OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
- Start date
Missed it.....again. Speaking of earnings, HOOD reports after the bell. I feel if anything is "wrong" with the report, even if it's minor, the stock is going to get killed (due to the massive rally since the April low). I have a stop loss set to ensure a 3x on my position. The position has become huge, so I need to protect the gains.
up 24.5% now. I'm offficially in the green on all of my positions on RIVN.
Do I sell and take some profit? Do I let it ride? it's been a fun lotto ticket type play from the beginning
Maybe trim if you were averaging down and building a large position.
Or maybe sell calls, as I can see it cool down a bit after todays big move.
It's been trapped in a range for a couple years, which it will need to break out of, but I'm doubting it breaks to the down side. With the R2 launching in the first half of 2026 Rev's are expecting to jump nearly 30%, and close to 50% in 2027. Doubt it collapses after building that base and now finally seeing their growth come to fruition. Especially with VW backing it up when needed. Risk reward seems to point upwards.
Also news of a robotics spinoff.
Hopes to be cash flow positive in 2027, but not expecting true profitability in the next 4 years.
I'm hanging in.
Looks good on the HOOD front this morning. Outstanding report and guidance. Stock is flat in pre-market, which is totally fine due to the recent run up.
My jewish robots (ARBE) are not doing well.
But ROK hit nicely on earnings this morning.
I have MRNA up on earnings as well. Though still in the red overall. I should take the L on this pop as it still looks stuck in the mid 20's.
I have some big earnings poppers the last couple days.
I need to check out those Jewish robots. I made a few edits to my custom basket yesterday. VRTX and SPGI are out. Moved in RDDT and SHAK. You can move around existing positions on Fidelity. HOOD remains out of the basket since the position is so large. As of now, YTD my basket is still 2x the S&P, so can’t complain.
Very early in their rev timeline, so although it is very expensive on rev's right now (something like 380x) it's about 18x 2026 expected rev's and 5x 2027. In other words rev growth is expected to be explosive.
The rev jump is expected to show itself in this qtr. Only 3 analysts covering the stock but the mean estimate is $2mil. The high estimate is $3.5 mil. So this could be the inflection point. At $2.5 mil it could signal 18x 2026 rev estimates is aiming low. Or it could show these estimates are wishful thinking.
A small position for me that has gotten really small. Will probably look to add prior to earnings.
Edit: ARBE is the ticker. I just like the ridiculousness of "jewish robots" (and chinese flying cars).
RR, a US robot company is not as expensive but their rev estimates are much more conservative.
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I gave RR a shot about a month ago but bailed once it started to slide. Glad I did because it’s basically been cut in half
I have SERV on my watchlist, but maybe this one is a better play. Someone will figure out robots soon!
DDOG ripped today!
I'm not in DDOG but I am in a bunch of stocks which have had great earnings in the midst of all this chop.
Makes me pretty confident in hanging steady, and even addding if there is a bigger drop.
All signs were pointing to a year end rally but seems like tides may be turning…time to take profits or ride it out through year end???
Market goes down 2% and the bears come out.
Technicals look strong for a year end rally. 7,000 wouldn't surprise me. As always, buy the dip and enjoy.
A very short-term “play” for you players.Market goes down 2% and the bears come out.
By the way, SCOTUS justices really sounded like they are going to nix Trump using emergency powers for tariffs. If this happens, what stocks will skyrocket? NKE, DECK, LULU, etc? Maybe time for short-term calls. Ruling should come before the end of the calendar year.
Other thoughts?
Other thoughts?
Why not a 3x inverse ETF for you players?A very short-term “play” for you players.
But be careful, a shutdown deal should drop in the near future.
Tom Lee said chop through Nov before a dec rally
Market has bounced this afternoon. Im green.
Crazy amount of AUM in only 1-year! Congrats to Tom Lee and his team.
Nice rally to end the day/week. S&P in the green.
MSFT hanging around $500/sh with not much volatility this quarter end at earnings release at end of October…which puts it at a 35 PE multiple. My rhetorical question is what is the fair value of this stock when it consists of mostly agentic AI bots with half of its current number of employees in ten years time? $5000/sh has to be at least a possibility by 2035 with $2,000/sh very probable.
By 2035? I wouldn't be surprise if MSFT is north of $3,000/sh (and likely higher).
Yeah. I can’t see how they aren’t one of the winners when the AI stuff shakes out. META on the other hand…without all that ad revenue (10% of which was recently determined to be from outright scams) could be an oof!
Not sure I trust his new hairstyle. I'm a hold for now.
Hmm, you are right. Looks a little flat today. Sell?