D-1 Playoff Projection

[Football4281]

Here's my best guess. I picked who I thought would win. There were a ton of tiebreakers so I might have missed something, but I think this is fairly accurate if it all unfolds the way I have it.

WEST

1 Cambridge 8-0
16 Morrill 4-4

8 Neligh-Oakdale 5-3
9 Hemingford 5-3

5 Burwell 6-2
12 Hitchcock Co. 5-3

4 Elm Creek 7-1
13 NE Christian 5-3

3 ALC 7-1
14 Alma 5-3

6 Sutherland 8-0
11 North Central 5-3

7 DCS 7-1
10 West Holt 6-2

2 Fullerton 7-1
15 South Loup 3-5

EAST

1 Howells-Dodge 8-0
16 Homer 4-4

8 Lourdes CC 4-4
9 Cross Co. 4-4

5 OHP 6-2
12 Creighton 5-3

4 Wisner-Pilger 7-1
13 Elkhorn Valley 4-4

3 Elmwood-Murdock 7-1
14 East Butler 4-4

6 Southern 6-2
11 Laurel-Concord-Coleridge 5-3

7 LHNE 6-2
10 Tri County 5-3

2 BDS 8-0
15 GACC 4-4

First 5 Out
EMF 3-5
Thayer Central 3-5
Bayard 3-5
Palmer 2-6
Weeping Water 4-4

 

[Ruttingbuck]

How is this looking?

 

[FalconAlum07]

I took a shot at this looking at how I projected this weeks games to go and the changing of wildcard points with teams gaining or dropping divisions as well as trying to look through the tie-breakers. Some very big games left this week to impact the final standings. The Elm Creek vs ALC and Neleigh-Oakdale vs Lutheran NE being the biggest bracket changers.

WEST
1 Cambridge 8-0 355
16 Morrill 4-4 307

8 Cross County 4-4 327
9 West Holt 6-2 326

5 Burwell 6-2 341
12 North Central 5-3 319 (Lost Tie w/ Neleigh)

4 Elm Creek 7-1 343
13 Hitchcock County 5-3 314 (Won Tie w/Alma)

3 ALC 7-1 348
14 Alma 5-3 314 (Lost tie w/ Hitchcock)

6 Sutherland 8-0 340
11 Neleigh-Oakdale 5-3 319 (won tie w/North Central)

7 DCS 7-1 333
10 Hemingford 5-3 324

2 Fullerton 7-1 353
15 Palmer 3-5 310

EAST
1 Howells-Dodge 8-0 375
16 Homer 4-4 307

8 Laurel-Concord-Coleridge 5-3 324
9 Tri County 5-3 319

5 Wisner Pilger 7-1 338
12 GACC 4-4 312 (L tie w/ East Butler, W tie w/ Elkhorn Valley)

4 OHP 6-2 341
13 Elkhorn Valley 4-4 312

3 BDS 8-0 355
14 Lourdes CC 3-5 310

6 Southern 6-2 336
11 East Butler 4-4 312

7 LHNE 6-2 331
10 Creighton 5-3 314

2 Elmwood Murdock 7-1 358
15 Weeping Water 5-3 309


Last 5 In
Lourdes CC 310
Palmer 310
Weeping Water 309
Morrill 307
Homer 307

First 5 Out
South Loup 305
Nebraska Christian 302
Thayer Central 300
EMF 300
Bayard 300

 

[Football4281]

I took a shot at this looking at how I projected this weeks games to go and the changing of wildcard points with teams gaining or dropping divisions as well as trying to look through the tie-breakers. Some very big games left this week to impact the final standings. The Elm Creek vs ALC and Neleigh-Oakdale vs Lutheran NE being the biggest bracket changers.

WEST
1 Cambridge 8-0 355
16 Morrill 4-4 307

8 Cross County 4-4 327
9 West Holt 6-2 326

5 Burwell 6-2 341
12 North Central 5-3 319 (Lost Tie w/ Neleigh)

4 Elm Creek 7-1 343
13 Hitchcock County 5-3 314 (Won Tie w/Alma)

3 ALC 7-1 348
14 Alma 5-3 314 (Lost tie w/ Hitchcock)

6 Sutherland 8-0 340
11 Neleigh-Oakdale 5-3 319 (won tie w/North Central)

7 DCS 7-1 333
10 Hemingford 5-3 324

2 Fullerton 7-1 353
15 Palmer 3-5 310

EAST
1 Howells-Dodge 8-0 375
16 Homer 4-4 307

8 Laurel-Concord-Coleridge 5-3 324
9 Tri County 5-3 319

5 Wisner Pilger 7-1 338
12 GACC 4-4 312 (L tie w/ East Butler, W tie w/ Elkhorn Valley)

4 OHP 6-2 341
13 Elkhorn Valley 4-4 312

3 BDS 8-0 355
14 Lourdes CC 3-5 310

6 Southern 6-2 336
11 East Butler 4-4 312

7 LHNE 6-2 331
10 Creighton 5-3 314

2 BDS 8-0
15 Weeping Water 5-3 309


Last 5 In
Lourdes CC 310
Palmer 310
Weeping Water 309
Morrill 307
Homer 307

First 5 Out
South Loup 305
Nebraska Christian 302
Thayer Central 300
EMF 300
Bayard 300

You have BDS listed twice

 

[FalconAlum07]

You have BDS listed twice

Should have had elmwood Murdock at the 2

 

[EF2007]

Isn't Cross County East of OHP, BDS, and EV?

 

[FalconAlum07]

Isn't Cross County East of OHP, BDS, and EV?

I had them West of Osceola and Bruning, not sure what school they go off of. Should be switched with elkhorn valley though. I’ll do some updating there

 

[wolfy94]

Falcon thats pretty much how I had it also, except I have Nebraska Christian at 307. Palmer winning moves them up to a 2, so a 33 pt loss instead of a 28. Not sure how that affects those bottom two seeds though

 

[FalconAlum07]

Falcon thats pretty much how I had it also, except I have Nebraska Christian at 307. Palmer winning moves them up to a 2, so a 33 pt loss instead of a 28. Not sure how that affects those bottom two seeds though

I looked at that one both ways, have no idea who would win but thought Palmer looked a little more dangerous.

 

[FalconAlum07]

I looked at that one both ways, have no idea who would win but thought Palmer looked a little more dangerous good catch with the 33 I'll refigure
.

 

[FalconAlum07]

Switching Cross County and EV and adding the Neb Christian pts.

WEST
1 Cambridge 8-0 355
16 Nebraska Christian 4-4 307

8 West Holt 6-2 326
9 Hemingford 5-3 324

5 Burwell 6-2 341
12 Hitchcock County 5-3 314

4 Elm Creek 7-1 343
13 Creighton 5-3 314

3 ALC 7-1 348
14 Palmer 3-5 310

6 Sutherland 8-0 340
11 North Central 5-3 319

7 DCS 7-1 333
10 Neleigh Oakdale 5-3 319 (won tie w/North Central)

2 Fullerton 7-1 353
15 Alma 5-3 309

EAST
1 Howells-Dodge 8-0 375
16 Homer 4-4 307

8 Cross County 4-4 327
9 LCC 5-3 324

5 Wisner Pilger 7-1 338
12 East Butler 4-4 312

4 OHP 6-2 341
13 GACC 4-4 312

3 Elmwood Murdock 7-1 358
14 Lourdes CC 3-5 310

6 Southern 6-2 336
11 Elkhorn Valley 4-4 312

7 LHNE 6-2 331
10 Tri County 5-3 319

2 BDS 8-0 360
15 Weeping Water 5-3 309


Last 5 In
Lourdes CC 310
Palmer 310
Weeping Water 309
Nebraska Christian 307
Homer 307

First 5 Out
Morrill 307
South Loup 305
Thayer Central 300
EMF 300
Bayard 300

 

[n2deep2bn]

If Palmer wins that gives BDS 5 more points and they would be the 2 seed in the east.

 

[n2deep2bn]

I think Elkhorn Valley should be in the east

 

[n2deep2bn]

Alma would be at 309 with Hitchcock County loss

 

[FalconAlum07]

I think Elkhorn Valley should be in the east

If Elkhorn goes East who goes West?

 

[n2deep2bn]

If Elkhorn goes East who goes West?

Creighton would be west of Elkhorn Valley

 

[wolfy94]

Looks like Creighton is just a little west of Tilden

 

[FalconAlum07]

In that scenario Creighton and Elkhorn Valley switch places. Fixed above.

 

[Joseph Dirte]

Forgive me for being a novice to how the playoffs work nowadays but is the reason Ravenna and Wakefield aren’t able to make the playoffs due to them opting into 8 man. I haven’t paid much attention to high school football for a few years....

 

[meanmachine]

Forgive me for being a novice to how the playoffs work nowadays but is the reason Ravenna and Wakefield aren’t able to make the playoffs due to them opting into 8 man. I haven’t paid much attention to high school football for a few years....

Yes, I believe they areover the 8 man limit