Way-too-early: Guess the Vegas season total for football this fall

[TheBannerM]

Last year's season total for Mississippi State football was 3.5 wins. State hit the over with 5 wins.

Guess what Vegas will set as the season total for the 2026 season.



ETA: 2017 it was 5 (we won 8 regular season games)
2018 it was 8.5 (we won 8)
2019 it was 8.5 (we won 6)
2020 COVID
2021 it was 5.5 (we won 7)
2022 it was 6.5 wins (we won 8)
2023 it was 6.5 wins (we won 5)
2024 it was 4.5 wins (we won 2)

 

[HailStout]

4.5

 

[dawgstudent]

5

 

[Pak Drescott]

1.7

 

[Guy From Gulfport]

4.5

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

5

 

[patdog]

4

 

[QuaoarsKing]

Probably 4.5. We have 5 "swing games" along with a G5 and an FCS.

 

[Bulldog45]

4.5

 

[Willow Grove Dawg]

4.5 possibly 5

 

[Puppers]

I'm guessing 3.5. I think we will go over easily but preseason we will be favored in at most 3 games

 

[TXDawg.sixpack]

5.5

 

[TheBannerM]

4.5 possibly 5

I don't think Vegas does whole integers for season win totals.

 

[Drebin]

3.4

That's easy math for the 17 we all expect.

 

[85Bears]

3 wins floor, 4 wins ceiling, 3.5 sounds right

 

[PBRME]

3.5

 

[Lettuce]

I’ll also say 3.5

 

[57stratdawg]

MSU’s “under” win total in 2019 was the hardest bet I’ve ever hammered in my career.

 

[57stratdawg]

4.5 to 5 depending on the juice you want to pay.

 

[ckDOG]

3.5 tops. Easily could be 3 or 2.5. Will we be early season favorites against anyone in addition to ULM and TennTech?

 

[POTUS]

So we've gone over 4 and under 4 in our last eight seasons? Those boys in Vegas are pretty good.

 

[L4Dawg]

3.5

 

[msudawg12]

4.5

 

[greenbean.sixpack]

4.5.

 

[dickiedawg]

Last year's season total for Mississippi State football was 3.5 wins. State hit the over with 5 wins.

Guess what Vegas will set as the season total for the 2026 season.

View attachment 1164861

ETA: 2017 it was 5 (we won 8 regular season games)
2018 it was 8.5 (we won 8)
2019 it was 8.5 (we won 6)
2020 COVID
2021 it was 5.5 (we won 7)
2022 it was 6.5 wins (we won 8)
2023 it was 6.5 wins (we won 5)
2024 it was 4.5 wins (we won 2)

5.25

 

[Dawg Raid]

TAKE THE UNDER

 

[TheBannerM]

So we've gone over 4 and under 4 in our last eight seasons? Those boys in Vegas are pretty good.

Vegas has been close (within 1/2 a win) only once in the past 8 seasons (not including 2020). Four seasons we were under the number and four season we were over.

 

[85Bears]

Vegas has been close (within 1/2 a win) only once in the past 8 seasons (not including 2020). Four seasons we were under the number and four season we were over.

Leach was an automatic over, Arnett and Lebby are an automatic under

 

[bannerdawg]

Last year's season total for Mississippi State football was 3.5 wins. State hit the over with 5 wins.

Guess what Vegas will set as the season total for the 2026 season.

View attachment 1164861

ETA: 2017 it was 5 (we won 8 regular season games)
2018 it was 8.5 (we won 8)
2019 it was 8.5 (we won 6)
2020 COVID
2021 it was 5.5 (we won 7)
2022 it was 6.5 wins (we won 8)
2023 it was 6.5 wins (we won 5)
2024 it was 4.5 wins (we won 2)

3

 

[Air Raid 2.0]

5.5

 

[AnesthesiaDawg]

**

 

[onewoof]

I only see 2 wins

 

[Perd Hapley]

Probably 4.5. We have 5 "swing games" along with a G5 and an FCS.

So….we have 7 swing games.

 

[85Bears]

I only see 2 wins

Lose to Minnesota on the road and that is very possible. I don’t see a single Sec game wed Be favored in.

 

[MaroonOldCrow]

2.5

 

[Perd Hapley]

I’m not even going to bother wondering what Vegas thinks.

But, I am going to personally set the “Fire Lebby / Keep Lebby” line at 7.5.

 

[patdog]

I only see 2 wins

Sadly, it’s possible you are right. I think we’ll win a couple more. But we really might not.

 

[patdog]

Lose to Minnesota on the road and that is very possible. I don’t see a single Sec game wed Be favored in.

We’re not beating Minnesota.

 

[Howiefeltersnstch]

8 wins

 

[85Bears]

8 wins