OT: Stock and Investment Thread

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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I wasn't paying attention the last couple days, I'm down 6% like that.

I bought some DVN as well, also down on that, but it is bouncing a little nicer today.

The downside moves didn't break the upward trend, yet at least. Charts still look productive.

I have room to add to SLB so I probably will.
Mark Newton from Tom Lee's shop is saying oil can touch below $50 and then rip back through the first quarter of 2026. I can add to both SLB and XLE call positions as needed.

Tom Lee is also citing the energy sector as overweight for 2026. Let's go!!!
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,899
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MRNA again trying for a breakout. $31. Resistance ahead. Needs to fight it's way to the upper $30's..
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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MRNA again trying or a breakout. $31. Resistance ahead. Needs to fight it's way to the upper $30's..
Any thoughts on RACE? Pretty nice dip recently. I assume rich people are still going to want rich people things. :)
 

RU05

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Jun 25, 2015
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Surprised RIVN didn't get a bump from F discontinuing the EV lightning.

Maybe the market thinks the Ford hybrid pickup will take those Lightning sales?

Or maybe RIVN's run up this year was in part due to the market seeing the Lightning's days were numbered.
 
Jun 7, 2001
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Surprised RIVN didn't get a bump from F discontinuing the EV lightning.

Maybe the market thinks the Ford hybrid pickup will take those Lightning sales?

Or maybe RIVN's run up this year was in part due to the market seeing the Lightning's days were numbered.
The gas engine will power an electric generator, providing a range of 700 miles, which is amazing. Yes, the sales are expected to be made up by the hybrid. EV sales fell off a cliff.
 
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RU05

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Any thoughts on RACE? Pretty nice dip recently. I assume rich people are still going to want rich people things. :)
Chart heading the wrong direction right now.

And at 35x P/E I imagine it could keep heading that direction.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Mark Newton from Tom Lee's shop is saying oil can touch below $50 and then rip back through the first quarter of 2026. I can add to both SLB and XLE call positions as needed.

Tom Lee is also citing the energy sector as overweight for 2026. Let's go!!!
Ya, WTI def looks like it's heading lower. Wonder what the rational is for bouncing at $50.
 

RU05

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Jun 25, 2015
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Blue Owl walking on a $10B deal with ORCL to build a data center.

ORCL down on the news, but I feel like they are being punished for something the market didn't want it to do anyways. Am I reading that right?
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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Blue Owl walking on a $10B deal with ORCL to build a data center.

ORCL down on the news, but I feel like they are being punished for something the market didn't want it to do anyways. Am I reading that right?
ORCL starting to look like a screaming buy (or add) on all this FUD. Seems like Blackrock will just step in for financing as needed. So.....
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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ORCL starting to look like a screaming buy (or add) on all this FUD. Seems like Blackrock will just step in for financing as needed. So.....
I saw $154 as potential support level.

Ives was still talking it up with Batnick (no Brown) on WAYT.

As the Compound guys often like to point out, this is healthy market behavior. You want worry in there, you want corrections, you want these buying opportunities.

Not to say you can't go straight up ala NVDA and PLTR, but those stocks are rare. (and even these stocks have hit rough roads at times).
 
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RU05

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MSDL with it's low P/E, low beta, and high Div, looks like it has reversed off it's early Oct bottom.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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Interesting TA on ORCL (from Mark Newton/FS Insights):

ORCL -5.43% which remains on UPTICKS (and i plan keeping on UPTICKS which should be released tomorrow) has suffered a very steep drop lately, but has some reasons towards thinking this might find support and turn back higher. The stock is approaching a time-based Fibonacci retracement of its rally from April into September of this year, which proved to be 156 calendar days. Interestingly enough, if this were to bottom this week, it would represent a 61.8% time-based retracement of 156 days. More interesting to some maybe however, is that when putting ORCL's rally on Gann's "Square of 9" chart which i use to convert time to price for targeting resistance and support, it's important that ORCL's peak of $328 lie on the 150 degree angle of Square of 9. The level of 172 looks important as support on this chart, which coincidentally would be exactly half of its peak on Sept. 10, 2025 of $345.72. Thus, ORCL might find support at a 50% absolute price retracement of its intra-day high from 9/10. What's also interesting is that when turning its rally in time into price, we see that 156 calendar days or 156 dollars, when subtracted from the high close of $328.33, also equals $172.33. Elliott-wave patterns on ORCL clearly show this to be in the final stage of a five-wave decline from September. This can be good news, but also bad. Initially, being near the potential end of this decline could signal a coming bounce, and that's what i expect. However, it also likely points to bounces not getting back to new highs right away, but resulting in additional weakness, which i feel might happen between March and October of next year. Thus, for now, it looks like a good risk/reward to buy dips technically at $172-3 this week if reached. Thereafter, a rally might get underway back up to $238 initially or maybe $258 before this stalls and turns lower. Overall, my work suggests this is getting close to a bottom.
 
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Jun 7, 2001
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I would like to encourage all the millionaires in this thread to support Rutgers NIL. You can simply transfer stock to Rutgers and take the write off. Something to think about before the end of the year.
 

rigi19040

Senior
Aug 1, 2024
1,120
673
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Surprised RIVN didn't get a bump from F discontinuing the EV lightning.

Maybe the market thinks the Ford hybrid pickup will take those Lightning sales?

Or maybe RIVN's run up this year was in part due to the market seeing the Lightning's days were numbered.

Surprised they did not tank. Why would they get a bump? Why do you think Ford discontinued?
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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SBUX finally getting some momentum?

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) rose 5.1% in Thursday morning trading to $89.56 in a move that outpaced broad retail averages by a wide margin.

Traders are circulating a research report that indicates Starbucks (SBUX) is having a better FQ1 than anticipated in North America and is on track to top comparable sales expectations. That report backs up recent Placer.ai data that indicates foot traffic at the coffee chain is in an improving trend. There is also a spotlight that touches Starbucks (SBUX) with Elliott Management reported to have a large stake in Lululemon (LULU) in addition to its sizable position in Starbucks (SBUX).
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
5,040
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T2k - what’s the story with MIST? I figured it would be off to the races? I’m trying to decide whether to get back in after that fake-report fiasco.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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T2k - what’s the story with MIST? I figured it would be off to the races? I’m trying to decide whether to get back in after that fake-report fiasco.
Definitely yes, but honestly there isn't a hurry. Some weird things were happening with warrants after approval that caused a ton of selling pressure. Along with the fake story, this really dampened the rally. Overall, I'm holding all my shares and remain bullish.

However, the execs on the conference call were very conservative regarding the launch and uptake of sales. This is good for the long-run, but might keep the stock relatively flat until the next catalyst (next earnings report in March which will provide a commercial update).

Wells Fargo and many other analysts have raised price targets to $8. Sounds good to me! :)

-----

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Milestone Pharmaceuticals, Raises Price Target to $8
Benzinga
10:02 AM ET Dec-16-2025
Wells Fargo analyst Mohit Bansal maintains Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $4 to $8.

TD Cowen Upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals to Buy, Announces $8 Price Target
Benzinga
11:34 AM ET Dec-15-2025
TD Cowen analyst Ritu Baral upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) from Hold to Buy and announces $8 price target.

HC Wainwright & Co. Maintains Buy on Milestone Pharmaceuticals, Raises Price Target to $8
Benzinga
10:56 AM ET Dec-15-2025
HC Wainwright & Co. analyst Brandon Folkes maintains Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) with a Buy and raises the price target from $5 to $8.

TD Securities upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals from HOLD to BUY.
Investars Analyst Actions - public
10:19 AM ET Dec-15-2025
On December 15, 2025 TD Securities upgraded Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) from HOLD to BUY.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
5,040
3,603
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Definitely yes, but honestly there isn't a hurry. Some weird things were happening with warrants after approval that caused a ton of selling pressure. Along with the fake story, this really dampened the rally. Overall, I'm holding all my shares and remain bullish.

However, the execs on the conference call were very conservative regarding the launch and uptake of sales. This is good for the long-run, but might keep the stock relatively flat until the next catalyst (next earnings report in March which will provide a commercial update).

Wells Fargo and many other analysts have raised price targets to $8. Sounds good to me! :)

-----

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Milestone Pharmaceuticals, Raises Price Target to $8
Benzinga
10:02 AM ET Dec-16-2025
Wells Fargo analyst Mohit Bansal maintains Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $4 to $8.

TD Cowen Upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals to Buy, Announces $8 Price Target
Benzinga
11:34 AM ET Dec-15-2025
TD Cowen analyst Ritu Baral upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) from Hold to Buy and announces $8 price target.

HC Wainwright & Co. Maintains Buy on Milestone Pharmaceuticals, Raises Price Target to $8
Benzinga
10:56 AM ET Dec-15-2025
HC Wainwright & Co. analyst Brandon Folkes maintains Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) with a Buy and raises the price target from $5 to $8.

TD Securities upgrades Milestone Pharmaceuticals from HOLD to BUY.
Investars Analyst Actions - public
10:19 AM ET Dec-15-2025
On December 15, 2025 TD Securities upgraded Milestone Pharmaceuticals (MIST.NaE) from HOLD to BUY.
Thx - I saw the $8 PT which was another reason I was surprised.

Do you know anything about OKYO?
 

Rutgers Chris

All-American
Nov 29, 2005
5,175
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That memo looks like is comes from Sean Farrell - who is a different person than Tom Lee. :)

Tom Lee, Mark Newton (Head of TA), and Sean Farrell (Head of Crypto) often disagree and debate the future moves of the market.
Ill Allow It Spanish GIF
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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I get their macro analysis, which is Tom Lee and Mark Newton. Tom and Mark have been on CNBC arguing (professionally) about the market. Not often, but it happens from time to time. I did a trial month of their crypto service and to be honest, it was meh at best.

In other news, I'm excited that COIN is finally getting into stocks and indexes (hopefully with futures and perps). I was considering moving to HOOD, but it looks like COIN is finally catching up a bit.
 
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Rutgers Chris

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I get their macro analysis, which is Tom Lee and Mark Newton. Tom and Mark have been on CNBC arguing (professionally) about the market. Not often, but it happens from time to time. I did a trial month of their crypto service and to be honest, it was meh at best.

In other news, I'm excited that COIN is finally getting into stocks and indexes (hopefully with futures and perps). I was considering moving to HOOD, but it looks like COIN is finally catching up a bit.
Somewhat related…DraftKings just launched prediction markets in 37 states. Effectively bringing legalized gambling to states where it’s banned. Will be interesting to see how the stock reacts
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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Somewhat related…DraftKings just launched prediction markets in 37 states. Effectively bringing legalized gambling to states where it’s banned. Will be interesting to see how the stock reacts
That's a good point. Prediction markets are a backdoor to sports gambling. HOOD and COIN were going to seriously eat into DraftKings business, especially in those states that didn't legalize yet. COIN is essentially my degen account now, so maybe I'll try it out in the future.
 
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Anon1751565407

Freshman
Jul 3, 2025
150
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28
This from Dan Ives…the always-pastels-festooned cheerleader for AI stocks.
Like to see his takes on tech especially since he never seems to pump or even talk crypto.
 

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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,973
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This from Dan Ives…the always-pastels-festooned cheerleader for AI stocks.
Like to see his takes on tech especially since he never seems to pump or even talk crypto.
Lots of great predictions! #3 would be huge for AAPL. Also agree with MSFT taking off and really advancing its use of AI.
 

RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
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Lots of great predictions! #3 would be huge for AAPL. Also agree with MSFT taking off and really advancing its use of AI.
Would be interesting to take all of his predictions and create a custom basket and track performance in 2026.

BTW, will Nike ever recover? I’ve been tempted to buy at these levels and then I watch the CFP and see football coaches wearing sweatshirts with AirJordan and a basketball plastered on it. Hats with JumpMan Logo. WTF are these Nike execs doing. Center stage primetime with top coaches and players in the country that are showing off a Nike logo with a giant basketball in the middle of it.
 
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Postman_1

Heisman
Mar 12, 2017
8,199
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This from Dan Ives…the always-pastels-festooned cheerleader for AI stocks.
Like to see his takes on tech especially since he never seems to pump or even talk crypto.
Come the end of 2026 we will all probably forget this list. Wish we could set a reminder some how. Some interesting stuff on there
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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Would be interesting to take all of his predictions and create a custom basket and track performance in 2026.

BTW, will Nike ever recover? I’ve been tempted to buy at these levels and then I watch the CFP and see football coaches wearing sweatshirts with AirJordan and a basketball plastered on it. Hats with JumpMan Logo. WTF are these Nike execs doing. Center stage primetime with top coaches and players in the country that are showing off a Nike logo with a giant basketball in the middle of it.
CNBC had a bunch of people on talking about NKE, here's a good summary of my thinking. This analyst is bullish but realistic. He is also very negative on LULU, so not a cheerleader for everything.



I've been holding NKE Jan 2028 $70 calls for a few months. Was about even prior to this dump and added to my contracts on Friday to lower my cost basis.

Another good video:

 
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