-2"+ area being about halfway between 78 and 80. The NWS has two different maps out right now, which are confusing, so I'm not going to post both (they're closer to 1/2-2" for most, but there are contradictions between the two).

Keep in mind that bust potential on the low side outside of the area between 78 and 276/195 is fairly high, given marginal temps possibly leading to less accumulation if rates aren't high enough on the southern end of things south of 276/195 and given the greater possibility of not getting more than 0.1" of precip on the northern end of things N of 78 (where it'll be cold enough to accumulate snow right away, but you need the snow, lol). Also, accumulations on treated roads should be minimal and the snow should melt off of any paved surfaces by mid-afternoon tomorrow.


View attachment 1188481

That T-1" lighter blue sliver in Southeast Monmouth County.

 

[Sweet Pea's Corner]

Perhaps after the 1/25 storm people will start believing my preaching about how frozen mass is a better way to measure storm impact than frozen depth, since that storm truly had the equivalent frozen mass of a 14-20" 10:1 snowfall with 1.4-2.0" of frozen liquid precipitation. And the sleet melts more slowly than the same mass of snow, which is a big part of why the cities have had so much trouble with snow removal/parking (yes the very cold temps played a big part too).

Perhaps after the 1/25 storm people will start believing my preaching about how frozen mass is a better way to measure storm impact than frozen depth, since that storm truly had the equivalent frozen mass of a 14-20" 10:1 snowfall with 1.4-2.0" of frozen liquid precipitation. And the sleet melts more slowly than the same mass of snow, which is a big part of why the cities have had so much trouble with snow removal/parking (yes the very cold temps played a big part too).

Great. That's what just what we need after an RU victory. Someone preaching about snow mass.

 

[RU848789]

That T-1" lighter blue sliver in Southeast Monmouth County.

Latest HRRR has the 3"+ bullseye right on your lawn, lol.

 

[RU848789]

Snow just started lightly with a temp of 35F (dewpoint 26F and a wet bulb temp of 31.9F), so hopefully we'll be down to at least 33F soon via wet bulbing (where the column cools to the wet bulb temp via the falling precip evaporating, which absorbs heat, cooling the column), which should allow easy accumulation on 32F snow/sleet. Paved surfaces will take longer and require higher rates of course. Radar looks healthy.

 

[Knight Shift]

Snow just started lightly with a temp of 35F (dewpoint 26F and a wet bulb temp of 31.9F), so hopefully we'll be down to at least 33F soon via wet bulbing (where the column cools to the wet bulb temp via the falling precip evaporating, which absorbs heat, cooling the column), which should allow easy accumulation on 32F snow/sleet. Paved surfaces will take longer and require higher rates of course. Radar looks healthy.

Raining here in Allenwood/Manasquan!!

 

[RU848789]

As of 10:30 pm, it's 33/31F here and we have ~1/4" on the snow, but it's been snowing at what I would estimate at close to 1/2" per hour rates for 1.5 hours, but have just a dusting on cars and maybe 1/4" on the snow, so we've "lost" close to 1/2" of accumulation already and we were only forecast to get maybe 2" or so. Not sure we're getting more intensity, so we need it to drop another degree or so. Reports of 0.5-1.0" along/N of 78 (and just saw 3/4" in Branchburg), so temps may end up being more important than amount of snow that falls from the sky (if it doesn't accumulate well). Still 4-6 hours to go, supposedly, so, we'll see.

 

[RU848789]

As of 10:30 pm, it's 33/31F here and we have ~1/4" on the snow, but it's been snowing at what I would estimate at close to 1/2" per hour rates for 1.5 hours, but have just a dusting on cars and maybe 1/4" on the snow, so we've "lost" close to 1/2" of accumulation already and we were only forecast to get maybe 2" or so. Not sure we're getting more intensity, so we need it to drop another degree or so. Reports of 0.5-1.0" along/N of 78 (and just saw 3/4" in Branchburg), so temps may end up being more important than amount of snow that falls from the sky (if it doesn't accumulate well). Still 4-6 hours to go, supposedly, so, we'll see.

As of 11 pm, it finally has reached 32F and intensity has gone up a bit and snow is now accumulating everywhere, even on untreated paved surfaces. We have 0.4" on the snow and maybe 1/4" on cartops/deck chairs. I'd guess we're now at 1/2" per hour rates, as I think I overestimated before (was based on visibility, which is not very accurate) - was probably more like 1/4-3/8" per hour from 9:00 pm until 10:30 pm, which mostly melted except on the snow). Let's see if we can get 2" now. Radar looks as good as it can look without the friggin' Ft. Dix site up, lol.

 

[T2Kplus20]

As of now:

And it's still 35. LOL!

 

[Caliknight]

So, he was wrong yet again lol

 

[T2Kplus20]

So, he was wrong yet again lol

+1
Wishcasting doesn't seem to work.

 

[RU848789]

As of 12:00 am, it's now slightly below 32F (31.8F) and snowing moderately with 0.7" on the ground (on the snow); we have about 0.3-0.4" on other surfaces and a coating on all untreated paved surfaces, so things are getting slick. Radar still looks good for awhile, so I'm thinking 2" might be attainable by 4 am when things are supposed to wind down and 1.5" is close to a lock.

 

[RU848789]

As of now:

And it's still 35. LOL!

Good thing you're not under oath, as that would be felony perjury. My friend in Skillman has 1/2" as of midnight. And it's 32-33F in that entire area, not 35F. Do you think people can't actually check this stuff?

 

[T2Kplus20]

Good thing you're not under oath, as that would be felony perjury. My friend in Skillman has 1/2" as of midnight. And it's 32-33F in that entire area, not 35F. Do you think people can't actually check this stuff?

View attachment 1188796

I repeat. Zero Point Zero. The roads are pure black top and still 34 degrees. Have you sunk so low to fluff a glorified dusting? LOL.

 

[RU848789]

As of 1:00 am, still snowing moderately, with 1.1" of new snow on top of the existing snow, so we had 0.4" the past hour, which is our heaviest snow of the event and there's maybe 1/2" on all paved surfaces, even the treated road in front of our house (see pic). Looks like lower intensity precip is close by - not sure for how long. Temp now down to 31.5F.

 

[RU848789]

I repeat. Zero Point Zero. The roads are pure black top and still 34 degrees. Have you sunk so low to fluff a glorified dusting? LOL.

Snow isn't measured on paved surfaces, numbnuts and I'm sure there's snow on untreated roads in your area, but that's not the point. There is measurable snow and it's nowhere near 35F, so you lied. Own it for once.

 

[RU848789]

As of 2:00 am, we have 1.3" of new snow and it's 31.5F, so everything continues to accumulate on all surfaces. Snowfall intensity is lighter so might not get more than another 1/4" or so. Roads will be slippery until temps go back up above 32F around 8-9 am for most S of 78.

 

[RU848789]

As of 3:30 am, the storm is about over with very light snow now falling (it fell longer than I thought it would looking at the radar) and 1.5" of new snow on the ground, which is well within the 1-3" range I thought we'd have, but a little below the 2.1" I predicted. It's now down to 31.0F. We could eke out another 0.1" or so if we get some additional light bands to come through as often happens after one thinks a storm is over, but I need some sleep, lol. 1.5" brings our seasonal snowfall to 31.2", which is 2+" more than our 30-year average for snowfall in a whole season.

 

[RU848789]

Pretty view of the pond across the street from us, as the fairly wet snow clung nicely to the trees, although some was knocked off by the wind. Also, as an fyi, I measured again, just to check compression, and I now have 1.25" on the existing snow vs. 1.5" about 4 hours ago when the snow was over, so I had about 17% compaction, which is fairly typical in my experience. It certainly wasn't melting, as the sun just came up and it's 29F now vs. 31F at 3:30 am. Always being awake and measuring the snow right at the end, when that's in the middle of the night is certainly why I usually have slightly higher numbers for nighttime snow events than those near me who wait until morning.

 

[RU848789]

Some snowfall amounts from the NWS-NYC: Central Park, NY: 1.1" La Guardia, NY: 1.0" Kennedy, NY: 1.4" Islip, NY: 1.8" Newark, NJ: 0.9" Bridgeport, CT: 0.2"; also saw a report of 1.6" in Staten Island. NWS-Philly hasn't published a similar list yet of their main stations, but did publish a preliminary report of public measurements (most were from before the snow ended, so not very useful) with most reporting 1-2" if they got mostly snow. Highest report I've seen is 2.2" in Jackson in Ocean County; as is often the case, the most snow falls just north of the rain/snow line, as that's where the most precip is.