Haven't seen much posted on this match up. I've seen Provi three times this year. They are a very well rounded, fundamentally sound team. They are diverse on offense. Can run and pass. Defensively, they are very good against the run and somewhat susceptible to the pass. And their special teams play is outstanding. How does St. Francis match up? I know the Spartans have some high end talent. From what I've read, they've been their own worst enemy at times. Provi will not beat themselves. St. Francis will need to cut down on the penalties and self-inflicted wounds to win. Thoughts?
Having watched a few of Provi’s games and being an SF guy, here’s my take:
SF matches up better against Provi as opposed to JCA / Richmond for all the reasons you mentioned…SF is not going to try and simply line up and run it against them. They’ll spread it out and have a talented and dynamic offense with a good QB.
SF will *have* to pass protect. Against IC they gave up 7 sacks I think (a few of them coverage sacks to be fair), and that won’t fly this weekend. In my opinion, for SF to have a chance they’ll have to use the pass to 1.) set up the run and 2.) get the ball to their playmakers in space. SF has a lot of size and talent on their o-line so they won’t have the problem of being physically overmatched.
Also penalties…even last weekend against Rochelle they had a 60+ yard catch and run called back. They’ll have to play cleanly.
Provi is probably a 7 point favorite and should be. SF will need to play their A-game against a team with more depth, more size, and a dynamic offense and defense that has been tested and grown against some of the best competition in the state. But SF themselves is a big, physical team with very talented wide receivers (having Willis - a kid who has been all conference his freshman and sophomore years - back after thinking he was out for the year is a huge boost) and one of the best QBs in the state getting it to them.
I stick with my statement I had before the playoffs…SF has a higher ceiling than any other team in the north bracket this year, but also can have the lowest floor of any of the contenders if they get sloppy.