As of 10/30/2015
Rank Team Overall Conference Games Remaining
1 South Point 8-2 80% 6-0 100% SC
2 East Gaston 6-4 60% 4-2 60% FV
2 Forestview 5-5 50% 4-2 60% EG
4 Ashbrook 5-5 50% 3-3 50% HH
8 North Gaston 3-7 30% 1-5 20% LNC
5 Lake Norman Charter 4-5 44% 2-4 30% NG
6 Hunter Huss 3-7 30% 2-4 30% Ash
7 Stuart Cramer 5-5 50% 2-4 30% SP
WARNING:
TAKE ASPIRIN WITH A LARGE QUANTITY OF ALCOHOL (OMIT ALCOHOL IF UNDER 21) BEFORE PROCEEDING FURTHER.
The only thing that remains the same from last week is that South Point is the conference champion and has a lock on the #1 auto bid from the conference. After that, all bets are off from top to bottom. Ashbrook, you had one job - to win out - and you fouled it up. Next Friday, Forestview and East Gaston will slug it out for the #2 slot. The loser's fate depends on which Ashbrook team shows up to play Hunter Huss. If Huss wins, the loser of EG-FV is third in the conference; if Ashbrook wins, Ashbrook is third and the loser is 4th as both teams lost to Ashbrook. North Gaston drags the rear in 3A with their only conference win coming against Ashbrook.
In the 2A portion of the conference, Lake Norman has possibly screwed up Hunter Huss' chances of a post-season. The Knights unexpected win over the Green Wave has catapulted them into a 3-way conference tie. Next week's games will either break the tie, cement it, or create a 2-way tie. Remember that HH > SC > LKN > HH.
There are 5 possible scenarios (yes, 5) that could determine who will get the two autobids. In two of the scenarios, Huss could finish 2nd in the division and yet fail to make the playoff because they finish with a 3-8 (3-7 playoff) record which puts them below the 34% winning percentage as required by the NCHSAA to qualify with the #2 auto bid. Even if Stuart Cramer does not finish 1st or 2nd, their overall win record may be strong enough to get them a WC.
- If LKN and HH both win and SC loses, the winning teams would be 3-4 and SC 2-5. Lake Norman would be the #1 because they beat HH and HH would be #2. Cramer could end up a WC in the 2A.
- If HH wins and LKN and SC both lose, Huss would be 3-4 and the losing teams 2-5. Huss would be the #1 and SC would be #2 since the Storm beat the Knights.
- If LKN wins, and HH and SC both lose, LKN would be 3-4 and the losing teams 2-5. Lake Norman would be the #1. Technically, Huss (3-7 playoff record) would be the #2 seed by virtue of beating SC but not qualify. However, Cramer could still make the playoffs as a WC.
- If none of the teams win, all three would be 2-5, according to the NCHSAA tie-breaking rules (pg 2, sec C6), Lake Norman would be the #1 because they had beaten Ashbrook (Ashbrook being the highest ranked team beaten by any of the three 2A teams). Huss would finish 2nd but fail to meet the 34% winning percentage requirement. Again, Cramer could go as a WC.
- If all three win, they would all be 3-4. In that case, again according to the NCHSAA tie-breaking rules, Stuart Cramer would be 1st because they would have beaten SP (the highest ranked team in the conference). LKN would be 2nd because they beat HH. This is the least like scenario, but given how the season has played out, I had to address even the remotest possibility.