It’s 2 things.
1) we can’t put the ball through the net when Francis isn’t on the floor. You can’t win games when your only capable of scoring for 2/3 of the game.
2) the D has huge holes in the frontcourt. Not that the guards are great either but we really can’t stop anyone in the post and even overplaying the paint and leaving 3s open didn’t help against USC’s bigs.
Silver lining? Maybe. If Pike is gone it doesn’t matter and we’re starting over at ground zero. If he’s getting another year I firmly believe he’s in much better offseason position than he’s been in years provided he can keep Tariq (a big if). The vision factor I’ve described matters to recruits more than many think. If the money is close to equal - a kid is going to go where they feel best about how they’ll be used. If Tariq is here, Rutgers game plan should be an appealing landing place for defense first front court players. It’s blatantly obvious that a kid like Cliff would be putting up nice looking numbers on this team vs. the disaster of 2023-24. We didn’t have the money in 2024-25 to entice a big to come quietly complement 2 NBA stars. This year, we probably had the money to buy a big at market but the results in 2023-24 made it unappealing seeing what Cliff’s numbers looked like without any threats in the backcourt. I think Pike could have more success in building around Tariq if he’s able to keep him. We could probably convince a few decent front court players who defend and rebound the ball to come to Rutgers for around market price which was impossible last year, at least. I don’t know which guys on our roster besides Tariq should be retained but I trust Pike to know which ones have the most potential for year over year development. He’s pretty good with that when he’s working with a nucleus. Which is what Francis would be. Keep 6ish guys. Add 3 guys that would be the 4thish starter to 6 man on many high major rosters. Even if you have to overpay a little. Backfill the rest and we would be a lot better than we are now.
Subject to change but these are my current thoughts:
Guys you have to retain:
- Francis (duh)
- Grant (solid player when healthy and will have plenty of Big 10 experience)
- Dortch (he's getting better and I like him off the bench
- Ogbole - as the 2nd big man off the bench
- JMike - I know a lot of people are down on JMike but he's an "older" guy now and he's seen a lot of Big 10 basketball. And he shouldn't be overly expensive.
- Zrno - he's not ice cold anymore. He is getting some confidence. We need his offense.
- Buchanan - such a high character person. How can you not want him in that locker room.
Guys I'm OK with losing
- Powers - obviously a ton of potential and I like his confidence. But his shooting percentage is way too low. He's basically a turnover every time he takes a shot. It would depend on the asking price but I'd rather swap him out with a similar player that makes more shots.
- Mark - I like him but again, too unreliable on offense. It would depend on the asking price.
- Nwuli - I know a lot of people will disagree, but I think he's going to perceive greener pastures elsewhere so it will be hard to retain him at a reasonable price point
- Badalau - I'd give him the 12th roster spot if he was willing to accept a backup role and backup comp.
Anyone I haven't mentioned needs to look at dropping to a mid major.