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Official MSU Prediction Thread

J

jesterondirt

All-Conference
Sep 28, 2006
5,414
3,035
113
So I did some calculations. I ran 50 simulations using NCAA 14 against Michigan state. Then I took that data an piled it into Farmers almanac algorithms for fall 2019. After reviewing the data it was obvious a few changes were necessary (just small changes like bumping up player ratings to 99 and change difficulty to easy).

I was able to come to the conclusion that we have a 50% chance to win, with a +/- 40% error for accuracy.
 
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L

Li'l Eric Coley

All-American
Apr 7, 2004
15,165
6,352
112
Yeah, I'm positive he didn't get banned, but I haven't heard from him in a really long time. Not sure where he is or if he's still promoting UFC in Las Vegas, but they might not have intertronz wherever he is.
 
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H

HuffyCane

Heisman
Dec 25, 2004
28,488
14,605
0
goldenhurricane2 said:
I do miss him... kept this place pretty lively back in his prime.
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Not quite as lively as Chewbacca flying up here to fist fight or causing Pat Jones to have a nervous breakdown on the air, but Typ was still impressive and effing hilarious in his time. Gold* is the standard for lively. 24K.

Though I do like to brag about getting a C&D letter from Yahoo! Corporate and causing them to change their rules just for hijinks I tagged along on with. Not sure anybody can top that on here. Though it would not have been possible without the best of the combat trolls over on the UCF cooligan board. Hate Louisville until I die.
 
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TU_BLA

TU_BLA

Heisman
Mar 8, 2012
29,576
13,860
113
rusty-c said:
Humor my friend... Until we see the clouds part and the sun come out over 11h and Harvard we all need some.
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I'm pretty sure the sun will be out on Sept. 14th and it will be 100 degrees and we'll all bake against OSU all the while TU's concessions will run out of cold bottled water by the end of the 1st quarter...how's that for a prediction.
 
H

HuffyCane

Heisman
Dec 25, 2004
28,488
14,605
0
TU_BLA said:
I'm pretty sure the sun will be out on Sept. 14th and it will be 100 degrees and we'll all bake against OSU all the while TU's concessions will run out of cold bottled water by the end of the 1st quarter...how's that for a prediction.
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As well as run out of change for the cash only transactions.
 
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TU 1978

TU 1978

All-American
Jan 30, 2009
13,624
6,362
113
Meanwhile, back to the prediction thread...

Spartans 21
Kangaroos 20

 
T

tupatsfan

Senior
Dec 12, 2016
820
542
0
I just have a weird feeling that this is going to be a really low scoring close game. Not saying we will win, but they aren’t explosive AT ALL. So our defense should keep us in it.

No prediction.
 
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T

Tulsafanzz

All-Conference
Apr 21, 2006
6,908
4,490
113
I think (hope) our defense is pretty good. If we can limit turnovers, it could be competitive .

MSU 24 Tulsa 13
 
W

WrlsCane

Sophomore
Jul 31, 2008
112
113
22
IF both defenses are as good as advertised then this could come down to field goals.
I’m going low
Hurricane 16
Spartans 13
 
TU_BLA

TU_BLA

Heisman
Mar 8, 2012
29,576
13,860
113
WrlsCane said:
IF both defenses are as good as advertised then this could come down to field goals.
I’m going low
Hurricane 16
Spartans 13
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That would not be a good thing for TU.

27-17 Sparty. I think the 1st half is close and somewhat boring. I think a couple mistakes on both sides open things up late. Sparty gets a late TD to seal it and make the difference not reflective of how closely the game was played.
 
B

Buzzy56

Redshirt
Dec 4, 2004
34
33
0
quincy101 said:
We'll need a couple of TO's & are perfectly capable of getting them. It would also be nice if our D scored-capable there, too. Sure hope our FG kicker is up to it. A replay of TX game would send me into a massive depression. TU-23...MickSt-20
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I agree, I say TU 27-21!
 
H

HuffyCane

Heisman
Dec 25, 2004
28,488
14,605
0
Ill predict its interesting in the first half as both teams try to figure themselves out. 21-10 at the break with a MSU touchdown just before halftime.

After that, the MSU D line takes over. They look really really really good the more I watch them from last season. I want to pick a TU winner here and I think we’ve got a solid shot at beating the Cowboys with any of the three at QB, but I just see a huge talent disparity on the line. We are gonna need three or more turnovers and a clutch performance from who ever our kicker is going to be in his first game, on the road, against a ranked opponent.

Football team that totally didn’t know girls were getting raped 45

Football team that is coached by a guy that used to totally not know that girls were getting raped at another school 24
 
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S

SpartanJD_rivals19842

Heisman
Dec 3, 2010
175,779
16,400
0
HuffyCane said:
Ill predict its interesting in the first half as both teams try to figure themselves out. 21-10 at the break with a MSU touchdown just before halftime.

After that, the MSU D line takes over. They look really really really good the more I watch them from last season. I want to pick a TU winner here and I think we’ve got a solid shot at beating the Cowboys with any of the three at QB, but I just see a huge talent disparity on the line. We are gonna need three or more turnovers and a clutch performance from who ever our kicker is going to be in his first game, on the road, against a ranked opponent.

Football team that totally didn’t know girls were getting raped 45

Football team that is coached but a guy that used to totally not know girls were getting raped 24
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MSU has 4 players on defense that are All American good. Willekes (DE), Williams (DT), Bachie (MLB) and Scott (CB). MSU has two other DTs that are all B1G good. There’s a reason we had the number 1 rushing D last year.

To beat us on D you need the sharp dink and dunk type passing or isolate one of our safeties vs a slot type player 1on1 and hit something vertical.
 
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H

HuffyCane

Heisman
Dec 25, 2004
28,488
14,605
0
SpartanJD said:
MSU has 4 players on defense that are All American good. Willekes (DE), Williams (DT), Bachie (MLB) and Scott (CB). MSU has two other DTs that are all B1G good. There’s a reason we had the number 1 rushing D last year.

To beat us on D you need the sharp dink and dunk type passing or isolate one of our safeties vs a slot type player 1on1 and hit something vertical.
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Well, we will make you defend the rear third of the field on the vertical shot. Our entire offensive strategy is rope a dope 4 yard runs, then deep shots. Trouble is, we don’t have a reliable deep threat that we know of lately.

We do line our wide outs way outside the numbers which forces one or both of your safeties to either cheat down or reveal they are the spy against the RB or keying the ball. So we do more than a few super quick passes way out into the flat to exploit that. They are essentially extended hand off to a WR that becomes a running back.
 
Q

quincy101

All-Conference
Nov 3, 2007
1,961
1,210
113
HuffyCane said:
Trouble is, we don’t have a reliable deep threat that we know of lately.
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Huffy, you are one cagey booger. Trying to blow some smoke up poor Sparty JD's nose. Er...no! Honestly & truthfully, I agree. We have no deep threat that Mick St should worry about. Heh, heh, heh!
 
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A

astonmartin708_rivals

All-American
Apr 17, 2012
19,249
6,806
73
nevadanatural said:
Don’t you mean if that team hadn’t been cheated out of two games by the cheating refs?
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I don’t think the games would have been close enough for the refs to cheat us.

They can’t cheat you as easily if no one can tackle you before you score, or if the other team can’t complete passes.
 
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